Silver closes at 2:40pm Eastern, not at the 4pm as the indexes
do. At 5pm the move was already under way.
However, this entire move looks like a huge stop run (deliberate
manipulation by bullion banks). Was there a good reason to buy
technically after a 3.4% drop? Were any of the indicators
supporting a buy? Thanks for the info.
Thanks, Steve.. but I cannot do that intraday: I have a day job.
I need a lot more information than just candles, as I trade futures
with $10 per point.
$silver.. It posted a bullish hammer at the close at 2:40pm
yesterday, and the algos ramped the price up overnight. I did not
have a good conviction to buy the low a day before, as it was not
oversold. Now it is back to the prior levels. Could somebody
explain why algos bought it strongly?
I hold no hopes for the .61 fib. number. $gold has not traded
technically recently, it may follow $silver down. Or $coffee or \cl
to exceed its .61 fib level. I would welcome this scenario to buy
lower. FWIW.
Edit. $gold should post a seasonal high in February before the
10th.
SaharaCharts
, thanks for the updated charts. On $silver, what is a good support
if the current 17.50 on March contract futures fails to hold? I am
scaling back into a position on micro silver contracts today after
having sold the pop on Sunday night.
SaharaCharts, could you please update us on trailing stops for
both $gold and $silver? The 4-hour chart of both futures is
constructive and suggestive of further upside. I would like to add
on a small pullback on Sunday night. Thanks in advance!
Could you program it into an indicator for Tradestation? I did
not go long in October, and then it was too late. I have missed the
entire move. If I have it on my computer, I could closely follow
it.
The breakout was also retested yesterday. Yet a break-out is not
strong enough to move higher. PPLT provides no leverage, so one
must have enough capital to buy it and hold it in order to make
some good money on the trade. IMHO, platinum futures are more
attractive although more complicated. I never trade futures only
based on the charts.
The average true range for palladium is something like 25
points. That is $2,500 on a single contract of palladium futures.
Trading it is not for small accounts, below $50K. One also must be
comfortable with momentum trading by adding contracts as it moves
higher.
Platinum is a lot cheaper and has more upside potential.
Sorry, I got it backwards. It is SPY options with 0.5 delta
which you use for your 1st entries. Options on SPY with 0.9 delta
behave like MNQ. Both MNQ and MES are worth about $15,000 of the
underlying index.
Options with 0.9 delta. One difference though is that options
require a constant margin while MES contracts eat the margin slowly
but relentlessly. However, for hedging overnight between market
closes that is not a problem. If there is a trade at 4pm but it
disappears by 5pm, selling one MES till the next morning as a hedge
will do.
Then there is a slight difference between MES and MNQ: MNQ moves
more than MES nowadays. One could combine a SPY option with one MNQ
contract for a fine hedge.
In my experience, one MES contract is roughly equivalent to one
SPY option. MES trades 23 hours per day. and can be used to hedge
SPY options, or vice versa, a position in MES can be hedged with
SPY options in heavily trending markets. 1 MES is one tenth of a
one ES contract.
Matt, The weekly chart of @PL is outstanding, and it should go
higher to $1,092 at least. I did not have guts to buy it yesterday
on a pullback, as the trailing stop on daily chart was at 978ish.
that's risking about $1K on a single contract. @PL did reverse at
the R1 support yesterday, but that is if one is able to watch
it during the day. I have a day job, unfortunately.
Do you have an indicator that displays the strength of the
current move? DVI in Tradestation and ADX in stockcharts,
perhaps?
SaharaCharts, Thanks a lot for your charts and quality TA. I
missed the move on \PL this am, to be honest with you. Is there a
buy level for it in case the move is retraced early next week?
Thanks in advance!
Majority of professionals make wrong conclusions about this
market. This fact has held true for the last seven years or so. The
majority are always wrong on the market, this is how it works.
What has worked for me in these conditions is automated systems,
which deliver unbiased conclusions. Even technical analysis does
not always work in this market.
Gold has behaved like a currency lately, and it does not always
trade technically. It seems that the indexes behave like a currency
too recently for reasons that no one is willing to speak loudly.
Very few understand what is going on in Europe, and that's a big
hint. Good luck!
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I saw those separately but
TSLA This chart could be used in a future book ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2020 at 09:27 am
I saw those separately but not in combination. I will explain in more details in a private message.
Silver closes at 2:40pm Eastern,
$silver.. It posted a bullish hammer at the close at ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2020 at 09:16 am
Silver closes at 2:40pm Eastern, not at the 4pm as the indexes do. At 5pm the move was already under way.
However, this entire move looks like a huge stop run (deliberate manipulation by bullion banks). Was there a good reason to buy technically after a 3.4% drop? Were any of the indicators supporting a buy? Thanks for the info.
Thanks, Steve.. but I cannot
$silver.. It posted a bullish hammer at the close at ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2020 at 08:57 am
Thanks, Steve.. but I cannot do that intraday: I have a day job. I need a lot more information than just candles, as I trade futures with $10 per point.
This EW could be true although I do not believe it fully: https://www.insidefutures.com/article/3127836/Elliott%20Wave%20View:%20Silver%20Has%20Scope%20for%20More%20Downside.htmlThe indices may go lower from here.
it is too late to
Silver Futures show a nice morning star pattern (see last ...
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2020 at 08:51 am
it is too late to buy now for a trade after a large move has already taken place.
$silver.. It posted a bullish
Posted by junkie on 30th of Jan 2020 at 08:48 am
$silver.. It posted a bullish hammer at the close at 2:40pm yesterday, and the algos ramped the price up overnight. I did not have a good conviction to buy the low a day before, as it was not oversold. Now it is back to the prior levels. Could somebody explain why algos bought it strongly?
I hold no hopes for
$Gold - Struggling at its 62/Fib retrace, see if the 4hr/Blue ...
Posted by junkie on 28th of Jan 2020 at 04:06 pm
I hold no hopes for the .61 fib. number. $gold has not traded technically recently, it may follow $silver down. Or $coffee or \cl to exceed its .61 fib level. I would welcome this scenario to buy lower. FWIW.
Edit. $gold should post a seasonal high in February before the 10th.
SaharaCharts , thanks for the updated
$Silver - Negating the tighter 'Pennant'. Looks like it wants ...
Posted by junkie on 28th of Jan 2020 at 11:46 am
SaharaCharts , thanks for the updated charts. On $silver, what is a good support if the current 17.50 on March contract futures fails to hold? I am scaling back into a position on micro silver contracts today after having sold the pop on Sunday night.
SaharaCharts, could you please update
$Silver - Popped the uppr-line & now has to show ...
Posted by junkie on 24th of Jan 2020 at 04:20 pm
SaharaCharts, could you please update us on trailing stops for both $gold and $silver? The 4-hour chart of both futures is constructive and suggestive of further upside. I would like to add on a small pullback on Sunday night. Thanks in advance!
Could you program it into
Matt, have you looked at the average time the Exhaustion ...
Posted by junkie on 24th of Jan 2020 at 11:20 am
Could you program it into an indicator for Tradestation? I did not go long in October, and then it was too late. I have missed the entire move. If I have it on my computer, I could closely follow it.
The breakout was also retested
Palladium making new highs, wow $10k move for if you ...
Posted by junkie on 22nd of Jan 2020 at 11:51 am
The breakout was also retested yesterday. Yet a break-out is not strong enough to move higher. PPLT provides no leverage, so one must have enough capital to buy it and hold it in order to make some good money on the trade. IMHO, platinum futures are more attractive although more complicated. I never trade futures only based on the charts.
The average true range for
Palladium making new highs, wow $10k move for if you ...
Posted by junkie on 22nd of Jan 2020 at 11:41 am
The average true range for palladium is something like 25 points. That is $2,500 on a single contract of palladium futures. Trading it is not for small accounts, below $50K. One also must be comfortable with momentum trading by adding contracts as it moves higher.
Platinum is a lot cheaper and has more upside potential.
Palladium market is blowing up
Posted by junkie on 22nd of Jan 2020 at 09:23 am
Palladium market is blowing up for the bullion banks. The details are here: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2020-01-21/magic-palladium-bullet-2020-craig-hemke
Is platinum or gold going to be next?
Sorry, I got it backwards.
Quick video on the exhuastion statistics
Posted by junkie on 21st of Jan 2020 at 12:47 am
Sorry, I got it backwards. It is SPY options with 0.5 delta which you use for your 1st entries. Options on SPY with 0.9 delta behave like MNQ. Both MNQ and MES are worth about $15,000 of the underlying index.
Options with 0.9 delta. One
Quick video on the exhuastion statistics
Posted by junkie on 21st of Jan 2020 at 12:22 am
Options with 0.9 delta. One difference though is that options require a constant margin while MES contracts eat the margin slowly but relentlessly. However, for hedging overnight between market closes that is not a problem. If there is a trade at 4pm but it disappears by 5pm, selling one MES till the next morning as a hedge will do.
Then there is a slight difference between MES and MNQ: MNQ moves more than MES nowadays. One could combine a SPY option with one MNQ contract for a fine hedge.
In my experience, one MES
Quick video on the exhuastion statistics
Posted by junkie on 20th of Jan 2020 at 08:39 pm
In my experience, one MES contract is roughly equivalent to one SPY option. MES trades 23 hours per day. and can be used to hedge SPY options, or vice versa, a position in MES can be hedged with SPY options in heavily trending markets. 1 MES is one tenth of a one ES contract.
that should tell you who
TSLA ArticleI can't help but wonder why the stock doesn't ...
Posted by junkie on 20th of Jan 2020 at 06:26 pm
that should tell you who owns the TSLA stock.
Matt, The weekly chart of
Platinum
Posted by junkie on 17th of Jan 2020 at 04:27 pm
Matt, The weekly chart of @PL is outstanding, and it should go higher to $1,092 at least. I did not have guts to buy it yesterday on a pullback, as the trailing stop on daily chart was at 978ish. that's risking about $1K on a single contract. @PL did reverse at the R1 support yesterday, but that is if one is able to watch it during the day. I have a day job, unfortunately.
Do you have an indicator that displays the strength of the current move? DVI in Tradestation and ADX in stockcharts, perhaps?
The source of this information,
Miners Ratings Credit Suisse
Posted by junkie on 16th of Jan 2020 at 09:01 am
The source of this information, please?
SaharaCharts, Thanks a lot for
$Platinum - At an interesting level...
Posted by junkie on 15th of Jan 2020 at 04:15 pm
SaharaCharts, Thanks a lot for your charts and quality TA. I missed the move on \PL this am, to be honest with you. Is there a buy level for it in case the move is retraced early next week? Thanks in advance!
Majority of professionals make wrong
It seems many people are actually quite bullish, I know ...
Posted by junkie on 17th of Dec 2019 at 05:57 pm
Majority of professionals make wrong conclusions about this market. This fact has held true for the last seven years or so. The majority are always wrong on the market, this is how it works.
What has worked for me in these conditions is automated systems, which deliver unbiased conclusions. Even technical analysis does not always work in this market.
Gold has behaved like a currency lately, and it does not always trade technically. It seems that the indexes behave like a currency too recently for reasons that no one is willing to speak loudly. Very few understand what is going on in Europe, and that's a big hint. Good luck!