with Cyprus banks closed on Cyprus, i'm reading someone
apparently forgot to tell their London branches to close last
week.... wonder if there is a money trail on all those outgoing
wires???
since this is a 'family website' please note the formerly
'fat lady' would prefer to be called 'horizontally
challenged' woman of leisure.
and mayber her 'howling' will
be a day early?
lots of put activity yesterday. company has problems, less than
$1 buck p/s in cash - or 9 mos of cash to fund operations and no
product. best they take the O out of their symbol.
question: for the ECB, if they continue down this 'different
path' for Cyprus, are they re-opening the pandora's box (aka the
'Lehman event') that almost took down the world financial system?
Cyprus is in this position because of the steep losses they took on
their Greek investments (somebody had to). their 2 main banks are
insolvent. Cyprus banks hold some 10 billion euros in deposits and
over 60% of that is foreign (Russian primarily). A 'run on the
bank' in Cyprus will stress the entire eurozone because that 10
billion (or part thereof) is not sitting in cash, only on paper. it
has to come from somewhere, stocks, bonds, thin air? the ECB can't
lend them the 10 billion because it would exceed threshold
guidelines (not enough collateral). The ripple effect on drawdowns
will be felt globally. what will the FOMC do this time around? are
we prepared?
for CU's unlikely any difference, they have their own version of
FDIC. Fyi- as long as the US $ remains the world's reserve currency
we have little to fear. Once that is no longer true (or the
market's fear that is no longer true).... you know what will hit
the fan...
and these market's will come apart at
the seams, real quick.
thanks Matt, you had me rethink my taking 4
positions on various gold/silver stocks (via short puts) until we
have more definitive idea we have a bottom in place (and I am
not catching a falling knife). I shall be more patient.
the question is what at price today? my kids want some in their
accounts. we are not talking a lot of shares here, although
the dollar value is considerable, especially to teenagers. I'm
thinking closer to 400, but i could be dreaming. feedback would be
appreciated. (I have some FIB lines down there) HAZ
yes, i do believe he meant 1/22/2013, to get 11 simply add the
numerics. and yes, volatility has picked up on the most recent '11'
days, could be coincidence, but whose to argue..with vix @ ~13 and
change any excuse for volatility works for me.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Cyprus banking update
Posted by hazbin1 on 28th of Mar 2013 at 12:52 pm
with Cyprus banks closed on Cyprus, i'm reading someone apparently forgot to tell their London branches to close last week.... wonder if there is a money trail on all those outgoing wires???
brilliant minds think alike
GOLD & SILVER MINERS
Posted by hazbin1 on 27th of Mar 2013 at 02:23 pm
this week i have been selectively selling longer dated (2 - 6 month) OTM puts on various names in this space
political correctness
I think I hear the fat lady warming up in ...
Posted by hazbin1 on 27th of Mar 2013 at 08:19 am
since this is a 'family website' please note the formerly 'fat lady' would prefer to be called 'horizontally challenged' woman of leisure. and mayber her 'howling' will be a day early?
like Gale
Gale , trade idea
Posted by hazbin1 on 26th of Mar 2013 at 01:15 pm
long from $1.84
ZIOP
Posted by hazbin1 on 26th of Mar 2013 at 08:39 am
lots of put activity yesterday. company has problems, less than $1 buck p/s in cash - or 9 mos of cash to fund operations and no product. best they take the O out of their symbol.
and i like the optimism, but that is because i'm maximum short
Breakaway gap
Posted by hazbin1 on 20th of Mar 2013 at 10:31 am
short puts that is, on many individual stocks, quite a few are BPT ideas!!!
Cyprus - a 'defining' moment?
Posted by hazbin1 on 19th of Mar 2013 at 04:01 pm
question: for the ECB, if they continue down this 'different path' for Cyprus, are they re-opening the pandora's box (aka the 'Lehman event') that almost took down the world financial system? Cyprus is in this position because of the steep losses they took on their Greek investments (somebody had to). their 2 main banks are insolvent. Cyprus banks hold some 10 billion euros in deposits and over 60% of that is foreign (Russian primarily). A 'run on the bank' in Cyprus will stress the entire eurozone because that 10 billion (or part thereof) is not sitting in cash, only on paper. it has to come from somewhere, stocks, bonds, thin air? the ECB can't lend them the 10 billion because it would exceed threshold guidelines (not enough collateral). The ripple effect on drawdowns will be felt globally. what will the FOMC do this time around? are we prepared?
good reason why miners are getting beat up
MINING COSTS
Posted by hazbin1 on 19th of Mar 2013 at 03:51 pm
thanks for the insight, if you ever come across a matrix of miners and a breakdown of their costs i would love to see that posted.
ECB to provide Cyprus liquidity
5 min SPX
Posted by hazbin1 on 19th of Mar 2013 at 03:25 pm
within the context of established guidelines, whatever that means.
what's in your mattress?
Cypress Fallout
Posted by hazbin1 on 18th of Mar 2013 at 08:11 pm
cash is fine, however, might i suggest Yuan?
$ deposit/protection
Cypress Fallout
Posted by hazbin1 on 18th of Mar 2013 at 03:24 pm
for CU's unlikely any difference, they have their own version of FDIC. Fyi- as long as the US $ remains the world's reserve currency we have little to fear. Once that is no longer true (or the market's fear that is no longer true).... you know what will hit the fan... and these market's will come apart at the seams, real quick.
Good summary on Gold etc.
Thoughts on Gold stocks
Posted by hazbin1 on 8th of Mar 2013 at 09:29 am
thanks Matt, you had me rethink my taking 4 positions on various gold/silver stocks (via short puts) until we have more definitive idea we have a bottom in place (and I am not catching a falling knife). I shall be more patient.
only 5 -10 times?
GDX comments
Posted by hazbin1 on 6th of Mar 2013 at 11:23 am
darn, after all these years and attempts, i thought it was 11, my bad...
Nibbling on AAPL?
Posted by hazbin1 on 28th of Jan 2013 at 09:16 am
the question is what at price today? my kids want some in their accounts. we are not talking a lot of shares here, although the dollar value is considerable, especially to teenagers. I'm thinking closer to 400, but i could be dreaming. feedback would be appreciated. (I have some FIB lines down there) HAZ
nice chart SKUL
$SKUL and bones
Posted by hazbin1 on 28th of Jan 2013 at 09:11 am
like the trade, went short march 5 puts last week.
in too with Deck
DECK
Posted by hazbin1 on 25th of Jan 2013 at 02:06 pm
liked the chart too, took the trade early by selling march 32.5 puts.
AAPL in for the money
AAPL earnings this week
Posted by hazbin1 on 22nd of Jan 2013 at 02:45 pm
couldn't resist, plus needed to put my $ where my mouth is, partially chicken though, short 1 feb 1 460 p @ 5.80
the odds are in the 'house's favor'
AAPL earnings this week
Posted by hazbin1 on 21st of Jan 2013 at 06:21 pm
I like those 440 put odds, however, let's see how it opens (down preferred of course), i'm looking at the 450's or 460's to short. nothing fancy here.
counting 11 days
01/22/2011 is an ELEVEN DAY... BE PREPARED!
Posted by hazbin1 on 18th of Jan 2013 at 08:06 am
yes, i do believe he meant 1/22/2013, to get 11 simply add the numerics. and yes, volatility has picked up on the most recent '11' days, could be coincidence, but whose to argue..with vix @ ~13 and change any excuse for volatility works for me.
where does day 71 'fall'?
@Gann360 (twitter) cycle chart ...
Posted by hazbin1 on 17th of Jan 2013 at 02:32 pm
if it's the end of February early March, it can't be a 'cliff', gotta be a budget ceiling, now that would be ironic. in any event, great chart.