Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jun 2026 at 11:41 am
BLDP- bounced off a demand zone formed in late April. If it
comes down again into that zone, could be a good entry point.
200dma just below as well. No divergences.
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2026 at 10:23 pm
This article is fairly dense, but summarizes by saying,
"fertilizer markets are entering a structurally constrained phase
in which affordability, logistics reliability, and geopolitical
stability are becoming more important determinants of supply
security than production growth itself."
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2026 at 10:11 pm
Looking through the charts of some of these fertilizer stocks,
all but LIN are in downtrends. Is it because with fertilizer prices
increasing (from what I've read), sales have dropped? Idk, but I
would think the total quantity of fertilizer sold would be down due
to supply constraints. If price hasn't gone up enough to compensate
for reduced supply, then profits go down, which would explain the
charts. I've bought and been stopped out of LIN, which so far has
been a false breakout.
The trade in this industry has been confusing to me.
Of the five charts below, MOS is the only one with MACD
divergence. It's also broken through the 9ema and 20ma, and on the
cusp of breaking over the 50ma. LIN has failed to break out but is
holding the 50. CF is holding the 200, but the 20 and 50 are above,
and are down sloping, and there's no MACD divergence. The
last two don't very look good, but NTR is at least into a demand
zone with some signs of a reversal in the candles (but could be a
bear flag).
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Priest Lake? Cour D'Alene? I
SOXX possible target area if big head and shoulder plays ...
Posted by frtaylor on 15th of Jul 2026 at 01:08 pm
Priest Lake? Cour D'Alene? I do miss the Palouse - grew up there.
Another thing favoring a move
SPY 15 min - drew this earlier today but was ...
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Jul 2026 at 03:46 pm
Another thing favoring a move higher is that the bounce at 2pm broke symmetry.
MTSI, in the top 15
EUV
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jun 2026 at 03:24 pm
MTSI, in the top 15 of EUV, looks good. Coming out of a flag pattern and clearing the moving averages.
MTSI
BLDP- bounced off a demand
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jun 2026 at 11:41 am
BLDP- bounced off a demand zone formed in late April. If it comes down again into that zone, could be a good entry point. 200dma just below as well. No divergences.
MOS turning down again. Below
Fertilizer prices
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jun 2026 at 11:33 am
MOS turning down again. Below all moving averages now.
glad to contribute
Fertilizer prices
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jun 2026 at 10:00 am
glad to contribute
This article is fairly dense,
Fertilizer prices
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2026 at 10:23 pm
This article is fairly dense, but summarizes by saying, "fertilizer markets are entering a structurally constrained phase in which affordability, logistics reliability, and geopolitical stability are becoming more important determinants of supply security than production growth itself."
https://agrospectrumasia.com/news/24/4176/global-fertilizer-trade-hits-81-bn-as-energy-volatility-strait-of-hormuz-disruptions-and-geopolitical-risks-reshape-supply-chains-fao.html
And, given the above, "high fertilizer prices could persist," according to this article.
https://bworldonline.com/economy/2026/06/28/759651/high-fertilizer-prices-could-persist-bmi/
Looking through the charts of
Fertilizer prices
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2026 at 10:11 pm
Looking through the charts of some of these fertilizer stocks, all but LIN are in downtrends. Is it because with fertilizer prices increasing (from what I've read), sales have dropped? Idk, but I would think the total quantity of fertilizer sold would be down due to supply constraints. If price hasn't gone up enough to compensate for reduced supply, then profits go down, which would explain the charts. I've bought and been stopped out of LIN, which so far has been a false breakout. The trade in this industry has been confusing to me.
Of the five charts below, MOS is the only one with MACD divergence. It's also broken through the 9ema and 20ma, and on the cusp of breaking over the 50ma. LIN has failed to break out but is holding the 50. CF is holding the 200, but the 20 and 50 are above, and are down sloping, and there's no MACD divergence. The last two don't very look good, but NTR is at least into a demand zone with some signs of a reversal in the candles (but could be a bear flag).
MOS
LIN
CF
NTR
LXU
AAPL - might want to
Posted by frtaylor on 23rd of Jun 2026 at 12:47 pm
AAPL - might want to test the 50dma.
Is that the first or
The SPY Trend/Pullback system will trigger long today
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Jun 2026 at 03:40 pm
Is that the first or second system that's now long?
NLR, NNE also look good.
OKLO, ma ribbon tight
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Jun 2026 at 11:25 am
NLR, NNE also look good.
FLY dumping pretty hard. (News?)
Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Jun 2026 at 10:42 am
FLY dumping pretty hard. (News?) I may buy back at the 50dma if it gets there.
MSFT finally getting going, holding
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of May 2026 at 09:48 am
MSFT finally getting going, holding the gap up this time.
That's what I'm thinking. The
ASTS gap down on that Blue Origin rocket blow up
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of May 2026 at 09:35 am
That's what I'm thinking. The launch explosion is a short-term news event, doesn't really affect the whole space enterprise.
Are you buying or selling
Posted by frtaylor on 29th of May 2026 at 09:31 am
Are you buying or selling on the launch explosion news? ASTS is about $2 above its 9ema.
Gap and then slapped back
MSFT still looks pretty good
Posted by frtaylor on 19th of May 2026 at 04:03 pm
Gap and then slapped back down.
Uranium stocks look terrible. URA
Posted by frtaylor on 19th of May 2026 at 12:36 pm
Uranium stocks look terrible. URA down 20% in two weeks.
Updated
ES 4-hr chart, looks like an inverse cup & handle.
Posted by frtaylor on 19th of May 2026 at 10:51 am
Updated
Going to gap up.
MSFT still looks pretty good
Posted by frtaylor on 19th of May 2026 at 09:29 am
Going to gap up.
ES 4-hr chart, looks like
Posted by frtaylor on 19th of May 2026 at 09:24 am
ES 4-hr chart, looks like an inverse cup & handle.