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Did IBM really spike $5.00

Posted by RichieD on 29th of Apr 2021 at 02:08 pm

Did IBM really spike $5.00 higher earlier today, or is that a mistake on the chart?    Supposedly happened within one 5 minute candle, but there was no volume to support that move, which leads me to believe it's an error.  Anyone know?  Has created an ugly candle on the daily.  Will it be fixed...or perhaps the move was legit?

Just my observation (based upon

Blowoff

Posted by RichieD on 19th of Apr 2021 at 07:06 am

Just my observation (based upon anecdotal not technical evidence): majority of people with $$$ in the market ("everyone" as is so commonly referred to) are NOT expecting or calling for a serious correction or market crash; rather, they remain extremely complacent.  Overwhelming majority remain at or near fully invested (in retirement accounts +).  Yes, traders are nervous, and rightfully so based upon technicals, but they (we) make up a small % of total market participation.    

Would rather be living in a state where the governor cares about lives than be governed by this ignorant soul: https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/16/politics/kristi-noem-south-dakota-covid-19/index.html   

Why not take it at the break above the channel of the handle?

Any thoughts on the possibility of a 100% retracement over time?

KISS system question:  Matt, I

Posted by RichieD on 31st of Aug 2020 at 07:39 am

KISS system question:  Matt, I generally trade individual stocks but just watched your KISS video; very impressive.  Thank you for your time and effort behind the scenes putting this together.  Can't imagine the hours involved.  

One question for those following KISS: Perhaps I missed it in the video, but what trading vehicle are you suggesting that tracks this system best: SPY or another ETF??  Thanks.

Appreciate this basic review of lessons you've repeatedly stated over the years.  Easy to follow examples.

Thank you Matt or Steve

Posted by RichieD on 9th of Jun 2020 at 10:17 am

Thank you Matt or Steve for mentioning NAKD a few weeks ago.  Took a flyer at $0.64 back then.  Waited patiently.  Today it exploded higher.  Watched on a 5 minute chart as it continued to rise and rise and rise.   Once it hit $1.17  I put in a stop at $1.11.  Taken out on 1st big red candle.  Great score; perfectly content not selling at the very top; who can?   Thank you.

Honest question: Is every "V" shaped pattern (following an earlier runnup) the "cup" of a potential cup & handle?  If not, what distinguishes one "V" shaped rally (that is a cup)  from another that isn't a cup?

Perhaps the "vaccine" news was more hype than real progress??   The timing of that announcement certainly seems suspicious (just over an hour before the opening bell on a Monday).

Bought yesterday at $2.25, out

NURO Updated View

Posted by RichieD on 13th of May 2020 at 10:56 am

Bought yesterday at $2.25, out today at $2.55.  Thank you Steve and Matt for the idea.  

That said, I monitored today's parabolic upside move on a 5 minute candlestick chart, looking for a reversal candle/sell signal.  Stock quickly crossed $2.65 then a big red candle with a wick at top.  Wanted to give it room in case it pushed higher again.  Set stop at $2.55.  Another red candle hit $2.55 and I was out.  Could I have done better or is that just greed?  The topping candlestick appeared quickly though it was obvious the move could not be sustained.  

So much for a free

Posted by RichieD on 12th of May 2020 at 11:28 am

So much for a free market and taking risks.  Other than bailing out someone or some group of people, what is the purpose of buying this crap with our tax dollars?  

Unemployment # is much higher than that.  People are unable to file.  I know several individuals who have yet to complete the process.  Online enrollment has problems, people cannot complete the application and are required to call...call volume is overwhelming the system...people can't get through.  I know someone who has tried for hours each day throughout April. eventually gets through only to receive a message that the unemployment office has reached it call limit for the day.

Unfortunately, the numbers are going higher before new claims slow down.

I agree with your sentiment, but the woman in line before you isn't the real problem.  Let's first address the biggest outrages in front of us: corporations and banks being bailed out.  Back in 2008 when Goldman Sachs was on the ropes, the federal government stepped in with $10 billion  and bailed them out.   Feds didn't even insist on a % interest in future profits in exchange for the risk they were taking on.  All downside risk without any upside other than the possibility the funds would be paid back.  Goldman were not the only ones, and I suspect much the same is happening once again.  With that backdrop, it's hard to get worked up about people taking advantage of the $600 subsidy.

Sorry for your sad news,

Administrative Note:

Posted by RichieD on 30th of Mar 2020 at 12:56 pm

Sorry for your sad news, Steve.  May she rest in peace.

Bold call.  Not seeing it or feeling it at the moment.

Separate note.  Not buying the concept being tossed around Twitter that miners are selling off because of margin calls on those who were highly leveraged in S&P and FANG stocks. That seems preposterous.   Perhaps the first day or two of the waterfall decline, but now?   Don't believe there are that many traders with  leveraged positions who also held large positions in gold/silver miners that still have much to liquidate.  Anyone have other thoughts as to why this sector sold off when always thought of as a safe haven? 

In your opinion, where's first major support: at 21.7K?   Or somewhere higher?  More curious than interested in jumping in.

Wouldn't the story be the same for nearly all industries in the US (aerospace, automobile, chemical, consumer electronics, non-durable and durable manufacturing, computers, housing construction, pharmaceuticals, etc.)??  Apple and Coca Cola have already put forth that message.  Only service related businesses and software would escape.  No?

Given the current world/market environment, would you say it's more prudent to wait for a break above the pattern (giving up 4% or so), or better to take trade here with a stop just below Friday's low?

Important reminder.  Thank you.

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