UNG - Now that the

    Posted by mla127 on 30th of Jan 2024 at 02:49 pm

    UNG - Now that the widow maker did it's usual thing and left some corps on it's path ... it's setting up again seems like ... 

    UNG

    Posted by mla127 on 31st of Jan 2024 at 11:33 am

    UNG

    UNG ... Bearish inventory numbers

    Posted by mla127 on 1st of Feb 2024 at 01:06 pm

    UNG ... Bearish inventory numbers this morning -197B draw . Forecast -202B ....   

    UNG - Not sure if

    Posted by mla127 on 2nd of Feb 2024 at 11:11 am

    UNG - Not sure if it`s basing here or `flaging`for another flush .....

    UNG - 

    Posted by mla127 on 5th of Feb 2024 at 10:39 am

    UNG - 

    UNG - This is probably

    Posted by mla127 on 8th of Feb 2024 at 10:15 am

    UNG - This is probably gonna "sling shot" out there for a quick rip at some point ...still watching for a BOIL trade  ...  being early can be deadly with Natty  ... #Widowmaker   Inventory in 15mins 

    UNG ... Inventory were slightly

    Posted by mla127 on 8th of Feb 2024 at 03:27 pm

    UNG ... Inventory were slightly bearish, by 2 BCF actually ... now looking for a divergent low and trigger to form on this flush ....  

    UNG ... Still watching ... 

    Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2024 at 10:09 am

    UNG ... Still watching ...  lol... 

    UNG - This is a

    Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2024 at 12:36 pm

    UNG - This is a more appropriate "trendline" .... The   "Waterfall" pattern ...   

    UNG ... imploding ....  

    Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2024 at 03:25 pm

    UNG ... imploding ....  

    UNG ... 

    Posted by mla127 on 13th of Feb 2024 at 10:09 am

    UNG ... 

    UNG ... The widow maker

    Posted by mla127 on 13th of Feb 2024 at 05:07 pm

    UNG ... The widow maker is collecting bottom fisher skulls on the mantel ....   

    UNG ...  another day ...

    Posted by mla127 on 14th of Feb 2024 at 10:14 am

    UNG ...  another day ... another down day ... lol ....

    UNG - Inventory bearish ...

    Posted by mla127 on 15th of Feb 2024 at 11:08 am

    UNG - Inventory bearish ... again ...  -49B draw , Forecast -67B , Previous week -75B  ... this thing can`t catch a cold snap ... but it did caught a KOLD ...    The way the inventory trends, whatever bounce it gets, will be shorted... but this thing is wild and has humiliated many traders before and will continue to do so  ...  ...  and bankrupt some ... (Just google my local hometown boy Brian Hunter and Amaranth fund for entertainment) 

    Surprised supplies are not cutting

    Posted by EdZ on 15th of Feb 2024 at 11:26 am

    Surprised supplies are not cutting back.  I doubt if they are making money at these levels.  

    Source: EIA Source: EIA

    Given this background, we circle back to the question of whether or not robust gas production is sustainable. It partly depends on oil and NGL prices. If those fall significantly (NGL prices have fallen in recent months), gas production will decline. But perhaps more importantly, wet and associated plays may not offer sufficient production to satisfy the expanding gas demand in North America. If that is the case, most dry gas wells will need prices between $2.70 and $3.20 to be profitable. Thus, producers of dry gas likely can't keep financing new drilling, which means gas prices must rise above the $3.00 barrier to attain enough production to meet demand.  

    speaking of natural gas, here's

    Posted by matt on 15th of Feb 2024 at 11:44 am

    speaking of natural gas, here's the NG futures, on 8 time frames with the MA ribbons and cycles to monitor if you are watching for a washout low

    https://www.tradingview.com/chart/epRziFih/ 

    I'm living at 5000 ft

    Posted by DigiNomad on 13th of Feb 2024 at 05:10 pm

    I'm living at 5000 ft this winter and the ground is still clear in Feb (snowboarding is still decent, but that's up a couple thousand feet). I'll sell puts on UNG again the day we get snow that actually sticks around. 

    yes, that's why I warned

    Posted by matt on 12th of Feb 2024 at 03:27 pm

    yes, that's why I warned this morning to zoom to a 2hr, 60 min chart, it looked like a bear flag on the 60 min chart this morning

    here's that big history chart - maybe it goes to test those lows again or that demand zone that goes back 28 years

    Im up 41% on KOLD

    Posted by morton7 on 12th of Feb 2024 at 03:29 pm

    Im up 41% on KOLD so far :-)

    Nice play Morton!  

    Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2024 at 03:30 pm

    Nice play Morton!  

    UNG

    Posted by steve on 12th of Feb 2024 at 12:55 pm

      

    best to monitor smaller time

    Posted by matt on 12th of Feb 2024 at 10:10 am

    best to monitor smaller time frames for things like wedges, divergences, on a 60 min time frame no divergence yet

    one of the toughest instruments

    Posted by matt on 1st of Feb 2024 at 01:07 pm

    one of the toughest instruments to trade (widow maker), along with GDX miners

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