Question, Matt. I know there are no hard and fast rules,
but is there anything tangible you can point to that distinguishes
between when you would take the trade inside the pennant with a
tight stop vs waiting for a breakout from the pattern? Or is
it instinct?
I doubt it. Can understand a pure technical bounce play
for a day or two, but when you're talking an airline and a total
disregard for passenger safety, it's hard to conceive of anyone
buying the stock other than a day trader. Ask yourself what
you would tell your son or daughter if they said they're
considering flying on Allegiant. Believe that will be the
public's reaction as well once they know the underlying story.
Think this goes much lower over time.
Matt, I have a question about suggested stops on the trade
ideas. A number of times in last night's newsletter you said
"you can have a stop at the lows". Could you be more
specific? Using the triangle pattern for LPX as an example,
which low are you referring to - yesterday's low, the bottom of the
triangle, another point? I didn't quite follow. It
would be helpful at least to me if you could reference a number
like you generally do. Thanks.
Is it possible to swing trade a stock like this given its
volatility (trading range of nearly $1.00 today), or is this
suggested for a quick trade on the breakout then out?
Similar experience. Giving the trade more room doesn't
seem to matter.
I generally trade stocks priced under $20.00. I find stops to be
quite helpful when price moves quickly, either higher (protects
profits) or lower (keeps loss to a minimum), but when price drips
lower and approaches technical support, I seem to always be taken
out
at the bottom. Placing my stop either
just below, 5 cents below, 10 cents below, or 20 cents below what I
deem to be support doesn't seem to matter. The stop seems to
act as a magnet just before price reverses higher.
Frustrating.
FTFT - Talk about a volatile market. Opened at $3.17, shot up on
heavy volume to $4.20 in the 1st half hour, has been sliding ever
since on (on extremely light volume). If ever there was a
poster child for Steve's adage "take profits", this is it.
Last trade $3.10; could still close in the red for the day.
The quintessential round trip; wow.
Matt: Is this type of setup (when triggered) as valid after a
downdraft if the hammer was printed on average to below average
volume...or does the setup only apply where hammers are made on
high volume (sign of capitulation)? Many in the list are in
the former category.
My sentiment gauge suggests the general public remains
complacent despite the 2,000 point drop in the Dow. When the
market drops like it has the last 5 trading days, I'm usually
flooded with questions and concerns from friends, family,
colleagues and my staff (I administer a profit sharing plan for 60
employees). They are not traders but rather, long-term
investors. So far no one seems worried; that worries me.
Steve, I assume the optimum words here are "swing trader"??
Also assume this does not apply to those who make a quick
trade in and out (day trade), off a chart and nothing but a chart,
is that right? Is it possible for one to blur into the
other, or are there definitions that clearly separate a day trader
from swing trader? Can't imagine you check all the
fundamentals for every stock you post, especially those you
reference as a quick trade under trade ideas.
Today was one of those days that help me appreciate the value of
placing stops on EVERY trade I take. Mainly a swing trader
with a busy day job managing a law firm. Was quite pleased to
shrug off the impact of today's market selloff. Thanks to my
stops, I was taken out of 5 positions at levels way above the
closing price, either protecting gains or minimizing the loss...all
without staring minute by minute at my computer screen or stressing
about what a stock "should be doing".
Many thanks to Steve and Matt for drumming home the concept of
always having a plan and using hard stops. No better day than
today to reinforce that notion. As they say, "A penny saved
is a penny earned".
Apparently, BREW is part of the SEC Tick Pilot Program, which
means I can't place a contingent order awaiting a breakout.
Not constantly watching the market, so how would I position
myself for a buy? Guess I can buy now with a tight stop, but
that's not my preference.
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Much food for thought. Very
GOOS Updated View
Posted by RichieD on 19th of Apr 2018 at 03:20 pm
Much food for thought. Very helpful. Thank you.
Question, Matt. I know there
GOOS Updated View
Posted by RichieD on 19th of Apr 2018 at 01:30 pm
Question, Matt. I know there are no hard and fast rules, but is there anything tangible you can point to that distinguishes between when you would take the trade inside the pennant with a tight stop vs waiting for a breakout from the pattern? Or is it instinct?
I doubt it. Can understand
ALGT - The media storm's probably over .... trying to ...
Posted by RichieD on 16th of Apr 2018 at 07:46 pm
I doubt it. Can understand a pure technical bounce play for a day or two, but when you're talking an airline and a total disregard for passenger safety, it's hard to conceive of anyone buying the stock other than a day trader. Ask yourself what you would tell your son or daughter if they said they're considering flying on Allegiant. Believe that will be the public's reaction as well once they know the underlying story. Think this goes much lower over time.
Matt, I have a question
Posted by RichieD on 27th of Mar 2018 at 06:56 am
Matt, I have a question about suggested stops on the trade ideas. A number of times in last night's newsletter you said "you can have a stop at the lows". Could you be more specific? Using the triangle pattern for LPX as an example, which low are you referring to - yesterday's low, the bottom of the triangle, another point? I didn't quite follow. It would be helpful at least to me if you could reference a number like you generally do. Thanks.
Is it possible to swing
AQMS
Posted by RichieD on 16th of Mar 2018 at 02:48 pm
Is it possible to swing trade a stock like this given its volatility (trading range of nearly $1.00 today), or is this suggested for a quick trade on the breakout then out?
Agree. I especially appreciate Matt
Monday's Newsletter
Posted by RichieD on 13th of Mar 2018 at 07:06 am
Agree. I especially appreciate Matt pointing out suggested stop levels, which I have yet to master.
Similar experience. Giving the trade
Anatomy of a frustrating trade: When you get nicked out ...
Posted by RichieD on 9th of Mar 2018 at 08:25 pm
Similar experience. Giving the trade more room doesn't seem to matter.
I generally trade stocks priced under $20.00. I find stops to be quite helpful when price moves quickly, either higher (protects profits) or lower (keeps loss to a minimum), but when price drips lower and approaches technical support, I seem to always be taken out at the bottom. Placing my stop either just below, 5 cents below, 10 cents below, or 20 cents below what I deem to be support doesn't seem to matter. The stop seems to act as a magnet just before price reverses higher. Frustrating.
I second that emotion. Just
Article
Posted by RichieD on 9th of Mar 2018 at 05:13 pm
I second that emotion. Just had a conversation with someone at lunch that touches on much of Steve Jobs' words. Coincidence? Nope; synchronicity.
Intriguing analysis. Thanks for posting.
Interesting times for $GLD. Looking to previous consolidation periods reveals ...
Posted by RichieD on 21st of Feb 2018 at 06:24 pm
Intriguing analysis. Thanks for posting. "History doesn't repeat but it often rhymes".
FTFT - Talk about a
Posted by RichieD on 16th of Feb 2018 at 02:51 pm
FTFT - Talk about a volatile market. Opened at $3.17, shot up on heavy volume to $4.20 in the 1st half hour, has been sliding ever since on (on extremely light volume). If ever there was a poster child for Steve's adage "take profits", this is it. Last trade $3.10; could still close in the red for the day. The quintessential round trip; wow.
Matt: Is this type of
Chart List of Oversold with Hammer. Over 100 stocks. http://stockcharts.com/public/1531190/tenppOversold ...
Posted by RichieD on 12th of Feb 2018 at 06:35 am
Matt: Is this type of setup (when triggered) as valid after a downdraft if the hammer was printed on average to below average volume...or does the setup only apply where hammers are made on high volume (sign of capitulation)? Many in the list are in the former category.
My sentiment gauge suggests the
Posted by RichieD on 8th of Feb 2018 at 08:47 pm
My sentiment gauge suggests the general public remains complacent despite the 2,000 point drop in the Dow. When the market drops like it has the last 5 trading days, I'm usually flooded with questions and concerns from friends, family, colleagues and my staff (I administer a profit sharing plan for 60 employees). They are not traders but rather, long-term investors. So far no one seems worried; that worries me.
Why?
FB daily probably bounces tomorrow.
Posted by RichieD on 8th of Feb 2018 at 08:34 pm
Why?
Thanks for the reminder. It's
DJIA Parabola breakdown. The market had all the ingredients of ...
Posted by RichieD on 8th of Feb 2018 at 08:56 am
Thanks for the reminder. It's easy to get caught up in the euphoria and/or feel like you've missed the train.
What Happens when the price
Posted by RichieD on 6th of Feb 2018 at 02:01 pm
What Happens when the price of bitcoin goes below the cost of production. Interesting article by Bob Moriarty: http://321gold.com/editorials/moriarty/moriarty020618.html
Reminds me of the Cyclone
GBTC - Bitcoin
Posted by RichieD on 1st of Feb 2018 at 04:12 pm
Reminds me of the Cyclone rollercoaster at Coney Island; slow ascent, quick decline.
Steve, I assume the optimum
Good Statement for Swing Traders:If all you do is trade ...
Posted by RichieD on 18th of Jan 2018 at 10:16 am
Steve, I assume the optimum words here are "swing trader"?? Also assume this does not apply to those who make a quick trade in and out (day trade), off a chart and nothing but a chart, is that right? Is it possible for one to blur into the other, or are there definitions that clearly separate a day trader from swing trader? Can't imagine you check all the fundamentals for every stock you post, especially those you reference as a quick trade under trade ideas.
GDEN news: https://www.reviewjournal.com/business/casinos-gaming/golden-entertainment-selling-up-to-206m-of-stock/ Feels like they're
Posted by RichieD on 17th of Jan 2018 at 09:46 am
GDEN news: https://www.reviewjournal.com/business/casinos-gaming/golden-entertainment-selling-up-to-206m-of-stock/
Feels like they're throwing existing shareholders under the bus, but perhaps I'm wrong. Thoughts?
Today was one of those
Posted by RichieD on 16th of Jan 2018 at 05:21 pm
Today was one of those days that help me appreciate the value of placing stops on EVERY trade I take. Mainly a swing trader with a busy day job managing a law firm. Was quite pleased to shrug off the impact of today's market selloff. Thanks to my stops, I was taken out of 5 positions at levels way above the closing price, either protecting gains or minimizing the loss...all without staring minute by minute at my computer screen or stressing about what a stock "should be doing".
Many thanks to Steve and Matt for drumming home the concept of always having a plan and using hard stops. No better day than today to reinforce that notion. As they say, "A penny saved is a penny earned".
Apparently, BREW is part of
BREW daily, something could be brewing...
Posted by RichieD on 11th of Jan 2018 at 01:25 pm
Apparently, BREW is part of the SEC Tick Pilot Program, which means I can't place a contingent order awaiting a breakout. Not constantly watching the market, so how would I position myself for a buy? Guess I can buy now with a tight stop, but that's not my preference.