Top Down Approach Discussion and how to View BPT

Posted by steve on 13th of Jun 2020 at 01:48 pm
Title: Top Down Approach Discussion and how to View BPT

Hi Steve - Who's the Nick/Nickikeak

Posted by jephrey on 31st of Oct 2022 at 12:13 am

Hi Steve -

Who's the Nick/Nickikeak to whom you're referring in tonight's news letter?

Jephrey...please take time to review

Posted by steve on 31st of Oct 2022 at 05:55 am

Jephrey...please take time to review ALL of my previous posts this weekend and that will answer your question.   

Here you go - https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/did-nikileaks-just-kill-dovish-fed-narrative-he-launched

Re Some guy named Nick.

Posted by brophy on 31st of Oct 2022 at 09:18 am

Re Some guy named Nick. I never listen to rumors, no matter where they come from. There is nothing in any of the data ( or charts!)  that says pivot.

I'm not big on the

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 31st of Oct 2022 at 09:28 am

I'm not big on the sold narratives or reasons for why things did this or that on a certain day either. Whoever is running the market show, algos, I call them "Oz" ultimately knows where it is going and takes it there, I just buy or sell based on prices. A lot less headache. 

I don't have any emotional attachment and that enables me to operate day to day easily in accordance with my plan. I also don't watch all the ticks, I've found it to not be good for my health or outlook on life. Checking how things look on the close is often enough for me to see if any adjustments need to be made or not. To each is own. I've learned to be me because that is the only person I can be. 

Thank you!

Posted by jephrey on 31st of Oct 2022 at 02:38 am

Thank you!

SPX Cycles - Do we

Posted by DigiNomad on 22nd of Aug 2022 at 09:55 am

SPX Cycles - Do we have a sell on all time frames except the daily now? 

not sure what you are

Posted by matt on 22nd of Aug 2022 at 10:03 am

not sure what you are asking - here's an image of the KISS charts with the cycles and ATR's etc - we'll probably see a cycle support show up sometime on the 130 min and 1/2 day but not yet.  ATR was lost last week on the 60 min and 130 min, and this morning lost on the 1/2 day. Still holding on the daily, getting close at 4130 approx

"ATR was lost last week

Posted by DigiNomad on 22nd of Aug 2022 at 10:08 am

"ATR was lost last week on the 60 min and 130 min, and this morning lost on the 1/2 day. Still holding on the daily"  - answered my question. That's what I thought but wasn't sure. Thanks! 

Trying to hold the S2

Posted by flredsox on 26th of Jul 2022 at 12:15 pm

Trying to hold the S2 Pivot, seems like a cat hanging on to the edge of a pool

Steve, agree completely. Just thinking

Posted by DigiNomad on 1st of Jul 2022 at 01:35 pm

Steve, agree completely. Just thinking that maybe SMH good for a short term trade since the ribbons are so wide on most time frames and we are sitting on major support (very very slightly below). Looking for an entry with a stop at today's lows. 

Just hoping you caught those

Posted by steve on 1st of Jul 2022 at 01:41 pm

Just hoping you caught those AMD and NVDA shorts 

yeah and I covered them

Posted by matt on 1st of Jul 2022 at 01:52 pm

yeah and I covered them again last night

why would the VIX not

Posted by Walt on 5th of May 2022 at 04:02 pm

why would the VIX not have reached 38-39 on a day like this?

Probably because of what Steve

Posted by rfa300 on 5th of May 2022 at 04:06 pm

Probably because of what Steve posted earlier. See below

maybe meaning a lot of

Posted by kevindeng0727 on 5th of May 2022 at 04:03 pm

maybe meaning a lot of room for it to run higher?

Thanks, Matt -- appreciate it.

Posted by mstaples37 on 25th of Oct 2021 at 05:05 pm

Thanks, Matt -- appreciate it.  Looking forward to seeing those things you've been working on!

Steve,  how does one access

Posted by bharvey96 on 30th of Sep 2020 at 01:35 pm

Steve,  how does one access the "Ciovacco Historical Perspective Charts?"  I would imagine you need to be a client?

He puts out a weekly

Posted by steve on 30th of Sep 2020 at 01:41 pm

He puts out a weekly video via Twitter on Friday Night

Hi Matt/steve, is today highly

Posted by kevindeng0727 on 16th of Jun 2020 at 09:18 am

Hi Matt/steve, is today highly likely to be a trend day?

3/16 ES Levels Mar Contract (ESH25)

Posted by steve on 5th of Sep 2022 at 10:46 am

Upside:                  5653/58 5667 5675/80 5702/07    5717/25  5750
Downside:           5608/02 5597/92 5582/72

Feb 20:  Wyckoff target activated 5673 (can be negated if price switches to frontside)

No major Bottom unless Bulls reclaim level by level 5838/842, 5878 & Breakout down zone 5918/927 & 5960.

ES 20 plus points from

Posted by steve on 17th of Mar 2025 at 03:55 pm

ES 20 plus points from the highlighted strong zone 

Note:  The above levels are

Posted by steve on 17th of Mar 2025 at 10:08 am

Note:  The above levels are for March ES - March is still the front Month but tomorrow June becomes the front Month and March expires on Friday.

Nice pop up on ES

Posted by steve on 17th of Mar 2025 at 10:04 am

Nice pop up on ES clearing a few zones in route to 5677 spike mentioned on weekend (5675-80 zone)

ES came down to support,

Posted by steve on 17th of Mar 2025 at 07:36 am

ES came down to support, slipped below initial zone, then reclaimed and rallied back up to reach first target zone

Thanks for highlighting the important

Posted by arun on 14th of Mar 2025 at 09:15 am

Thanks for highlighting the important levels steve.
do you notice any change in structure? I see that ES came out of channel on 60 min

Personally, as stated last night,

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 09:28 am

Personally, as stated last night, not interested in shorting (chasing down) but in order for stocks and index to go up they must first take out prior day range correct?  Anyway, I gave the reclaim level (5558) multiple times yesterday and led to a $30 move overnight.   Bulls want to reclaim breakdown zone (5596/98) and if accepts can move up further to upside targets with Main above 5700 (5703-5221)

3/14  Personally, as stated last

Posted by steve on 17th of Mar 2025 at 02:18 pm

3/14  Personally, as stated last night, not interested in shorting (chasing down) but in order for stocks and index to go up they must first take out prior day range correct?  Anyway, I gave the reclaim level (5558) multiple times yesterday and led to a $30 move overnight.   Bulls want to reclaim breakdown zone (5596/98) and if accepts can move up further to upside targets with Main above 5700 (5703-5721)

Plan working on ES - coming up on the first main zone to test (breakdown area).  These are zones to watch for possible fades (shorts)

Bulls want to reclaim breakdown

Posted by steve on 17th of Mar 2025 at 04:03 pm

Bulls want to reclaim breakdown zone (5596/98) and if accepts can move up further to upside targets with Main above 5700 (5703-5721)

Plan working on ES - coming up on the first main zone to test (breakdown area).  These are zones to watch for possible fades (shorts)

ES 30+ points fade from highlighed zone 5707 high today

Reclaim of 5596/98 led to

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 11:49 am

Reclaim of 5596/98 led to another 35 point move 

Steve would it be an

Posted by DK on 14th of Mar 2025 at 10:27 am

Steve would it be an objective potential buy if ES comes down to test the 5558 reclaim level?

Bounced off 5569 for a

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 10:34 am

Bounced off 5569 for a trade - but weaker if tested again

Notice on SPX 5 minute

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 10:36 am

Notice on SPX 5 minute (3 waves up thus far) bulls want to hold gap and push and not fail and overlap

Nice pop on ES up

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 11:00 am

Nice pop on ES up to next zone (now trim and trail)

ES reclaimed 5558 and ran

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 09:09 am

ES reclaimed 5558 and ran $30 overnight.  Consumer confidence (U of Michigan) on deck

ES needs to hold 5525/37

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 03:11 pm

ES needs to hold 5525/37 for Upside probes to continue

Another test lower overnight. bulls

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 05:41 am

Another test lower overnight. bulls need to hold and react off 5558 for upside 

Keeping it simple, ES lost

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 01:27 pm

Keeping it simple, ES lost 5558 (after multiple tests) and then backtested from underneath and failed pushing prices lower.  Bulls need to reclaim 5543 and 5558/63 or expect bears to remain in control 

Keeping it simple, ES lost

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 03:06 pm

Keeping it simple, ES lost 5558 (after multiple tests) and then backtested from underneath and failed pushing prices lower.  Bulls need to reclaim 5543 and 5558/63 or expect bears to remain in control

ES rejected that zone again 

was  also resistance right on

Posted by matt on 13th of Mar 2025 at 03:08 pm

was  also resistance right on that 5 min chart I had posted, that horizontal level has been important resistance and support on the cash

Nice view on SPX Matt

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 03:21 pm

Nice view on SPX Matt - also notice VWAP right at that area 

ES has a wick around

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 02:10 pm

ES has a wick around 5545 if it can sustain bounce for awhile

Wick target achieved and now

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 02:34 pm

Wick target achieved and now onto next zone

For those who missed overnight

Posted by steve on 13th of Mar 2025 at 10:11 am

For those who missed overnight comments (was up around 2 am), ES 5558 key support zone (bounced off that area overnight) and then just tested again.  

energy is building...

Posted by shellson2 on 13th of Mar 2025 at 11:06 am

energy is building...

Note: The main backtest on

Posted by steve on 11th of Mar 2025 at 02:55 pm

Note: The main backtest on ES is above 5700 

Overnight lows on ES were

Posted by steve on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:00 am

Overnight lows on ES were around 5560 and now testing again - bulls will need to respond or expect lower testing levels 

Quick rebound off that level

Posted by steve on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:09 am

Quick rebound off that level posted (5560) but these are extremely tough conditions to navigate 

ES from support (5560) to

Posted by steve on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:16 am

ES from support (5560) to initial target zone 5600s - trim and trail.  NQ stronger today.  I have some projects that I must address so will be back later. 

With all this emotion out

Posted by srusso1 on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:31 am

With all this emotion out there, maybe Matt's moon phase chart is in order.

How fitting! With Matt's reference

Posted by keyhole7 on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:34 am

How fitting! With Matt's reference to the market being "Bloody",  The Blood Moon will be here in 2 days. 

The blood moon, or total lunar eclipse, will occur overnight on March 13 and into the early morning of March 14, 2025. The totality phase, when the moon appears red, will last approximately 65 minutes.

nice got in an out   

Posted by srusso1 on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:10 am

nice got in an out   

SPY might be trying to

Posted by srusso1 on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:12 am

SPY might be trying to bottom?

TY Steve

Posted by shellson2 on 11th of Mar 2025 at 11:04 am

TY Steve

ES retest of prior 5558

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 09:23 pm

ES retest of prior 5558 held and bouncing - very fluid here.  

+50

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 10:22 pm

+50

ES just tagged initial target

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 08:54 pm

ES just tagged initial target updated after hours 

ES down into some decent

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 11:01 am

ES down into some decent support around 5648/42 for today and losing 5638 takes it down another zone with stronger support down around 5582/5535

ES down into some decent

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 02:24 pm

ES down into some decent support around 5648/42 for today and losing 5638 takes it down another zone with stronger support down around 5582/5535 (Prior Post)

Lost this support zone and working lower as stated - larger support zones 5582/35 with 5568/55 in the middle over the next few days 

Bulls will need to recover that support zone 5640s to get any upside squeeze attempt - must reclaim and hold and build above and then 5673 (remember that level).   Have repeatedly stated the Bears have control 

Big bounce off the highlighted

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 03:28 pm

Big bounce off the highlighted Stronger Zone on ES - well in advance 

ES targeted those equal highs

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 03:38 pm

ES targeted those equal highs around 5630 and they were taken then tested resistance posted 5640s

Bounced from highlighted support -

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 11:35 am

Bounced from highlighted support - there is a wick above around 5685 topside and 5652 below

ES 5652 wick tagged 

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 12:01 pm

ES 5652 wick tagged 

ES lost support 5720 (main)

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2025 at 10:30 am

ES lost support 5720 (main) overnight and has been working lower after failing initial bounce attempt earlier today. 

Today's low on ES?  

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 04:08 pm

Today's low on ES?     

Steve, What do you mean

Posted by kevinkim9600 on 8th of Mar 2025 at 10:31 am

Steve, What do you mean by this emoji?  Not so good with these, LOL...not a good low and retest?  thanks

Kevin - 5673 was a

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2025 at 11:56 am

Kevin - 5673 was a longstanding target to be reached on ES as one can clearly see in the sticky post above - the target was 5673 and yesterday's low was 5673.  Also read below that all the various resistance zone the bulls must reclaim to even consider new highs. After reaching 5673, bulls now have an opportunity for some upside so let's see how they perform. 

ES 5747 wick tagged and

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 12:59 pm

ES 5747 wick tagged and smackdown - traded like an algo

ES now squeezing - 5758

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 01:06 pm

ES now squeezing - 5758 5764 5774/77 clears more upside 

ES zone 5686/78 minor and

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 11:43 am

ES zone 5686/78 minor and main at 5666/56

ES has a gap in

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 11:42 am

ES has a gap in September (5675-41?) that I just noticed

Perfect rejection off 5747 for

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 11:20 am

Perfect rejection off 5747 for 40 points - now time to drain liquidity

ES 5706/5696 strong zone produced

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 11:00 am

ES 5706/5696 strong zone produced a nice bounce 

Trump speaking at 11:00 EST

ES rejected 5777 for a

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 10:00 am

ES rejected 5777 for a quick 30 point drop - quite a few Fed Speakers this morning and then JP at 12:30 EST

Short term ES left a

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 08:57 am

Short term ES left a wick on the NFP below at 5736 losing 5750 may target - this is very fluid and avoid unless able to adjust.  Simply sharing levels.  

One must ADAPT to the current market - this is NOT last year where one just bought momentum and made money (many just lucky as they really had no methodology or plan nor did they take time to research fundamentally the crap they were purchasing)

ES 5736 achieved - done

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2025 at 09:00 am

ES 5736 achieved - done for now

ES 5720 held and moving

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 02:53 pm

ES 5720 held and moving up towards VWAP - tagged 5768 target 

Decent bounce off 5729

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 01:20 pm

Decent bounce off 5729

If this zone is lost

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 12:07 pm

If this zone is lost on ES - could lead to a flush down

ES 5918/23 (strong zone) rejected

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 10:55 am

ES 5918/23 (strong zone) rejected for 20+ points

ES has a wick on

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 11:27 am

ES has a wick on 5 minute near 5794 and 5987 if we see any downside pressure 

Acheived - done for today

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 11:40 am

Acheived - done for today (will revisit during last hour)..will keep runners for downside after strong rejection for potential new lows 

Quick (beyond rapid) rebound from

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 11:38 am

Quick (beyond rapid) rebound from that area - too many tape bombs to keep abreast - have some projects to attend so best wishes

ES just swiped those 5

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 03:52 pm

ES just swiped those 5 minute wicks - now let's see if they can bounce 

Taking a trim and trailing

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 03:52 pm

Taking a trim and trailing stops 

Selling more 5859 and now

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 03:55 pm

Selling more 5859 and now let's see if they have anyting left in the tank

ES 5964.50 is market clearing

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 02:14 pm

ES 5964.50 is market clearing price of recent range (50%) which is a magnet as long as price holds above 5798

ES left a downside wick

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 09:29 am

ES left a downside wick around 5769 (see 30 minute chart) as potential target to swipe IF 5881 support is lost

Here comes ES to that

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 09:57 am

Here comes ES to that wick

NQ was the one that

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 09:47 am

NQ was the one that swiped its overnight wick

ES backtesting the breakdown zone

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 03:26 pm

ES backtesting the breakdown zone from yesterday

Quick drop on ES and

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 03:32 pm

Quick drop on ES and NQ off that backtest zone 

Quick rejection from 5804/12 back

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 01:12 pm

Quick rejection from 5804/12 back down to 5881 then bounce back up towards 5818/24

Moved up towards yesterday's low

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 01:18 pm

Moved up towards yesterday's low

A good 60 point bounce

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 12:54 pm

A good 60 point bounce on ES from 5748 

ES

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 10:39 am

5748 tagged and bounced 

ES remaining below 5838/42 keeps

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 10:42 am

ES remaining below 5838/42 keeps downside pressure intact with 5705/5650 larger zone target in coming days (lines up with Wyckoff target in place for last two weeks).  Bears remain in full control with level to level trading with 5858 being key level and then backtest strong zone 5875/83.

ES rejected 5838/42 multiple times

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2025 at 07:59 am

ES rejected 5838/42 multiple times overnight with the most recent drop taking ES back to 5797 (initial support).  Level to level trading with bears retaining control below major levels 5842 and 5875/83

As posted Bears retain control

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 07:42 am

As posted Bears retain control below 5875/83  and overnight lost 5849 support and continued lower slicing levels with next at 5774 and lower side likely after breaking 5797 key support posted yesterday.  Bull need to reclaim 5798 and build above 

ES reclaim 5798 and pop

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2025 at 10:40 am

ES reclaim 5798 and pop 20 points (initially found support near recent lows)

ES rejected 5881 overnight and

Posted by steve on 4th of Mar 2025 at 07:36 am

ES rejected 5881 overnight and fell 40 points

What has just transpired in

Posted by steve on 28th of Feb 2025 at 02:52 pm

What has just transpired in ES/SPX is a core setup I trade (failed breakdown and recovery of lost pivot) We lost 5856 (on news) and then recovered and now +35 on that reclaim.

ES 5923 and 5941/45 upside

Posted by steve on 28th of Feb 2025 at 10:32 am

ES 5923 and 5941/45 upside larger targets with 5912 prior then 5970/75

Achieved and then some on

Posted by steve on 1st of Mar 2025 at 05:50 am

Achieved and then some on the FBD setup

ES popped up to 5899

Posted by steve on 28th of Feb 2025 at 10:16 am

ES popped up to 5899 and faded upon first test - too quick to post today so will be focusing on select issues in my plan

ES swiped overnight lows and

Posted by steve on 28th of Feb 2025 at 09:39 am

ES swiped overnight lows and quick bounce - just a trade setup I've discussed 

ES underlined strong zone to

Posted by steve on 27th of Feb 2025 at 03:35 pm

ES underlined strong zone to get a squeeze (bounce) bulls need to reclaim 5924 

Tremendous move lower after rejecting

Posted by steve on 27th of Feb 2025 at 02:37 pm

Tremendous move lower after rejecting backtest zone 5988/94

ES 5988 smackdown  Okay I have

Posted by steve on 27th of Feb 2025 at 11:27 am

ES 5988 smackdown 

Okay I have a conference call so will be away for next hour plus

ES rejected 5987/94 zone -

Posted by steve on 27th of Feb 2025 at 10:57 am

ES rejected 5987/94 zone - new lows still possible if 5951/45 lost

Some positive divergence on the

Posted by steve on 27th of Feb 2025 at 11:02 am

Some positive divergence on the 60 minute ES/NQ last candle (not the strongest candle) - bulls want to hold 5951/45

Bounced off 5945

Posted by steve on 27th of Feb 2025 at 12:30 pm

Bounced off 5945

ES rejected 6010 on that

Posted by steve on 27th of Feb 2025 at 08:56 am

ES rejected 6010 on that news 

One must adjust when price

Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2025 at 01:14 pm

One must adjust when price shifts to the backside - SELL RALLIES until structure changes.  

ES rejected short zone 6019/24

Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2025 at 12:59 pm

ES rejected short zone 6019/24

ES doji low candle at

Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2025 at 12:57 pm

ES doji low candle at 5980 (magnet to get swept)

ES hit 6004 and rejected

Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2025 at 09:08 am

ES hit 6004 and rejected down to initial support zone and then bounced some 

ES 20+ point bounce off

Posted by steve on 25th of Feb 2025 at 02:43 pm

ES 20+ point bounce off 5960

ES swept old lows and

Posted by steve on 25th of Feb 2025 at 10:53 am

ES swept old lows and bounced from zone 27 points

ES getting a bounce attempt

Posted by steve on 25th of Feb 2025 at 10:35 am

ES getting a bounce attempt from 5934/27 zone

ES bulls want to hold

Posted by steve on 24th of Feb 2025 at 02:42 pm

ES bulls want to hold 6026 

ES 20 points since losing

Posted by steve on 24th of Feb 2025 at 03:54 pm

ES 20 points since losing key support posted 

There she blows - trim

Posted by steve on 24th of Feb 2025 at 03:03 pm

There she blows - trim and trail 

Still an 18 point differential

Posted by mastermind on 24th of Feb 2025 at 02:47 pm

Still an 18 point differential from SPX? I thought they were coming into parity. 

ES vs SPX

Posted by steve on 24th of Feb 2025 at 02:59 pm

Down to 15/16 pts now - the difference will  continue to unwind lower as March contract moves toward expiration 

ES main zone at 6104/6096

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2025 at 01:51 pm

ES main zone at 6104/6096 failed and will need to recover for upside. 

Short term bulls need to reclaim 6062/65 to get some traction 

ES main zone at 6104/6096

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2025 at 02:20 pm

ES main zone at 6104/6096 failed and will need to recover for upside. 

Short term bulls need to reclaim 6062/65 to get some traction

READ CLOSELY 

Decent bounce off 6042

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2025 at 01:38 pm

Decent bounce off 6042

ES larger support zone 6074/68

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2025 at 12:36 pm

ES larger support zone 6074/68 and 6062 (that area) - onus on bulls

ES broke down around 6142/45

Posted by steve on 20th of Feb 2025 at 02:49 pm

ES broke down around 6142/45 - backtest target if it wants

6140 lol

Posted by steve on 20th of Feb 2025 at 04:01 pm

6140 lol

ES decent bounce off support

Posted by steve on 18th of Feb 2025 at 02:55 pm

ES decent bounce off support zone 6120  with next big  hurdle above around 6143 

Achieved

Posted by steve on 18th of Feb 2025 at 03:58 pm

Achieved

ES reached 6143 overnight 

Posted by steve on 17th of Feb 2025 at 10:21 am

ES reached 6143 overnight 

ES reached 6143

Posted by steve on 14th of Feb 2025 at 04:33 am

ES reached 6143

Keeping it simple bulls want

Posted by steve on 12th of Feb 2025 at 12:38 pm

Keeping it simple bulls want to hold today's lows on ES 6020

ES moved up to 6058

Posted by steve on 12th of Feb 2025 at 10:37 am

ES moved up to 6058 upon initial bounce then held support zone 6036/26 and moved back up again 

ES did get a slight

Posted by steve on 4th of Feb 2025 at 10:55 am

ES did get a slight reaction at 6058 but bulls have the ball with support zones below 6047/43 and 6034.  Stronger zones above are 6083/87 and 6094 if 6065/72 is cleared and ATH still possible key support areas holding.  Level to level for now 

ES overnight high 6069 

Posted by steve on 4th of Feb 2025 at 06:54 am

ES overnight high 6069 

One observation to keep in

Posted by steve on 3rd of Feb 2025 at 02:40 pm

One observation to keep in mind - ES left equal lows around 6004 (potential magnet to get swiped) in case of weakness (tweets)

One observation to keep in

Posted by steve on 4th of Feb 2025 at 08:26 am

One observation to keep in mind - ES left equal lows around 6004 (potential magnet to get swiped) in case of weakness (tweets)

They did sweep those equal lows overnight and bounced off 5988 zone 

Clawing back that overnight gap 

Posted by steve on 3rd of Feb 2025 at 02:17 pm

Clawing back that overnight gap 

ES swept overnight highs then

Posted by steve on 3rd of Feb 2025 at 09:57 am

ES swept overnight highs then retraced - algos doing algo stuff

Data at 10 

ES  found support near 5934

Posted by steve on 3rd of Feb 2025 at 07:21 am

ES  found support near 5934 zone and bounced from 5935 overnight 

ES technically lost support at

Posted by steve on 2nd of Feb 2025 at 12:26 pm

ES technically lost support at 6127 on the 2nd test as the tape bombs provided a catalyst for a strong sell - ES was unable to reclaim any levels on the selloff on Friday keeping us on the defensive.  We have to trade the hand we are dealt. 

Huge rejection from 6041/48 zone

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2025 at 03:32 pm

Huge rejection from 6041/48 zone (on tape bomb) and down to lower zones 6660/50 (watch for any reaction)

ES nearly a 20 point

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2025 at 01:01 pm

ES nearly a 20 point bounce off support - sorry been answering questions on Pepper inquiries 

is there a replay available

Posted by Glad on 31st of Jan 2025 at 01:03 pm

is there a replay available on pepper ??

First test of ES 6130

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2025 at 09:16 am

First test of ES 6130 getting a response (pullback) 

The rare open gap that

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2025 at 08:12 am

The rare open gap that occurred on Sunday night ES futures  at 6127 has been filled.  PCE report up next.

NQ has yet to fill

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2025 at 08:54 am

NQ has yet to fill its open gap

ES 6128 reached 

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2025 at 05:03 am

ES 6128 reached 

ES held 6042 - big

Posted by steve on 29th of Jan 2025 at 02:42 pm

ES held 6042 - big bounce on JP talk

This last zone on ES

Posted by steve on 28th of Jan 2025 at 03:37 pm

This last zone on ES is a short zone for me 6105/14 - take partials and trail with 0DTE shenanigans

Nice way to close out

Posted by steve on 28th of Jan 2025 at 04:02 pm

Nice way to close out the day - also played some puts 

Trimmed +8 

Posted by steve on 28th of Jan 2025 at 03:50 pm

Trimmed +8 

Nearly a 50 point ripperthus

Posted by steve on 28th of Jan 2025 at 10:35 am

Nearly a 50 point ripperthus far on ES from Demand - now manage any runners

ES reached 6072 overnight then

Posted by steve on 28th of Jan 2025 at 08:35 am

ES reached 6072 overnight then faded some

ES rejected 6047/55 zone and

Posted by steve on 27th of Jan 2025 at 11:40 am

ES rejected 6047/55 zone and took the wick at 6017 - NVDA and Semis in particular and with Utes (tied to powering AI)  weighing on market.  Very fluid and my style is to lock down gains until evidence changes.  Nothing easy as market attempts to digest this news - likley good for SAAS startups who could bulid/lever off that platform. 

ES met overnight lows -

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 01:04 pm

ES met overnight lows - realistic target (always take note of highs and lows)

Here comes some Rain -

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 12:56 pm

Here comes some Rain - ES 6140 achieved with 6135 or less next level

6135 achieved - backtest area.

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 01:15 pm

6135 achieved - backtest area.  Bulls want to reclaim 6143 now to resume up direct 

Failed to reclaim 6143 and

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 02:07 pm

Failed to reclaim 6143 and flushed to next zone - hopefully my words earlier helped you avoid FOMO

Take this opportunity to prune

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 01:00 pm

Take this opportunity to prune garbage stocks and look for true value 

Take this opportunity to prune

Posted by steve on 27th of Jan 2025 at 01:06 pm

Take this opportunity to prune garbage stocks and look for true value - Friday post 

That post aged well - my heavens carnage of the junk and overhyped 

ES tags first target zone

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 10:40 am

ES tags first target zone on our fade 

Thus far ES rejected 6061-67

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 09:55 am

Thus far ES rejected 6061-67 zone (no interest personally in chasing here)

Spot on - trail down

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 10:15 am

Spot on - trail down if you faded 

Close enough here to first

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2025 at 10:22 am

Close enough here to first target range below (trim some)

ES moved up into secondary

Posted by steve on 22nd of Jan 2025 at 07:14 am

ES moved up into secondary zone overnight largely on tech momentum 

ES 6033 gave a quick

Posted by steve on 17th of Jan 2025 at 11:30 am

ES 6033 gave a quick drop of 20 points (NQ much more and my target for a fade) and then ES held support and now testing next zone.   For further downside, bears would need to lose 6004

Playing that zone 6048 for

Posted by steve on 17th of Jan 2025 at 11:34 am

Playing that zone 6048 for a fade on ES - right on cue 

Have been on a conference

Posted by steve on 15th of Jan 2025 at 01:29 pm

Have been on a conference call for more than an hour but ES acting well here holding today's gains

Quick note:  Key zones above

Posted by steve on 15th of Jan 2025 at 10:27 am

Quick note:  Key zones above 5992/96 and 6004/08 likely to see a reaction - watch for trade shorts for temporary pullback.  

Above 6008 (accepting) or holding 5927/07 and main support 5875/45 on pullback would support the Wave 4 thesis and then work our way up to new highs in Wave 5

Spot on with 5992 reaction

Posted by steve on 15th of Jan 2025 at 10:52 am

Spot on with 5992 reaction now trim and trail after nearly 20 points 

Thus far some reaction near

Posted by steve on 15th of Jan 2025 at 10:28 am

Thus far some reaction near 5992 on ES but nothing strong as yet

ES 5992 has now given

Posted by steve on 15th of Jan 2025 at 10:37 am

ES 5992 has now given 15+ points - trail down stops (support 5976)

ES bounced off initial support

Posted by steve on 15th of Jan 2025 at 10:02 am

ES bounced off initial support zone at 5953 with above zones 5982/85 then 5992/96 and 6004/08

Back at the office -

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 03:50 pm

Back at the office - wild day (good for day traders) and ES managed to hold 5850/45 zone again

To summarize - we saw

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 01:24 pm

To summarize - we saw SPY/QQQ move up into DAILY SUPPLY early on today then fade.    If you look at ES you will see that 5918 was the breakdown level from Friday and noted resistance zone today which rejected for 75+ points down to highlighted support at 5845 and now a 30+ point bounce back to the initial zone above 5878/82 trail up stops on runners.  Bulls held the line at ES 5845 posted several times today.  

Thus far ES holding that

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 12:29 pm

Thus far ES holding that zone 5845 - continue to monitor.  Bulls want to reclaim 5866 

Nice bounce on ES -

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 12:43 pm

Nice bounce on ES - bulls want to reclaim 5866

Thank You Steve for the

Posted by rahemphill2 on 14th of Jan 2025 at 12:58 pm

Thank You Steve for the comments.   That was a beautiful call.   Just wanted to pass on the thank you.  

You're welcome - nice day

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 01:04 pm

You're welcome - nice day today catching the 75+ point decline and now a nice bounce off strong support level noted several times 5845.  Lock down some gains here with CPI tomorrow - trail up stops if you have a runner.   Damn nice day 

ES bouncing off 5845

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 12:07 pm

ES bouncing off 5845

ES +50 pts now on

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 01:58 pm

ES +50 pts now on runners 

Thanks for calling out all

Posted by keyhole7 on 14th of Jan 2025 at 02:01 pm

Thanks for calling out all the ES levels today Steve. Excellent Job!

YW Keyhole -  thanks for

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 04:21 pm

YW Keyhole -  thanks for the feedback

ES pop on lower PPI

Posted by steve on 14th of Jan 2025 at 08:43 am

ES pop on lower PPI right into backtest resistance zone 5919 (initial test) and quick pullback from that zone

ES now bouncing off 5850/46

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 11:41 am

ES now bouncing off 5850/46 zone

ES

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 12:36 pm

Another nice bounce trade off cited zone - 5865 is target area achieved next above would be 5875/83 and 5896/5904

Also have some positive divergence

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 12:38 pm

Also have some positive divergence on my 60 minute NQ/QQQ but want to see it stick on the hourly close (22 minutes)

That pos divergence held and

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 01:34 pm

That pos divergence held and you can see the reaction following 

Nice along with the VIX

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 01:24 pm

Nice along with the VIX smashdown

ES 5855 testing (watch for

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 10:14 am

ES 5855 testing (watch for possible bounce) and below 5842/37

Nice bounce off 5855 (protect)

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 10:19 am

Nice bounce off 5855 (protect)

Very nice bounce - clear

Posted by steve on 10th of Jan 2025 at 10:37 am

Very nice bounce - clear instructions and now protect

CIEN is moving 

Posted by srusso1 on 10th of Jan 2025 at 10:23 am

CIEN is moving 

ES

Posted by steve on 8th of Jan 2025 at 03:45 pm

Bulls holding above 5928 is short term constructive

Range break and squeeze higher

Posted by steve on 8th of Jan 2025 at 02:28 pm

Range break and squeeze higher

ES bounced right off 5918

Posted by steve on 8th of Jan 2025 at 01:12 pm

ES bounced right off 5918 (near lower end of the Iron Condor on SPX)

ES Rejected 5965 - trading

Posted by steve on 8th of Jan 2025 at 12:09 pm

ES Rejected 5965 - trading in a range today 5925-65

ES 5974 down to 5927

Posted by steve on 8th of Jan 2025 at 08:26 am

ES 5974 down to 5927 and now bouncing on  FED Wallers comments

ES 5942/38 big zone

Posted by steve on 7th of Jan 2025 at 03:23 pm

ES 5942/38 big zone

yep Steve big level also

Posted by matt on 7th of Jan 2025 at 03:25 pm

yep Steve big level also right around that 61.8% Fib retracement 

ES 5988 zone above is

Posted by steve on 7th of Jan 2025 at 01:42 pm

ES 5988 zone above is tough (bulls need to reclaim for starters and then also 6004 needs to be recovered)

ES 6004 rejected

Posted by steve on 7th of Jan 2025 at 11:59 am

ES 6004 rejected

Yesterday, ES moved up near

Posted by steve on 7th of Jan 2025 at 08:15 am

Yesterday, ES moved up near the strong zone posted and then reversed lower by 60+ points down to 6005 and then bounced back up to 6033 overnight.  

ES moved up to the

Posted by steve on 6th of Jan 2025 at 12:43 pm

ES moved up to the strong zone posted near 6070 and rejected for 20 pts thus far 

Now 50 pts 

Posted by steve on 6th of Jan 2025 at 02:10 pm

Now 50 pts 

Posted by mla127 on 6th of Jan 2025 at 12:51 pm

LOL - you might want

Posted by steve on 6th of Jan 2025 at 12:53 pm

LOL - you might want to send that up to Canuck land 

ES moved up to next

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2025 at 06:54 am

ES moved up to next zone overnight and then stalled

Bulls need to reclaim 5917/23

Posted by steve on 2nd of Jan 2025 at 02:41 pm

Bulls need to reclaim 5917/23 to squeeze 

Bulls need to reclaim 5917/23

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2025 at 02:33 pm

Bulls need to reclaim 5917/23 to squeeze

FBD - non stops since reclaim now protect with trailing stops 

Decent move after reclaiming and

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2025 at 10:45 am

Decent move after reclaiming and holding 

ES tags 5885/83 and just

Posted by steve on 2nd of Jan 2025 at 12:51 pm

ES tags 5885/83 and just below next zone around 75/68 - these are simply support zones 

Next demand zone on ES 5880 and below 

ES 5922 bounce - bulls

Posted by steve on 31st of Dec 2024 at 12:55 pm

ES 5922 bounce - bulls need to reclaim 5945/50 to squeeze 

ES acceptance above 5950 zone

Posted by steve on 2nd of Jan 2025 at 07:00 am

ES acceptance above 5950 zone (key reclaim level posted) and nice squeeze as posted

Prior to acceptance ES tagged main support zone 5913

ES 5945/50 remains hurdle for

Posted by steve on 31st of Dec 2024 at 04:08 pm

ES 5945/50 remains hurdle for Bulls

ES rejected multiple times around

Posted by steve on 31st of Dec 2024 at 11:06 am

ES rejected multiple times around 5980 and now just lost 5962 - very thin and fast action with so many traders idle.  ES 5941 a magnet below

ES 5993 rejected and quick

Posted by steve on 30th of Dec 2024 at 01:25 pm

ES 5993 rejected and quick pullback

Overnight ES rejected 6036 and

Posted by steve on 30th of Dec 2024 at 08:53 am

Overnight ES rejected 6036 and then fought hard to reclaim 6026 but failed and started to drift lower.   Then it lost shelf support around 6005 and accelerated lower.  Key support zone 5942/35 and 5922

ES 6022/27 first hurdle (stalling

Posted by steve on 27th of Dec 2024 at 02:23 pm

ES 6022/27 first hurdle (stalling somewhat here)

ES today's low and 6040

Posted by steve on 27th of Dec 2024 at 02:08 pm

ES today's low and 6040 new range I'm watching 

ES lost 6060 and moved

Posted by steve on 27th of Dec 2024 at 10:59 am

ES lost 6060 and moved quickly lower to 6006/5993 zones 

ES tagged 6064 with VIX

Posted by steve on 26th of Dec 2024 at 10:07 am

ES tagged 6064 with VIX ramp from DZ

ES bouncing off initial support

Posted by steve on 23rd of Dec 2024 at 09:31 am

ES bouncing off initial support - now watch 6010ish resistance 

ES bounced right off my

Posted by steve on 20th of Dec 2024 at 04:01 pm

ES bounced right off my 5987/90 zone (to the tick)

6025 is a magnet for

Posted by steve on 20th of Dec 2024 at 11:09 am

6025 is a magnet for ES - no idea if it reaches today LOL

Magnet reached wowsa 

Posted by steve on 20th of Dec 2024 at 11:38 am

Magnet reached wowsa 

"6025 is a magnet for

Posted by steve on 20th of Dec 2024 at 11:33 am

"6025 is a magnet for ES - no idea if it reaches today LOL"

Trailing tight now on ES as it nears 6025 (highest for today just above zone)

5962/56 tagged

Posted by steve on 19th of Dec 2024 at 10:08 am

5962/56 tagged

Below that range (5962/56) is

Posted by steve on 19th of Dec 2024 at 10:37 am

Below that range (5962/56) is 5945 and not good below that level

ES 5945 next 

Posted by steve on 19th of Dec 2024 at 12:30 pm

ES 5945 next 

ES

Posted by steve on 19th of Dec 2024 at 01:26 pm

Tagged 5945 and bounced on ES while I was assisting wife 

ES rejected first zone -

Posted by steve on 19th of Dec 2024 at 09:38 am

ES rejected first zone - nice quick trade - expect quick moves today 

ES bounced 5906 zone -

Posted by steve on 18th of Dec 2024 at 04:54 pm

ES bounced 5906 zone - possible retrace upward could even reach 75/100 pts but watch the updated zones 

ES 70+ points off the

Posted by steve on 19th of Dec 2024 at 07:33 am

ES 70+ points off the lows thus far 

ES rejects 6145/49 zone -

Posted by steve on 18th of Dec 2024 at 11:14 am

ES rejects 6145/49 zone - I've been looking to short ALL pops the past 3 days and will continue into FOMC 

Short the pops theme this

Posted by steve on 18th of Dec 2024 at 02:51 pm

Short the pops theme this week 

yep plus as I commented

Posted by matt on 18th of Dec 2024 at 11:24 am

yep plus as I commented below after filling the gap, I said price was likely to pullback and not continue to rally all morning into the FOMC

SPX also stalled  exactly at the R2 pivot, otherwise now watch that new demand zone

ES rejected 6133/39 

Posted by steve on 17th of Dec 2024 at 10:03 am

ES rejected 6133/39 

NOTE: ES has now rolled

Posted by steve on 17th of Dec 2024 at 08:19 am

NOTE: ES has now rolled from December (ESZ2024) to March (ESH2025). All levels are now March and will be going forward. December expires at the end of the week.

ES failed 6053 moved down

Posted by steve on 13th of Dec 2024 at 12:19 pm

ES failed 6053 moved down 10 points then failed at zone above 6060 - bulls need to reclaim to get any traction.  Remain defensive on the indexes until that time.

Overnight ES 6060 was reclaimed

Posted by steve on 16th of Dec 2024 at 09:14 am

Overnight ES 6060 was reclaimed for a 15+ move BUT strong zones overhead and be on watch for reversals (6075 and 6084/92) 

Repost 

Posted by steve on 13th of Dec 2024 at 12:59 pm

Repost 

ES 6060 (Brick Wall Today)

Posted by steve on 13th of Dec 2024 at 04:11 pm

ES 6060 (Brick Wall Today)

6084 reached on ES -

Posted by steve on 13th of Dec 2024 at 08:21 am

6084 reached on ES - updated levels above

ES did get a bounce

Posted by steve on 12th of Dec 2024 at 04:29 pm

ES did get a bounce from the 6060/53 zone

ES nice bounce off 6068

Posted by steve on 12th of Dec 2024 at 10:40 am

ES nice bounce off 6068 - they are equal highs around 6088ish 

ES 6043/35 zone 

Posted by steve on 10th of Dec 2024 at 03:34 pm

ES 6043/35 zone 

Thanks Steve for the timely

Posted by lnelson214 on 10th of Dec 2024 at 04:14 pm

Thanks Steve for the timely reminder.

ES tagged 6053 and bounced

Posted by steve on 10th of Dec 2024 at 02:22 pm

ES tagged 6053 and bounced (needs to reclaim 6063 to move up direct)

ES bounced from initial support

Posted by steve on 5th of Dec 2024 at 11:25 am

ES bounced from initial support zone

ES is testing initial zone

Posted by steve on 4th of Dec 2024 at 02:36 pm

ES is testing initial zone again (weaker now after dropping on first test) - stronger zone 6104/18

ES approaching next zone 

Posted by steve on 4th of Dec 2024 at 03:40 pm

ES approaching next zone 

Prior high at 6053 should

Posted by steve on 29th of Nov 2024 at 11:33 am

Prior high at 6053 should continue to act as draw to that price...trail up stops in accordance with your plan

ES bounced off the 5975

Posted by steve on 26th of Nov 2024 at 08:38 am

ES bounced off the 5975 zone overnight 

ES loses 6002 likely to

Posted by steve on 25th of Nov 2024 at 11:37 am

ES loses 6002 likely to fill today's gap

Big gainer now guys -

Posted by steve on 25th of Nov 2024 at 12:50 pm

Big gainer now guys - can take the rest of the week off 

ES loses 6002 likely to

Posted by steve on 25th of Nov 2024 at 12:19 pm

ES loses 6002 likely to fill today's gap

Nice trade - now trail down stops on runners.  See you at power hour

ES bounces back to VWAP

Posted by steve on 21st of Nov 2024 at 10:48 am

ES bounces back to VWAP

ES strong support at last

Posted by steve on 20th of Nov 2024 at 10:33 am

ES strong support at last zone and bouncing  - above 5906/12 and then 5922/26 previous zones

Achieved 

Posted by steve on 20th of Nov 2024 at 12:06 pm

Achieved 

ES tagged 5957 overnight and

Posted by steve on 20th of Nov 2024 at 08:31 am

ES tagged 5957 overnight and rejected 

ES 5928 held and bounced

Posted by steve on 19th of Nov 2024 at 03:51 pm

ES 5928 held and bounced (weaker now) so protect

Thanks for the update Steve.

Posted by kevinkim9600 on 19th of Nov 2024 at 04:09 pm

Thanks for the update Steve.  have a great night

Thanks Kevin - just working

Posted by steve on 19th of Nov 2024 at 05:24 pm

Thanks Kevin - just working on newsletter 

ES bounced off former resistance

Posted by steve on 18th of Nov 2024 at 01:59 pm

ES bounced off former resistance turned support around 5910 

also a 61.8 retrace of

Posted by petermusic on 18th of Nov 2024 at 02:06 pm

also a 61.8 retrace of today's RTH almost to the tick

Thanks peter

Posted by steve on 18th of Nov 2024 at 02:08 pm

Thanks peter

Next zone below 5886/83 (should

Posted by steve on 15th of Nov 2024 at 11:59 am

Next zone below 5886/83 (should produce a reaction)

ES will need to reclaim

Posted by steve on 15th of Nov 2024 at 11:54 am

ES will need to reclaim 5927 to get any squeeze to unfold 

ES 5890 is the 50%

Posted by steve on 15th of Nov 2024 at 10:42 am

ES 5890 is the 50% Fib of the entire election move 

Steve, is 5860 to 5890

Posted by junkie on 15th of Nov 2024 at 01:13 pm

Steve, is 5860 to 5890 a good support zone which must hold for a possible squeeze higher?

I need to see a

Posted by steve on 15th of Nov 2024 at 02:24 pm

I need to see a prior level or two above reclaimed to even consider a squeeze - so currently 5900

ES 5901 SSL level likely

Posted by steve on 15th of Nov 2024 at 10:30 am

ES 5901 SSL level likely to be cleaned up (spike down on chart)

Bounced right off 5901 for

Posted by steve on 15th of Nov 2024 at 10:47 am

Bounced right off 5901 for a quick trade - okay done for the morning.  Need to work on some projects. 

Can you do a quick

Posted by mastermind on 15th of Nov 2024 at 10:33 am

Can you do a quick translation to SPX level?

Difference is approximately 26 points

Posted by steve on 15th of Nov 2024 at 10:37 am

Difference is approximately 26 points on SPX and ES (higher)

Thanks Steve.

Posted by mastermind on 15th of Nov 2024 at 10:39 am

Thanks Steve.

25 points of premium on

Posted by junkie on 15th of Nov 2024 at 10:35 am

25 points of premium on /ES.

ES levels updated 

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2024 at 09:02 pm

ES levels updated 

ES into Demand Zone 5973-50s

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2024 at 03:54 pm

ES into Demand Zone 5973-50s

Gaps galore below as a

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2024 at 03:55 pm

Gaps galore below as a posted a few days back so be aware 

ES rejected at VWAP

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2024 at 03:06 pm

ES rejected at VWAP

ES bounced to 5996 (lost

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2024 at 01:57 pm

ES bounced to 5996 (lost pivot level) and failed and back down again

ES minor target 6029 main

Posted by steve on 8th of Nov 2024 at 01:34 pm

ES minor target 6029 main target 6037/50 - confluence of Fibs

Where did ES react?  5037/42

Posted by steve on 8th of Nov 2024 at 03:12 pm

Where did ES react?  5037/42 zone

Spot on guys 

Posted by steve on 8th of Nov 2024 at 03:36 pm

Spot on guys 

5952/44 support now on ES

Posted by steve on 6th of Nov 2024 at 06:14 pm

5952/44 support now on ES - holding and can go straight to 6000

Achieved 6000 on ES 

Posted by steve on 7th of Nov 2024 at 01:12 pm

Achieved 6000 on ES 

ES nice bounce from 5902

Posted by steve on 6th of Nov 2024 at 11:29 am

ES nice bounce from 5902 to 5936 while away

ES tags first zone (5769/75)

Posted by steve on 5th of Nov 2024 at 09:42 am

ES tags first zone (5769/75)

ES reached 3rd target zone

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2024 at 10:34 am

ES reached 3rd target zone - protect

Warned on ES - quick

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2024 at 10:44 am

Warned on ES - quick 20 point pull

My comments apply to traders - position players follow your plan

Review: ES lost pivot support

Posted by steve on 31st of Oct 2024 at 08:36 am

Review: ES lost pivot support 5838 (as posted) and moved down overnight 

ES tested 5855 (weaker now)

Posted by steve on 30th of Oct 2024 at 02:00 pm

ES tested 5855 (weaker now) and they need to reclaim 5864 (build above) or favor a probe lower if 5851 is lost

Re-read

Posted by steve on 31st of Oct 2024 at 05:56 am

Re-read

ES rebounded up to initial

Posted by steve on 30th of Oct 2024 at 10:22 am

ES rebounded up to initial zone 

QQQ nice move from DZ (all shown last night) - did you prepare?

Recap - ES reached target

Posted by steve on 30th of Oct 2024 at 09:01 am

Recap - ES reached target zone 5890/97 overnight and then reversed 

ES quick pullback from posted

Posted by steve on 29th of Oct 2024 at 01:22 pm

ES quick pullback from posted zone

ES reached the next zone 

Posted by steve on 29th of Oct 2024 at 01:02 pm

ES reached the next zone 

BOOM 

Posted by steve on 29th of Oct 2024 at 01:02 pm

BOOM 

ES tagged 5872 (rejected) and

Posted by steve on 29th of Oct 2024 at 11:17 am

ES tagged 5872 (rejected) and quick pullback - initial support now 5860/55 with 5842 below

Upside targets 5875/80 above 5890/97

ES

Posted by steve on 29th of Oct 2024 at 01:05 pm

Perfect bounce off 5860 and managed to reach initial target zone thus far 

ES hit first target 5858

Posted by steve on 25th of Oct 2024 at 09:03 am

ES hit first target 5858 with 5877 and 83/88 above 

Yesterday ES broke down from

Posted by steve on 24th of Oct 2024 at 12:09 pm

Yesterday ES broke down from 5860/65 area bounced up to backtest today and was rejected upon initial test 

ES reached last zone 

Posted by steve on 22nd of Oct 2024 at 02:13 pm

ES reached last zone 

ES bulls need to reclaim

Posted by steve on 21st of Oct 2024 at 11:32 am

ES bulls need to reclaim 4883 or more testing lower - currently near the next zone around 5864

ES back to 5893 (level

Posted by steve on 21st of Oct 2024 at 01:11 pm

ES back to 5893 (level to level) 

Quick rejection at 5907 -

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2024 at 09:27 am

Quick rejection at 5907 - I have some projects to work on today so will be following in the background.  Many trades here already since yesterday close. 

ES

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2024 at 06:35 pm

Bulls still holding support zone 5887/92 - OPEX tomorrow below 5878/75

If it pops up again tomorrow - keep any eye out for an ending diagonal on 15/30 minute charts as one possibility. Dips to be bought barring a break of structure.

ES hit 5876 and bounced More

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2024 at 09:57 pm

ES hit 5876 and bounced

More China Stimulus lifting GC/BTC and $HSI

ES 28 point bounce overnight

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2024 at 09:17 am

ES 28 point bounce overnight from support zone - quite a few posts last evening on what was unfolding with China and it's impacts 

One must adjust to new

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2024 at 07:30 am

One must adjust to new developments like I posted on China early last evening. All these flows make an impact on assets. Big pop on $HSI and Commodities with some trickle down in equities, especially off stated ES SUPPORT

$HSI exploded now up over

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2024 at 05:03 am

$HSI exploded now up over 4 percent. As I've stated, traders wanted to see more clarity.  Gave heads up early on last evening. More fiat debasement 

ES bounced 20 points from

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2024 at 11:58 am

ES bounced 20 points from 5887

ES

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2024 at 10:20 am

Getting a bounce off secondary zone 5892/87 - should it fail then 5878/75

ES initial bounce target reached

Posted by steve on 16th of Oct 2024 at 10:34 am

ES initial bounce target reached 5875 above zone 5883/87 would consider for a trade short if reached (these are both resistance areas)

ES 5875 to 5858 -

Posted by steve on 16th of Oct 2024 at 10:55 am

ES 5875 to 5858 - not bad levels

Steve,  where do you post

Posted by kevinkim9600 on 16th of Oct 2024 at 10:57 am

Steve,  where do you post the ES levels?  Thanks

ES levels are updated daily

Posted by steve on 16th of Oct 2024 at 11:01 am

ES levels are updated daily on the top right corner of the sticky page - Just look above 

Market heavy so lower side

Posted by steve on 16th of Oct 2024 at 09:39 am

Market heavy so lower side ES targets in play 5858 reached with next zones above posted - bounces certainly possible but need valid triggers 

ES 5913/18 zone achieved

Posted by steve on 14th of Oct 2024 at 03:46 pm

ES 5913/18 zone achieved

ES broke out of the

Posted by steve on 11th of Oct 2024 at 01:47 pm

ES broke out of the small bull flag 5815-5840 and since has consolidated - holding above 5840 keeps next zones in play.  Below 5840 support 5828

ES hit target zone 5838/43

Posted by steve on 9th of Oct 2024 at 02:53 pm

ES hit target zone 5838/43 - support below now at 5819 and  5810/07 

ES tagged next zone

Posted by steve on 9th of Oct 2024 at 10:30 am

ES tagged next zone

ES

Posted by steve on 9th of Oct 2024 at 09:08 am

Nice bounce off that initial support zone - profit in hand prior to open

ES tested and bounced off

Posted by steve on 8th of Oct 2024 at 01:59 pm

ES tested and bounced off 5778/72 zone

ES lost support zone 5770

Posted by steve on 7th of Oct 2024 at 02:34 pm

ES lost support zone 5770 and tumbled down I see 

ES tagged 5788 and faded

Posted by steve on 7th of Oct 2024 at 10:42 am

ES tagged 5788 and faded some - has yet to take liquidity of rising trendline so was cautious into that zone 

ES rejected at initial zone

Posted by steve on 7th of Oct 2024 at 09:59 am

ES rejected at initial zone upon first attempt

ES overnight low was 5726.50

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2024 at 12:54 pm

ES overnight low was 5726.50 if they want to test 

Bingo (they may also want

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2024 at 01:02 pm

Bingo (they may also want to swipe yesterday's low 5724 - bulls will need to respond either way) 

ES nice bounce from initial

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2024 at 10:13 am

ES nice bounce from initial zone into second target range 

Lightning quick 

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2024 at 10:14 am

Lightning quick 

ES support now 5758/52

Posted by steve on 2nd of Oct 2024 at 11:11 am

ES support now 5758/52

ES good bounce off 5733

Posted by steve on 1st of Oct 2024 at 11:41 am

ES good bounce off 5733

I have my eye on

Posted by srusso1 on 1st of Oct 2024 at 12:13 pm

I have my eye on EL Estee Lauder dose any one think this be good in hard landing?

The hard landing we've already

Posted by bthefnd on 1st of Oct 2024 at 12:16 pm

The hard landing we've already been in for many months (8% deficit to achieve 2.5% growth = hard landing)?  Maybe EL will work, but it doesn't have the pole position on a Gov trough like the ones that have tended to perform really well during these times (unless I'm missing their Gov contracting business arm). 

Actual missile launch will probably

Posted by bthefnd on 1st of Oct 2024 at 12:12 pm

Actual missile launch will probably result in another record high in SPX today.  

How does price keep going up with all the bad data (this mornings data set was another train wreck across the board) plus all the geopolitical worries?  Because the dollar is being diluted so it takes more dollars to buy the same assets even though the assets now have less value.

Banana Zone 2024.  

ES bounced from key support

Posted by steve on 30th of Sep 2024 at 12:09 pm

ES bounced from key support 5773 and cleared first zone earlier and now into second zone 5796/5802

Overnight ES tested 5802/05 zone

Posted by steve on 30th of Sep 2024 at 08:45 am

Overnight ES tested 5802/05 zone and was rejected 

ES faded zone posted then

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2024 at 02:49 pm

ES faded zone posted then tagged support zone with a quick bounce

ES bounce off 5788 zone

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2024 at 12:59 pm

ES bounce off 5788 zone and testing again now, IF lost and gets loose could see 5773 with minor support at 5785.  On a bounce, 5798/5803 topside level bulls need to reclaim

There she blows 

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2024 at 01:19 pm

There she blows 

ES backtesting yesterday break -

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2024 at 11:03 am

ES backtesting yesterday break - key zone here 5788/90 

ES ran those equal lows

Posted by steve on 25th of Sep 2024 at 01:18 pm

ES ran those equal lows at 5773 into the zone - attempting to bounce here 

ES 5773 bounce after moving

Posted by steve on 25th of Sep 2024 at 05:37 am

ES 5773 bounce after moving into resistance  zone which brought a 20+ point pullback from 5794.50 high 

Very nice trade from earlier

Posted by steve on 25th of Sep 2024 at 07:33 am

Very nice trade from earlier today

On ES the decline off

Posted by steve on 24th of Sep 2024 at 02:40 pm

On ES the decline off the 9/19 high sure looks like 3 waves (corrective) so the recent sideways could be a triangle or flat forming

NQ has yet to run those highs pointed out the past few days on my QQQ chart. 

ES was 3 points shy

Posted by steve on 24th of Sep 2024 at 11:12 am

ES was 3 points shy of 5752 and recovered 5768 - upside target 5783/87 and 5796

Fails 5765 then 5752 

ES

Posted by steve on 24th of Sep 2024 at 11:59 am

Achieved 

ES 5768/73 now resistance -

Posted by steve on 24th of Sep 2024 at 10:27 am

ES 5768/73 now resistance - BULLS want to reclaim and build or look for lower testing 

ES held support posted earlier

Posted by steve on 24th of Sep 2024 at 09:42 am

ES held support posted earlier and tagged 5788 and faded - tight range of late and energy building 

ES reached  5792 overnight  Support 5773/65

Posted by steve on 24th of Sep 2024 at 07:42 am

ES reached  5792 overnight 

Support 5773/65

ES tagged 83/85 and rejected

Posted by steve on 23rd of Sep 2024 at 10:36 am

ES tagged 83/85 and rejected upon initial test - overall range trading on ES of late - let's see how this resolves 

ES bounced  off 5754 zone

Posted by steve on 22nd of Sep 2024 at 10:17 pm

ES bounced  off 5754 zone

ES

Posted by steve on 20th of Sep 2024 at 03:47 pm

Tagged 5774 

and a demark 13 on

Posted by matt on 20th of Sep 2024 at 03:51 pm

and a demark 13 on the 5 min ES at that bounce high

5 and 3 min ES

Posted by matt on 20th of Sep 2024 at 04:15 pm

5 and 3 min ES futures -shows that dump from the cycles and demark late in the day

ES

Posted by steve on 20th of Sep 2024 at 10:26 am

Bulls need to recover 5763 to go up direct 

ES rejected that 5758/63 zone

Posted by steve on 20th of Sep 2024 at 11:01 am

ES rejected that 5758/63 zone and moving lower to test initial target zone (5742/36)

thx Steve - and of

Posted by matt on 20th of Sep 2024 at 10:28 am

thx Steve - and of course Friday OPEX your favorite trading day LOL

ES bounced off initial support

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2024 at 09:32 am

ES bounced off initial support 5763 and retest highs - support weaker now if tested 

As posted ES lost that

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2024 at 09:48 am

As posted ES lost that support upon 2nd test - down to next zone 

Nice bounce off 5250 -

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2024 at 10:18 am

Nice bounce off 5250 - still has yet to reach July highs (magnet with equal highs over time)

ES

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2024 at 10:31 am

Achieved - okay time for some breakfast 

ES

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2024 at 10:58 am

Poked highs and faded - hopefully by now you avoided chasing and avoided getting bagged 

Equal highs acted as magnet - posted earlier for a valid trade 

5250? I'm tracking mostly via OANDA

Posted by bthefnd on 19th of Sep 2024 at 10:21 am

5250?

I'm tracking mostly via OANDA (different numbers but tracks /ES and same trading hours). My chart shows trading in blue sky (ATH's)

ES held 5680 zone and

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2024 at 07:52 am

ES held 5680 zone and ripped to 5775

ES nice bounce from initial

Posted by steve on 17th of Sep 2024 at 10:09 am

ES nice bounce from initial support zone - now trail and be cautious chasing as it arrives near first target zone 33/38 above 48/54

ES 5624 held upon this

Posted by steve on 13th of Sep 2024 at 12:54 pm

ES 5624 held upon this test 

ES finding some resistance around

Posted by steve on 13th of Sep 2024 at 12:10 pm

ES finding some resistance around 5640 (London closed).  If unable to clear, could see a test of open/lows of today

ES - notice on the

Posted by steve on 13th of Sep 2024 at 11:16 am

ES - notice on the quick pullback it found support near the 5614 pivot which was cleared earlier today and become support.  Below is 5605

ES tagged first zone 

Posted by steve on 13th of Sep 2024 at 09:56 am

ES tagged first zone 

ES came down to 5542

Posted by steve on 12th of Sep 2024 at 10:45 am

ES came down to 5542 and nice bounce - still dealing with supply zone posted earlier (first test led to a nice rejection/pullback)

ES quick test and bounce

Posted by steve on 12th of Sep 2024 at 08:46 am

ES quick test and bounce near 5560 (initial support for traders)

ES levels updated - holding

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 04:30 pm

ES levels updated - holding those supports expect upside to continue 

Held support (as posted yesterday)

Posted by steve on 12th of Sep 2024 at 01:10 pm

Held support (as posted yesterday) and upside continued 

ES 5556/62 next zone -

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 03:56 pm

ES 5556/62 next zone - wowsa 

9/11 again comes thru

Computer crashed big time so

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 03:58 pm

Computer crashed big time so just getting back on line 

ES levels 5511 then main

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 01:33 pm

ES levels 5511 then main 5519/28

Yes Sirrrrrrrr - posted earlier

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 01:48 pm

Yes Sirrrrrrrr - posted earlier on ES 

ES 5414/11 bounce zone (after

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 11:09 am

ES 5414/11 bounce zone (after SPX gap fill) 20+ points 

ES running yesterday's low

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 10:10 am

ES running yesterday's low

ES swiped yesterday's highs and

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 09:31 am

ES swiped yesterday's highs and retraced 

Chasing above previous highs into

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 09:51 am

Chasing above previous highs into fresh supply not wise

Pin that to your computer 

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 10:35 am

Pin that to your computer 

ES reclaim of 5482 provided

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2024 at 08:54 am

ES reclaim of 5482 provided a trigger for a bounce trade (FBD failed breakdown and a recapture) 

Same thing below overnight lows and reclaim but that was too quick 

Overnight, ES pulled back into

Posted by steve on 10th of Sep 2024 at 08:12 am

Overnight, ES pulled back into initial support at 5463/57 zone and bounced. Overnight low was 5462.50

CPI Tomorrow

SPX traded in a narrow

Posted by steve on 7th of Sep 2024 at 10:56 am

SPX traded in a narrow range for about 2 weeks before an impulsive sell lower on Tuesday - from contraction comes expansion.  

As pointed out on Thursday, the market structure remained bearish following Tuesday's BOS (Break of Structure).  

Bears in Control until ES 5475/82 reclaims.  ES has now retraced approximately 50% of the previous advance.   Demand zone 5394-5319 shown below along with certain Fibs

This count becomes less probable on a break of 5300  (one other option would be price carving out a triangle if it remains in a range).  Onus on the bulls short term. 

ES decent bounce overnight after

Posted by steve on 9th of Sep 2024 at 08:35 am

ES decent bounce overnight after initial test of demand zone after hours on Friday (5397-5320) - moved up into broad supply zone (5560-5670 with key zone 5572-90)

On the smaller time frames, ES broke above previous high (5430s) creating a BOS (break of structure) as did NQ so that is constructive against Friday lows on any pullbacks

NQ Daily Supply (18,829-19,100)  

ES moved up into the

Posted by steve on 9th of Sep 2024 at 10:31 am

ES moved up into the key zone discussed on weekend and earlier today (5474/82) and rejected upon initial test 

ES came back to support

Posted by steve on 9th of Sep 2024 at 11:37 am

ES came back to support zone and is bouncing ES 5442 - nice action on levels - trail up stops in accordance with your risk tolerance.  

Futures gapped up yesterday, gap

Posted by ruidoso on 9th of Sep 2024 at 10:53 am

Futures gapped up yesterday, gap 50 points lower on ES. but I am sure you know that?  5457 could be key for up, number on list..... above

5405 gap fill

Posted by ruidoso on 9th of Sep 2024 at 10:54 am

5405 gap fill

Close.....

Posted by ruidoso on 11th of Sep 2024 at 10:24 am

Close.....

ES failed at 5528/34 zone

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2024 at 10:00 am

ES failed at 5528/34 zone and just lost 5500 next level 5492 then 5482

ES - trail down stops

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2024 at 10:17 am

ES - trail down stops

ES short a beauty -

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2024 at 10:26 am

ES short a beauty - roundtrip back to overnight lows - big zone below 5463/56 

ES managed a small bounce

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2024 at 10:39 am

ES managed a small bounce from that zone below 5447 and 5433/25 strong zones 

NQ zones 18,542 and 18,508/474

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2024 at 10:46 am

NQ zones 18,542 and 18,508/474 (main zone)

BOOM

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2024 at 11:01 am

BOOM

Waller (FED member) spike

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2024 at 11:07 am

Waller (FED member) spike

ES 5492 tagged 

Posted by steve on 5th of Sep 2024 at 12:08 pm

ES 5492 tagged 

I updated the ES sticky

Posted by matt on 19th of Aug 2024 at 09:27 am

I updated the ES sticky levels

that said guys, I don't know if I want to update these daily like Steve does. 

if you want to get them on your own, Steve gets those from this guy on twitter
https://x.com/smashelito/status/1825291372158689457/photo/1

you can follow that guy on Twitter, he posts them once a day in the evening. 

otherwise for me, I like my TICK levels because I generate them

ES initial bounce from 5445

Posted by steve on 14th of Aug 2024 at 10:52 am

ES initial bounce from 5445 for 10+ pts then 5438 for 15+ points

VIX remains subdued - continue to monitor 

ES now approaching 40 points

Posted by steve on 14th of Aug 2024 at 11:40 am

ES now approaching 40 points from support level 

NQ Levels 19,027/45 and19,072/95

Posted by steve on 13th of Aug 2024 at 12:35 pm

NQ Levels 19,027/45 and19,072/95

The wide zone recently for

Posted by steve on 8th of Aug 2024 at 12:12 pm

The wide zone recently for ES has been 5196-5340 =traversed up and down 

ES getting a bounce off

Posted by steve on 7th of Aug 2024 at 10:45 am

ES getting a bounce off previous resistance turned support 5527ish

Nice quick 20+ pts 

Posted by steve on 7th of Aug 2024 at 10:48 am

Nice quick 20+ pts 

With the VIX still above

Posted by steve on 7th of Aug 2024 at 10:50 am

With the VIX still above 20 and negative gamma you will still see large moves 

IF ES wants to extend

Posted by steve on 7th of Aug 2024 at 09:52 am

IF ES wants to extend directly then may test 5365 then 5378 - but have to manage with trailing stops.  There is an open gap on ES (remember quite rare)

First objective was new highs 5342 other levels posted above

ES rejecting 5338/43 zone (was

Posted by steve on 6th of Aug 2024 at 03:00 pm

ES rejecting 5338/43 zone (was last target from morning)

Support on ES now shifts

Posted by steve on 6th of Aug 2024 at 10:25 am

Support on ES now shifts up to 5268 and 5260/52

Bulls are using up a

Posted by steve on 5th of Aug 2024 at 03:14 pm

Bulls are using up a lot of powder here to keep around 5200 - support below has weakened.  

ES vwap 5374

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 03:29 pm

ES vwap 5374

ES tags vwap and drops 

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 03:39 pm

ES tags vwap and drops 

ES playing around with that

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 12:45 pm

ES playing around with that 5378 pivot 

Pivot rejection 5378 for 25+

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 12:56 pm

Pivot rejection 5378 for 25+ points 

Not interested personally in chasing

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 08:26 am

Not interested personally in chasing shorts on gap down (unless get a better setup but trail stops lower on existing shorts) - follow your plan

ES reached 5412 overnight  A weak

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 06:09 am

ES reached 5412 overnight

 A weak market would hold below the support area, now resistance, at 5435 to 5445, while failure to do so could trigger a false breakdown. The outlier risk to the downside is the unfilled gap at 5385.25.

Closing in on the gap

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 08:33 am

Closing in on the gap posted a few hours ago 

Target achieved 5385

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 08:34 am

Target achieved 5385

ES - bulls need to

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 08:36 am

ES - bulls need to reclaim 5400 to get some traction and reclaim 5450 to stabilize.  Trail on stops if short. 

Quick pop after ES recovered

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 09:22 am

Quick pop after ES recovered 5400 - trail up if playing (scale and trail as this is wild)  5414 resistance (previous support posted) then 5438 and big at 5450

Again, onus on bulls to

Posted by steve on 3rd of Aug 2024 at 08:40 am

Again, onus on bulls to reclaim 5378, 5400 and 5435/50 next week on rally attempt  or next stop below 5200. 

Volume on Daily ES rising on price declines as of Friday so no divergence as yet on volume.

Will still need to see

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2024 at 11:15 pm

Will still need to see volume divergence. Some wise ole trader said markets rarely bottom on Friday's. Sleep well

ES failed to reclaim 5414

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2024 at 10:07 am

ES failed to reclaim 5414 (no closing candle) and back down 

Bears want to keep ES

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 07:35 pm

Bears want to keep ES below 5480/90 - with 5422 Weekly support 

IWM support 212/214 

Bears better watch out for

Posted by DigiNomad on 1st of Aug 2024 at 07:40 pm

Bears better watch out for QE. It's not if, it's just when at this point. We could already be in it (some signs) but the next step would be to admit it so they get a bump more quickly from the accelerating debasement of the currency. Either way, assets can't stay down that long when they really kick the debasement way way past emergency mode. We've already been in emergency mode since 2020. I don't know what you call levels above emergency stimulus mode, but that's where we're heading.

*note that one part of the QE strategy is to reduce yield on bonds not just to stimulate borrowing...because they want to force people out of bonds and farther into the risky equities side of the risk curve.  It's very possible this move down in yields is being assisted by QE. They get the cuts that way without actually cutting (the overnight rate they control is almost meaningless in terms of real business). 

ES 5432 Previous Low can

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 06:55 pm

ES 5432 Previous Low can watch for a potential failed breakdown.  If unable to bounce then 5385 could be in play.  Topside 5480/90 resistance 

The first support is around 5450ish to also watch for an FBD (Failed Breakdown) if you are a trader. 

There is the 5432 flush

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 10:35 pm

There is the 5432 flush

The ES 5450 FBD worked

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 07:59 pm

The ES 5450 FBD worked out nicely for a quick 10+ points on the bounce 

Freudian slip? 2385? You ole

Posted by profmel on 1st of Aug 2024 at 07:49 pm

Freudian slip? 2385? You ole Yogi Bear :)

Yes my bad and thanks

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 07:58 pm

Yes my bad and thanks for pointing this out - I adjusted my typo below.  Much appreciated. 

ES still has equal lows

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 02:38 pm

ES still has equal lows around 5432/33 

ES sliced many levels -

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 01:04 pm

ES sliced many levels - must now reclaim 5511 to push up 

Below 5474 5457 5450/47

Absolutely no buying reaction thus

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2024 at 01:15 pm

Absolutely no buying reaction thus far 

Matt has said several times

Posted by DK on 1st of Aug 2024 at 01:15 pm

Matt has said several times in the newsletter that it bothered him that the S&P didn't fill the gap down around 5375, I wonder if it'll get there.

ES 5560 - taking most

Posted by steve on 31st of Jul 2024 at 10:22 am

ES 5560 - taking most down here.   Need to work on cleaning up computer malware. 

Prior lows on ES were

Posted by steve on 30th of Jul 2024 at 12:04 pm

Prior lows on ES were 5433

ES reached final zone today

Posted by steve on 26th of Jul 2024 at 01:48 pm

ES reached final zone today (order flow driven not news)

ES bouncing out of demand

Posted by steve on 26th of Jul 2024 at 08:15 am

ES bouncing out of demand zone - let's see how we react to PCE 

Of Note:  There is an open gap on ES just below 5600 (very rare to see on futures)

ES 5533 was also a

Posted by steve on 25th of Jul 2024 at 01:20 pm

ES 5533 was also a symmetry level 

Big rejection from 5533 symmetry

Posted by steve on 25th of Jul 2024 at 03:04 pm

Big rejection from 5533 symmetry posted 

The main zone on ES

Posted by steve on 22nd of Jul 2024 at 01:48 pm

The main zone on ES 5630/37 prior support (breakdown level) 

Rejected upon backtest of the

Posted by steve on 24th of Jul 2024 at 11:12 am

Rejected upon backtest of the 5630 main zone (posted here a few times prior) 

ES 5607 +/- resistance 

Posted by steve on 22nd of Jul 2024 at 09:51 am

ES 5607 +/- resistance 

Quick 20+ points from that

Posted by steve on 22nd of Jul 2024 at 10:04 am

Quick 20+ points from that resistance level on ES - expect some wild action 

ES 5585 Major Support -

Posted by steve on 18th of Jul 2024 at 02:33 pm

ES 5585 Major Support - let's see 

ES rejected 5658/60 zone hard

Posted by steve on 18th of Jul 2024 at 10:47 am

ES rejected 5658/60 zone hard down to 5624/18 zone

Now testing next zone 5611/08

Posted by steve on 18th of Jul 2024 at 11:18 am

Now testing next zone 5611/08 then 5596/85

ES guessing 5621 - 5585

Posted by steve on 17th of Jul 2024 at 12:13 pm

ES guessing 5621 - 5585 gets tested in coming days

ES tagged 5721 to the

Posted by steve on 16th of Jul 2024 at 10:49 pm

ES tagged 5721 to the tick today - levels updated 

Fails 5690 and holds then look lower

INTC up nicely compare to

Posted by mrrab079 on 17th of Jul 2024 at 08:41 am

INTC up nicely compare to other semiconductor stocks 

Lost support and tumbled Vix-peration often

Posted by steve on 17th of Jul 2024 at 08:19 am

Lost support and tumbled

Vix-peration often leads to big moves

Groggy this morning and just

Posted by steve on 17th of Jul 2024 at 09:02 am

Groggy this morning and just getting up to speed after late night

QQQ Weekly DZ 487.35-473

Futures down 56

Posted by lamb on 17th of Jul 2024 at 09:04 am

Futures down 56

5665 big level of support

Posted by steve on 12th of Jul 2024 at 03:55 pm

5665 big level of support - 

ES 5665 support level posted

Posted by steve on 15th of Jul 2024 at 06:48 am

ES 5665 support level posted late Friday has produced a 25 point bounce

Updated ES levels bouncing from

Posted by steve on 11th of Jul 2024 at 12:11 pm

Updated ES levels bouncing from 36/31 support - upside targets shown if support  held - big tech heavy

ES bounced from Demand zone

Posted by steve on 9th of Jul 2024 at 08:39 am

ES bounced from Demand zone yesterday 5518-10 and reached previous highs

ES Levels updated...holding those support

Posted by steve on 2nd of Jul 2024 at 10:45 pm

ES Levels updated...holding those support zones expect breakout but would prefer a test of those levels and not a peak above and fail. 

Steve ES only got as

Posted by DK on 3rd of Jul 2024 at 08:49 am

Steve ES only got as low as 5559 so far so wondering if it will even test the support levels you listed above

DK - zone from overnight

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jul 2024 at 08:58 am

DK - zone from overnight 5562/57 if fails 5552 then next lower zone 

VIX was buried and some unwind higher early today 

Big move in GC overnight on USD weakness and lower Yields also helping 

Thanks Steve

Posted by DK on 3rd of Jul 2024 at 09:16 am

Thanks Steve

ES failed again at initial

Posted by steve on 1st of Jul 2024 at 10:16 am

ES failed again at initial zone around 5540 and lost 5520 support for a quick drop

ES has also been following

Posted by matt on 1st of Jul 2024 at 10:31 am

ES has also been following the cycles pretty well on 15 min, 1 min

remember guys pre 4th, light volume, whips all around

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/epRziFih/ 

ES came down into support

Posted by steve on 28th of Jun 2024 at 11:32 am

ES came down into support zone - sloppy action into quarter end.   They ran those equal highs and reached big zone on ES 5577/82 and profit taking took hold. 

April 1st of the current

Posted by DigiNomad on 28th of Jun 2024 at 11:42 am

April 1st of the current quarter (ending today) was the start of a rough patch. Money managers are forced to close their eyes and chase if they're behind (if they want to stay employed) so if it's been a bullish quarter you can expect some chasing into the close.  The thing is that many don't want to be in the high flyers at current valuations, so they run away as soon as the market opens in the new quarter to wait for better prices. Cycle begins again and squeezes into quarter end. Rinse, repeat.

*The word on the street with the people that follow the seasonal charts closely is that it doesn't get more bullish than the 1st two weeks of July. Most seem to think we will get seasonal election year weakness, but not until the second half of July, maybe even August. We'll see. I'm not a huge fan of seasonals myself.  Is it deficit spend at 7% of GDP season? Yes? Game on. 

ES hit 5556 and rejected

Posted by steve on 27th of Jun 2024 at 11:35 am

ES hit 5556 and rejected support zones 5533/29 then 5523/19

ES

Posted by steve on 27th of Jun 2024 at 12:26 pm

Nice bounce from that zone

ES rejected 2 pts shy

Posted by steve on 26th of Jun 2024 at 08:44 am

ES rejected 2 pts shy of 5554 - support 5226/22 then 5514 and 5507/5500

Bulls now want to hold

Posted by steve on 25th of Jun 2024 at 10:34 pm

Bulls now want to hold 5522 to move up directly

Range bound day trapping both

Posted by steve on 25th of Jun 2024 at 01:56 pm

Range bound day trapping both ways on ES 

Bulls lost 5519/22 (after several

Posted by steve on 25th of Jun 2024 at 01:14 pm

Bulls lost 5519/22 (after several holds) and now must reclaim to trigger upside 

ES 5530 rejects down to

Posted by steve on 25th of Jun 2024 at 08:45 am

ES 5530 rejects down to 5522 - some action here on zones 

ES tagged 5558

Posted by steve on 24th of Jun 2024 at 10:30 am

ES tagged 5558

ES levels 5445/52 and 5558/63

Posted by steve on 21st of Jun 2024 at 11:56 am

ES levels 5445/52 and 5558/63 overhead 

Failure of 5425 zones above for minor dip

ES first bounce target 5433/38

Posted by steve on 21st of Jun 2024 at 10:12 am

ES first bounce target 5433/38 for those playing - I was focused on GC with that thin pump

Was very clear if 5560

Posted by steve on 20th of Jun 2024 at 12:34 pm

Was very clear if 5560 lost on ES

NVDA flushed 

NVDA brought down the S&P.....   

Posted by mla127 on 20th of Jun 2024 at 01:00 pm

NVDA brought down the S&P.....   

When I asked ChatGPT how

Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of Jun 2024 at 01:08 pm

When I asked ChatGPT how much NVDA's market cap increased today a couple hours ago, not only did it say 277 billion....it went on a freaking sell side rant about why the increase was appropriate. I had to hit the "interrupt" button to stop the sales pitch.   

Our newAI overlord is on the NVDA bull train (shocker?)....so this could be a rare buy opportunity. 

Trader Tom

Posted by steve on 20th of Jun 2024 at 01:23 pm

NVDA  just lost a few country worth of market cap in the last 2 hours

Lost 5560 and now likely

Posted by steve on 20th of Jun 2024 at 12:23 pm

Lost 5560 and now likely to test 5548/44 

The difference between ES and

Posted by steve on 20th of Jun 2024 at 10:10 am

The difference between ES and SPX today is 71 points (ES higher)

wow, quite large

Posted by matt on 20th of Jun 2024 at 10:12 am

wow, quite large

ES bouncing off initial support

Posted by steve on 20th of Jun 2024 at 09:44 am

ES bouncing off initial support zone into first target zone 

Upside, one number missing a

Posted by ruidoso on 18th of Jun 2024 at 05:24 am

Upside, one number missing a digit,  thanks

ES 5528 achieved next zone

Posted by steve on 17th of Jun 2024 at 12:35 pm

ES 5528 achieved next zone is 5538/44 which is expected to be tested from the flag 

ES has moved up to

Posted by steve on 17th of Jun 2024 at 01:22 pm

ES has moved up to the next zone (main zone target today) - keep trailing up stops

ES range break 

Posted by steve on 17th of Jun 2024 at 12:27 pm

ES range break 

ES held initial support zone

Posted by steve on 17th of Jun 2024 at 11:03 am

ES held initial support zone and decent bounce and now testing 5508/12 zone 

ES 5501 at the Bell

Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2024 at 04:04 pm

ES 5501 at the Bell   

ES VWAP 5484 - bulls

Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2024 at 09:22 am

ES VWAP 5484 - bulls want to reclaim and build above  - failure to do so opens door to retest of overnight low 

Short term - ES (September)

Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2024 at 08:43 am

Short term - ES (September) possible smaller degree wave iv but bulls must move from here as this is invalidated below 5450 and losing morning lows would be a warning.  New supply zone formed overnight 5497-5510

Tricky here and one reason we haven't added much to watchlist - remain nimble 

ES managed to grind up

Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2024 at 01:48 pm

ES managed to grind up to supply zone posted earlier 

Nice quick reaction off supply

Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2024 at 01:59 pm

Nice quick reaction off supply - initial test typically produces a fade 

Seemed to be a reaction

Posted by DigiNomad on 14th of Jun 2024 at 02:26 pm

Seemed to be a reaction off of session VWAP. Might checkback here, form a higher low and do the standard push into the close. What's the saying? Something like: Joe's trade the open but pros trade the close. The pros know Janet has no leash right now and is trying to buy an election.  Good luck getting in front of Fed contract after contract after contract to NVDA, GOOG and the rest of the bunch.

*checkback was complete by the time I wrote 4 sentences   

Redrawn to support Steve's point: 

Posted by DigiNomad on 14th of Jun 2024 at 01:54 pm

Redrawn to support Steve's point: 

SPY - Looks like channelingstocks.comto

Posted by elementsix on 14th of Jun 2024 at 02:57 pm

SPY - Looks like channelingstocks.comto me...   

Q? Believe September should be

Posted by mkwalsh on 14th of Jun 2024 at 08:49 am

Q? Believe September should be U. FYI

Yes thanks - corrected typo.

Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2024 at 08:54 am

Yes thanks - corrected typo.  Much appreciated 

ES made it to the

Posted by steve on 11th of Jun 2024 at 02:33 pm

ES made it to the next zone and still squeezing 

ES came down to initial

Posted by steve on 11th of Jun 2024 at 08:42 am

ES came down to initial zone overnight and bounced 

ES initial target reached

Posted by steve on 10th of Jun 2024 at 11:55 am

ES initial target reached

ES 5363 then 5070/73 support

Posted by steve on 5th of Jun 2024 at 03:19 pm

ES 5363 then 5070/73 support 5338

Quick 7 points from zone 

Posted by steve on 5th of Jun 2024 at 08:19 am

Quick 7 points from zone 

Falling Supply on ES (Prior

Posted by steve on 5th of Jun 2024 at 08:07 am

Falling Supply on ES (Prior Lower High on Daily Chart) was 5339 

ES bounced near 5264 support 

Posted by steve on 4th of Jun 2024 at 09:01 am

ES bounced near 5264 support 

Rejected off initial zone posted

Posted by steve on 4th of Jun 2024 at 06:07 am

Rejected off initial zone posted earlier last night when ES  was above 5300.  Also downtrend line 5300/5310 came into play here.

Overnight high 5303.50..

Guess your algorithm friend has

Posted by lamb on 4th of Jun 2024 at 06:43 am

Guess your algorithm friend has some credibility 

But like Matt says in

Posted by lamb on 4th of Jun 2024 at 06:44 am

But like Matt says in newsletter , he doesn’t know what he is looking at for proof? 

Look at valid supply zones

Posted by steve on 4th of Jun 2024 at 06:48 am

Look at valid supply zones created. I also told Matt 5 waves down yesterday which is part of market structure.

Terrific fade from supply zone

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jun 2024 at 12:19 pm

Terrific fade from supply zone (resistance) and now once again testing key support zone 

30 points on ES from

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jun 2024 at 10:49 am

30 points on ES from initial zone

ES bounced back to test

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2024 at 09:05 am

ES bounced back to test breakdown level from yesterday 5272 - quick fade off that level upon initial test.   If reclaimed bigger zone around 5300 area 

Support now at 5238/42

ES reclaimed 5238/42 and squeezed

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2024 at 04:15 pm

ES reclaimed 5238/42 and squeezed to bigger zone around 5300 (see comments yesterday).  Negative gamma and 0DTE produces wild gyrations

25+ point fade from highlighted

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2024 at 10:04 am

25+ point fade from highlighted resistance zone.  Market moves fast when in negative gamma 

Oh my,  nice trade after

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2024 at 09:34 am

Oh my,  nice trade after late night at graduation 

Trail down tight now if

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2024 at 09:20 am

Trail down tight now if playing the fade - best to scale to protect 

Nice 5261 scale again

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2024 at 09:28 am

Nice 5261 scale again

Now trail down on runners 

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2024 at 09:31 am

Now trail down on runners 

ES next levels for today

Posted by steve on 30th of May 2024 at 03:46 pm

ES next levels for today 5245 then 5238/32  next see above 

5238 bounce on ES 

Posted by steve on 30th of May 2024 at 03:53 pm

5238 bounce on ES 

ES bounced near 5249 level

Posted by steve on 30th of May 2024 at 08:18 am

ES bounced near 5249 level (overnight low 5250)

ES bulls want to now

Posted by steve on 30th of May 2024 at 08:21 am

ES bulls want to now hold above 5260 

ES/QQQ came into demand zones overnight 

ES just ran those lows

Posted by steve on 29th of May 2024 at 04:29 pm

ES just ran those lows at 5273 (another target achieved) 

ES hurdles above 5290 5298/5302

Posted by steve on 29th of May 2024 at 10:18 am

ES hurdles above 5290 5298/5302

ES nice fade off 5298 

Posted by steve on 29th of May 2024 at 11:15 am

ES nice fade off 5298 

Stretch it out and hurdle....

Posted by ruidoso on 29th of May 2024 at 10:39 am

Stretch it out and hurdle....

ES has prior low of

Posted by steve on 29th of May 2024 at 08:58 am

ES has prior low of 5273 to be aware 

ES rejected 5327/30 zone thus

Posted by steve on 28th of May 2024 at 12:28 pm

ES rejected 5327/30 zone thus far - however NVDA remains strong and near highs (mostly range bound action)

NVDA continuing higher 

Posted by steve on 28th of May 2024 at 01:29 pm

NVDA continuing higher 

ES bounced 8+ pts off

Posted by steve on 28th of May 2024 at 10:20 am

ES bounced 8+ pts off 5316 (gyrating in range still)

On ES there is a

Posted by steve on 23rd of May 2024 at 02:49 pm

On ES there is a demand zone 5264-5220 approximately which I think gets tested 

ES bouncing from 5316 -

Posted by steve on 23rd of May 2024 at 11:37 am

ES bouncing from 5316 - new supply zone created today 5350/68 as a result - resistance prior posted below in accordance with Fibs

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WVDTpjM0/ 

Posted by matt on 23rd of May 2024 at 11:54 am

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WVDTpjM0/ 

TradingView ES - remember earlier

Posted by matt on 23rd of May 2024 at 02:38 pm

TradingView ES - remember earlier I said if we lost that support around 5305 there was an air pocket to the next support zone range, that's one reason price dumped hard was losing that support, tagging the upper part of that next support zone here at the lows

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WVDTpjM0/ 

ES 5335/45 now strong resistance

Posted by steve on 23rd of May 2024 at 10:58 am

ES 5335/45 now strong resistance

Rejected this zone and puked 

Posted by steve on 23rd of May 2024 at 02:57 pm

Rejected this zone and puked 

ES making a run for

Posted by steve on 14th of May 2024 at 10:28 am

ES making a run for those equal highs around 5264

NQ above ATR on 60 minute and ES approaching (Avg True Range)

ES they just ran those

Posted by steve on 14th of May 2024 at 02:42 pm

ES they just ran those equal highs 

NQ ran those equal highs

Posted by steve on 14th of May 2024 at 10:37 am

NQ ran those equal highs and reversed from above ATR

ES bounced off 5218  ES Demand

Posted by steve on 14th of May 2024 at 08:36 am

ES bounced off 5218 

ES Demand Zone 5218-5189

can't wait to hear from

Posted by srusso1 on 14th of May 2024 at 08:40 am

can't wait to hear from JP about this.

ES just tagged 5233 

Posted by steve on 13th of May 2024 at 01:12 pm

ES just tagged 5233 

ES came into 5233/28 zone

Posted by steve on 10th of May 2024 at 11:49 am

ES came into 5233/28 zone and attempting to bounce

ES

Posted by steve on 8th of May 2024 at 10:49 am

Breaking 5212 so next zone above 5220+ next target - big move so be weary of chasing simply pointing out levels 

ES 5220/24 Defended thus far 

Posted by steve on 7th of May 2024 at 10:01 am

ES 5220/24 Defended thus far 

ES quick pullback from that

Posted by steve on 7th of May 2024 at 10:45 am

ES quick pullback from that zone - IF bulls reclaim 5222 then look to next zone above 5234/38

ES demand zones below 5170-55

Posted by steve on 6th of May 2024 at 03:06 pm

ES demand zones below 5170-55 and 5119-5099 (should we see a pullback)

ES coming into the next

Posted by steve on 6th of May 2024 at 02:18 pm

ES coming into the next zone 5194/98 above 5205/13

5205 achieved

Posted by steve on 6th of May 2024 at 03:56 pm

5205 achieved

can't stop won't stop ...

Posted by mla127 on 6th of May 2024 at 04:00 pm

can't stop won't stop ... lol 

ES 5161/67 next target (corrected

Posted by steve on 3rd of May 2024 at 02:17 pm

ES 5161/67 next target (corrected typo on that pocket)

ES support 5044  (SPX back

Posted by steve on 1st of May 2024 at 04:06 pm

ES support 5044  (SPX back into demand but weaker now) 

Held support and +35

Posted by steve on 2nd of May 2024 at 08:21 am

Held support and +35

Thanks!

Posted by skitexas67 on 1st of May 2024 at 08:27 am

Thanks!

Hi Steve, Just a friendly

Posted by skitexas67 on 1st of May 2024 at 08:25 am

Hi Steve, Just a friendly nudge for today's key ES Levels.

5066 and 5041 below on

Posted by steve on 30th of Apr 2024 at 04:05 pm

5066 and 5041 below on ES

ES bulls need to reclaim

Posted by steve on 30th of Apr 2024 at 11:38 am

ES bulls need to reclaim 5122 and losing 5106 opens door for move down to next zone

ES tested 5137 twice (held

Posted by steve on 29th of Apr 2024 at 01:33 pm

ES tested 5137 twice (held and bounced)

ES rejecting 52/59 on first

Posted by steve on 25th of Apr 2024 at 12:11 pm

ES rejecting 52/59 on first attempt but bulls bouncing out of DEMAND ZONE as expected 

ES 5070 then 5060/56 support

Posted by steve on 24th of Apr 2024 at 06:04 pm

ES 5070 then 5060/56 support zone 

ES bounced from 5092 zone

Posted by steve on 24th of Apr 2024 at 11:41 am

ES bounced from 5092 zone above 5106/11 resistance intraday

ES has now spent 2

Posted by steve on 23rd of Apr 2024 at 12:48 pm

ES has now spent 2 hours in the noted resistance zone

yep - big level in

Posted by matt on 23rd of Apr 2024 at 12:59 pm

yep - big level in there

another thing was you had TICK level from 5072 where TICK spiked to 1600 on 4/17 cash open -that's a big spike high in the TICK and an important level

just sold my last Option

Posted by srusso1 on 23rd of Apr 2024 at 12:52 pm

just sold my last Option May 24 503 for profits Thanks BPT   Should have went with June Op.

ES 5077/81 minor rejection zone

Posted by steve on 22nd of Apr 2024 at 02:24 pm

ES 5077/81 minor rejection zone - thinking ES could target 5101/07 zone in coming days 

ES Update

Posted by steve on 23rd of Apr 2024 at 10:35 am

Achieved primary target 5103 - this is a potential rejection zone so TRIM and TRAIL

Right on cue with ES

Posted by steve on 22nd of Apr 2024 at 02:41 pm

Right on cue with ES from 5077 

Thanks Steve, I was just

Posted by abcdzhirt123 on 22nd of Apr 2024 at 02:35 pm

Thanks Steve, I was just thinking where the target should be.  What is your experience on how far back we should set stops and trail?   I want to protect from a shart decline but also don't want to lose much of what's been gained.    Thanks for all your guidance and mentorship, you have a great gift for this.

You should devise and follow

Posted by steve on 22nd of Apr 2024 at 02:38 pm

You should devise and follow your plan depending upon one's risk tolerance.   One thing to consider, is to lock in some gains to protect and offset the emotional swings - when you have some gains locked down, it allows for more freedom on the balance.  But again that's YOUR choice. 

ES early on rejected 58/64

Posted by steve on 19th of Apr 2024 at 10:56 am

ES early on rejected 58/64 zone and then tested 5027

ES slight undercut of last

Posted by steve on 16th of Apr 2024 at 08:09 am

ES slight undercut of last zone overnight (5082) and then bounce.

Updating levels now

ES 5211/20 strong zone

Posted by steve on 15th of Apr 2024 at 08:51 am

ES 5211/20 strong zone

ES strong zone indeed (big

Posted by steve on 15th of Apr 2024 at 12:55 pm

ES strong zone indeed (big rejection)

Two quick 10 point pulls

Posted by steve on 15th of Apr 2024 at 09:43 am

Two quick 10 point pulls off that zone - more it's tested the weaker it becomes 

big dive

Posted by shellson2 on 15th of Apr 2024 at 10:22 am

big dive

ES held initial support 5160

Posted by steve on 15th of Apr 2024 at 08:41 am

ES held initial support 5160 (mentioned in weekend newsletter) and bounced as Mid East tensions cooled 

Remains to be seen on Israli response but for now market stable

ES main target 5164/57 (being

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2024 at 12:53 pm

ES main target 5164/57 (being tested)

A few zones sliced and

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2024 at 10:55 am

A few zones sliced and now testing 77/81

ES Fib levels  .618 5205 .786 5191

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2024 at 09:12 am

ES Fib levels 

.618 5205

.786 5191

ES levels being sliced 

Posted by steve on 10th of Apr 2024 at 09:10 am

ES levels being sliced 

ES moved up to 5282/85

Posted by steve on 4th of Apr 2024 at 07:35 am

ES moved up to 5282/85 zone with support below now at 5273 and 5263

Bulls have the ball after moving to frontside of the cycle

Very nice Wyckoff Wave C

Posted by steve on 4th of Apr 2024 at 09:12 am

Very nice Wyckoff Wave C upthrust after range break yesterday 

ES initial zone 66/69

Posted by steve on 3rd of Apr 2024 at 10:01 am

ES initial zone 66/69

ES got the expected fade

Posted by steve on 3rd of Apr 2024 at 07:55 am

ES got the expected fade overnight 15+ points 

ADP National Employment Report: Mar.

Posted by steve on 3rd of Apr 2024 at 08:38 am

ADP National Employment Report: Mar. Private Sector Employment +184K vs +148K Est.

ISM Services at 10:00 AM

Posted by steve on 3rd of Apr 2024 at 09:09 am

ISM Services at 10:00 AM and Powell at 12:10 PM EST 

Trading community seems to have

Posted by steve on 3rd of Apr 2024 at 09:10 am

Trading community seems to have some issues initiating new post - for now will simply hit reply and post. 

ES appears like 5 waves

Posted by steve on 2nd of Apr 2024 at 08:24 am

ES appears like 5 waves down off the 5333 high (currently testing initial zone 5275-63  and if lost next down5257 then 5248-33) so we have to on the lookout for bounce from such zones 

What do these numbers mean?

Posted by regulardave on 27th of Mar 2024 at 04:07 pm

What do these numbers mean? I'm sorry but still learning.

ES Levels updated 

Posted by steve on 22nd of Mar 2024 at 09:25 am

ES Levels updated 

ES Support now 5308/02

Posted by steve on 21st of Mar 2024 at 01:08 pm

ES Support now 5308/02

Very nice 

Posted by steve on 21st of Mar 2024 at 01:57 pm

Very nice 

ES bouncing off 5202/08 zone

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2024 at 10:13 am

ES bouncing off 5202/08 zone - needs to respond to set higher low

5221 ES hurdle for Bulls 

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2024 at 10:13 am

5221 ES hurdle for Bulls 

over

Posted by shellson2 on 14th of Mar 2024 at 10:25 am

over

ping ponging

Posted by shellson2 on 14th of Mar 2024 at 10:27 am

ping ponging

and remember Quad Witch tomorrow

Posted by matt on 14th of Mar 2024 at 10:31 am

and remember Quad Witch tomorrow when you have events like that, the market typically doesn't trend in one direction but will chop around and fake you out

ES held initial support zone

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2024 at 05:53 am

ES held initial support zone and currently near first target zone.

ES support 5202-07 (Doji intraday) 

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2024 at 12:51 pm

ES support 5202-07 (Doji intraday) 

25+ points from listed intraday

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2024 at 02:22 pm

25+ points from listed intraday support on ES 

Decent bounce so trim and

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2024 at 01:18 pm

Decent bounce so trim and trail - working on cleaning up some charts etc 

ES tagged 5220 and faded

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2024 at 09:06 am

ES tagged 5220 and faded off that level 

After the pop - noticed

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2024 at 09:15 am

After the pop - noticed put buyers stepped up to the plate.  

This post sorry, I will

Posted by ruidoso on 12th of Mar 2024 at 02:41 pm

This post sorry, I will not mention it no mas

i believe june is  

Posted by Glad on 12th of Mar 2024 at 09:09 am

i believe june is   MESM24

ITS   H-M-U-Z

Correct  M = June

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2024 at 09:11 am

Correct  M = June

ES big support level around

Posted by steve on 11th of Mar 2024 at 08:55 am

ES big support level around 5160 ES (June Contract)

Which is what on the

Posted by mastermind on 11th of Mar 2024 at 08:58 am

Which is what on the S&P 500?

Approximately 70 points lower for

Posted by steve on 11th of Mar 2024 at 09:01 am

Approximately 70 points lower for SPX currently - will adjust down daily slightly - you should have access to SPX Futures Quotes As aTrader to Track Overnight Action 

The difference between ES and

Posted by steve on 11th of Mar 2024 at 10:29 am

The difference between ES and SPX is 65/66 points to be more precise 

ES reclaimed 5146 next above

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2024 at 02:46 pm

ES reclaimed 5146 next above 5155 and 5167/69

ES holding support here around

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2024 at 12:28 pm

ES holding support here around 4146/50

ES

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2024 at 12:55 pm

Lost support and you can see the reaction with next level around 5133

ES 5190 area big level

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2024 at 10:03 am

ES 5190 area big level so protect 

Not that far away now

Posted by shellson2 on 8th of Mar 2024 at 12:24 pm

Not that far away now

Shellson - that was the

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2024 at 12:27 pm

Shellson - that was the March contract not June - many quotes have rolled to June but I'm still on March until next week.  Made that clear last night 

Thx Steve. my error

Posted by shellson2 on 8th of Mar 2024 at 12:41 pm

Thx Steve. my error

Quick 15+ point pullback from

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2024 at 11:06 am

Quick 15+ point pullback from 5190 area - need to step away 

ES 50 point bounce off

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2024 at 10:23 am

ES 50 point bounce off noted support (5143) in newsletter - now churning at this level

SPX - 5300 by next

Posted by DigiNomad on 8th of Mar 2024 at 10:31 am

SPX - 5300 by next Wednesday? That might be too pessimistic...  I didn't watch the SOTU last night, but I'm guessing that if you listened carefully there were a lot of promises made that would require large increases in Federal deficit spending probably while saying out of the other side of mouth that deficit would be reduced by "paying fair share" or some nonsense like that.  Anyway, it was hard to imagine a down market today no matter what the jobs number was with people coming in with dreams of manic Gov spending dancing in their heads. 

ESM24 is the June ES

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2024 at 06:04 pm

ESM24 is the June ES Contract (Rollover Soon) 

ES bounced near prior pivot

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2024 at 04:53 pm

ES bounced near prior pivot 5143 - upside levels 5158/62 5169 5185/90

Fails 5140 then 5133/27 

For tonight ES 5100 and

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2024 at 10:23 pm

For tonight ES 5100 and NQ 18,000 are initial  resistance levels for bulls to reclaim.

Cleared initial hurdles keeping the

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2024 at 08:04 am

Cleared initial hurdles keeping the bounce/rally intact. ES 5120/25 next zone generally speaking...still open to possibility of retest or new highs as discussed last night. Tricky here so for me, level to level with the QQQ structure one such factor.

First test on ES getting

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2024 at 09:38 am

First test on ES getting a reaction as expected - faded 10+ points 

25 points - that was

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2024 at 10:09 am

25 points - that was the easy trade off initial test support now 5096/90

ES held posted support zone

Posted by steve on 6th of Mar 2024 at 11:09 am

ES held posted support zone and bounced 20+ 

ES Levels updated 

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2024 at 06:46 pm

ES Levels updated 

ES supports 5120/5100 broadly speaking

Posted by steve on 3rd of Mar 2024 at 11:51 am

ES supports 5120/5100 broadly speaking (levels above will be updated) 

ES

Posted by steve on 2nd of Mar 2024 at 08:21 am

Gamma Call Wall 5150 - Bulls Next Hurdle 

5136-40 achieved - posted target

Posted by steve on 1st of Mar 2024 at 12:53 pm

5136-40 achieved - posted target earlier 

ES 5123 reached next above

Posted by steve on 1st of Mar 2024 at 11:09 am

ES 5123 reached next above around 5135 

5115 ES a BIG GAMMA

Posted by steve on 29th of Feb 2024 at 06:36 pm

5115 ES a BIG GAMMA LEVEL - price rejected there today.   ES Support 5080/75 

It's possible today's move up was a corrective a-b-c  should bulls fail to hold serve.  Simply follow your plan 

ES moved up overnight to

Posted by steve on 1st of Mar 2024 at 05:56 am

ES moved up overnight to the 5115 Gamma Wall (posted yesterday here) where price found resistance. 

ES tags 5082 initial bounce

Posted by steve on 28th of Feb 2024 at 10:52 am

ES tags 5082 initial bounce target 

ES 5080 is a massive

Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2024 at 01:31 pm

ES 5080 is a massive put wall (support)

ES tested 5090 overnight then

Posted by steve on 26th of Feb 2024 at 09:12 am

ES tested 5090 overnight then bounced 

ES levels updated - still

Posted by steve on 22nd of Feb 2024 at 07:05 pm

ES levels updated - still in buy the dip mode until we see a shift in structure.  Needless to say, remain prudent 

ES nice bounce off 4952

Posted by steve on 22nd of Feb 2024 at 09:49 am

ES nice bounce off 4952

Nice bounce from support zone

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2024 at 03:35 pm

Nice bounce from support zone

ES tagged 4987 and then

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2024 at 12:07 pm

ES tagged 4987 and then faded

ES below 4972 (today's low)

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2024 at 10:50 am

ES below 4972 (today's low) next zone 4966/58 (many on sidelines today ahead of news so very thin) upside levels 4987/93

Yesterday after the close, ES

Posted by steve on 21st of Feb 2024 at 09:06 am

Yesterday after the close, ES retraced into resistance posted (4992/5000) and retraced down to initial target zone 4970 (overnight low 4972.50) where dip buyers were willing to purchase.  Now they need to build higher to sustain. 

Plenty of news on the docket for today with NVDA the big driver after the close.

ES 4991/88  achieved 

Posted by steve on 20th of Feb 2024 at 09:42 am

ES 4991/88  achieved 

Yesterday ES bounced to initial

Posted by steve on 20th of Feb 2024 at 09:27 am

Yesterday ES bounced to initial range 5029 where it stalled and then reversed down to 4998 zone 

ES Support 5030 (testing now)

Posted by steve on 16th of Feb 2024 at 08:51 am

ES Support 5030 (testing now)

Bounced directly off support (where

Posted by steve on 16th of Feb 2024 at 08:59 am

Bounced directly off support (where liquidity resided) - no change in structure 

OPEX - I'll let others blow up then let dust settle 

ES reached near 5053 level

Posted by steve on 15th of Feb 2024 at 05:23 pm

ES reached near 5053 level - protect 

Thus far ES stalled near

Posted by steve on 15th of Feb 2024 at 08:51 am

Thus far ES stalled near 5030

ES 5005 level last night

Posted by steve on 14th of Feb 2024 at 11:22 am

ES 5005 level last night was a good general level 

ES watching 4976 pivot into

Posted by steve on 13th of Feb 2024 at 05:34 pm

ES watching 4976 pivot into tomorrow (IB session) 

ES bounced out of final

Posted by steve on 13th of Feb 2024 at 03:45 pm

ES bounced out of final zone

VIX flush

ES 4959-64 resistance 

Posted by steve on 13th of Feb 2024 at 03:51 pm

ES 4959-64 resistance 

ES above 4983  and 4992

Posted by steve on 13th of Feb 2024 at 10:44 am

ES above 4983  and 4992 (big level)

On the bounce ES was

Posted by steve on 13th of Feb 2024 at 02:12 pm

On the bounce ES was unable to clear 4992 (big level posted) and faded back (internals suggested as much)

ES support 5047/48 then 5040

Posted by steve on 12th of Feb 2024 at 01:47 pm

ES support 5047/48 then 5040

5018 achieved 

Posted by steve on 7th of Feb 2024 at 01:31 pm

5018 achieved 

For those wondering, the all

Posted by steve on 7th of Feb 2024 at 10:59 am

For those wondering, the all time high on ES was 5028.25 (target) 

ES first zone reached from

Posted by steve on 6th of Feb 2024 at 09:37 am

ES first zone reached from support

ES overhead levels now 4843/49

Posted by steve on 19th of Jan 2024 at 11:52 am

ES overhead levels now 4843/49 and 4857/60 

ES reached first zone posted

Posted by steve on 19th of Jan 2024 at 12:46 pm

ES reached first zone posted below - main zone is next around 55/60

Closing in on that main

Posted by steve on 19th of Jan 2024 at 01:16 pm

Closing in on that main zone 

Achieved 

Posted by steve on 19th of Jan 2024 at 01:17 pm

Achieved 

ES bounced near important support

Posted by steve on 19th of Jan 2024 at 11:10 am

ES bounced near important support posted pre-market (4816-4808 was demand zone) - I had posted 4810 as rough guide

Note: On ES equal highs

Posted by steve on 19th of Jan 2024 at 11:16 am

Note: On ES equal highs above from late December and early January around 4841s

ES overnight high 4835.75 bulls

Posted by steve on 19th of Jan 2024 at 07:45 am

ES overnight high 4835.75 bulls want to hold above 4810/03 on any pullback 

ES held 4769/66 range and

Posted by steve on 18th of Jan 2024 at 02:14 pm

ES held 4769/66 range and bounced nicely 

ES stabilized at 4772/75 area

Posted by steve on 11th of Jan 2024 at 12:34 pm

ES stabilized at 4772/75 area - next up Bond auction so buckle up as this could sent it 

ES tagging lower levels -

Posted by steve on 11th of Jan 2024 at 11:19 am

ES tagging lower levels - one by one 

ES did reach first zone

Posted by steve on 11th of Jan 2024 at 08:28 am

ES did reach first zone overnight 

ES has reached the lower

Posted by steve on 8th of Jan 2024 at 12:02 pm

ES has reached the lower end of today's main zone 4765/73 (PROTECT)

ES support around 4690/4700

Posted by steve on 5th of Jan 2024 at 08:44 am

ES support around 4690/4700

ES

Posted by steve on 5th of Jan 2024 at 08:54 am

Good bounce off support zone - 4727/29 then  4736/40

ES bounced up into first

Posted by steve on 5th of Jan 2024 at 04:10 am

ES bounced up into first zone 4636/38 (failed) and now targeting lower zones (4720/17) is first target

Nice levels overnight 

Posted by steve on 5th of Jan 2024 at 08:36 am

Nice levels overnight 

ES

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2024 at 01:06 pm

Prior Support (4767/72) now resistance 

Yes indeed as you can

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2024 at 03:07 pm

Yes indeed as you can see the price action 

ES 20 points on 4772

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2024 at 03:15 pm

ES 20 points on 4772 rejection 

4756 achieved (4756/50 zone) -

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2024 at 09:58 am

4756 achieved (4756/50 zone) - if lost then 4744/37 zone 

ES rallied (tested) prior support

Posted by steve on 2nd of Jan 2024 at 08:39 am

ES rallied (tested) prior support turned resistance overnight at 4828 which was faded 

ES bouncing from 4828 support 

Posted by steve on 29th of Dec 2023 at 09:37 am

ES bouncing from 4828 support 

ES there are definitely sellers

Posted by steve on 27th of Dec 2023 at 02:08 pm

ES there are definitely sellers above 4830

ES 4830/34 strong resistance zone 

Posted by steve on 27th of Dec 2023 at 11:02 am

ES 4830/34 strong resistance zone 

ES Overhead 4756/60 (reclaims and

Posted by steve on 20th of Dec 2023 at 07:52 pm

ES Overhead 4756/60 (reclaims and holds) then 4768/72 4783/89 4798 

Support 4740/36 4727/20 4716 4708/05 4693

ES 4783 achieved (big level

Posted by steve on 21st of Dec 2023 at 08:38 am

ES 4783 achieved (big level around 4790)  Pullback could have been larger Wave 4 (or part of Wave 4)

4790ish big level indeed (some

Posted by steve on 21st of Dec 2023 at 10:28 am

4790ish big level indeed (some reactions around that number)

Below 4756/60 big support level

Nice levels today - nothing

Posted by steve on 21st of Dec 2023 at 05:18 pm

Nice levels today - nothing really as clear for tomorrow will update but bulls remain in control with SPX target new highs 

wow iren nice one Matt!

Posted by morton7 on 21st of Dec 2023 at 11:06 am

wow iren nice one Matt!

ES

Posted by steve on 21st of Dec 2023 at 01:18 am

4768 achieved

I updated those ES sticky

Posted by matt on 14th of Dec 2023 at 10:17 pm

I updated those ES sticky levels

Overnight ES came up to

Posted by steve on 8th of Dec 2023 at 08:07 am

Overnight ES came up to 4594 (resistance) and currently trading around 4580

ES achieved 3rd zone today

Posted by steve on 7th of Dec 2023 at 10:47 am

ES achieved 3rd zone today at 4588ish - trim and trail

ES 4576 next level achieved

Posted by steve on 7th of Dec 2023 at 09:27 am

ES 4576 next level achieved

ES held support near 4550

Posted by steve on 7th of Dec 2023 at 08:44 am

ES held support near 4550 and has achieved first target from last night newsletter at 4566 

Very nice gains to start the day 

ES 4603/10  upside target on

Posted by steve on 5th of Dec 2023 at 07:54 pm

ES 4603/10  upside target on range break with first zone at 4588/91.  

ES overnight high was 4590.25.

Posted by steve on 6th of Dec 2023 at 08:22 am

ES overnight high was 4590.25.  See range post after close prior to the weak ADP which is causing a lift currently

4597/4600 next zone Only a close

Posted by steve on 6th of Dec 2023 at 08:59 am

4597/4600 next zone

Only a close back below 4580 would pressure (prior resistance)

Quick 10 points from that

Posted by steve on 6th of Dec 2023 at 09:36 am

Quick 10 points from that zone 

ES achieved 90/94 trim and

Posted by steve on 1st of Dec 2023 at 11:47 am

ES achieved 90/94 trim and trail

ES bouncing near initial support 

Posted by steve on 29th of Nov 2023 at 10:51 am

ES bouncing near initial support 

ES has moved up as

Posted by steve on 29th of Nov 2023 at 09:06 am

ES has moved up as expected (see yesterday's comments) and has achieved the first zone by reaching 4590 with the next zone just above 4600 as the main target mentioned yesterday. 

Primary upside target for ES

Posted by steve on 28th of Nov 2023 at 10:54 am

Primary upside target for ES is 4607 IF can hold support (small dips continue to be bought)

The last pop was from Fedspeak (Waller) so have to see how it digests 

ES tags 4535

Posted by steve on 17th of Nov 2023 at 05:05 am

ES tags 4535

ES getting a pullback from

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2023 at 03:54 pm

ES getting a pullback from that final zone (4524)

Some pairing ahead of PPI 

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2023 at 03:59 pm

Some pairing ahead of PPI 

ES initial support now 4366

Posted by steve on 10th of Nov 2023 at 10:45 am

ES initial support now 4366 then 4355 below

Nice bounce off ES support 

Posted by steve on 10th of Nov 2023 at 11:06 am

Nice bounce off ES support 

ES bounced near 4375

Posted by steve on 9th of Nov 2023 at 01:24 pm

ES bounced near 4375

ES pulled back to 4384/88

Posted by steve on 7th of Nov 2023 at 01:50 pm

ES pulled back to 4384/88 (support created on upside break) and has since bounced.  Respect the trend until evidence changes. 

ES continuing to flag out

Posted by steve on 7th of Nov 2023 at 08:48 am

ES continuing to flag out following last week's big move 

ES support is now 4366/69

Posted by steve on 3rd of Nov 2023 at 12:46 pm

ES support is now 4366/69

ES Testing 4356/58 currently -

Posted by steve on 3rd of Nov 2023 at 08:48 am

ES Testing 4356/58 currently - fails to clear good spot to hedge if clears then 4366/73  - support is 4335ish

There is a wick on

Posted by steve on 3rd of Nov 2023 at 09:13 am

There is a wick on ES at 4366.50 if they want liquidity and broken upward channel backtest around 4370

ES Support now 4224/12 then

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 12:46 pm

ES Support now 4224/12 then 4194/81 and 4168/58 then open gap at 4138ish

Holding initial zone can retest 4248 then 4258/62 then 4278/90

Holding initial zone can retest

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 02:32 pm

Holding initial zone can retest 4248 then 4258/62 then 4278/90

Okay that worked nicely - trail up now 

4278 on ES achieved.  4290/96

Posted by steve on 2nd of Nov 2023 at 08:03 am

4278 on ES achieved.  4290/96 above

ES 4290/96 reached

Posted by steve on 2nd of Nov 2023 at 08:43 am

ES 4290/96 reached

ES 4260 achieved 

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 03:13 pm

ES 4260 achieved 

JP - make it rain

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 02:45 pm

JP - make it rain baby from my supply zone   

QQQ divergent high intraday on that last pop (just taking the trades)

Please realize this can still

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 02:47 pm

Please realize this can still squeeze higher IF support zone holds 

Timely 

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 03:04 pm

Timely 

20+ point bounce off support

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 02:57 pm

20+ point bounce off support thus far - was weary of too many double top shorters 

Maybe squeeze a few CTAs 

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 03:00 pm

Maybe squeeze a few CTAs 

Next ES zone 4243/47  Anyone who

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 10:24 am

Next ES zone 4243/47 

Anyone who missed the Treasury issuance news (see below)

ES bounced near initial support

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 08:34 am

ES bounced near initial support (4190)  Low was 4191.50 - rebounded on the Treasury issuance schedule 

Early reaction: "US Yields Fall

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 08:42 am

Early reaction: "US Yields Fall on Treasury Refunding Announcement" Bloomberg

The outlook for Treasury issuance

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2023 at 10:03 am

The outlook for Treasury issuance has provided a change in sentiment amongst liquidity traders for sure - you can see the reaction in the markets

Increased Bill issuance vs Bonds/Notes should bring more money out of RRP into equities

ES supports 4180 and 4153

Posted by steve on 30th of Oct 2023 at 03:54 pm

ES supports 4180 and 4153 above 4205 4225

ES back to 4153 

Posted by steve on 30th of Oct 2023 at 10:45 am

ES back to 4153 

Quick 12 point bounce -

Posted by steve on 30th of Oct 2023 at 10:54 am

Quick 12 point bounce - too quick to type this stuff.  Going to refrain and focus on my trading 

ES came down to initial

Posted by steve on 27th of Oct 2023 at 10:15 am

ES came down to initial support zone and popped 18 points - so thin and fast and best to lock down immediately for you scalpers.   Very difficult to play unless plan in place and dead focused which is difficult for me trying to post here.  I'm going to refrain from squiggles and wait for some structure to align but you can see the validity of key zones.   

By the way, the same

Posted by steve on 27th of Oct 2023 at 10:30 am

By the way, the same comments apply to many stocks like TSLA - just look at those 5 minute candles - who can trade that shit?   No reason to force trades. 

yep exactly. If you have

Posted by matt on 27th of Oct 2023 at 10:50 am

yep exactly. If you have a scalp system where you have defined strategy fine that is structured then great go for it. For swings, gotta be very picky - the one new long I put out on Wednesday DGX was a great trade - but I only added 1 idea, kept it very simple 

ES filled gap and bounced 

Posted by steve on 27th of Oct 2023 at 08:33 am

ES filled gap and bounced 

ES 4190 reached - lock

Posted by steve on 26th of Oct 2023 at 03:06 pm

ES 4190 reached - lock in partials at least 

20 point fade - on

Posted by steve on 26th of Oct 2023 at 03:30 pm

20 point fade - on countertrend move you must PROTECT 

30 point fade now. On

Posted by DigiNomad on 26th of Oct 2023 at 03:39 pm

30 point fade now. On the 61.8. Make that through the 61.8

Timely 

Posted by steve on 26th of Oct 2023 at 03:11 pm

Timely 

Quick 30 points from 4205 

Posted by steve on 26th of Oct 2023 at 10:03 am

Quick 30 points from 4205 

ES Supply Zone 4241-4290 (

Posted by steve on 26th of Oct 2023 at 09:10 am

ES Supply Zone 4241-4290 ( big zone to note - there are smaller resistance levels along the way) 

ES resistance to clear is

Posted by steve on 25th of Oct 2023 at 11:11 am

ES resistance to clear is 4245/50 

Failed and thus back down

Posted by steve on 25th of Oct 2023 at 12:17 pm

Failed and thus back down to test lows (undercut) 

ES lost 4345 support (was

Posted by steve on 25th of Oct 2023 at 10:00 am

ES lost 4345 support (was tested several times) and has achieved first target range around 4230

The big target for ES

Posted by steve on 24th of Oct 2023 at 02:40 pm

The big target for ES is 4300+/-   but ES must hold recent lows 4243 

ES 4274 achieved - resistance

Posted by steve on 24th of Oct 2023 at 10:11 am

ES 4274 achieved - resistance to overcome now 

ES 4274/75 is a big

Posted by steve on 24th of Oct 2023 at 10:20 am

ES 4274/75 is a big level (stalled at that level) with ES 4250 area below support 

ES next level 4282 (above

Posted by steve on 24th of Oct 2023 at 10:30 am

ES next level 4282 (above by noon would be constructive for further squeeze) 

Further squeeze evaporating...?

Posted by shellson2 on 24th of Oct 2023 at 12:17 pm

Further squeeze evaporating...?

This is not an easy

Posted by steve on 24th of Oct 2023 at 10:21 am

This is not an easy market so PROTECT and LOCK DOWN gains - no reason to be greedy with entire position - can keep a runner but always protect with trailing stops 

Hope you heeded that advice 

Posted by steve on 24th of Oct 2023 at 12:18 pm

Hope you heeded that advice 

did, thx

Posted by shellson2 on 24th of Oct 2023 at 12:23 pm

did, thx

I updated the sticky ES

Posted by matt on 20th of Oct 2023 at 09:20 am

4360s zone reached - nice

Posted by steve on 19th of Oct 2023 at 12:06 pm

4360s zone reached - nice pop on JP - PROTECT 

Hell just froze over...Steve Leisman

Posted by DigiNomad on 19th of Oct 2023 at 12:14 pm

Hell just froze over...Steve Leisman gave an almost hawkish interpretation of JP's prepared remarks. 

ES reached 4320 and bounced

Posted by steve on 19th of Oct 2023 at 09:12 am

ES reached 4320 and bounced 30 points thus far with 4355/63 next zone above 

Support 4328 if lost 4317/14 and  4302 on the table 

ES bigger level around 4340

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2023 at 02:51 pm

ES bigger level around 4340 +/-

Close enough for gov't work  

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2023 at 03:31 pm

Close enough for gov't work  

Is there a simple way

Posted by DigiNomad on 18th of Oct 2023 at 03:00 pm

Is there a simple way to convert ES to SPX (without pulling up an ES chart) or is it like trying to convert celsius to fahrenheit in your head? 

Digi - you should be

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2023 at 03:09 pm

Digi - you should be able to put up on your screen to monitor without looking at a chart - any broker can supply such quote

I have access through at

Posted by DigiNomad on 18th of Oct 2023 at 03:12 pm

I have access through at least 3 or 4 platforms I use, but I don't track it any more because I try to keep my screen de cluttered / focused and it's not a product I trade. I should probably at least add it to a watchlist again so I can refer to your levels. 

Currently  SPX 27 points lower

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2023 at 03:04 pm

Currently  SPX 27 points lower - that gap will shrink into expiration 

ES tags first target -

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2023 at 10:25 am

ES tags first target - brutal action here of late 

taking escalator down now

Posted by shellson2 on 18th of Oct 2023 at 10:30 am

taking escalator down now

4366 support on ES -

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2023 at 10:14 am

4366 support on ES - bulls want to hold.   

ES support 4387/90 - attempting

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 02:13 pm

ES support 4387/90 - attempting to bounce 

IF lost 4377/72 

ES reached next target zone

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 12:37 pm

ES reached next target zone around 4422 trail 

Steve, education question for you

Posted by DK on 17th of Oct 2023 at 01:08 pm

Steve, education question for you and Matt. So far they have come up short filling the gap on the SPX at 4400ish, but if and when they do fill it and perhaps run it higher, is this what you refer to as creating liquidity? Trying to learn here!  Thx,

They  ran the equal highs

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 01:23 pm

They  ran the equal highs on the SPX earlier (that's what I see creating liquidity and soon after your get a pullback).   The break takes out stops and gets some traders to chase setting the trap and then reverse.  Down 20+ points since 

Thanks as always Steve!

Posted by DK on 17th of Oct 2023 at 01:39 pm

Thanks as always Steve!

Now 30+ points for that

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 01:53 pm

Now 30+ points for that Bull trap (divergent high).   It's a hit and run market of late - for swings have to ride through the chop add weakness with stops 

ES support 4397/93 topside 4408

Posted by steve on 16th of Oct 2023 at 02:02 pm

ES support 4397/93 topside 4408 4416/20 and 4428 

ES lost 4393 targets below

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 08:39 am

ES lost 4393 targets below 4377 4370/65 bulls will need to reclaim 4393

ES Trade Shorts

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 09:42 am

Two targets achieved on ES - bulls need to hold 4365/62 now  breaks the 4352/47 and 4342/36 below 

Target above on holding support is  4383/90 4398/4407

Just to be clear on

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 09:59 am

Just to be clear on ES this is testing the zone where ES blasted off yesterday (key zone) 

50 points after the successful

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 11:52 am

50 points after the successful backtest of the key zone (yesterday's breakout area around 4365).  

Nearly a 20 point bounce

Posted by steve on 17th of Oct 2023 at 10:13 am

Nearly a 20 point bounce out of the highlighted zone 

thx Steve

Posted by matt on 17th of Oct 2023 at 10:01 am

thx Steve

nice rebound from the zone

Posted by matt on 17th of Oct 2023 at 10:35 am

nice rebound from the zone Steve mentioned below

ES 4407 reached 

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 09:58 am

ES 4407 reached 

ES support now 4493/80 (previous

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 09:55 am

ES support now 4493/80 (previous resistance now support)

ES lost support and down

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 10:53 am

ES lost support and down she goes - nice reaction from SUPPLY ZONES 

on this ride down

Posted by srusso1 on 13th of Oct 2023 at 10:54 am

on this ride down

Nearly perfect bounce off support

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:41 am

Nearly perfect bounce off support for ES - trailing up now 

ES got the pullback last

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:57 am

ES got the pullback last night I was hoping for and riding this bounce along with GC (took some down here) 

Steve   how do keep

Posted by rbreese on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:46 am

Steve   how do keep up with your crazy hours of posting at 2 30a.m. and again 5 hours later? 

I literally collapsed yesterday afternoon

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:52 am

I literally collapsed yesterday afternoon - working 18+ hours a day at 60 years old not good 

get some rest Steve!

Posted by morton7 on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:57 am

get some rest Steve!

Expecting a test of supply

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:43 am

Expecting a test of supply - unless takes out highs then look for a pulback from supply zone.  Level to level here 

Steve just to confirm, the

Posted by DK on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:49 am

Steve just to confirm, the supply you're talking about for the SPX is shown on your 30 minute chart from last night starting around 4365?

Yes - ES up 25+

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2023 at 08:53 am

Yes - ES up 25+ points from support so trail up - just because it moves into supply is not a reason to short without a valid trigger (it's just a zone that bulls need to overcome) 

Steve, grateful for all your

Posted by DK on 13th of Oct 2023 at 09:15 am

Steve, grateful for all your guidance and for always answering my questions.

ES retraced approximately .382 (4358)

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 03:24 pm

ES retraced approximately .382 (4358) of Wave 2-3 (normal) 

50% is 4336 (below that number then this count becomes questionable) 

ES hurdle is 4380/83 

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 03:20 pm

ES hurdle is 4380/83 

Note: ES Levels Updated 

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 01:59 pm

Note: ES Levels Updated 

ES 4366 next level 

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 01:51 pm

ES 4366 next level 

Achieved 

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 02:03 pm

Achieved 

ES resistance now 4420/22 (will

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 09:26 am

ES resistance now 4420/22 (will need to reclaim and build or be weary of failed move today).  Was a nice sale early today as posted pre-market.  Wave 4s are not easy to trade. 

I was on watch for

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 01:23 pm

I was on watch for a failed move as posted earlier - notice the false break on the SPX 4385.85 vs 4385.46 (they trap the late buyers providing liquidity) 

See my comments from earlier on the false break AND resistance levels (click next to the arrow for the stream)

ES reached next target zone

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 07:25 am

ES reached next target zone overnight (made a higher high and now we have 5 higher subwaves for larger wave 3 in toe so on watch for a wave 4 pullback under the view posted yesterday).  Let's see what CPI has in store 

ES 20+ points on that

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 08:42 am

ES 20+ points on that pullback

Steve despite the higher than

Posted by DK on 12th of Oct 2023 at 08:55 am

Steve despite the higher than expected CPI and the 20 point sell-off in ES immediately thereafter which has already started to recover, it feels like they want to push SPX to close the gap up at 4400ish in the regular session. Are you going to be on the lookout for some kind of reversal when if and we get up to that level?

Yes watch yields for reversal

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2023 at 09:15 am

Yes watch yields for reversal intraday to see if the bounce commences - won't worry about anything else for now

ES from 4377 to 4418 

Posted by steve on 11th of Oct 2023 at 04:44 pm

ES from 4377 to 4418 

Next target zone on ES

Posted by steve on 9th of Oct 2023 at 12:20 pm

Next target zone on ES 4347/51

ES achieved 4347/51 zone

Posted by steve on 9th of Oct 2023 at 01:36 pm

ES achieved 4347/51 zone

ES bounced near 4310 and

Posted by steve on 9th of Oct 2023 at 09:26 am

ES bounced near 4310 and reached initial target 4322 - thinner market today with Bond market closed 

ES Support now 4255/50

Posted by steve on 6th of Oct 2023 at 09:26 am

ES Support now 4255/50

Just getting my blood work

Posted by steve on 6th of Oct 2023 at 11:53 am

Just getting my blood work done - see that ES moved 70 points off that support level (that was the low on the initial pullback).  Big time squeeze - well done fellas

see my posts below

Posted by matt on 6th of Oct 2023 at 11:55 am

see my posts below

ES bounced off support -

Posted by steve on 6th of Oct 2023 at 09:47 am

ES bounced off support - I have an appointment this morning so will be out for awhile - best wishes to all 

ES Bulls want to hold

Posted by steve on 4th of Oct 2023 at 10:15 am

ES Bulls want to hold 4256/50 support for Upside 

ES held support and nice

Posted by steve on 4th of Oct 2023 at 10:35 am

ES held support and nice bounce 

will look for higher low

Posted by srusso1 on 4th of Oct 2023 at 10:46 am

will look for higher low now. SPX

ES has a 3 year

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2023 at 11:47 am

ES has a 3 year high volume node around 4190-4220 (mentioned this to Matt last week).  That is often a good target 

ES Several Target Zones Achieved 

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2023 at 11:19 am

ES Several Target Zones Achieved 

ES resistance zone 4308-20 broadly

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2023 at 09:47 am

ES resistance zone 4308-20 broadly speaking 

Unable to clear ES resistance

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2023 at 10:07 am

Unable to clear ES resistance zone and plunged 

ES reached first zone overhead 

Posted by steve on 2nd of Oct 2023 at 11:28 am

ES reached first zone overhead 

ES quick 12+ point pullback

Posted by steve on 2nd of Oct 2023 at 11:38 am

ES quick 12+ point pullback from that zone 

Make that 30+ points 

Posted by steve on 2nd of Oct 2023 at 11:57 am

Make that 30+ points 

nice job!

Posted by matt on 2nd of Oct 2023 at 11:46 am

nice job!

ES Tested 4315 bulls will

Posted by steve on 2nd of Oct 2023 at 08:12 am

ES Tested 4315 bulls will need to reclaim 4322 for starters 

This aligns with 4315 ES 

Posted by steve on 29th of Sep 2023 at 01:30 pm

This aligns with 4315 ES 

ES Support now 4352/47 and

Posted by steve on 29th of Sep 2023 at 10:44 am

ES Support now 4352/47 and 4342 

ES support now shifts to

Posted by steve on 28th of Sep 2023 at 01:04 pm

ES support now shifts to 4338/35 and 4322/18 

Overhead 4365/75

ES reached initial zone 

Posted by steve on 29th of Sep 2023 at 09:09 am

ES reached initial zone 

Next zone is 4330/35 (huge

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2023 at 03:08 pm

Next zone is 4330/35 (huge squeeze) then 4345/58 4375

Can you trust this squeeze

Posted by marcorab on 27th of Sep 2023 at 03:13 pm

Can you trust this squeeze when $TNX is still at the highs ?

ES bounced off 4377 

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2023 at 02:29 pm

ES bounced off 4377 

ES fighting hard to hold

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2023 at 11:57 am

ES fighting hard to hold its 200 MA (several tests now) - bears remain in control after rejection from supply zone posted earlier 

ES 4305.50 yesterday low -

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2023 at 10:54 am

ES 4305.50 yesterday low - keep close watch on the VIX 

ES bounced near 4315 (high

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2023 at 10:24 am

ES bounced near 4315 (high volume node from yesterday)

ES testing initial resistance zone

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2023 at 05:06 am

ES testing initial resistance zone

ES 200 day as posted

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2023 at 01:44 pm

ES 200 day as posted is 4302

ES tagged 4322 now resistance

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2023 at 01:17 pm

ES tagged 4322 now resistance 4335/38 then 4347/53

Support 4325 

ES rejected that zone 4335/38

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2023 at 01:39 pm

ES rejected that zone 4335/38

ES Sunday Night's low 4338ish 

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2023 at 09:58 am

ES Sunday Night's low 4338ish 

ES big level around 4330/35

Posted by steve on 25th of Sep 2023 at 11:52 am

ES big level around 4330/35 held today

ES below 4375 opens up

Posted by steve on 22nd of Sep 2023 at 09:52 am

ES below 4375 opens up for 4363 4355/47 - bulls need to reclaim 4385 for a test of 4400 area 

ES held and bounced from

Posted by steve on 22nd of Sep 2023 at 08:25 am

ES held and bounced from the initial support level posted in newsletter yesterday afternoon with BOJ making no changes on their loose policy

4368 tagged 

Posted by steve on 21st of Sep 2023 at 04:09 pm

4368 tagged 

One thing - until a

Posted by steve on 21st of Sep 2023 at 11:16 am

One thing - until a previous support-/resistance level is reclaimed be wary of bounces being sold. 

ES levels updated to reflect

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2023 at 11:58 am

ES levels updated to reflect action thus far on Tuesday - Around 1:30 am my time ES reached the first zone 4508/12 and I posted as such.   

With QQQ into fresh demand not interested in chasing new shorts (trail down on existing)  = ES bounce levels above if price can hold 4462

Timely 

Posted by steve on 19th of Sep 2023 at 01:47 pm

Timely 

NQ

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 09:35 am

NQ demand zone 15,341-15,246

NQ popped off demand zone

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 10:35 am

NQ popped off demand zone early and broke small time frame structure so now new demand zone 15,375=15,340  

Above 15,445 may lead to further squeeze direct with resistance at 15,435/15,443

NQ nearly 60 points now

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 11:25 am

NQ nearly 60 points now on the bounce 

NQ 80 points from Demand

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 11:55 am

NQ 80 points from Demand Zone - not bad in this chop 

Also note the VIX intraday

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 11:58 am

Also note the VIX intraday after today's gap higher open - smash down from opening 15 minute candle 

Quick pop on NQ (QQQ

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 10:57 am

Quick pop on NQ (QQQ calls) - choppy action so lock down some gains and trail if partaking (nothing easy in chop) 

Steve, the demand zone you

Posted by DK on 18th of Sep 2023 at 10:54 am

Steve, the demand zone you showed in the newsletter for the Qs is much much lower than their current price which means that if they were to get down there, NQ would probably have to get far below the current demand zone you list above15375-15340. How do we reconcile that?

Answer:  The QQQ shows Daily Demand zone - I'm simply trading intraday zones but more credence on the Daily for sure 

What I post here is

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 10:57 am

What I post here is updated based upon recent price action - focus on such levels for intraday.  I replied directly to your post - added below your question that Daily is more important but simply playing intraday for trade.  Note the 30 minute QQQ chart as well from weekend. 

NQ quick fade off resistance

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 10:50 am

NQ quick fade off resistance now into support but extremely choppy today so position small and remain nimble IF attempting to play

Most overseas markets lower overnight

Posted by steve on 18th of Sep 2023 at 08:21 am

Most overseas markets lower overnight with DAX/CAC down approximately 1 percent.  

ES traded in low 4500s until losing initial support 4497 and falling down to next level 4487

ES already down 20+ points

Posted by steve on 15th of Sep 2023 at 09:26 am

ES already down 20+ points from cited level 

Now 30 points on ES

Posted by steve on 15th of Sep 2023 at 09:38 am

Now 30 points on ES (trim and trail) 

Make that 50+ points (nasty

Posted by steve on 15th of Sep 2023 at 11:00 am

Make that 50+ points (nasty reversal but we were prepared with supply) 

very nice!

Posted by matt on 15th of Sep 2023 at 09:40 am

very nice!

ES support 4548 4542/40 

Posted by steve on 14th of Sep 2023 at 02:48 pm

ES support 4548 4542/40 

ES 4556 achieved 

Posted by steve on 14th of Sep 2023 at 12:22 pm

ES 4556 achieved 

ES reached next zone 4549 

Posted by steve on 14th of Sep 2023 at 11:03 am

ES reached next zone 4549 

ES Overnight support 4505/97 with

Posted by steve on 12th of Sep 2023 at 05:30 pm

ES Overnight support 4505/97 with initial resistance 4516 

ES pullback from initial resistance

Posted by steve on 11th of Sep 2023 at 09:46 am

ES pullback from initial resistance zone

ES 4476 achieved 

Posted by steve on 8th of Sep 2023 at 10:32 am

ES 4476 achieved 

ES 4465/66 tagged 

Posted by steve on 8th of Sep 2023 at 09:37 am

ES 4465/66 tagged 

ES Support 4448 and 4440

Posted by steve on 7th of Sep 2023 at 03:23 pm

ES Support 4448 and 4440 with levels above 4473/74 4485/90

Closed my shorts into this

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2023 at 01:09 pm

Closed my shorts into this support 

ES 4448/43 and NQ 15137/307 bounce zones 

ES reached next zone 4553/48

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2023 at 12:52 pm

ES reached next zone 4553/48 resistance now 4566 

ES Bounce stalling near level

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2023 at 02:05 pm

ES Bounce stalling near level posted - continue to monitor

Once ES lost Key support

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2023 at 12:22 pm

Once ES lost Key support you can see the move (quick flush) 

ES 4464/68 achieved potential bounce

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2023 at 10:54 am

ES 4464/68 achieved potential bounce zone

Thanks for SPX chart and

Posted by srusso1 on 6th of Sep 2023 at 10:59 am

Thanks for SPX chart and heads up.

ES Support now 4527/31 

Posted by steve on 1st of Sep 2023 at 09:12 am

ES Support now 4527/31 

ES Bulls held 4515 support

Posted by steve on 1st of Sep 2023 at 08:21 am

ES Bulls held 4515 support and moved up to achieve initial target zone overnight 

ES 4537 achieved - will

Posted by steve on 31st of Aug 2023 at 08:23 am

ES 4537 achieved - will update levels soon

ES reached 4516.50 overnight support

Posted by steve on 30th of Aug 2023 at 08:49 am

ES reached 4516.50 overnight support zone 4497/93 and below 4487 would target 4478/70.  Upside levels now 4515/23 and 4532/39

ES support below around 4490/95

Posted by steve on 29th of Aug 2023 at 06:54 pm

ES support below around 4490/95 with big support now at 4450 holding above on dips could see a retest of 4600.  

Continue to monitor USD/DXY along with AAPL for guideposts 

ES 4509 reached - next

Posted by steve on 29th of Aug 2023 at 03:47 pm

ES 4509 reached - next above is 4513/17

Ribbons are quite stretched on the 60/120 minute charts 

ES support is now 4487

Posted by steve on 29th of Aug 2023 at 01:46 pm

ES support is now 4487

ES 4448   

Posted by steve on 28th of Aug 2023 at 01:09 pm

ES 4448   

ES nice bounce off 4424

Posted by steve on 28th of Aug 2023 at 01:01 pm

ES nice bounce off 4424 initial support 

straight up WoW

Posted by srusso1 on 28th of Aug 2023 at 01:05 pm

straight up WoW

Tagged that 4428/33 zone and

Posted by steve on 25th of Aug 2023 at 03:03 pm

Tagged that 4428/33 zone and reversed - thin and moves quick.  Many swings (scalps) today

ES 4393 achieved

Posted by steve on 25th of Aug 2023 at 04:45 am

ES 4393 achieved

For ES important support is

Posted by steve on 24th of Aug 2023 at 10:59 am

For ES important support is in the low 4400s (note the prior low) 

ES Lost that zone late

Posted by steve on 24th of Aug 2023 at 05:38 pm

ES Lost that zone late day and flushed 

One reason was the gamma

Posted by steve on 25th of Aug 2023 at 08:42 am

One reason was the gamma squeeze due to 0DTE put buyers (market makers hedge by shorting stocks).   Saw the opposite on the buy side several times back in June/July.  But this action helps explain why we don't seem to get immediate follow thru selling on such candles.  Now with that said, JP on deck.

ES 4367 now support if

Posted by steve on 18th of Aug 2023 at 02:01 pm

ES 4367 now support if lost back to 4355, 4344/40 

Above 4383 and 4494/97 then 4407/17

Achieved target zone 4394/97 (a

Posted by steve on 18th of Aug 2023 at 03:52 pm

Achieved target zone 4394/97 (a +1,000 Tick into that zone thus pullback)

ES formed overhead supply 4447-4467

Posted by steve on 17th of Aug 2023 at 08:48 am

ES formed overhead supply 4447-4467 and Daily Supply above is at 4484-4518

ES 4448 now resistance (reached

Posted by steve on 16th of Aug 2023 at 12:29 pm

ES 4448 now resistance (reached 4444/4438 zone) next support below around 4430

Level to level on ES

Posted by steve on 16th of Aug 2023 at 10:04 am

Level to level on ES faded 4467 then 4444 then 4467 held again 

ES nearing secondary zone 

Posted by steve on 16th of Aug 2023 at 08:55 am

ES nearing secondary zone 

ES Support now 4479/76 with

Posted by steve on 14th of Aug 2023 at 11:20 am

ES Support now 4479/76 with next upside zone 4508/15

ES Levels updated - overnight

Posted by steve on 11th of Aug 2023 at 08:20 am

ES Levels updated - overnight ES traded within the levels provided in newsletter yesterday

ES Moved Down to the

Posted by steve on 11th of Aug 2023 at 08:38 am

ES Moved Down to the Initial Support Zone in Yesterday's Newsletter (4475/70)

ES 4493 now resistance 

Posted by steve on 10th of Aug 2023 at 02:35 pm

ES 4493 now resistance 

ES 4475 achieved - gave

Posted by steve on 10th of Aug 2023 at 01:58 pm

ES 4475 achieved - gave levels and plan earlier. No  structure break (much more important than symmetry)   

ES Levels Below 4488 (tagged)

Posted by steve on 10th of Aug 2023 at 12:36 pm

ES Levels Below 4488 (tagged) 4475/66 4453/48 4428/18

Upside Bulls want to reclaim 4509 for starters 

Tested initial resistance on ES

Posted by steve on 10th of Aug 2023 at 08:34 am

Tested initial resistance on ES 4524/27

ES bouncing off 4509

Posted by steve on 9th of Aug 2023 at 10:02 am

ES bouncing off 4509

That key triangle support was

Posted by steve on 8th of Aug 2023 at 04:07 pm

That key triangle support was tested once again and held today

ES did take out a prior high today with a move above 4511 

ES support now 4509

Posted by steve on 8th of Aug 2023 at 04:03 pm

ES support now 4509

For starters ES must now

Posted by steve on 8th of Aug 2023 at 10:46 am

For starters ES must now reclaim 4493 and build above - very weak

ES

Posted by steve on 8th of Aug 2023 at 08:07 am

Bulls losing support 4509, unless they can get back above 4509 and 4524/27, this opens door for more direct downside.  

ES longs 4507/10 with upside

Posted by steve on 7th of Aug 2023 at 08:53 am

ES longs 4507/10 with upside targets 4520/28 4536/38

Below 4504 - look for test of 4493/88

Likely to favor an inside day 

ES overnight high 4522

Posted by steve on 7th of Aug 2023 at 07:18 am

ES overnight high 4522

ES 4509 initial resistance fob

Posted by steve on 6th of Aug 2023 at 08:02 pm

ES 4509 initial resistance fob bulls to reclaim 

Steve have you considered adding

Posted by mundy on 4th of Aug 2023 at 06:48 pm

Steve have you considered adding NQ, I know you did give some levels a week ago. Next question:- Have you ever looked at the weekly levels? Could they be useful for the longer term trader.

I only have so much

Posted by steve on 5th of Aug 2023 at 10:42 am

I only have so much time to review these things so I will attempt to post when I have time to review.  ES will remain the focus along with the SPX and QQQ 

ES Support 4524/17 then 4509

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:17 pm

ES Support 4524/17 then 4509 - gateway to new lows if lost 

Very heavy selling in this

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:19 pm

Very heavy selling in this window 

Steve, why is ES your

Posted by DigiNomad on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:25 pm

Steve, why is ES your primary reference? I assume you trade futures? Do a lot of other people on here also trade ES?  Just wondering because it's confusing for me as a SPX and SPY trader (those are much closer to each other in nominal terms). 

It trades around the clock

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:29 pm

It trades around the clock so that's why - you can apply to the SPX 

I for one virtually only

Posted by mundy on 4th of Aug 2023 at 06:46 pm

I for one virtually only trade futures because of living in New Zealand. I use ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC and MBT.

SPX does also...it's just not

Posted by DigiNomad on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:32 pm

SPX does also...it's just not available as easily as ES on many platforms.  (I think it trades 23.5 hours per day...but I could be off on that).

It doesn't really apply well to SPX. It's a 25 point delta right now and was 30 point delta 15 minutes ago. 

No it does not it

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:34 pm

No it does not it closes at 4 pm EST -currently there is a 20 point difference to SPX and ES just adjust to SPX 

I make after hours trades

Posted by DigiNomad on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:35 pm

I make after hours trades in SPX all the time. On the CBOE website they advertise it as a 24/5 product. 

You make after hours trades

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:35 pm

You make after hours trades but the index closes at 4 pm.  Just take my levels and adjust the the SPX (simple)

ES is the SPX futures - SPX is a cash index with regular trading hours (that' why they ring the bell) 

I rarely trade SPY at

Posted by DigiNomad on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:38 pm

I rarely trade SPY at all. Only for really small accounts.


I have been trading more

Posted by DigiNomad on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:39 pm

I have been trading more in the overnight since I figured out the OANDA trick in Trading View (thanks for that BTW)

Yes I told you about

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:40 pm

Yes I told you about OANDA but Futures have tax benefits as well 

The tax benefits are why

Posted by DigiNomad on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:41 pm

The tax benefits are why I stick with SPX and NDX. Same as futures. 60/40 treatment. 

They are ripping thru support

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 02:23 pm

They are ripping thru support levels - so remain cautious here 

ES next potential target area

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 10:34 am

ES next potential target area 4555/64 if wants higher...nice bounce from support (4515/20) so trim and trail.  Some resistance right around here to clear (4545)

ES into that zone I

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 12:48 pm

ES into that zone I posted after the pullback (40 points on the lift).. now protect profits. This has been a fantastic trading day on ES with those levels 

Pretty damn clear on the

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 03:03 pm

Pretty damn clear on the resistance zone 

Level to level trading on

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 01:59 pm

Level to level trading on ES - now down 20+ points from zone 

ES Level Achieved

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 12:26 pm

Yes Sir - trail em up further 

ES Hard Rejection near 4550

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 10:13 am

ES Hard Rejection near 4550 zone - bulls prefer to hold 4520/15 

Below 4510/07 - shorts to next levels 

ES 30 point rebound from

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 11:49 am

ES 30 point rebound from posted support 

ES bounced from posted support 

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 10:20 am

ES bounced from posted support 

NYAD still ~ 2:1 positive

Posted by kevindeng0727 on 4th of Aug 2023 at 10:18 am

NYAD still ~ 2:1 positive on this pullback

ES looks poised to test

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 09:33 am

ES looks poised to test the 4550 area (see levels) 

Notice the reaction off that

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 10:00 am

Notice the reaction off that ES zone 

Achieved - reaching that target

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 09:40 am

Achieved - reaching that target zone and now let's see how it reacts 

ES Damn Good Levels 

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 09:52 am

ES Damn Good Levels 

ES Support 4522/4515 upside 4530/37

Posted by steve on 4th of Aug 2023 at 08:28 am

ES Support 4522/4515 upside 4530/37 then 4449/55 clears 4566/75

Below 4507 next 4495/85

Took some gains after fading

Posted by steve on 3rd of Aug 2023 at 10:32 am

Took some gains after fading resistance - if ES loses 4505 likely to test under 4500 

I wanted to see at

Posted by steve on 3rd of Aug 2023 at 10:34 am

I wanted to see at least a retest of the opening lows (after bulls failed to reclaim)...achieved with a minor new low thus far.  

ES will need to reclaim

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2023 at 12:19 pm

ES will need to reclaim a resistance in order to see a relief bounce/rally, now 4552.  SPX/ES some positive divergence on 5 minute

This is why a wait

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2023 at 03:37 pm

This is why a wait for a change of structure - ES failed to take back 4552 and made new low

The 47 day streak is broken of no 1% down days for SPX

Not yet broken    Still

Posted by DigiNomad on 2nd of Aug 2023 at 03:48 pm

Not yet broken    Still time to buy trillions worth of out of the money SPX calls in the next 15 minutes to  float this pig back to less than a 1% loss. 

ES 4560/57 then 4547 supports

Posted by steve on 2nd of Aug 2023 at 04:08 am

ES 4560/57 then 4547 supports below 4572

ES dropped down to 4572ish

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2023 at 06:05 pm

ES dropped down to 4572ish on the news before bouncing back to 4580ish

ES support zone held and

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2023 at 02:50 pm

ES support zone held and bounced twice 

ES initial support 4593/90 Overnight ES

Posted by steve on 1st of Aug 2023 at 09:15 am

ES initial support 4593/90

Overnight ES reached 4620 level 

ES bounced off initial support 

Posted by steve on 31st of Jul 2023 at 01:09 pm

ES bounced off initial support 

ES Fib Levels

Posted by steve on 28th of Jul 2023 at 08:52 am

ES 4594.25 is 50% Fib and 4604 is .618 4617.75 is .786

ES Support now 4582/84

Posted by steve on 28th of Jul 2023 at 08:43 am

ES Support now 4582/84

Agree with this lady's view

Posted by steve on 28th of Jul 2023 at 08:41 am

Agree with this lady's view on causes on the ramp in inflation 

ES pulling back some but

Posted by steve on 27th of Jul 2023 at 10:09 am

ES pulling back some but support under at 4617/10

Can you please add futures

Posted by 2schnauzers on 27th of Jul 2023 at 09:30 am

Can you please add futures to the KISS tables?

I trade primarily futures /ES /NQ /CL etc. it would be great if you could add these along with the interest rate and foreign currency and agricultural. You must be generating them to display the ES daily stuff. Thanks!

again we need to finish

Posted by matt on 27th of Jul 2023 at 09:33 am

again we need to finish other projects like the automatic email for set favorites. We can add a column eventually for some select futures, or maybe I can simply add ES and NQ and YM to the the SPX, Nasdaq, and Dow table - for now I'll simply do that

I added ES, YM, NQ

Posted by matt on 27th of Jul 2023 at 09:38 am

I added ES, YM, NQ to the ETF column - should show up after the KISS tables are updated after the close

Thanks looks great, if its

Posted by 2schnauzers on 27th of Jul 2023 at 04:19 pm

Thanks looks great, if its not too much trouble RTY as well. (and in your copious free time the currencies)

I'd love KISS for like

Posted by donkeyface on 28th of Jul 2023 at 08:14 am

I'd love KISS for like 2min charts and 10min... gimme some LTFs fam.  LOL.      AND a day trading specific channel so you can tackle the 4 customers who day trade.  LOLOL... thanks as always,  this was great addition.


ES held support and now

Posted by steve on 26th of Jul 2023 at 02:42 pm

ES held support and now getting a bounce - reaching a few targets (next 4612-24 zone) 

Did some news just drop

Posted by icecoldjones on 26th of Jul 2023 at 02:43 pm

Did some news just drop in that FMOC?

ES Support 4593 and 4582

Posted by steve on 25th of Jul 2023 at 05:52 pm

ES Support 4593 and 4582 Overnight 

ES 4603 is pretty decent

Posted by steve on 25th of Jul 2023 at 01:37 pm

ES 4603 is pretty decent resistance so protect 

ES tested and found sellers

Posted by steve on 25th of Jul 2023 at 09:15 am

ES tested and found sellers at 4093 and has pulled back about 12 points from that zone back to support around 4580ish

ES stymied at 4590/93 zone

Posted by steve on 24th of Jul 2023 at 02:48 pm

ES stymied at 4590/93 zone nice quick fade 

ES approaching next level 4585/86

Posted by steve on 18th of Jul 2023 at 02:08 pm

ES approaching next level 4585/86 - simply trail up - until a support level is breached

ES 4572 clipped  above 4578

Posted by steve on 18th of Jul 2023 at 11:24 am

ES 4572 clipped  above 4578  then 4585

Support now 4551 and 4545

Narrow range on ES overnight

Posted by steve on 17th of Jul 2023 at 09:00 am

Narrow range on ES overnight 4527.75-4539.25 

Likely to be trappy for bulls and bears if zig zag moves unfolding 

ES 4520 support tested early

Posted by steve on 13th of Jul 2023 at 03:53 pm

ES 4520 support tested early today then 30 point run 

ES overnight range 4411-4440 with

Posted by steve on 10th of Jul 2023 at 09:01 am

ES overnight range 4411-4440 with levels updated above. 

Very nauseous this morning so need to lay down for awhile 

You’ve probably addressed this before…

Posted by donkeyface on 8th of Jul 2023 at 07:34 am

You’ve probably addressed this before… how are you getting these ES levels?    Is it manual or is there an indicator?   Also you guys could package up your Tradingview Indicators and sell them?!?  Thanks

ES support now shifts up

Posted by steve on 30th of Jun 2023 at 09:50 am

ES support now shifts up to 4460-65 and 4445 

ES next level 4460-65 with

Posted by steve on 30th of Jun 2023 at 08:33 am

ES next level 4460-65 with support 4440

ES approaching 4455 Most bullish view

Posted by steve on 30th of Jun 2023 at 06:35 am

ES approaching 4455

Most bullish view is a nested 1-2 

PCE at 8:30 EST

ES building energy in the

Posted by steve on 29th of Jun 2023 at 11:18 am

ES building energy in the 4400-4435 range 

ES has a 60 minute

Posted by steve on 29th of Jun 2023 at 08:48 am

ES has a 60 minute wedge into supply currently to monitor

Quick 10+ points pullback

Posted by steve on 29th of Jun 2023 at 08:53 am

Quick 10+ points pullback

Now 20+ ES points from

Posted by steve on 29th of Jun 2023 at 09:16 am

Now 20+ ES points from earlier highs 

ES right back to the

Posted by steve on 28th of Jun 2023 at 12:33 pm

ES right back to the pivot - nice trade 

ES paused near 4431 

Posted by steve on 28th of Jun 2023 at 12:21 pm

ES paused near 4431 

ES tested pivot 4389 (held)

Posted by steve on 27th of Jun 2023 at 10:12 am

ES tested pivot 4389 (held) and reversed down 

ES initial test of 4404

Posted by steve on 26th of Jun 2023 at 10:11 am

ES initial test of 4404 failed 

Nice fade from that level

Posted by steve on 26th of Jun 2023 at 10:41 am

Nice fade from that level - big hurdle which equates to around 4263 SPX.  Markets are attempting to balance after a big run 

ES Faded Right Off 4404 

Posted by steve on 22nd of Jun 2023 at 08:56 am

ES Faded Right Off 4404 

The new Kiss STS Tables

Posted by srusso1 on 22nd of Jun 2023 at 09:12 am

The new Kiss STS Tables look great Thanks Matt, James and Steve for all your hard work   

Indeed! Kudos

Posted by shellson2 on 22nd of Jun 2023 at 09:16 am

Indeed! Kudos

ES Support 4393 (tested) First

Posted by steve on 22nd of Jun 2023 at 08:05 am

ES Support 4393 (tested) First level overhead 4404 to reclaim - other levels posted 

ES Support 4430 4421 4405

Posted by steve on 20th of Jun 2023 at 08:37 am

ES Support 4430 4421 4405 with 4455 and 4466 topside

ES 4462 Support for Overnight

Posted by steve on 15th of Jun 2023 at 05:07 pm

ES 4462 Support for Overnight - Big level below at 4430

ES Support 4385 with resistance

Posted by steve on 14th of Jun 2023 at 02:37 pm

ES Support 4385 with resistance 4408-4414

ES Support now 4395-43801

Posted by steve on 13th of Jun 2023 at 09:46 am

ES Support now 4395-43801

ES bounced near support level

Posted by steve on 13th of Jun 2023 at 10:38 am

ES bounced near support level posted 

ES high 4415.50 (near 2nd

Posted by steve on 13th of Jun 2023 at 09:21 am

ES high 4415.50 (near 2nd level)

Maybe a gap fill and

Posted by steve on 13th of Jun 2023 at 09:23 am

Maybe a gap fill and bounce today - let's see 

Resistance area here on ES 

Posted by steve on 12th of Jun 2023 at 02:04 pm

Resistance area here on ES 

Big target range on ES

Posted by steve on 9th of Jun 2023 at 10:23 am

Big target range on ES here 4325-30 (locking in some gains)

ES Stalling at this big

Posted by steve on 9th of Jun 2023 at 10:42 am

ES Stalling at this big level 

4315 tagged 

Posted by steve on 9th of Jun 2023 at 09:45 am

4315 tagged 

Continue to trail up stops

Posted by steve on 9th of Jun 2023 at 09:26 am

Continue to trail up stops on longs and remain prudent - a few names gapping today

ES support 4280 if lost

Posted by steve on 8th of Jun 2023 at 07:57 pm

ES support 4280 if lost may target 4255 holding back to 4300 and clearing may target 4325 

Good levels overnight - also

Posted by steve on 9th of Jun 2023 at 08:16 am

Good levels overnight - also be mindful of equity futures rollover.  On Monday will start posting September contract 

ES now testing next level

Posted by steve on 8th of Jun 2023 at 11:09 am

ES now testing next level after clearing 4280.  

ES 4280 has been resistance

Posted by steve on 8th of Jun 2023 at 10:09 am

ES 4280 has been resistance thus far 

4304 rejected (great level) with

Posted by steve on 7th of Jun 2023 at 10:44 am

4304 rejected (great level) with today's high 4304.75 

Bull trap for late chasers - now let's see how things unfold

ES moved down to initial

Posted by steve on 7th of Jun 2023 at 10:27 am

ES moved down to initial support - great levels 

ES tagged first level 4304

Posted by steve on 7th of Jun 2023 at 09:42 am

ES tagged first level 4304 - watch for reaction 

ES once again back at

Posted by steve on 6th of Jun 2023 at 03:12 pm

ES once again back at 4288

ES back up to initial

Posted by steve on 6th of Jun 2023 at 10:34 am

ES back up to initial resistance 

ES bounced at 4268 support 

Posted by steve on 6th of Jun 2023 at 10:14 am

ES bounced at 4268 support 

ES 4275 some resistance then

Posted by steve on 2nd of Jun 2023 at 09:45 am

ES 4275 some resistance then 4280-85with support now 4240

ES has a falling wedge

Posted by steve on 31st of May 2023 at 09:19 am

ES has a falling wedge on 30 minute to monitor

can you post your image?

Posted by matt on 31st of May 2023 at 09:40 am

can you post your image? I sort of drew one in here on the 1hr ES. 

anyway some nice short setups for quick trade this morning on the MACD KISS/Stoch setup that played out

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/5U8uDGBj/ 

ES support 4221 and 4205

Posted by steve on 29th of May 2023 at 09:38 pm

ES support 4221 and 4205 (tagged 4243 target during short session) 

Updated ES From Yesterday Comments

Posted by steve on 30th of May 2023 at 08:42 am

ES held support overnight - consolidates in the recent range 4220-4244 with 4255-60 and 4275 overhead.  For dip, support at 4220 would need to fail. 

ES upon quick review (more

Posted by steve on 28th of May 2023 at 04:45 pm

ES upon quick review (more later) key topside levels 4230-4250 with 4150 (if lost) 4090-4100 below (Weekly Levels).  

ES 40 point fade from

Posted by steve on 30th of May 2023 at 01:39 pm

ES 40 point fade from zone posted on Sunday

ES popped right into the

Posted by steve on 28th of May 2023 at 10:18 pm

ES popped right into the zone posted - and then faded some. 

Thanks Steve. Any possibility of

Posted by mundy on 28th of May 2023 at 05:46 pm

Thanks Steve. Any possibility of NQ levels too, especially during week-end review?

ES Testing May highs and

Posted by steve on 26th of May 2023 at 03:13 pm

ES Testing May highs and pausing 

ES 4190+ target achieved from

Posted by steve on 26th of May 2023 at 10:03 am

ES 4190+ target achieved from last night

After  the data, ES came

Posted by steve on 26th of May 2023 at 08:47 am

After  the data, ES came down to 4155 and bouncing 

ES nearly 40 points directly

Posted by steve on 26th of May 2023 at 10:17 am

ES nearly 40 points directly off support 

ES Resistance 4150-60 with 4135

Posted by steve on 25th of May 2023 at 08:37 am

ES Resistance 4150-60 with 4135 now support 

Above 4166 4175 

ES 4175 tagged 

Posted by steve on 25th of May 2023 at 02:04 pm

ES 4175 tagged 

ES 4166 tagged 

Posted by steve on 25th of May 2023 at 08:45 am

ES 4166 tagged 

Nice fade on ES off

Posted by steve on 25th of May 2023 at 09:33 am

Nice fade on ES off resistance - wild day 

yep expect some wild action

Posted by matt on 25th of May 2023 at 09:35 am

yep expect some wild action

ES Support now 4142-45 

Posted by steve on 10th of May 2023 at 03:30 pm

ES Support now 4142-45 

ES Support now 4148

Posted by steve on 10th of May 2023 at 09:09 am

ES Support now 4148

ES 4134 was squeeze trigger

Posted by steve on 10th of May 2023 at 08:47 am

ES 4134 was squeeze trigger (reclaim support) 

Target to run those equal highs around 4160s

Squeeze big time - think

Posted by te22 on 10th of May 2023 at 09:15 am

Squeeze big time - think of all those massive short positions waiting for the economy to soften harder and EPS estimates to ratchet down faster. They may prove right, but they are too early.

I'm doing just fine with

Posted by DigiNomad on 10th of May 2023 at 09:55 am

I'm doing just fine with shorts (90% of my account). You don't have to short at the money to make money. Also, the twitterati celebrating a 5.0% core CPI (Kobessi Letter, etc) and saying the Feds plan is working need to step away from the bong and think for a second. After today's flat core print (e.g. the one that shows no improvement and is still 150% above 2% target), the Fed is stuck between two choices - another raise or a pause. They might get pressured into a pause, but they probably need a raise (or 4).   Consider this: how bad is 5% core? Well, prices will double every 14.4 years with that rate of inflation (great for some businesses, but probably not great for you). On the other hand, at 2%, prices double every 36 years.  Not so great for the a lot of businesses trying to show growth at all costs (even if growth is simply a function of passing on inflated prices to consumer, as it has been recently), but much better for the common people. 

te22 - the market gods

Posted by matt on 10th of May 2023 at 09:54 am

te22 - the market gods saw your comments below and decided to smack the market gap LOL

I caught the pullback, too

Posted by te22 on 10th of May 2023 at 10:12 am

I caught the pullback, too +$8k on long QQQ trade :) 

wow I managed to buy

Posted by matt on 10th of May 2023 at 10:04 am

wow I managed to buy that bottom when SPX testes the 50 SMA on the 5 min - I got into MES via the 2 min Heiken Ashi chart - I'm really liking those Heiken Ashi bars lately for trading MES on - triggered off the small doji

anyway lucky buy - now we'll see what happens the rest of the day. 

on the gap up I was wondering if it would turn into a trend day but you don't get pullbacks like that on a trend day, and now price has retraced more than 1/2 of that decline, so we'll see what transpires 

another nice trigger off the

Posted by matt on 10th of May 2023 at 11:34 am

another nice trigger off the lows off that heiken ashi bar

ES 4129-33 was the initial

Posted by steve on 9th of May 2023 at 12:12 pm

ES 4129-33 was the initial support zone with the low 4131 thus far - basing here all morning.  Other levels above in sticky post. 

ES bounce stalled with first

Posted by steve on 9th of May 2023 at 10:08 am

ES bounce stalled with first resistance zone thus far 

ES came down into support

Posted by steve on 28th of Apr 2023 at 01:40 pm

ES came down into support zone around 4130 which held and worked higher 

ES some resistance around 4110

Posted by steve on 26th of Apr 2023 at 12:11 pm

ES some resistance around 4110 then 4120ish

Darn nice reaction from that

Posted by steve on 26th of Apr 2023 at 01:51 pm

Darn nice reaction from that resistance especially with demand much lower 

ES 4160 A ROCK -

Posted by steve on 21st of Apr 2023 at 10:45 am

ES 4160 A ROCK - beauty fade again 

yep! that was a gift,

Posted by matt on 21st of Apr 2023 at 10:46 am

yep! that was a gift, initially sold down to a support, then rallied back to that resistance for a nice short again

4160 ES stalled 

Posted by steve on 21st of Apr 2023 at 09:51 am

4160 ES stalled 

ES bounced near pivot/demand zone

Posted by steve on 21st of Apr 2023 at 09:25 am

ES bounced near pivot/demand zone 4138 

SPX Support 4120-25 (attempting to

Posted by steve on 20th of Apr 2023 at 08:29 am

SPX Support 4120-25 (attempting to bounce) and then 4110

Support from earlier on SPX

Posted by steve on 20th of Apr 2023 at 03:12 pm

Support from earlier on SPX being tested once again - weakening 

ES bouncing some from 4146 

Posted by steve on 20th of Apr 2023 at 07:16 am

ES bouncing some from 4146 

On ES Weekly level of

Posted by steve on 16th of Apr 2023 at 02:01 pm

On ES Weekly level of interest 4160 which holding above would initially target prior highs at 4208.  Below 4160 would first target 4130.  Weekly extremes 4060-4265

These are simply some Weekly levels - will fill in with daily levels in the table above later. 

ES bottomed with that negative

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2023 at 12:02 pm

ES bottomed with that negative 1000+ tick earlier 

also an objective long entry

Posted by matt on 12th of Apr 2023 at 12:06 pm

also an objective long entry about an hr ago when the VIX closed back inside its upper Bollinger Bands - nice trade on UPRO there, again you have the tradingview chart to monitor

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/xLXU7jiz/ 

updated view of the 5

Posted by matt on 12th of Apr 2023 at 02:42 pm

updated view of the 5 min VIX with UPRO - been giving amazing intra day signals long and short-  nice buy signal this morning and nice short signals here earlier

ES Daily Supply Zone 4177.75-4220.50

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2023 at 09:01 am

ES Daily Supply Zone 4177.75-4220.50

ES 4170-80 Range Resistance of

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2023 at 08:40 am

ES 4170-80 Range Resistance of Note

ES Supply

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2023 at 11:46 am

Nearly 60 points off that zone 

largest intra day bounce on

Posted by matt on 12th of Apr 2023 at 11:53 am

largest intra day bounce on SPX cash, intra day sym break

Decent fade for a trade

Posted by steve on 12th of Apr 2023 at 08:47 am

Decent fade for a trade off that zone 

So /ES is putting its

Posted by junkie on 12th of Apr 2023 at 08:52 am

So /ES is putting its 5th wave and a divergent high now, exceeding its prior week's high of 4171.

ES/SPX  bounce stalled near 50%

Posted by steve on 10th of Apr 2023 at 12:04 pm

ES/SPX  bounce stalled near 50% retrace and 4118 pivot 

Stall is a nice way

Posted by DigiNomad on 10th of Apr 2023 at 12:06 pm

Stall is a nice way of putting it. That escalated quickly! 

The bounce stalled and took

Posted by steve on 10th of Apr 2023 at 12:08 pm

The bounce stalled and took the shoot down - I mentioned a possible wave 4-5 earlier and thus wanted to see the reaction at resistance.  Good levels 

Mr. Market is off its'

Posted by DigiNomad on 10th of Apr 2023 at 12:42 pm

Mr. Market is off its' medication - batshit crazy action. 

Exactly! I want it to

Posted by icecoldjones on 10th of Apr 2023 at 01:00 pm

Exactly! I want it to keep tanking!

ES 4100 area and SPX

Posted by steve on 10th of Apr 2023 at 12:36 pm

ES 4100 area and SPX 4075 remain supported 

ES Supply Zone 4169.75-4181.50

Posted by steve on 4th of Apr 2023 at 08:45 am

ES Supply Zone 4169.75-4181.50

I gotta start waking up

Posted by donkeyface on 4th of Apr 2023 at 09:03 am

I gotta start waking up earlier than 5am

ES  Initial Support 4120-26 

Posted by steve on 3rd of Apr 2023 at 08:50 am

ES  Initial Support 4120-26 

ES Support 4060 (prior high

Posted by steve on 30th of Mar 2023 at 01:53 pm

ES Support 4060 (prior high and 30 minute trend support) 

Nearly 20 ES points off

Posted by steve on 30th of Mar 2023 at 03:41 pm

Nearly 20 ES points off support 

Nice bounce off support 

Posted by steve on 30th of Mar 2023 at 02:34 pm

Nice bounce off support 

yep that was also a

Posted by matt on 30th of Mar 2023 at 03:53 pm

yep that was also a big support area from those past TICK spikes

4080 is likely a target

Posted by junkie on 30th of Mar 2023 at 02:58 pm

4080 is likely a target for the close today.

Posted that earlier...that would be

Posted by fredsaid on 30th of Mar 2023 at 03:03 pm

Posted that earlier...that would be a beauty eh.

ES 4038-48 range watching 

Posted by steve on 27th of Mar 2023 at 09:52 am

ES 4038-48 range watching 

With the action overnight ES

Posted by steve on 27th of Mar 2023 at 08:45 am

With the action overnight ES Support now 4020 and 4000 

ES support 3935 bouncing -

Posted by steve on 24th of Mar 2023 at 08:57 am

ES support 3935 bouncing - reclaim 3950 is first level then 3965 then 3980

Accomplished 

Posted by steve on 24th of Mar 2023 at 12:56 pm

Accomplished 

ES 4038-50 next zone already

Posted by steve on 23rd of Mar 2023 at 10:53 am

ES 4038-50 next zone already tagged 2 targets so protect gains 

ES Fresh Supply Above 4078-4120

Posted by steve on 22nd of Mar 2023 at 09:04 am

ES Fresh Supply Above 4078-4120

4040 pivot hit with support

Posted by steve on 21st of Mar 2023 at 03:53 pm

4040 pivot hit with support now at 4022 on ES 

ES Daily failed at declining

Posted by steve on 15th of Mar 2023 at 09:03 am

ES Daily failed at declining 9 day EMA overnight and reversed hard after Europe session.

ES has some positive divergence on small time frames - NQ still showing relative strength  still well above 3/12 low. 

ES coming into next target

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2023 at 11:19 am

ES coming into next target range 3970-80

ES 3950 then 3970-80 overhead

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2023 at 09:48 am

ES 3950 then 3970-80 overhead - nice bounce

ES

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2023 at 01:11 pm

+30 from Supply Zone 

FYI I updated that Tradingview

Posted by matt on 12th of Mar 2023 at 06:50 pm

FYI I updated that Tradingview chart from the Sticky ES levels to the June contract. I've added the ES levels to the left chart, I still have to add the TICK NYSE spike levels to the right chart

June Contract is approximately 35

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2023 at 06:07 pm

June Contract is approximately 35 points higher than March

yeah that's crazy, I saw

Posted by matt on 12th of Mar 2023 at 06:21 pm

yeah that's crazy, I saw the same thing

MES Mar 3912
MES June 3945

Any idea why the discrepancy

Posted by focus175 on 13th of Mar 2023 at 09:18 am

Any idea why the discrepancy still in the Mar and June contracts not tracking each other?  Still seeing a .10% difference.

Currently an up opening projected

Posted by steve on 12th of Mar 2023 at 05:59 pm

Currently an up opening projected

man I got lucky, I

Posted by matt on 12th of Mar 2023 at 06:20 pm

man I got lucky, I did small size with MES contacts but ES was pretty flat on open, took a shot long on a few contracts then BOOM

ES 3847 bounce 

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2023 at 02:06 pm

ES 3847 bounce 

had a perfect Demark 9

Posted by matt on 10th of Mar 2023 at 02:11 pm

had a perfect Demark 9 as well on the ES levels chart at that doji 

again you guys have access to that chart from Tradingview from the Sticky

ES found resistance near the

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2023 at 11:46 am

ES found resistance near the 3935 pivot and reversed 

ES/SPX were in demand zones

Posted by steve on 10th of Mar 2023 at 08:36 am

ES/SPX were in demand zones and bounced near highlighted support last night 

ES failed to reclaim 4000

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2023 at 10:02 am

ES failed to reclaim 4000 level and faded 

Some positive divergence after recent

Posted by steve on 8th of Mar 2023 at 10:05 am

Some positive divergence after recent low 

Watching ES 4065 as initial

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2023 at 05:47 am

Watching ES 4065 as initial level on bounce attempt

ES

Posted by steve on 7th of Mar 2023 at 09:10 am

Overnight high 4064.50

ES the previous level (prior

Posted by steve on 5th of Mar 2023 at 12:50 pm

ES the previous level (prior three week balance low)  of 4020/30 remains an important orderflow level - thus that will be a good WEEKLY pivot to monitor with bulls in control above.  

ES reached the next zone

Posted by steve on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 11:42 am

ES reached the next zone 4020-25 

You looking at some 0DTE

Posted by mugsy on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 11:46 am

You looking at some 0DTE puts in this zone?

Mugsy - I'm waiting for

Posted by DigiNomad on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 11:52 am

Mugsy - I'm waiting for a trigger to  scalp some premium selling ODTE calls.  Higher probability trade. 

I prefer to do it

Posted by mugsy on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 11:54 am

I prefer to do it your way as well.  Steve seems to buy 0DTE

You definitely get more pop

Posted by DigiNomad on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 11:56 am

You definitely get more pop with long premium trades (buying puts or calls) but I'm not smart enough to get both the direction and timing right on a regular basis. I like that I can be wrong on both direction and timing and still win with short premium trades (that's why they are MUCH higher probability trades).

Agreed.  That\s why I was

Posted by mugsy on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 12:02 pm

Agreed.  That\s why I was hoping for some input from the master

SPX bear call spread -

Posted by DigiNomad on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 12:10 pm

SPX bear call spread - I just pulled the trigger and sold a handful of 4045 / 4060 0DTE calls.

Posting my trade - so now I'll probably get challenged....which is fine. I'm in small with room to defend (roll). 

SPX bear call spread -   I almost

Posted by DigiNomad on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 01:54 pm

SPX bear call spread -   I almost rolled this near the HOD, but didn't get touched (yet). I have the roll teed up (Monday expiry, 4075/4100). I widened out the spread a bit to achieve a credit on the roll at the level I felt comfortable selling.   

SPX poked right through the 38.2 fib (4031) and now it seems to be supporting. Tempting to go out to Tuesday expiry and sell the 4100 strike for $500 (61.8 fib is 4093). 


SPX Bear Call Spread -

Posted by DigiNomad on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 03:16 pm

SPX Bear Call Spread - 4045 got touched so I rolled to next Tuesday expiry, 4110 short strike (~16 delta when I rolled). 

ES bounced near initial support

Posted by steve on 3rd of Mar 2023 at 07:56 am

ES bounced near initial support and moved up near first resistance overnight 

Today was a look below

Posted by steve on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 04:06 pm

Today was a look below 3950 and then remount after getting back above - pivot power 

ES 3995 achieved 

Posted by steve on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 03:50 pm

ES 3995 achieved 

Yeah came close to that

Posted by buddha on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 03:54 pm

Yeah came close to that 60 min downtrendline. Took some there.

ES 3975 achieved 

Posted by steve on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 02:09 pm

ES 3975 achieved 

Matt/Steve, any way you can

Posted by icecoldjones on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 02:11 pm

Matt/Steve, any way you can implement a like button on posts? There is a lot of good posts and I just want to give a thumbs-up sometimes but no need to reply to them all. Just a thought, no rush at all!

BPT_Facebook , seriously! No vote

Posted by mmellow on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 02:20 pm

BPT_Facebook , seriously! No vote here.

Posted by simple_million on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 02:16 pm

ES moved up towards 3950/55 

Posted by steve on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 10:09 am

ES moved up towards 3950/55  pivot - needs to reclaim to squeeze higher 

ES Pivot 3975  was tested

Posted by steve on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 08:55 am

ES Pivot 3975  was tested after hours and failed - down 40+ points since 

ES 3950 Overnight Support Turned

Posted by steve on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 08:31 am

ES 3950 Overnight Support Turned Resistance 

remember you can  watch the

Posted by matt on 1st of Mar 2023 at 10:19 am

remember you can  watch the ES levels from the Trading View chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XhdK9UKW/ 

Matt - Regarding the TradingView

Posted by Ray on 1st of Mar 2023 at 10:27 am

Matt - Regarding the TradingView Chart, is the left side the supply/demand levels, and the right side tick levels?  Is this chart updated daily; or, do we take the new supply/demand levels and correct?

Overnight, ES bounced from the

Posted by steve on 1st of Mar 2023 at 07:31 am

Overnight, ES bounced from the initial support posted and moved up to the first resistance level as US Dollar moved lower.

ES retraced 50% overnight of

Posted by steve on 1st of Mar 2023 at 08:49 am

ES retraced 50% overnight of yesterday's high into first resistance area where sellers appeared

ES 3990/95 now intraday resistance

Posted by steve on 24th of Feb 2023 at 09:07 am

ES 3990/95 now intraday resistance prior to that 3970/75 some resistance 

In the Globex Session Overnight

Posted by steve on 22nd of Feb 2023 at 08:39 am

In the Globex Session Overnight ES held below 4015 and moved down to the initial target at 3995 from where it has bounced (SPX/ES demand zone)

ES Supply zone 4047-4065

ES bounced up to first

Posted by steve on 17th of Feb 2023 at 10:40 am

ES bounced up to first resistance levels and stalled thus far 

ES bounced off initial support

Posted by steve on 17th of Feb 2023 at 10:15 am

ES bounced off initial support zone 4055/60

IWM and Dow are already

Posted by lamb on 17th of Feb 2023 at 10:34 am

IWM and Dow are already green

Overnight low 4063 ES needs to

Posted by steve on 17th of Feb 2023 at 09:00 am

Overnight low 4063

ES needs to reclaim 4080 for starter's to get a relief bounce with 4090 4105 above.   Overnight low fails then 4047 4030

TY

Posted by fredsaid on 17th of Feb 2023 at 09:00 am

TY

ES support 4144  4130 

Posted by steve on 16th of Feb 2023 at 08:27 am

ES support 4144  4130 

Quick flush once support lost

Posted by steve on 16th of Feb 2023 at 08:51 am

Quick flush once support lost - very hot PPI 

we had an air pocket

Posted by matt on 16th of Feb 2023 at 09:35 am

we had an air pocket on the TICK levels, fell right through that to a cluster of them from Decembertick

maybe that DVDS short, that

Posted by matt on 16th of Feb 2023 at 09:37 am

maybe that DVDS short, that never closed is still fighting to get out okay LOL

ES range bound action thus

Posted by steve on 15th of Feb 2023 at 03:03 pm

ES range bound action thus far today 4115-4160 zone to monitor - bulls want to remain above today's low 

ES Supply Zone 4085-4100

Posted by steve on 10th of Feb 2023 at 10:02 am

ES Supply Zone 4085-4100

Okay - nice move down

Posted by steve on 10th of Feb 2023 at 10:56 am

Okay - nice move down off Supply but for more downside bears need to break 4070 so lower stops if trading short 

ES initial support now 4153

Posted by steve on 9th of Feb 2023 at 08:27 am

ES initial support now 4153 and 4144-40

ES resistance around 4170

Posted by steve on 7th of Feb 2023 at 12:55 pm

ES resistance around 4170

ES reaction off resistance as

Posted by steve on 7th of Feb 2023 at 01:15 pm

ES reaction off resistance as expected - wait all day and then nice 2-way trade

BOOM - nice moves 

Posted by steve on 7th of Feb 2023 at 01:16 pm

BOOM - nice moves 

yep nice pullback off that

Posted by matt on 7th of Feb 2023 at 01:16 pm

yep nice pullback off that resistance you posted

Bravo 

Posted by watcdy on 7th of Feb 2023 at 01:17 pm

Bravo 

ES just reached 4209 -

Posted by steve on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 02:04 pm

ES just reached 4209 - not much to do except trail stops on swings and take selective profits in accordance with your plan 

Youser bought more puts up

Posted by retirefire on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 02:17 pm

Youser bought more puts up there.

ES 4195 is a pretty

Posted by steve on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 11:16 am

ES 4195 is a pretty solid level fwiw (likely to chop around for awhile in this area) 

ES 4195 achieved - again

Posted by steve on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 10:55 am

ES 4195 achieved - again PROTECT gains. Bulls remain in control short term support 4160 

ES has held support and

Posted by steve on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 01:59 pm

ES has held support and moved higher after consolidating around 4195 zone for a few hours 

Respect the trend - the reaction post Fed set the tone (ripping out of that triangle).   

Thanks for calling that out

Posted by srusso1 on 2nd of Feb 2023 at 10:59 am

Thanks for calling that out and hope Matt gets well soon   

ES approaching 4075 

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2023 at 03:07 pm

ES approaching 4075 

Nice reaction for a trade 

Posted by steve on 31st of Jan 2023 at 03:12 pm

Nice reaction for a trade 

ES 4032 achieved 

Posted by steve on 30th of Jan 2023 at 03:31 pm

ES 4032 achieved 

As posted yesterday will be

Posted by steve on 29th of Jan 2023 at 01:35 pm

As posted yesterday will be watching ES 4070 as Weekly Pivot 

ES 4084 then 4105 above

Posted by steve on 27th of Jan 2023 at 09:50 am

ES 4084 then 4105 above Support 4055-60

ES approaching next target posted

Posted by steve on 27th of Jan 2023 at 02:49 pm

ES approaching next target posted 4105 

ES bounced near posted support 

Posted by steve on 27th of Jan 2023 at 11:51 am

ES bounced near posted support 

Nice smash down to the

Posted by steve on 26th of Jan 2023 at 11:02 am

Nice smash down to the ES pivot - hope I stopped you from chasing early today and locked down some profits 

yes, captain! This market seems

Posted by junkie on 26th of Jan 2023 at 11:06 am

yes, captain! This market seems to be successfully navigated to fading openings into the close or into noon.

Yes thank you

Posted by srusso1 on 26th of Jan 2023 at 11:06 am

Yes thank you

ES 240 Supply  4070-4091 (4

Posted by steve on 26th of Jan 2023 at 08:47 am

ES 240 Supply  4070-4091 (4 hour chart) This is fresh supply updated 

Demand 3946-3920 (if pullback unfolds) 

ES Supply Zone (4 Hour)

Posted by steve on 26th of Jan 2023 at 02:08 pm

ES Supply Zone (4 Hour) still remains above at 4070-91 as a target zone 

Yes - nice move up

Posted by steve on 26th of Jan 2023 at 03:28 pm

Yes - nice move up towards supply zone 

ES 240 seeing a potential

Posted by steve on 26th of Jan 2023 at 09:20 am

ES 240 seeing a potential diagonal pattern 4035 3902 4056 3960 then xxx (supply is 4070-91) 

Thanks Steve, held and added

Posted by retirefire on 26th of Jan 2023 at 09:50 am

Thanks Steve, held and added short up there 4065

ES 3995/4000 Key Support 

Posted by steve on 24th of Jan 2023 at 10:11 am

ES 3995/4000 Key Support 

ES next resistance 3960-75 zone 

Posted by steve on 20th of Jan 2023 at 01:03 pm

ES next resistance 3960-75 zone 

Posted by steve on 6th of Jan 2023 at 10:12 am

Looking at your mapping from

Posted by bpozdoll1717 on 6th of Jan 2023 at 10:39 am

Looking at your mapping from the newsletter projecting the market up first, then pullback to 3810, and then another rally.  Boom!  Nicely done.  

Thanks but certainly not easy

Posted by steve on 6th of Jan 2023 at 10:41 am

Thanks but certainly not easy - market is so thin 

3880 once again has provided

Posted by steve on 6th of Jan 2023 at 09:13 am

3880 once again has provided some resistance on ES 

Regarding the SPX = a 1:1 relationship for symmetry would be 3903 based upon overnight or slightly higher on cash regular session  around 50% Fib 

Nice fade off that resistance

Posted by steve on 6th of Jan 2023 at 09:45 am

Nice fade off that resistance 3880

Big overnight swings - with

Posted by steve on 3rd of Jan 2023 at 08:18 am

Big overnight swings - with ES testing several resistance zones overnight. 

Support now 3874 3853-58

Overnite was crazy, that would

Posted by racerick on 3rd of Jan 2023 at 08:32 am

Overnite was crazy, that would have been a year's move 20 years ago

$VIX looks to open +7%

Posted by kevindeng0727 on 3rd of Jan 2023 at 08:22 am

$VIX looks to open +7% - not sure if I am seeing the correct number

VIX up 6.51% in TOS

Posted by EdZ on 3rd of Jan 2023 at 08:49 am

VIX up 6.51% in TOS

ES Support 3845-50 bulls need

Posted by steve on 30th of Dec 2022 at 09:18 am

ES Support 3845-50 bulls need to hold and get back above 3855 to target 3870-75 3895.  Fails support then 3820 next support 

The levels posted on ES

Posted by steve on 12th of Dec 2022 at 09:39 am

The levels posted on ES represent the March contract 

thanks Steve, my apologies, thought

Posted by matt on 12th of Dec 2022 at 09:45 am

thanks Steve, my apologies, thought you had a typo. I got about an hr sleep so brain a bit slow

No problem - just wanted

Posted by steve on 12th of Dec 2022 at 09:45 am

No problem - just wanted to clarify for everyone  

ES bounced off initial support

Posted by steve on 22nd of Nov 2022 at 08:47 am

ES bounced off initial support overnight at 3945

ES 3915 magnet 

Posted by steve on 17th of Nov 2022 at 08:10 am

ES 3915 magnet 

ES 3915 achieved - check

Posted by steve on 17th of Nov 2022 at 09:02 am

ES 3915 achieved - check that box (beauty) 

Nice call Steve, I'm perking

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 17th of Nov 2022 at 09:03 am

Nice call Steve, I'm perking up now for a long trade, looking for entry in pieces. I usually don't get all my pieces, though that is a good thing. Lets see.

ES Resistance 4016-20 (next level

Posted by steve on 13th of Nov 2022 at 02:03 pm

ES Resistance 4016-20 (next level above Friday's highs) 

ES Resistance 4016-20 (next level

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2022 at 03:16 pm

ES Resistance 4016-20 (next level above Friday's highs)  - this was posted pre-market 

Not bad IF anyone took ES from supply zone posted earlier today - BINGO 

Tremendous fade out of that

Posted by steve on 14th of Nov 2022 at 03:34 pm

Tremendous fade out of that supply zone on ES 

ES Supply Zone 3833-45 (rejected)

Posted by steve on 9th of Nov 2022 at 08:27 am

ES Supply Zone 3833-45 (rejected)

Reminder CPI tomorrow 

Posted by steve on 9th of Nov 2022 at 08:45 am

Reminder CPI tomorrow 

ES has formed higher highs

Posted by steve on 2nd of Nov 2022 at 08:59 am

ES has formed higher highs and higher lows so as stated uptrend remains intact until that changes.  Prior low on ES was 3757 so if broken then you have confirmation of a trend change.   Demand zone for ES 3813-3777 with Supply zone 3898-3928

FROM DEMAND TO SUPPLY -

Posted by steve on 2nd of Nov 2022 at 02:53 pm

FROM DEMAND TO SUPPLY - ALL POSTED IN ADVANCE 

NOW Back to Lower Demand Zone 

Great letter and work here,

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 2nd of Nov 2022 at 09:07 am

Great letter and work here, I appreciate you Steve. If it isn't too much trouble, would you mind adding the demand zone and supply zone to the ES Levels daily sticky post? This information really helps me with considering where I will trade.

Levels were updated previously  (3940

Posted by steve on 1st of Nov 2022 at 08:35 am

Levels were updated previously  (3940 starts next supply zone) 

ES broke down from 3820

Posted by steve on 28th of Oct 2022 at 08:48 am

ES broke down from 3820 and that remains key resistance 

Some Squeeze above 3820 

Posted by steve on 28th of Oct 2022 at 09:32 am

Some Squeeze above 3820 

Nearly 30 points from squeeze

Posted by steve on 28th of Oct 2022 at 09:43 am

Nearly 30 points from squeeze level - time for breakfast 

3,797 fills a gap, only

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 28th of Oct 2022 at 08:51 am

3,797 fills a gap, only one after that is 3,583, the main one that concerns me if Oz let it drop at some point. No idea on timing, I think pressure to the upside is more likely in a range for a bit as you pointed out in the newsletter. 

ES 3820 support tested twice

Posted by steve on 27th of Oct 2022 at 02:27 pm

ES 3820 support tested twice now 

Defended, so far.

Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Oct 2022 at 03:02 pm

Defended, so far.

Hope it's thin ice

Posted by retirefire on 27th of Oct 2022 at 02:32 pm

Hope it's thin ice

ES 3866 resistance 

Posted by steve on 27th of Oct 2022 at 09:41 am

ES 3866 resistance 

Amazingly accurate on this morning

Posted by watcdy on 27th of Oct 2022 at 09:44 am

Amazingly accurate on this morning range so far — bravo 3868 on mes  high 

ES 3730 next level above 

Posted by steve on 21st of Oct 2022 at 10:07 am

ES 3730 next level above 

3730 achieved 

Posted by steve on 21st of Oct 2022 at 12:08 pm

3730 achieved 

I think stop loss orders

Posted by arun on 21st of Oct 2022 at 12:36 pm

I think stop loss orders will be at 3760 if u want liquidity today on Friday.

- Twitter post

I took a small short

Posted by steve on 20th of Oct 2022 at 09:06 am

I took a small short near 3730 level and that was welcome news...what a mess 

yeh I bought SPXS if

Posted by srusso1 on 20th of Oct 2022 at 09:41 am

yeh I bought SPXS if I'm wrong I can sit on it

ES now watching ES 3735

Posted by steve on 19th of Oct 2022 at 07:56 am

ES now watching ES 3735 topside

Great fade overnight posted a few hours ago from 3775 pivot shown in sticky post above which accelerated down after losing 3760

Quick 30 point fade from

Posted by steve on 19th of Oct 2022 at 09:50 am

Quick 30 point fade from ES 3735 level posted 

so sell 3735 and buy

Posted by private on 19th of Oct 2022 at 08:39 am

so sell 3735 and buy 3660 to cover on ES?

Roy - I will list

Posted by steve on 19th of Oct 2022 at 08:42 am

Roy - I will list the key pivot levels.  You can choose to implement into your futures trading or not.  Focus on YOUR PLAN 

The wedge posted in chart

Posted by private on 19th of Oct 2022 at 08:58 am

The wedge posted in chart 14 last night is close to breaking. It had only 3 touches and not 5, so it should not. If it does break, my target is near 3660. If it does not, I will do nothing and wait for it to break. That is my plan. Feedback is welcome!

ES 3775 reached 

Posted by steve on 18th of Oct 2022 at 08:47 am

ES 3775 reached 

ES Support 3660  Resistance 3710-14 

Posted by steve on 13th of Oct 2022 at 07:59 pm

ES Support 3660  Resistance 3710-14 

Nice trading on those pivots

Posted by steve on 14th of Oct 2022 at 08:17 am

Nice trading on those pivots overnight - johnny and Kobie should have cleaned up 

Thanks Steve. Hope you killed

Posted by johnny2012 on 14th of Oct 2022 at 08:26 am

Thanks Steve. Hope you killed it as well!

Steve $$$

Posted by kobie on 14th of Oct 2022 at 08:19 am

Steve $$$

Beautiful 30+ point fade on

Posted by steve on 14th of Oct 2022 at 04:32 am

Beautiful 30+ point fade on ES off pivot Resistance zone posted

I mean you waited till

Posted by donkeyface on 14th of Oct 2022 at 08:53 am

I mean you waited till 4:32am to tell us this... LOL                 

I would love to get

Posted by donkeyface on 14th of Oct 2022 at 08:54 am

I would love to get every new post (not necessarily replies) on my texts.    But that's asking a lot.  lol

Make that 50+ right into

Posted by steve on 14th of Oct 2022 at 07:54 am

Make that 50+ right into 3660 support 

Repelled again near 3630 pivot

Posted by steve on 12th of Oct 2022 at 08:39 am

Repelled again near 3630 pivot for a trade pre-market on the news 

ES 3580 bounce - 3630

Posted by steve on 11th of Oct 2022 at 10:41 am

ES 3580 bounce - 3630 is the key pivot above 

ES rallied up towards initial

Posted by steve on 11th of Oct 2022 at 08:57 am

ES rallied up towards initial resistance area 

Updated ES levels yesterday so

Posted by steve on 10th of Oct 2022 at 08:17 am

Updated ES levels yesterday so please refresh...3628-35 support zone (holding for now and bears will need to breach for immediate downside) 

There is a zone here

Posted by steve on 7th of Oct 2022 at 03:37 pm

There is a zone here on ES so let's see if we can get a bounce - I'm sure many are not giddy on a Friday 

as Steve said there was

Posted by matt on 7th of Oct 2022 at 03:45 pm

as Steve said there was a little support zone there so we got a bounce, see ES chart

also here's the 5 min cash

We are going to need

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 7th of Oct 2022 at 12:51 pm

We are going to need a refill on downside levels soon bartender   

ES Support 3760 - if

Posted by steve on 6th of Oct 2022 at 10:34 am

ES Support 3760 - if lost test of yesterday lows 

ES Levels above with downside

Posted by steve on 5th of Oct 2022 at 10:34 am

ES Levels above with downside magnet - if wave B that area or 3687-3663  (SPX)  and if wave 4 in place then NEW LOWS (bounces will form lower highs) 

ES Levels updated 

Posted by steve on 5th of Oct 2022 at 07:16 am

ES Levels updated 

ES Supply Zone 3790-3822

Posted by steve on 4th of Oct 2022 at 10:52 am

ES Supply Zone 3790-3822

ES Levels is Downside 2493

Posted by srusso1 on 3rd of Oct 2022 at 08:17 am

ES Levels is Downside 2493 number a typo ?

Yes thanks for pointing out

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2022 at 08:21 am

Yes thanks for pointing out - corrected 

Posted by law6 on 3rd of Oct 2022 at 08:22 am

Thanks for the P&F chart

Posted by steve on 3rd of Oct 2022 at 08:24 am

Thanks for the P&F chart

ES 3755 strong pivot pulling

Posted by steve on 28th of Sep 2022 at 03:59 pm

ES 3755 strong pivot pulling back 

It looks like to me

Posted by pintopower on 28th of Sep 2022 at 04:06 pm

It looks like to me on the hourly chart from the beginning of September  that the SPY is doing an ending diagonal down.  If my math is correct, it has four touches so far which would indicate that perhaps one more low to about 356 or so.   If it does that then target on a breakout of the ending diagonal would be approximately 381 ish.

pintopower - the QQQs could

Posted by steve on 28th of Sep 2022 at 04:15 pm

pintopower - the QQQs could have completed wave C today of an expanded flat for Wave 4  - same with SPX - the next PULLBACK will tell the tale 

Just testing how to post

Posted by pintopower on 28th of Sep 2022 at 04:52 pm

Just testing how to post a chart from Thinkorswim.  Pink lines are ending diagonal; yellow oval would be hypothetical 5th touch and light blue lines would be the Target.  Let's see if this test works?!

This move down was not

Posted by mirhamedali on 29th of Sep 2022 at 11:15 am

This move down was not an ending diagonal. Doesn't meet the technical definition.

You passed with flying colors

Posted by steve on 28th of Sep 2022 at 05:00 pm

You passed with flying colors but not an ED - I will post my views 

3684 pivot achieved - main

Posted by steve on 28th of Sep 2022 at 10:04 am

3684 pivot achieved - main target from the pivot support 

Hi, Steve! I took SSO

Posted by makarolya on 27th of Sep 2022 at 01:09 pm

Hi, Steve! I took SSO for long trade per system signal yesterday and day before, and now wondering - is there a stop loss you recommend? Do you announce stop loss when trades goes in the red? I am still new to trading systems and trying to learn the underwater currents. Thanks

makarolya -this is covered in

Posted by matt on 27th of Sep 2022 at 01:55 pm

makarolya -this is covered in the FAQ etc, however check your email, I sent you a detailed email that should help you.

I would post my answer here but intra day we like to stay market focused - I can also post here later after the market, however check your email

They don’t do stop losses.

Posted by mdgfain on 27th of Sep 2022 at 01:22 pm

They don’t do stop losses. They have first, second, and third entires ( occasionally) and they buy twice as much at second entry, 3x on third entry. Their system is very effective if you take all of the trades, not so much if you just take the ones you want. Hope that helps. 

Go to the systems tab

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2022 at 01:16 pm

Go to the systems tab above and read all such information.  These are reversion to mean systems so make sure you understand completely

ES 3639 achieved 

Posted by steve on 27th of Sep 2022 at 12:29 pm

ES 3639 achieved 

ES levels updated yesterday 

Posted by steve on 26th of Sep 2022 at 08:47 am

ES levels updated yesterday 

ES nice bounce of the

Posted by steve on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 01:05 pm

ES nice bounce of the listed 3675 level 

Support levels on ES around

Posted by steve on 22nd of Sep 2022 at 11:28 am

Support levels on ES around this area and just below.    

ES Levels updated and comments

Posted by steve on 22nd of Sep 2022 at 09:18 am

ES Levels updated and comments from overnight below 

looks like ES 3923 capped

Posted by retirefire on 21st of Sep 2022 at 03:11 pm

looks like ES 3923 capped it

ES attempting to bounce out

Posted by steve on 20th of Sep 2022 at 10:47 am

ES attempting to bounce out of the support zone  3864-3855 - if able to gain some traction then 3885 first level above 

Taking some gains and trailing

Posted by steve on 20th of Sep 2022 at 11:07 am

Taking some gains and trailing stops on that bounce 

Yes trail up stops further

Posted by steve on 20th of Sep 2022 at 11:55 am

Yes trail up stops further - this has some legs 

thanks almost got stopped out

Posted by retirefire on 20th of Sep 2022 at 11:59 am

thanks almost got stopped out late to party.

ES stalled near first target

Posted by steve on 20th of Sep 2022 at 11:17 am

ES stalled near first target level posted 3885

ES first test of resistance

Posted by steve on 16th of Sep 2022 at 10:48 am

ES first test of resistance 3895 led to rejection 

Updated levels above - the

Posted by steve on 16th of Sep 2022 at 09:00 am

Updated levels above - the June-July trendline was lost late yesterday after numerous tests and this has given way to additional selling as one would expect.  

Support zone 3853-63 (watching for a reaction here) then 3842 

Getting a reaction a posted

Posted by steve on 16th of Sep 2022 at 09:20 am

Getting a reaction a posted below 3863 for a bounce - all within downtrend until a previous level is reclaimed.   As I said a few days, ago Buckle Up 

ES Pivot around 3960 -

Posted by steve on 14th of Sep 2022 at 08:51 am

ES Pivot around 3960 - very loose and thin market so take heed in position sizing (down) 

Hi Steve, the support numbers

Posted by imelhoe on 13th of Sep 2022 at 11:00 pm

Hi Steve, the support numbers don't look quite right. 

Wish trading View had the

Posted by donkeyface on 12th of Sep 2022 at 10:22 pm

Wish trading View had the red/green s&r horizontals like StockCharts

Assuming these levels are updated for the new dec22 contracts?   so much easier to just keep up with SPX cash levels.

SPX has another zone just

Posted by steve on 7th of Sep 2022 at 11:53 am

SPX has another zone just above at 3956-64 IF today's highs are reclaimed 

Bulls in control above 3920-30 

Achieved that target 

Posted by steve on 7th of Sep 2022 at 01:06 pm

Achieved that target 

Selling one SPY 11/18 386

Posted by srusso1 on 7th of Sep 2022 at 01:07 pm

Selling one SPY 11/18 386 call here

Likewise selling a 388 and

Posted by retirefire on 7th of Sep 2022 at 01:15 pm

Likewise selling a 388 and still holding some 380's 11/18 exp.

yes still holding some calls

Posted by srusso1 on 7th of Sep 2022 at 01:18 pm

yes still holding some calls see how this week ends ?

Nice bounce off support 3930

Posted by steve on 7th of Sep 2022 at 01:03 pm

Nice bounce off support 3930 on that pullback

Yes it is  

Posted by srusso1 on 7th of Sep 2022 at 01:06 pm

Yes it is  

The Bulls are the Captain

Posted by steverobin on 7th of Sep 2022 at 12:46 pm

The Bulls are the Captain now. 

Bounced off the 3896-83 zone

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2022 at 10:41 am

Bounced off the 3896-83 zone and now Bulls need to reclaim 3928

ES back to VWAP 

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2022 at 10:48 am

ES back to VWAP 

Next level for Bulls to

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2022 at 11:05 am

Next level for Bulls to clear is 3940 and hold 3916 Support 

Good call on 3940 resistance 

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2022 at 12:33 pm

Good call on 3940 resistance 

ES Support Now 3940 then

Posted by steve on 6th of Sep 2022 at 08:37 am

ES Support Now 3940 then 3922-28 

Thanks Steve, have a nice

Posted by retirefire on 6th of Sep 2022 at 09:06 am

Thanks Steve, have a nice area below now if we open green,  to monitor for  Fridays new system entry's

it was showing an exit up to a min before the close, however just the slight dip at the  last min caused it not to exit - any slight follow up day on Monday it should exit

actually SPY Bull Exhaust may close out here! I entered very nicely unlike some of the others and had the second entry yesterday so this will be a nice gain.  Others are staying long of course

ES pushed up to next zone - nice recovery today

awesome man! I've simply been focused

QBTS 25% jump

Posted by matt on 14th of Mar 2025 at 03:13 pm

awesome man!

I've simply been focused on my plan, plus I have 3 contractors here putting in new floors so distracted by that 

Good mention mastermind after they

QBTS 25% jump

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 03:04 pm

Good mention mastermind after they had some news..thanks

ES has some downside wicks

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 02:58 pm

ES has some downside wicks near 5611 if they want to swipe - bulls holding serve pretty well with 5642/48 next zone.  Is Trump speaking today?  LOL 

Gov Funding Vote Soon 

XLU utilities

Posted by matt on 14th of Mar 2025 at 12:07 pm

XLU - Chart Link- still coiling, a slight higher low inside the coil - one could go long here with a tight stop just below yesterday's lows

UPW is the 2X ETF, UTLS is the 3X ETF

IWM

Posted by matt on 14th of Mar 2025 at 12:05 pm

IWM - Chart Link- 2hr view, right up against the small channel

_IWM - Chart Link- daily

Update: SPX 60 min my scenario

SPX 60 min my scenario

Posted by matt on 14th of Mar 2025 at 12:03 pm

$SPX - Chart Link- again nice call by me on Wed - even bottomed almost exactly where I projected. 

anyway price at a bit of horizontal resistance, may pullback some here but I think it eventually takes that out and price tags the 9 EMA on the daily chart

Reclaim of 5596/98 led to another 35 point move 

yep I'm in those!

Encouraging to see bulls hold

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 11:03 am

Encouraging to see bulls hold the lows on a terrible consumer sentiment report - the reclaim of  ES 5558 working nicely

Nice pop on ES up

3/16 ES Levels Mar Contract (ESH25)

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 11:00 am

Nice pop on ES up to next zone (now trim and trail)

Thanks for posting that CPCE which updated after my recording - that 0.94 reading is where stocks bottomed in January so that's a step forward 

Notice on SPX 5 minute

3/16 ES Levels Mar Contract (ESH25)

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 10:36 am

Notice on SPX 5 minute (3 waves up thus far) bulls want to hold gap and push and not fail and overlap

Bounced off 5569 for a

3/16 ES Levels Mar Contract (ESH25)

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 10:34 am

Bounced off 5569 for a trade - but weaker if tested again

Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Mar) 57.9

Posted by steve on 14th of Mar 2025 at 10:00 am

Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Mar) 57.9 vs 63.1 Est.; Prior 64.7

SPX 60 min my scenario

Posted by matt on 14th of Mar 2025 at 09:46 am

$SPX - Chart Link- well I guess the scenario I drew on Wednesday playing out

keep in mind, I did NOT adjust these dotted trendlines - the projection I drew where it would make a slightly lower low with MACD divergence then bounce playing out

Personally, as stated last night, not interested in shorting (chasing down) but in order for stocks and index to go up they must first take out prior day range correct?  Anyway, I gave the reclaim level (5558) multiple times yesterday and led to a $30 move overnight.   Bulls want to reclaim breakdown zone (5596/98) and if accepts can move up further to upside targets with Main above 5700 (5703-5221)

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