Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 02:29 pm
rp, Any updates on XLF? We are still trending down, I know that.
There is a Senate vote scheduled for tomorrow, we could get a
bounce on it. For what it's worth.
Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 12:00 pm
Sweet, I like your system! I've been trying to achieve something
similar myself, as I cannot practically day trade (I have a day
job). Please keep me posted on your improved system, I am
interested. thanks for sharing the fruits of your research with
us.
Posted by junkmaylbox on 1st of Feb 2009 at 11:38 pm
rp, It looks like a retest of the resistance line underneath the
cusps of two tops. This is bearish, in my view. My instantaneous
reaction was to short, once the dust settles (as you said). It
should be a fairly low risk trade at this point.
I agree with you that this market is hard to trade. No money is
earned easily, if one is independent. Traders are a stern
substratum of the investor crowd, they can manage their risks so
that they could sleep at night. Good luck!
Posted by junkmaylbox on 31st of Jan 2009 at 10:33 am
He misidentified the beginning of the pattern. It started at
around 950, which would give a measured target of about 200 points
down. It's would be around 540, in accord with cwa82675's
prediction for 6200 on the Dow. IMO.
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 10:22 am
Thanks, rp. With the slow stochastic 5,60,3 crossing today and
the morning gap being filled and the support of 139 in question,
SRS looks like a good trade here. Any projections for it, Chief
:-)?
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 10:08 am
It depends on how you define gambling. Is buying a stock option
gambling? Ultra ETFs have much less risk involved compared to
options. Is trading short-term gambling too? Is issuing a stimulus
package gambling?
By your definition the US is the nation of gamblers then...
Posted by junkmaylbox on 29th of Jan 2009 at 09:14 pm
Also, what's a good way to play wave 3 at this point, assuming
that dodgerdog is correct in labeling it? Short XLF or short
IYR? I know of ultra shorts but many indicators gave a buy
signal yesterday. I am perplexed...
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Please, send me your signal
Matt's 6 min SKF system
Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 03:19 pm
Please, send me your signal part (formulas), and I'll test it. Thanks in advance!
Perfectly described. You talk like
breakdown and backtest
Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 02:53 pm
Perfectly described. You talk like a professional floor trader with a badge :-). good luck!
We might get a reversal
Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 02:40 pm
We might get a reversal at today's lows on XLF. FWISW. Thanks for the comm.
Updates on XLF?
Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 02:29 pm
rp, Any updates on XLF? We are still trending down, I know that. There is a Senate vote scheduled for tomorrow, we could get a bounce on it. For what it's worth.
SD backtesting of the SRS system
Matt's 6 min SKF system
Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 01:58 pm
I cannot make the system work reliably on the SD, in my experience.
SRS hold-overnight system
SRS and SKF 15 min swing systems
Posted by junkmaylbox on 2nd of Feb 2009 at 12:00 pm
Sweet, I like your system! I've been trying to achieve something similar myself, as I cannot practically day trade (I have a day job). Please keep me posted on your improved system, I am interested. thanks for sharing the fruits of your research with us.
I'd say it a retest of the break-down line
Posted by junkmaylbox on 1st of Feb 2009 at 11:38 pm
rp, It looks like a retest of the resistance line underneath the cusps of two tops. This is bearish, in my view. My instantaneous reaction was to short, once the dust settles (as you said). It should be a fairly low risk trade at this point.
AMZN
UPS OOPS
Posted by junkmaylbox on 1st of Feb 2009 at 10:58 pm
On the other hand, check out Amazon's stock.
Steve also drew the triangle
unless you believe we started
Posted by junkmaylbox on 31st of Jan 2009 at 06:40 pm
Steve also drew the triangle in a similar fashion: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$INDU&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p84620209002&a=157306645&listNum=11. 6200 on the $DJIA and low 600 on $SPX are conservative estimates.
I agree with you that this market is hard to trade. No money is earned easily, if one is independent. Traders are a stern substratum of the investor crowd, they can manage their risks so that they could sleep at night. Good luck!
Not 210, around 540 on the $SPX.
unless you believe we started
Posted by junkmaylbox on 31st of Jan 2009 at 10:33 am
He misidentified the beginning of the pattern. It started at around 950, which would give a measured target of about 200 points down. It's would be around 540, in accord with cwa82675's prediction for 6200 on the Dow. IMO.
A clear and well-reasoned plan
unless you believe we started
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 04:19 pm
cwa82675, Thanks for the update. You made an excellent call in Wednesday. good luck with your trades!
Is 818 still a possible floor for today's drop?
RUT 5 min chart.png
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 03:28 pm
We might see a bounce on Monday. We've got a good drop so far. A possible target?
Does it look like wave 3 to you, Matt?
RUT 5 min chart.png
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 03:21 pm
The drop so far has been spectacular. i see positive divergence on 5 and 10 minute charts. Do you more room to go down, Matt? Thanks!
SMN is doing well today
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 12:24 pm
its index is $DJUSBM http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$djusbm&p=D&yr=0&mn=8&dy=0&id=p39002259743
Macy's is close to breaking down
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 11:00 am
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=m&p=D&yr=0&mn=8&dy=0&id=p39002259743
Matt put it into the nightly update last night. The H&S measures to about 6, a 20% move.
Thanks, rp. With the slow
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 10:22 am
Thanks, rp. With the slow stochastic 5,60,3 crossing today and the morning gap being filled and the support of 139 in question, SRS looks like a good trade here. Any projections for it, Chief :-)?
It depends on how you
Ultea ETF's
Posted by junkmaylbox on 30th of Jan 2009 at 10:08 am
It depends on how you define gambling. Is buying a stock option gambling? Ultra ETFs have much less risk involved compared to options. Is trading short-term gambling too? Is issuing a stimulus package gambling?
By your definition the US is the nation of gamblers then...
I don't have a stockcharts
Take a look at this.....
Posted by junkmaylbox on 29th of Jan 2009 at 09:43 pm
I don't have a stockcharts subscription. Could anyone post a .png file of the chart, please?
Swing trading wave 3
Quick Comments
Posted by junkmaylbox on 29th of Jan 2009 at 09:14 pm
Also, what's a good way to play wave 3 at this point, assuming that dodgerdog is correct in labeling it? Short XLF or short IYR? I know of ultra shorts but many indicators gave a buy signal yesterday. I am perplexed...
Wave 3 begun today?
Quick Comments
Posted by junkmaylbox on 29th of Jan 2009 at 09:00 pm
Dodgerdog, If your comment is true, does it imply that the lows of the last week ought to be broken next?