The 5-Year T-Note just posted its largest net improvement in
recent memory — 89,000 contracts — signaling a curve steepener
trade as the Fed regime changes.
The Nasdaq is diverging from its COT momentum at all-time
highs —shorts are building against the euphoria.
The VIX is priced for calm ahead of the most binary weekend
catalyst of the year.
The yen carry trade is at a historic extreme — 101,000 net
short —with three independent triggers that could ignite a squeeze.
The grain complex is unanimously bullish on biodiesel and
ethanol economics, not speculation.
Crazy, one would expect them to be going up to keep up with all
the orders. Peace on earth? Loss of business from Europe and Asia?
The drone revolution. Earnings were not great.
When you see a divergence between
the
CNX 500(Nifty
500) and the
SPX(S&P
500), you’re effectively looking at a breakdown in the historical
correlation between the broad Indian market and the U.S.
benchmark.
In a "risk-on" global environment, these
two indices typically move in tandem. When they decouple, it often
signals that internal pressures in one market are being masked by
the other, or that global liquidity is being pulled from emerging
markets.
The IRGC is the group that actually controls the
Strait of
Hormuz. If they have "won" the internal power struggle against
Ghalibaf, traders assume the next move is a more aggressive or
permanent closure of the Strait.
The divergence on the
Nasdaq 100is a
red flag. While the index is hovering near
26,500(well
above its
24,650200-day
moving average), the internal breadth is strikingly weak:
Only about
50%of NDX
constituents are currently trading above their own 200-day moving
average.
There is MACD and RSI divergence on
the 60 minute and 120 min QQQ and SPY charts.
Cohn’s "bulletproof" reputation eventually
shattered in the mid-1980s:
Disbarment:In 1986, the New York Supreme Court disbarred him
for unethical and "reprehensible" conduct, specifically for
attempting to defraud a dying client by forcing him to sign a will
amendment in a hospital room.
Death:He
died five weeks later, on August 2, 1986, at the age of 59. While
he publicly insisted he was suffering from liver cancer, he
actually died of
AIDS-related
complications
Heck of a move on Cotton. 1. Severe Drought in the U.S. 2
-Reduced Planting Intentions. 3. Energy Prices and Production
Costs. 4. Technical Trading and "Short Covering"
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All sectors red except Intech.
Posted by EdZ on 7th of May 2026 at 10:47 am
All sectors red except Intech. When that goes red, the market is in trouble. Breath is negative on the NYSE.
Historically, May is a very
Posted by EdZ on 5th of May 2026 at 04:24 pm
Historically, May is a very strong month for semiconductors (outperforming roughly 90% of the time over the last decade).
Only one tick over 0
Posted by EdZ on 4th of May 2026 at 11:02 am
Only one tick over 0 today with sectors turning red and vix up. Staples, Enrgy and Utes are dark green.
OXY, USO
Posted by EdZ on 29th of Apr 2026 at 01:30 pm
OXY, USO
The 5-Year T-Note just posted
Posted by EdZ on 27th of Apr 2026 at 11:36 am
The 5-Year T-Note just posted its largest net improvement in recent memory — 89,000 contracts — signaling a curve steepener trade as the Fed regime changes.
The Nasdaq is diverging from its COT momentum at all-time highs —shorts are building against the euphoria.
The VIX is priced for calm ahead of the most binary weekend catalyst of the year.
The yen carry trade is at a historic extreme — 101,000 net short —with three independent triggers that could ignite a squeeze.
The grain complex is unanimously bullish on biodiesel and ethanol economics, not speculation.
Crazy, one would expect them
NOC, LMT, GD, RTX etc ... what's going on? not ...
Posted by EdZ on 24th of Apr 2026 at 12:24 pm
Crazy, one would expect them to be going up to keep up with all the orders. Peace on earth? Loss of business from Europe and Asia? The drone revolution. Earnings were not great.
LABD
Posted by EdZ on 24th of Apr 2026 at 09:56 am
LABD
CNX500: SPX When you see a
Posted by EdZ on 24th of Apr 2026 at 09:05 am
CNX500: SPX
When you see a divergence between the CNX 500(Nifty 500) and the SPX(S&P 500), you’re effectively looking at a breakdown in the historical correlation between the broad Indian market and the U.S. benchmark.
In a "risk-on" global environment, these two indices typically move in tandem. When they decouple, it often signals that internal pressures in one market are being masked by the other, or that global liquidity is being pulled from emerging markets.
FinancialJuice @financialjuice Air defences heard engaging hostile
Posted by EdZ on 23rd of Apr 2026 at 01:44 pm
FinancialJuice @financialjuice
Air defences heard engaging hostile targets in parts of Tehran - Iran's Mehr News
The IRGC is the group
Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf has resigned from the negotiating team ...
Posted by EdZ on 23rd of Apr 2026 at 01:27 pm
The IRGC is the group that actually controls the Strait of Hormuz. If they have "won" the internal power struggle against Ghalibaf, traders assume the next move is a more aggressive or permanent closure of the Strait.
SMH 60,120min, MACD divergence. The
Posted by EdZ on 22nd of Apr 2026 at 01:30 pm
SMH 60,120min, MACD divergence. The BPNDX is only at 66.
Seems like a blowoff top. The
SOX--approaching longest streak in history (-cnbc)
Posted by EdZ on 22nd of Apr 2026 at 01:05 pm
Seems like a blowoff top.
The divergence on the Nasdaq 100is a red flag. While the index is hovering near 26,500(well above its 24,650200-day moving average), the internal breadth is strikingly weak:
Only about 50%of NDX constituents are currently trading above their own 200-day moving average.
There is MACD and RSI divergence on the 60 minute and 120 min QQQ and SPY charts.
UVIX 60min
Posted by EdZ on 22nd of Apr 2026 at 11:54 am
UVIX 60min
Temperature rising in BOIL
Posted by EdZ on 22nd of Apr 2026 at 11:35 am
Temperature rising in BOIL
OIH, XOP
Posted by EdZ on 22nd of Apr 2026 at 10:50 am
OIH, XOP
Cohn’s "bulletproof" reputation eventually shattered in
DJTs coach
Posted by EdZ on 21st of Apr 2026 at 07:54 pm
Cohn’s "bulletproof" reputation eventually shattered in the mid-1980s:
Disbarment:In 1986, the New York Supreme Court disbarred him for unethical and "reprehensible" conduct, specifically for attempting to defraud a dying client by forcing him to sign a will amendment in a hospital room.
Death:He died five weeks later, on August 2, 1986, at the age of 59. While he publicly insisted he was suffering from liver cancer, he actually died of AIDS-related complications
ZM riding the 3ama
Posted by EdZ on 21st of Apr 2026 at 10:55 am
ZM riding the 3ama
Avis Stock Up Another 23%
CAR
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Apr 2026 at 06:24 pm
Avis Stock Up Another 23% Amid Short Squeeze; Two Investors Control Over 100% of Shares. Article in WSJ.
Markets should continue higher then.
Oil close to $95...
Posted by EdZ on 16th of Apr 2026 at 01:33 pm
Markets should continue higher then.
Heck of a move on
Posted by EdZ on 16th of Apr 2026 at 10:07 am
Heck of a move on Cotton. 1. Severe Drought in the U.S. 2 -Reduced Planting Intentions. 3. Energy Prices and Production Costs. 4. Technical Trading and "Short Covering"