Posted by junkmaylbox on 22nd of Dec 2008 at 10:39 am
Thanks, rp! I would have done it if I had more money. I
bought UYM at the MA(50)=55 with a tight stop at 13.21. TLT's
rising gives credence to this Christmas rally.
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 03:46 pm
cspirit, How loose are your stops?I am comfortable with 2-3%
stop losses, yet unfortunately they are often run out. I have to
use 4-6% stop losses, which often defeats the point. I haven't
figured out this stop thing yet :(
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 03:33 pm
rp, What is the size of your stops on your swing trade
positions, if I may ask? Do you use trailing stops or stops under
the last low before the current way up (like Stan Weinstein
recommends)? I am merely curious how you do that. I've never been
good with stops myself :(. Thanks for your input here!
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 01:00 pm
rp, I understand you and concur with your observations. URE is a
risky trade at this point and the upside is limited to its current
highs (160 on $DJR, as drorlando said). I am currently only 10%
invested on the long side, and I will not go above 20% at this
point. Thanks for your comments and enjoy your wins away from these
markets :-))! Best, Roy
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 11:41 am
rp, What your desired entry points to UYM and URE, if you are
considering those trades. We are the the lower trend line now,
however I would expect more downside from here because we are on
the options expiration day. Thanks for your comments on these!
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 11:16 am
Matt, could you please post respective charts from UYM and URE
similar to your chart of SPX? If you could, of course. I am seeking
an entry point to both to play the Christmas rally. Thanks in
advance! -Roy
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 01:03 pm
rp, With most traders like yourself on a vacation next week, the
market could stage a remarkable move up. I have a day job, so I'll
do trading cautiously next week. Am looking forward to it,
actually. The last two weeks of the year are typically rally weeks.
For what it's worth.
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 12:50 pm
rp, Today is going to be a whip-saw day, it seems to me.
Tomorrow with option expirations we should have enough volatility
to make some $$. Your charts are a big help, please keep posting
them by all means!
Bob, I could not make that system work reliably to trigger
alerts. Your formulas are a bit different -- you used the override
symbol at the end -- and I have just programmed those formulas to
test them for a week or so. Regarding your improvements to the
formulas, I would focus on gap ups and downs to maximize the gains
first. I don't think tweaking the conditions would improve much,
IMO.
Posted by junkmaylbox on 17th of Dec 2008 at 02:48 am
peterwelsh, Congratulations on your successful trade! These
ultra shorts do not behave like stocks, so their prior history from
even a month before is pretty much irrelevant. DUG has baffled me
too, as it should have been at its highs when $OIL is at its lows.
I haven't thought of using the BB for this purpose, thanks!
Posted by junkmaylbox on 16th of Dec 2008 at 05:01 pm
Matt, You are right. I can usually beat the system by guessing
the direction. Today was not my day, however. I had a line of
successful trades on SRS, so I guess others were not too happy
about me :(. I seemed to be forcing something today by goings
against the market. Congratulations on your trade and your hunch,
by the way.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
TBT
Posted by junkmaylbox on 22nd of Dec 2008 at 10:39 am
Thanks, rp! I would have done it if I had more money. I bought UYM at the MA(50)=55 with a tight stop at 13.21. TLT's rising gives credence to this Christmas rally.
cspirit, How loose are your
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 03:46 pm
cspirit, How loose are your stops?I am comfortable with 2-3% stop losses, yet unfortunately they are often run out. I have to use 4-6% stop losses, which often defeats the point. I haven't figured out this stop thing yet :(
rp, What is the size
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 03:33 pm
rp, What is the size of your stops on your swing trade positions, if I may ask? Do you use trailing stops or stops under the last low before the current way up (like Stan Weinstein recommends)? I am merely curious how you do that. I've never been good with stops myself :(. Thanks for your input here!
TBT is making a fresh low
Paint or Paper?
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 02:59 pm
Matt mentioned that TBT would need to rise in order for a rally to take place. I am not seeing that happening so far. For what it's worth.
URE
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 01:00 pm
rp, I understand you and concur with your observations. URE is a risky trade at this point and the upside is limited to its current highs (160 on $DJR, as drorlando said). I am currently only 10% invested on the long side, and I will not go above 20% at this point. Thanks for your comments and enjoy your wins away from these markets :-))! Best, Roy
fast Hull MA
SPX 5 min.png that DPO indicator and fast Hull MA working ...
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 12:37 pm
Matt, could you please give the meaning of that indicator (886) on your chart then?
UYM
SPX 1 min.png
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 11:46 am
So it's 14.00 or MA(20)=13.39 then. I'd rather buy at MA(20), if we could get to it. Thanks for your comments!
rp, What your desired entry
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 11:41 am
rp, What your desired entry points to UYM and URE, if you are considering those trades. We are the the lower trend line now, however I would expect more downside from here because we are on the options expiration day. Thanks for your comments on these!
Guys, Please keep posting on
Does anyone have the SSO 16X34ema system set up on ...
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 11:36 am
Guys, Please keep posting on the forum. I am interested in the same possibility. Thanks!
UYM and URE
SPX 1 min.png
Posted by junkmaylbox on 19th of Dec 2008 at 11:16 am
Matt, could you please post respective charts from UYM and URE similar to your chart of SPX? If you could, of course. I am seeking an entry point to both to play the Christmas rally. Thanks in advance! -Roy
Not necessarily. Before Friday options
SPX
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 03:35 pm
Not necessarily. Before Friday options are being killed by bringing the market lower. It's a common trick.
I bought UYM on a
If anyone can find a 15-min. ETF chart on the ...
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 03:00 pm
I bought UYM on a pullback at 14.65. My stop is at 13.99. It's on the watch list. My stop should correspond to breaking 880 on the SPX.
rp, With most traders like
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 01:03 pm
rp, With most traders like yourself on a vacation next week, the market could stage a remarkable move up. I have a day job, so I'll do trading cautiously next week. Am looking forward to it, actually. The last two weeks of the year are typically rally weeks. For what it's worth.
rp, Today is going to
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 12:50 pm
rp, Today is going to be a whip-saw day, it seems to me. Tomorrow with option expirations we should have enough volatility to make some $$. Your charts are a big help, please keep posting them by all means!
SRS trumps SKF
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 12:31 pm
rp, I tried entering SKF this morning and was shipsawed out my position (I had a tight stop). SRS trumps SKF so far by far. Good luck!
SSO mechanical system on TD Ameritrade
Does anyone have the SSO 16X34ema system set up on ...
Posted by junkmaylbox on 18th of Dec 2008 at 11:58 am
Bob, I could not make that system work reliably to trigger alerts. Your formulas are a bit different -- you used the override symbol at the end -- and I have just programmed those formulas to test them for a week or so. Regarding your improvements to the formulas, I would focus on gap ups and downs to maximize the gains first. I don't think tweaking the conditions would improve much, IMO.
Thanks for your update. -Roy
peterwelsh, Congratulations on your successful
Posted by junkmaylbox on 17th of Dec 2008 at 02:48 am
peterwelsh, Congratulations on your successful trade! These ultra shorts do not behave like stocks, so their prior history from even a month before is pretty much irrelevant. DUG has baffled me too, as it should have been at its highs when $OIL is at its lows. I haven't thought of using the BB for this purpose, thanks!
SRS
Posted by junkmaylbox on 16th of Dec 2008 at 06:24 pm
SRS has recovered about $1.50 in the after market, now up to 63. FYI.
Matt, You are right. I
GDX, SRS and SKF
Posted by junkmaylbox on 16th of Dec 2008 at 05:01 pm
Matt, You are right. I can usually beat the system by guessing the direction. Today was not my day, however. I had a line of successful trades on SRS, so I guess others were not too happy about me :(. I seemed to be forcing something today by goings against the market. Congratulations on your trade and your hunch, by the way.
The old adage "Buy low,
GDX, SRS and SKF
Posted by junkmaylbox on 16th of Dec 2008 at 04:11 pm
The old adage "Buy low, sell high" applies. Today was low for SRS and SKF.