On the 78 GDX kiss

    Posted by victorh on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 11:45 am

    On the 78 GDX kiss system it gave a stop of 28.90. That stop was hit this morning and GDX traded as low as 28.72 then rebounded strongly (currently 29.42). What happens when the KISS stop is hit and then a stock rebounds strongly through the stop level. Are we supposed to buy back in immediately?

     

    the stop on GDX 78

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 11:59 am

    the stop on GDX 78 min KISS was hit this morning.  I have the system stopping out at the STS. That said if you gave it some wiggle room and stayed in, you are in better shape ATM, but you could still use that stop going forward, Otherwise the system is out

    here's the updated stats - GDX KISS would be 19.6% this year vs 2.34% buy and hold. 

    since 2008 GDX KISS 530% (non compounded) vs 84% buy and hold (non compounded)

    GDX KISS avg drawdown -5.2% vs -36% and 26% for buy and hold

    look oveer the past vs buy and hold. Avg number of trades per year is 27

    These look great Matt.  Any

    Posted by mugsy on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 12:06 pm

    These look great Matt.  Any idea if/when you might have these available?  I'm certainly willing to have these as an added service, I'm sure others would be also.

    "I'm certainly willing to have

    Posted by skwan1940 on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 12:09 pm

    "I'm certainly willing to have these as an added service" - same here

    true story; this friend of

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 12:17 pm

    true story; this friend of a friend who is a teacher, she was struggling with her bills, we went over her spending habits to do a budget, and turns out one big expese was she was going to Starbucks once a day (and sometimes twice a day) to buy a coffee latte and sometimes a treat etc.  The latte was costing about $6 each day, just that is almost $200 a month, she was spending 200 to almost 300 a month - when she saw it on paper she was like OMG I didn't think about it. She didn't totally stop going but cut the days away back. 

    many people spend lots of money on extraneous stuff like that, and don't consier how it adds up.  Again I bring that up because if we charge a small fee for that additional service, I'll get blow back for it- but most people are spending $100's or more on thinks like Starbucks and other things that is so much more money and they don't have anything to show for it as things like Starbucks once you drink/eat them they are gone  it's a temporary pleasure.  Whereas this is something that can make you money (legally I have to say that's not guaranteed). anyway you get the point. If you can't find $50 then you need to rexamine your life and what you spending on

    I am not sure how

    Posted by steverobin on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 07:30 pm

    I am not sure how much blow back you will get.   No one "has to" sign up for this additional service.  Most services charge much more than this site in addition to what else is being offered combined.  Like Lee Iacococa said If you can find a better stock site, susbcribe to it!  

    thanks so much steverobin for

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 07:40 pm

    thanks so much steverobin for the thoughts and nice comments!

    Maybe because people don't think

    Posted by skwan1940 on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 01:35 pm

    Maybe because people don't think of stock investing as a business (I'm talking about the typical Robinhood trader, not people here).  How many people keep a journal of their trades for the year like they keep track of inventory as if they are running a store, or how many people think of paying for BPT just as they would have a line item for professional services or R&D as in a normal business.  If they attached the BPT subscription as an overhead cost to their trading P&L then that dynamic may change.

    True, although I typically advise

    Posted by DigiNomad on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 12:38 pm

    True, although I typically advise that people first try to reduce large bills instead of focusing on small ones e.g. think twice before paying 4K per month for a condo in the city when you can be in a not so hip spot a couple blocks away for 2.8K per month (that gap is most people's SBUX habit times 5).  But you kind of make the point against an additional fee also, even if small - it all adds up.  I'm always amazed at the amount I have outgoing every month. 

    not sure yet - let's

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Oct 2023 at 12:06 pm

    not sure yet - let's just say a month even though I think it could be earlier

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