i don't have the historical data to research this, but maybe
someone here does. i received note from an 'institutional' research
company (been around for 30 years and charge 'real' money for their
research) not sure if the DOW and/or SPX as follows
Historical Comparison Price action of current cyclical bull
market matches a similar period in 1936 thanks Haz
thanks, been doing that for 1/2 hour, unfortunately when you
plug in YTD returns for EEM vs. any of the inverse funds, you don't
find anything close to a 1 to 1 correlation.
• “We live in a world of walls, and those walls need to be
guarded by men with charts. I have a greater responsibility then
you can possibly fathom. You have the luxury of not knowing what I
know: that the breakdown in the S&P 500 below 1,120 while
tragic, probably saved billions. And the charts of Crude, the Euro
and Emerging Markets, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you,
save jobs! We use words like “Support”, “Resistance”, “Fibonacci.”
We use these words as the backbone of a life spent defending
something. Fundamental analysts use them as a punchline! I have
both the time and the inclination to explain myself to investors
(see charts) who rise and sleep under the blanket of the very
freedom that I provide. I would rather you just said “Thank You”,
and traded our way. Did I order the Code Red on “Risky Assets?
You’re darn right I did! Do you understand these rights as I have
just read them to you? All you did was weaken a market today. You
put prices in danger. Sweet dreams, son.”
IMHO, the intent of the next 'out of the box' idea from the FOMC
will be to push the 10 year US note low enough (say 1.5%) to allow
30 year mortgages to be offered at 3.5% and/or 15 year mortgages at
2.5%. (with little or no points) over the course of the next 6 - 12
months. FOMC has already stated that short rates
will stay at .25% for the next 2 years. FOMC (except for 3
smart board members) believes low rates will stimulate the economy,
completely ignoring the fact that certain members of the
administration/congress are hellbent againt allowing businesses to
operate outside the shadow of existing laws past these past 3
years. laws on the books with no clear regulations written
(read in the process of being written by an anti-business
administration) means it is safer for businesses to lay low
until they know the cost of hiring and the cost of manufaturing.
it's a vicious cycle and the FOMC is only providing 'cover' for
this entire charade. It's going to get real ugly when the FOMC
decides inflation really exists and they have to raise rates.
the markets will adjust, how quickly will be the issue.... good
trading
while a sub 1% revision today at 8:30 am is interesting, reality
is that 9 months hence we will be told we were already in a
recession back in the summer of '11. that way, in the heart of
election season, the politicians will be saying
we already out of it
thought the am news would boost shares (FDA liked Merck's drug).
then it fell outa bed. had small gain with stop loss activated.
bought back in with BPT trigger. holding trailing stop. giddy
up!!!!
fwiw, 1) have her cross her legs.
2) have all o/n stuff packed and ready to go
3) keep in mind, typically baby #1 means a lot of time in labor, DO
NOT PANIC (there is no need to speed on way to hospital), it's baby
#3 that you need to be in the hospital when the plug goes....
cnbc reporting: after meeting next week: at 2;15 the FOMC will
release their economic forecast only. then at 2:30 Bernanke will
hold a press conference simultaneously with the FOMC statement
release. the press conference will last about 45 minutes and
include q/a time.
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Proud Dad - well deserved
We Finished 2nd Out of 104 Teams
Posted by hazbin1 on 18th of Jun 2012 at 09:09 am
historical comparison
Posted by hazbin1 on 3rd of Jun 2012 at 07:42 am
i don't have the historical data to research this, but maybe someone here does. i received note from an 'institutional' research company (been around for 30 years and charge 'real' money for their research) not sure if the DOW and/or SPX as follows
Historical Comparison Price action of current cyclical bull market matches a similar period in 1936 thanks Haz
inverse EEM
eem inverse non leveraged
Posted by hazbin1 on 16th of Nov 2011 at 08:56 am
funny you should say that, my boss and i just had the same conversation.
EEM inverse
eem inverse non leveraged
Posted by hazbin1 on 16th of Nov 2011 at 08:48 am
thanks, been doing that for 1/2 hour, unfortunately when you plug in YTD returns for EEM vs. any of the inverse funds, you don't find anything close to a 1 to 1 correlation.
eem inverse non leveraged
Posted by hazbin1 on 16th of Nov 2011 at 08:35 am
which etf or etn is considered the 'exact' inverse of EEM? NON - leveraged.
thanks
golden week
Hang Seng closed? Nikkei down
Posted by hazbin1 on 5th of Oct 2011 at 08:28 am
china on vaca
late day action
Posted by hazbin1 on 4th of Oct 2011 at 04:39 pm
+4% in last 45 min??? heard rumours of a large 'asset allocation' trade into equities into the close.
china cds
China 5 yr CDS have tripled in the last 5 months...
Posted by hazbin1 on 4th of Oct 2011 at 03:40 pm
china external debt 122Billion, fx reserves 3,277 Billion. be nice if the US had those numbers.
Risk off
Posted by hazbin1 on 4th of Oct 2011 at 03:23 pm
• “We live in a world of walls, and those walls need to be guarded by men with charts. I have a greater responsibility then you can possibly fathom. You have the luxury of not knowing what I know: that the breakdown in the S&P 500 below 1,120 while tragic, probably saved billions. And the charts of Crude, the Euro and Emerging Markets, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you, save jobs! We use words like “Support”, “Resistance”, “Fibonacci.” We use these words as the backbone of a life spent defending something. Fundamental analysts use them as a punchline! I have both the time and the inclination to explain myself to investors (see charts) who rise and sleep under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide. I would rather you just said “Thank You”, and traded our way. Did I order the Code Red on “Risky Assets? You’re darn right I did! Do you understand these rights as I have just read them to you? All you did was weaken a market today. You put prices in danger. Sweet dreams, son.”
day trading
Chopped to death; just voicing my frustration!!!
Posted by hazbin1 on 26th of Sep 2011 at 04:10 pm
imho - it is not a part-time 'job'. been there done that.....
employment numbers
Posted by hazbin1 on 2nd of Sep 2011 at 08:34 am
1 for the bulls - there were no job losses last month
1 for the bears - there were no job gains this month
1 for the Administration - UH OH, at least the unemployment rate didn't go up this month
QE3
QE 3 ?
Posted by hazbin1 on 26th of Aug 2011 at 08:28 am
IMHO, the intent of the next 'out of the box' idea from the FOMC will be to push the 10 year US note low enough (say 1.5%) to allow 30 year mortgages to be offered at 3.5% and/or 15 year mortgages at 2.5%. (with little or no points) over the course of the next 6 - 12 months. FOMC has already stated that short rates will stay at .25% for the next 2 years. FOMC (except for 3 smart board members) believes low rates will stimulate the economy, completely ignoring the fact that certain members of the administration/congress are hellbent againt allowing businesses to operate outside the shadow of existing laws past these past 3 years. laws on the books with no clear regulations written (read in the process of being written by an anti-business administration) means it is safer for businesses to lay low until they know the cost of hiring and the cost of manufaturing. it's a vicious cycle and the FOMC is only providing 'cover' for this entire charade. It's going to get real ugly when the FOMC decides inflation really exists and they have to raise rates. the markets will adjust, how quickly will be the issue.... good trading
gdp revision
GDP revision
Posted by hazbin1 on 26th of Aug 2011 at 08:17 am
while a sub 1% revision today at 8:30 am is interesting, reality is that 9 months hence we will be told we were already in a recession back in the summer of '11. that way, in the heart of election season, the politicians will be saying we already out of it
baby pics
Baby Pictures
Posted by hazbin1 on 20th of May 2011 at 04:18 pm
cute kid, obviously from the Mom's side. , thanks for sharing
thanks
New Blog Change:
Posted by hazbin1 on 2nd of May 2011 at 09:02 am
awesome idea, much appreciated
vrtx on watch list
Posted by hazbin1 on 26th of Apr 2011 at 10:45 am
thought the am news would boost shares (FDA liked Merck's drug). then it fell outa bed. had small gain with stop loss activated. bought back in with BPT trigger. holding trailing stop. giddy up!!!!
no complaints, stopped 54
uh oh
Wife,Baby etc
Posted by hazbin1 on 25th of Apr 2011 at 10:03 am
fwiw, 1) have her cross her legs. 2) have all o/n stuff packed and ready to go 3) keep in mind, typically baby #1 means a lot of time in labor, DO NOT PANIC (there is no need to speed on way to hospital), it's baby #3 that you need to be in the hospital when the plug goes....
apkt
Posted by hazbin1 on 25th of Apr 2011 at 09:55 am
on fire, can't move the stop up fast enough, at the moment holding the 1min 9sma
drug study
Anyone know what happened to PFE??
Posted by hazbin1 on 21st of Apr 2011 at 02:29 pm
apparently the side effect of dying (4 reported) while in study is frowned upon by the mkt
FOMC
Posted by hazbin1 on 21st of Apr 2011 at 08:54 am
cnbc reporting: after meeting next week: at 2;15 the FOMC will release their economic forecast only. then at 2:30 Bernanke will hold a press conference simultaneously with the FOMC statement release. the press conference will last about 45 minutes and include q/a time.