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Posted by frtaylor on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:47 pm
AMZN looking weak. It just made a new daily low, with no
divergence on intraday frames. There's a gap between the close of
Jan 2 (226.50) and the open of Jan 3 (228.84). Might well fill it
in the next few days. I bought a Feb put as a hedge against
my long position.
At the 38.2% Fib I think of the recent move up. if this breaks
(which it may do as he is about to speak at the WH), then 67 is the
next stop. Then again, he might surprise the world by saying
something nice. Let's see. I am not the best at Fibs etc so
what i have done may be completely wrong in the chart!
$VVIX:$VIX ratio UPRO 78min - Chart Linkthe 78 min is below the lower BB's now, the daily and half
day are not yet, remember you get a trigger off the candle price to
prevent being too early, no trigger here yet
I stated in the post - look at the most recent UPRO candle
-price would need to take back just over 50% of that candle, that's
why there's a horizontal line in that candle.
assuming this doesn't trigger, if the next candle is a doji,
that would be more ideal for a tigher trigger, or another solid
candle one could use 50% of the candle range. Then start looking at
daily, etc
$VVIX:$VIX ratio UPRO 78min - Chart Linkone
more comment, at the moment one could use 50% of this current
candle's range as a long trigger on UPRO, with then an immediate
stop place at the candle low. Obviously I prefer a doji candle but
still setup for now on this bar
I hate all this news driven drama BS
market overhang
like I said, you want to see a trigger off UPRO candle on the 78
min, which I don't see one yet, but something to monitor now, and
also monitor the 1/2 day and daily
Bitcoin 2hr no MA ribbon - Chart LinkLike my
recent rant, Bitcoin no safe haven, folks rushing into tangible
assets. Even a $100 US Dollar bill fiat currency at least you can
hold it in your hand, still use it if the power grid was down -
what good is your bitcoin if the Grid is down.
Obviously we'd have larger problems but still a good
point.
URA Daily ETF Uranium - Chart Linkdaily - this
daily been a nice trade once again out of the coil, however could
morph into a cup and handle type of pattern
Compare SPX vs XLP:SPX ratio 3 - Chart Linkas
commented on weekend, there was already a divergence in this with
the SPX but last week the ratio nosedived, so that made for a big
warning, down again today
y XLP - Chart Linkflagging up here near the
highs, the reason the ratio trends to work is because XLP tends to
be more of a defensive sector
AAPL - Apple, Inc. - Chart Linkobviously the
gap was filled now a demand zone range down to 243.7, of course
then below that the 200 MA would be fairly close by
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AMZN looking weak. It just
Posted by frtaylor on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:47 pm
AMZN looking weak. It just made a new daily low, with no divergence on intraday frames. There's a gap between the close of Jan 2 (226.50) and the open of Jan 3 (228.84). Might well fill it in the next few days. I bought a Feb put as a hedge against my long position.
Gap partially filled.
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Jan 2026 at 12:54 pm
Gap partially filled.
Selling picking up in the
Posted by frtaylor on 20th of Jan 2026 at 02:26 pm
Selling picking up in the last hour. The top of the gap is only about a dollar away.
At the 38.2% Fib I
Posted by vimal on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:45 pm
At the 38.2% Fib I think of the recent move up. if this breaks (which it may do as he is about to speak at the WH), then 67 is the next stop. Then again, he might surprise the world by saying something nice. Let's see. I am not the best at Fibs etc so what i have done may be completely wrong in the chart!
RFIL - 3rd strong day
Posted by mastermind on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:41 pm
RFIL - 3rd strong day in a row, to a new high on good volume.
SMR Uranium play to monitor
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:31 pm
SMR - Uranium - Chart Linkafter rallying out of the wedge pattern, could morph into an inverse H&S. volume patterns are decent
If there is a new
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:20 pm
If there is a new Tariff war and I don't believe any charts matter.
VVIX:$VIX ratio, 78 min is below the lower Bollinger Bands
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:46 pm
$VVIX:$VIX ratio - Chart Link
$VVIX:$VIX ratio UPRO 78min - Chart Link the 78 min is below the lower BB's now, the daily and half day are not yet, remember you get a trigger off the candle price to prevent being too early, no trigger here yet
$VVIX:$VIX ratio UPRO 1/2 day - Chart Link
To clarify, what's the trigger
Posted by rojoch on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:12 pm
To clarify, what's the trigger you're looking for? A candle back inside the BB? Fully inside? Closes inside? Does up/down matter?
Thanks for sharing your knowledge.
.../j
I stated in the post
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 01:22 pm
I stated in the post - look at the most recent UPRO candle -price would need to take back just over 50% of that candle, that's why there's a horizontal line in that candle.
assuming this doesn't trigger, if the next candle is a doji, that would be more ideal for a tigher trigger, or another solid candle one could use 50% of the candle range. Then start looking at daily, etc
Update: VVIX:$VIX ratio, 78 min is below the lower Bollinger Bands
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:59 pm
$VVIX:$VIX ratio UPRO 78min - Chart Linkone more comment, at the moment one could use 50% of this current candle's range as a long trigger on UPRO, with then an immediate stop place at the candle low. Obviously I prefer a doji candle but still setup for now on this bar
I hate all this news driven drama BS market overhang
Update: Update: VVIX:$VIX ratio, 78 min is below the lower Bollinger Bands
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 02:45 pm
$VVIX:$VIX ratio UPRO 78min - Chart Linkthis obviously never triggered on the previous candle, so trigger shifts down to 50% range of last candle
however that said you have an open gap not much more below that's likely a magnet
like I said, you want
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:47 pm
like I said, you want to see a trigger off UPRO candle on the 78 min, which I don't see one yet, but something to monitor now, and also monitor the 1/2 day and daily
RGIT tight coil - like EdZ I instead of 'I see dead people' like that move, I see coils LOL
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:42 pm
RGTI quantum - Rigetti Computing, Inc. - Chart Link
I like the volume today.
Posted by shellson2 on 21st of Jan 2026 at 02:55 pm
I like the volume today. Maybe their move up is imminent
VVIX, NDXADP, SPX
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:40 pm
VVIX, NDXADP, SPX
Crypto - no safe haven
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:33 pm
Bitcoin 2hr no MA ribbon - Chart LinkLike my recent rant, Bitcoin no safe haven, folks rushing into tangible assets. Even a $100 US Dollar bill fiat currency at least you can hold it in your hand, still use it if the power grid was down - what good is your bitcoin if the Grid is down. Obviously we'd have larger problems but still a good point.
$ETHUSD Daily Zoom - Chart Link
$SOLUSD - Solana to US Dollar crypto - Chart LinkI was obviously stopped out of the Solano ETF, again happens.
UNH
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:30 pm
UNH
BTU, ASTS, BE, BG following through
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:28 pm
BTU - Peabody Energy Corp. - Chart Link
ASTS - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. - Chart Link
BE Daily - Bloom Energy Corp. - Chart Link
BG - Bunge Global SA - Chart Link
Shellson's BG continues to rocknroll
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:21 pm
BG - Bunge Global SA - Chart Link
Uranium comments
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:19 pm
Matts Macro Uranium URA Monthly Matts MV - Chart Linkmonthly long term testing top of supply range again
URA Daily ETF Uranium - Chart Linkdaily - this daily been a nice trade once again out of the coil, however could morph into a cup and handle type of pattern
GOOD - Added to GOOD
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:17 pm
GOOD - Added to GOOD on the pullback. They have a dividend on the 23rd.
GOOD job LOL
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:18 pm
GOOD job LOL
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:19 pm
XLP and SPX/XLP ratio
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:16 pm
Compare SPX vs XLP:SPX ratio 3 - Chart Linkas commented on weekend, there was already a divergence in this with the SPX but last week the ratio nosedived, so that made for a big warning, down again today
y XLP - Chart Linkflagging up here near the highs, the reason the ratio trends to work is because XLP tends to be more of a defensive sector
AAPL
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:10 pm
AAPL - Apple, Inc. - Chart Linkobviously the gap was filled now a demand zone range down to 243.7, of course then below that the 200 MA would be fairly close by
reports next Tuesday
IONQ
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Jan 2026 at 11:17 am
IONQ
thx Ed looks good
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 12:12 pm
thx Ed looks good
Polish Central Bank approves plan
Posted by EdZ on 20th of Jan 2026 at 11:07 am
Polish Central Bank approves plan to buy 150 tons of gold, lifting reserves to 700 tonnes
National Bank of Poland said the move will place Poland among the “elite 10 countries” with the largest gold reserves in the world.
AMPX - Nice pop!
Posted by kab34 on 20th of Jan 2026 at 11:04 am
AMPX - Nice pop!
I just bought some MRVL
Posted by bpt_ken on 20th of Jan 2026 at 11:04 am
I just bought some MRVL and ALAB. Strong today.