Gap fills, timing, and trading..(an excerpt from my trading
journal 12/16/22)
Today is interesting and I am skeptical of the 3,748 filling at
some point, though with the market gapping down it is at one of the
support zones. So it doesn't have to fill today. If it does, cool,
though can't rule out today being flat or otherwise choppy because
of quad witching and other conditions. One thing I always have to
be mindful of is being married to my desired outcome.
Yesterday was a perfect example. I took some good profits
at the 3,934 area and left open 1/4 of my hedge position. The SPX
then fell to 3,879 to then bounce to 3,907 or so where I bought
back my hedge to get me back to 50% hedged in my trading account.
The message of the market had changed and it ended up closing below
the 3,900 support opening things up for another leg down.
Facing the same difficulty this morning as prior referenced in
my other journal notes, I'm taking some of that hedge inventory off
with good profits and will leave 1/4 open again in case the market
decides to drop further. I'm not expecting anything though, will
just see what happens. There have been more than a few days this
year where all the action occurs overnight and there isn't much to
do during the day once I'm repositioned.
sage advice. Again we can and should have opinions i.e.
what scenarios we favor but our trading plan should account for
adaptation. Also, a winning trader over time doesn't make his money
by being right all the time, in fact he's usually wrong 60% of the
time, it's more about placing trades where your risk/reward is good
i.e. you are wrong you lose a tiny but, and make more on your
winners
Gap fills, timing, and trading..(an
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 16th of Dec 2022 at 07:58 am
Gap fills, timing, and trading..(an excerpt from my trading journal 12/16/22)
Today is interesting and I am skeptical of the 3,748 filling at some point, though with the market gapping down it is at one of the support zones. So it doesn't have to fill today. If it does, cool, though can't rule out today being flat or otherwise choppy because of quad witching and other conditions. One thing I always have to be mindful of is being married to my desired outcome.
Yesterday was a perfect example. I took some good profits at the 3,934 area and left open 1/4 of my hedge position. The SPX then fell to 3,879 to then bounce to 3,907 or so where I bought back my hedge to get me back to 50% hedged in my trading account. The message of the market had changed and it ended up closing below the 3,900 support opening things up for another leg down.
Facing the same difficulty this morning as prior referenced in my other journal notes, I'm taking some of that hedge inventory off with good profits and will leave 1/4 open again in case the market decides to drop further. I'm not expecting anything though, will just see what happens. There have been more than a few days this year where all the action occurs overnight and there isn't much to do during the day once I'm repositioned.
Have a great day and best of success!
Been trading 45 years. Truer
Posted by racerick on 16th of Dec 2022 at 08:50 am
Been trading 45 years. Truer words never been spoken "One thing I always have to be mindful of is being married to my desired outcome".
sage advice. Again we can
Posted by matt on 16th of Dec 2022 at 09:04 am
sage advice. Again we can and should have opinions i.e. what scenarios we favor but our trading plan should account for adaptation. Also, a winning trader over time doesn't make his money by being right all the time, in fact he's usually wrong 60% of the time, it's more about placing trades where your risk/reward is good i.e. you are wrong you lose a tiny but, and make more on your winners
Amen
Posted by watcdy on 16th of Dec 2022 at 09:03 am
Amen
Thanks for sharing your thoughts
Posted by timebandit on 16th of Dec 2022 at 08:09 am
Thanks for sharing your thoughts this morning, man. Have a great Friday!
For sure, I appreciate you.
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 16th of Dec 2022 at 08:13 am
For sure, I appreciate you. Please find us another diamond pattern soon