Yeah, that didn't work. Should have followed Matt's advice a few days ago. The way markets gap up these days, long at the close is the trade.

    VVIX signal can be early,

    Posted by retirefire on 11th of Mar 2021 at 08:58 am

    VVIX signal can be early, not defined by time. I think SPX just hit top of wedge matt showed (15 min SPX) .  based on ES

    Agreed.  Still a valid possibility

    Posted by fredsaid on 11th of Mar 2021 at 09:24 am

    Agreed.  Still a valid possibility that the QQQs on the monthly want to test their 200 DMA down around 290-288.   Looks like ECB announced it wants to hold down rates via bond buying and the fed may follow suit trying to hold the 10 yr down but so far they have not committed to that and ultimately with oil continuing up it will be difficult to stop.  I hope we get a massive rally in the QQQs today to add to my SQQQ 4/1 puts.  i've been following the market and rotating into Oil names, WFC (See my comments where I saw 42 by next week),  also holding GLD, RIOT, BA,URA and DBC.   As Matt stated last night, I agree that Oil could easily see $100 this year which means that all the oil names will make new 52 weeks highs - looks to be the best play over the next few months.

    yes regarding the VVIX, also

    Posted by matt on 11th of Mar 2021 at 09:24 am

    yes regarding the VVIX, also lately it hasn't been recycling back below 110 in short amounts of time, so I'm not sure how it behaves when it does that. 

    the indexes assuming their in a 5th wave, would have higher to go first. The really bullish case would be a wave 3 here instead. 

    the VVIX is something to be aware of and monitor but get your triggers from price action

    Also if one of you wants a little project - take a VVIX chart and go back 5 and 10 years and compile all the signals in Google Sheet doc, so that we can start to look at past statistics, that's really the one way to fully investigate how well something works and have confidence in it

    Maybe this time the VOMMA

    Posted by rmoore100 on 11th of Mar 2021 at 11:09 am

    Maybe this time the VOMMA over 110 indicator is similar to last August 27th 2020 where there was a price increase, then a spike up, then a sizeable reversal in the market.  Took about 4 days.        Just a thought.

Newsletter

Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!