been doing family stuff and other things over the long weekend, it's possible I may record newsletter this evening, but if not will be tomorrow early

crazy, I guess I had an open sell stop order in on the futures that I forget to cancel, I heard 'Order Filled' lucky I was at the computer, anyway  that order managed to catch a nice short

thanks for the info and giving your ideas and experiences. yes we use Twillio for the SMS

Also, while most subscribers are US based, we have subs from around the world. There's a few customers we've identified in weird parts of the world that are costing us 20 and 30 a month to send texts too- that's just not worth it economically for us. We haven't written to those subs or did anything about that yet, but some of it doesn't make  sense with some places around the world. 

yeah  we looked at a BPT years a go, was a pain in the ass, but we'll look into it again, might be a bit easier,  and  these days you can have chatGTP write a bunch of code. But yeah AAPL is a PINT from what I remember

remember some of my macro calls for this year, from my late Dec newsletter - for sure even if we get an up year for the market, I expect a lot more volatility this year, and more mean reversion system trades

Macro Predictions 2025:
- Commodities could outperform this year, the CRB/SPY ratio is breaking out of a large wedge pattern.
- Energy stocks are of interest to me as well, and I've started positioning into some of them.  
- Precious Metals gold are in a bull market, and once this 4th wave correction is complete, I'm looking for new all time highs.
- I still think a recession is inevitable as the Yield Curve was inverted the longest in history
- I think we'll see more volatility in 2025 and more activity from the mean reversion systems
- Platinum is severely undervalued relative to gold.
- AZ Cust2Mate, smart carts had a great run the last few months of 2024, I think it could have a great 2025 as their business continues to expand, I hold a long term position.  

yeah for sure on FNLX, declining 20 day into the 50 day and not the first pinch on the bearish MA config, and price under both.  NFLX bounded off a small demand zone from mid Nov, but a failure up in this resistance area could send down to the next much larger demand/support zone. One big support zone is that 60 Stochastic and 50% area

nflx daily  chart looks iffy.   earnings tues amc.

Dan Niles update was somewhat cautious for 2025 based on Inflation and import tariffs too. Could have a good pull back.  

Yep with most people having data plans or local Wifi certainly a app notification service would be more cost effective.  Locally in NZ our cost is an eye watering 10c per sms but for our company we only do 1200 to 1500 per month.  Just looking at twilo cost now, so at 0.0078 sms per 88k, yeah $695 per month, ouch.
In the past I've looked at alternatives but not bothered to go further since our clients pay for their usage at present.  I did look at ntfy.sh which is opensource with server self hosting or paid service.  Not sure if you can have private topics through the paid or not but self hosting allows ACL type user password.
For viewing they have website integrations but has an App that can be used for both Android and Apple.  I have to say for your own app it could be created but I've found Apple is the biggest pain in the room where you have to pay them for developing per year (not huge cost there) but to compile requires Apple hardware which is constantly needing software updates and being Apple they get to 3-5 years old and decide no you can no longer upgrade the hardware mate.  You must buy some new hardware to compile on now.
Just my experience in this though.  I've not bothered with the stores though, as just an Adhoc type app for limited clients.  Apple is super restrictive so looking to go more webapp style.  So ntfy's app looks to be that style option as well which has a website backend as well I believe.

The number of SMS text messages going out to subscribers for the KISS systems is pretty insane

In December alone the website sent 88,000 text messages for the systems!!!!

thank about that, 88,000!

That costs us a lot of money.  Would love to try and develop an Android and Iphone phone app for notifications instead

$SPX - Chart Link- see the chart, and read the annotations

Trade Analysis Software:  I've seen a number of online tools to analyze trades (where you can link/download transactions from your brokerage) and the software can help identify your style, best winning patterns, etc.  (e.g., Tradervue, TradesViz, Tradezella).  Does anyone have any experience with these and/or would recommend one of them?  Thanks in advance!

nah I simply short GS

there might be futures for GS like there is to some stocks, but I'm not playing those. Puts as well - these trades are short-term no need to go out far in expiration or strike price

Yeah either way I'm looking for a higher low abc pullback, not the end to the uptrend

The BPENDER chart you have has now had a MACD cross and dip in price.  The note you have on that says to also check the candlestick view which was a bit limited for me when changing, maybe I dont have an account which makes a difference with stock charts.
Looks like the candle version MACD hasn't crossed so maybe still can push a bit higher ?

do you use a particular short ETF for GS and the other volatility plays ?

Crude Oil Futures Backwardation Spike - Free Weekly Technical Analysis Chart - McClellan Financial

XLE - Chart Link- such a clean chart, and amazing example of channeling action of XLE bouncing between long term support and resistance. 

Hell of a run off that support zone bottom of range, with the V-move up needs a pullback soon, note there's a small supply zone in here

$WTIC - Chart Link-

DBC:SPY - Chart Link- was a textbook 5 wave wedge with MACD divergence

the rally so far stalled at the symmetry target, that said, wondering if this may form a lower high above the broken wedge trendline - something to monitor going forward

DBC - Chart Link- monthly 

DBC - Chart Link- weekly