Posted by icecoldjones on 20th of Apr 2023 at 12:55 pm
Just like most days recently, we'll open with a gap down and
crawl back up all day to end green by close. This market is doing
nothing lately. All of you geniuses are probably making a lick on a
market like this LOL!
icocoldjones, no money is made this month. Shorting the close
and buying the open is a way to play wave a and c down till a
weekly squeeze is resolved one way or the other.
If someone has a better strategy, please share. This is how I
see it.
Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:28 pm
Junkie et al,
I'm absolutely killing it lately with short SPX call spreads
(currently multiple months on the board) BUT...I know that some of
you have followed me into these trades and are sitting on nice
profits. This is NOT normal. Yes, I typically make profits in most
market conditions, but most monthly cycles involve a defense or two
(or five) which can get PAINFUL. Lately, I've been making money
every day all day no matter what because the market, when up, is
not up much and comes with a lower VIX. Then when down - well,
that's just like Christmas in Spring. It's not always this
easy...in fact it rarely is. Be careful and Size
appropriately!!
DigiNomad, I know you do. Sell credit spreads trades are made
for this kind of sideways market. I would be trading 0DTE or
1DTE spreads if I could watch the market all day. Alas, I have a
day job.
If you do not mind, please post your trades here. A caveat that
experts only (double diamond) will apply. I could give you a
workable format of opening and closing trades in a private message.
I will ignore daytrades but will take swing trades about one to
three weeks out on options.
Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:50 pm
Junkie - I'm hit and miss when I play in the 0 DTE and 1 DTE.
Basically, I suck at day trading but I do pretty well with
the swing trading time frames. Also, when I dabble in 0 DTE, I find
that I'm hanging on Steve & Matt's every post. It's super
stressful
You do have some big risk appetite Digi. I take my hat off
to you. Ten years ago I tried trading Iron Condors but found that a
helluva more difficult than trading the E-minis and macros. Good
luck and good hunting!
Posted by DigiNomad on 21st of Apr 2023 at 12:43 pm
Mundy - my lack of big risk appetite lead me to trading credit
spreads, not the other way around. I was sick of the ups and downs.
My basic trading plan involves having 1% of net liq in premium on
the board at any one time - usually, but not always, in a delta
neutral way....so it's not really 1% exposed. I target 12% return
annually with this strategy, although I have been exceeding that in
actual practice. The downside risk on my trades is typically
between 8 and 10% (of net liq), but again, my trading plan calls
for defense, roll, etc at a 200% loss....I would never let it go to
max loss. During the really bad days in 2022, I had to defend
a lot (strikes got touched and/or losses approached 200%). Even
though that often involves "doubling down" (the way I sometimes do
it), my net liq exposure never got above 5%....and there were some
really hectic periods to deal with. So, no, I don't really have a
big risk appetite. Quite the opposite.
Diginomad, thanks for the thorough response. Steve especially
reminds us repeatedly that we should have a trading plan. With your
response it is obvious that you do. Kudos to you.
Posted by fredsaid on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:43 pm
I'm waiting for a potential rally next week with the big tech
names and then plan to buy the same ! Right now just
pocketing TSLA puts and SPY down to 4100.
Just like most days recently,
Posted by icecoldjones on 20th of Apr 2023 at 12:55 pm
Just like most days recently, we'll open with a gap down and crawl back up all day to end green by close. This market is doing nothing lately. All of you geniuses are probably making a lick on a market like this LOL!
icocoldjones, no money is made
Posted by junkie on 20th of Apr 2023 at 01:58 pm
icocoldjones, no money is made this month. Shorting the close and buying the open is a way to play wave a and c down till a weekly squeeze is resolved one way or the other.
If someone has a better strategy, please share. This is how I see it.
Junkie et al, I'm absolutely
Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:28 pm
Junkie et al,
I'm absolutely killing it lately with short SPX call spreads (currently multiple months on the board) BUT...I know that some of you have followed me into these trades and are sitting on nice profits. This is NOT normal. Yes, I typically make profits in most market conditions, but most monthly cycles involve a defense or two (or five) which can get PAINFUL. Lately, I've been making money every day all day no matter what because the market, when up, is not up much and comes with a lower VIX. Then when down - well, that's just like Christmas in Spring. It's not always this easy...in fact it rarely is. Be careful and Size appropriately!!
Just an update I
Posted by bpozdoll1717 on 20th of Apr 2023 at 03:34 pm
Just an update I sold 35 call spreads as part of this strategy Nice 48% return in a few days. Thanks for the idea!
Nice! Big boy trade
Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 03:36 pm
Nice!
Big boy trade
Good thing I said something
Posted by icecoldjones on 20th of Apr 2023 at 04:07 pm
Good thing I said something because the opposite always happens to what I think, ended nicely red!
DigiNomad, I know you do.
Posted by junkie on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:35 pm
DigiNomad, I know you do. Sell credit spreads trades are made for this kind of sideways market. I would be trading 0DTE or 1DTE spreads if I could watch the market all day. Alas, I have a day job.
If you do not mind, please post your trades here. A caveat that experts only (double diamond) will apply. I could give you a workable format of opening and closing trades in a private message. I will ignore daytrades but will take swing trades about one to three weeks out on options.
Junkie - I'm hit and
Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:50 pm
Junkie - I'm hit and miss when I play in the 0 DTE and 1 DTE. Basically, I suck at day trading but I do pretty well with the swing trading time frames. Also, when I dabble in 0 DTE, I find that I'm hanging on Steve & Matt's every post. It's super stressful
This trade was about a
Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:39 pm
This trade was about a half an hour ago (the stats were better when I placed it)
You do have some big
Posted by mundy on 20th of Apr 2023 at 07:06 pm
You do have some big risk appetite Digi. I take my hat off to you. Ten years ago I tried trading Iron Condors but found that a helluva more difficult than trading the E-minis and macros. Good luck and good hunting!
Mundy - my lack of
Posted by DigiNomad on 21st of Apr 2023 at 12:43 pm
Mundy - my lack of big risk appetite lead me to trading credit spreads, not the other way around. I was sick of the ups and downs. My basic trading plan involves having 1% of net liq in premium on the board at any one time - usually, but not always, in a delta neutral way....so it's not really 1% exposed. I target 12% return annually with this strategy, although I have been exceeding that in actual practice. The downside risk on my trades is typically between 8 and 10% (of net liq), but again, my trading plan calls for defense, roll, etc at a 200% loss....I would never let it go to max loss. During the really bad days in 2022, I had to defend a lot (strikes got touched and/or losses approached 200%). Even though that often involves "doubling down" (the way I sometimes do it), my net liq exposure never got above 5%....and there were some really hectic periods to deal with. So, no, I don't really have a big risk appetite. Quite the opposite.
Diginomad, thanks for the thorough
Posted by mundy on 21st of Apr 2023 at 06:53 pm
Diginomad, thanks for the thorough response. Steve especially reminds us repeatedly that we should have a trading plan. With your response it is obvious that you do. Kudos to you.
Thx for look !
Posted by Glad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:52 pm
Thx for look !
I'm waiting for a potential
Posted by fredsaid on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:43 pm
I'm waiting for a potential rally next week with the big tech names and then plan to buy the same ! Right now just pocketing TSLA puts and SPY down to 4100.
Bravo Digi- It would
Posted by Glad on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:32 pm
Bravo Digi- It would be wonderful if you would share your next set up the strikes & the month
Agree Same pattern everyday
Posted by bpozdoll1717 on 20th of Apr 2023 at 12:58 pm
Agree Same pattern everyday Not sure why
Reason why on these pumps?
Posted by steve on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:35 pm
Reason why on these pumps? Intraday ODTE gamblers - just look at breadth recently - it's been horrid
Stairs up and elevator DOWN
Posted by steve on 20th of Apr 2023 at 02:38 pm
Stairs up and elevator DOWN