UWMC

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 25th of Feb 2021 at 07:36 am
    Title: UWMC

    Getting found as I suspected

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 2nd of Mar 2021 at 10:16 am

    Getting found as I suspected it would after the capitulation and disbelief set in the $7s bottom. Hit a high of $8.64 so far, just getting going. 

    Any idea why it's been

    Posted by racerick on 25th of Feb 2021 at 08:42 am

    Any idea why it's been plunging? Down 50% since 1st of year.

    Was overvalued when they went

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 25th of Feb 2021 at 09:04 am

    Was overvalued when they went to market, but now there is opportunity. Wasn't a fan in double digits, but I love it in the $8s for a position. I do all my dd well in advance, spend a lot of time on it. Then I have a list at what I want to own if it gets to reasonable prices or on unreasonable panics. 

    Can you help me understand

    Posted by z0ned on 25th of Feb 2021 at 08:38 am

    Can you help me understand what you see technically in this chart?

    UWMC price decline IDK but, looks

    Posted by ridgetopab on 25th of Feb 2021 at 11:07 am

    UWMC price decline IDK but,

    looks like the institutional positions cut by over 50% in last period

    SPAC IPO  buyers did not get the expected bounce so selling?

    Lack of history making other bets in this industry look better?

    May be a good buy when it finds a bottom.


    I got time and I

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 25th of Feb 2021 at 11:14 am

    I got time and I would add large if it goes lower. Then I will take 50-100% on warrants when it pops. All day long

    UWMC deep dive warrants expire in

    Posted by ridgetopab on 25th of Feb 2021 at 12:09 pm

    UWMC deep dive

    warrants expire in Jan 21, 2026 ,  (terms 1 wt + 11.50 = 1common sh) so really an out of the money Leep option today

    current warrant value implies stock price of 13.04 +/- for BE (i.e. current intrinsic value is 0 until stock price exceeds $11.50)

    UWMC implied p/e is higher than peers PFSI _ COOP _ RKT

    I'm up 37% so far

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 2nd of Mar 2021 at 01:31 pm

    I'm up 37% so far on my position, happy to trail it all up now. Love buying things when nobody believes that have supporting fundamentals. That RSI was in the low 20s. Hilarious risk/reward opportunity. 

    UWMC looks like a nice play

    Posted by ridgetopab on 25th of Feb 2021 at 11:29 am

    UWMC

    looks like a nice play as long as the Feds keep the QE train running

    eventually setting up for 2008 MBS Crash the sequel?

    Link to MF analysis

    It recently made a divergent

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 25th of Feb 2021 at 09:05 am

    It recently made a divergent low at $7.37 before bouncing over $8. So the risk/reward is very good here for me in building a position given the fundamentals

Newsletter

Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!