Bonds and Utilities held up very well (big continuation in XLU
today with no RSI divergence on Daily or Hourly) through this low
volume equity short squeeze. Again, risk off doesn't look over
based on a number of factors. The odds look pretty decent again for
Steve's statistical note.
Bonds up today and a poor, non-exhaustive low in equities.
Risk-shifting doesn't look over. That, of course, can take place
sooner or later, after a lot of short-squeezing for instance.
They will double down on unlimited liquidity, easing and
negative rates -- financial repression. But after 5 years of no
growth in Europe and all of the cultural problems there, risk will
be faded. Italy is down roughly 40% from highs now. Others will
join it.
All that said, watch for the pockets of hope to create more
significant short-covering rallies.
Happy Independence Day to Britain! And a big shot across the bow
of central planning. Think in terms of dominoes: Japan's recent
efforts have failed; the ECB's have failed; now Britain out;
Janet's very confused and will be left holding Bernanke's bag.
Consensus long equities getting smoked today and Treasuries, Gold
& USD up big. A loss of confidence in Central Banks is going to
play out for a long time. Next step: Spanish elections. Trade the
macro themes off the technicals.
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Bonds still rocking and XLU
Some profit taking (as I pointed out earlier) in the ...
Posted by a_l_ on 1st of Jul 2016 at 02:04 pm
Bonds still rocking and XLU down .34%. Core positions intact and trading tranches not too tightly stopped.
Look at the volume and
The past 30 years, 3 consecutive days of gains >1% ...
Posted by a_l_ on 30th of Jun 2016 at 03:56 pm
Look at the volume and price spike on XLU at the close.
The book is "Investment for
Book, can someone translate this?
Posted by a_l_ on 30th of Jun 2016 at 03:53 pm
The book is "Investment for (your) children" by Wilfried Voorspoels. Only 19.99 Euro.
It's a Dutch "Investing for the Long Term" book with 15 different approaches, one of which covers your "Paint Dry System".
Awesome. You're international stars. If
Book, can someone translate this?
Posted by a_l_ on 30th of Jun 2016 at 03:40 pm
Awesome. You're international stars. If there's a text or pdf version, I can give it a shot.
Ha. Absolutely not. Here's how
sbux
Posted by a_l_ on 30th of Jun 2016 at 03:37 pm
Ha. Absolutely not. Here's how you can analyze questions like that.
Bonds and Utilities held up
The past 30 years, 3 consecutive days of gains >1% ...
Posted by a_l_ on 30th of Jun 2016 at 02:42 pm
Bonds and Utilities held up very well (big continuation in XLU today with no RSI divergence on Daily or Hourly) through this low volume equity short squeeze. Again, risk off doesn't look over based on a number of factors. The odds look pretty decent again for Steve's statistical note.
XLU Daily
XLU Hourly
Time resistance coincident with month-end
From Fib Queen Public Tweet
Posted by a_l_ on 30th of Jun 2016 at 01:17 pm
Time resistance coincident with month-end & quarter-end markups? I'm shocked.
Bonds up today and a
SPX 120 min update
Posted by a_l_ on 28th of Jun 2016 at 12:29 pm
Bonds up today and a poor, non-exhaustive low in equities. Risk-shifting doesn't look over. That, of course, can take place sooner or later, after a lot of short-squeezing for instance.
Bulls don't want these bounces
VXX 5 min
Posted by a_l_ on 27th of Jun 2016 at 09:43 pm
Bulls don't want these bounces overnight, as they work off some of the short-in-the-hole positions on low volume.
Taleb (Black Swan) has coined
EU PHILOSOPHY
Posted by a_l_ on 27th of Jun 2016 at 05:14 pm
Taleb (Black Swan) has coined the term IYI - Intellectual Yet Idiot - for the global elite. Concur.
Another bang up day in
Posted by a_l_ on 27th of Jun 2016 at 01:47 pm
Another bang up day in bonds, with negative divergence forming.
ZROZ daily
Fade the central planners, as
UK and European Banks
Posted by a_l_ on 27th of Jun 2016 at 10:09 am
Fade the central planners, as their market interventions fail & belief in their powers continues to erode.
XLUinitially confused, but now up.
Posted by a_l_ on 24th of Jun 2016 at 10:10 am
XLUinitially confused, but now up.
No, but it could be
Happy Independence Day to Britain! And a big shot across ...
Posted by a_l_ on 24th of Jun 2016 at 10:09 am
No, but it could be a prelude based on party reshuffling.
Spanish elections are this Sunday,
Happy Independence Day to Britain! And a big shot across ...
Posted by a_l_ on 24th of Jun 2016 at 10:01 am
Spanish elections are this Sunday, as Steve pinned above.
They will double down on
Happy Independence Day to Britain! And a big shot across ...
Posted by a_l_ on 24th of Jun 2016 at 09:56 am
They will double down on unlimited liquidity, easing and negative rates -- financial repression. But after 5 years of no growth in Europe and all of the cultural problems there, risk will be faded. Italy is down roughly 40% from highs now. Others will join it.
All that said, watch for the pockets of hope to create more significant short-covering rallies.
Happy Independence Day to Britain!
Posted by a_l_ on 24th of Jun 2016 at 09:45 am
Happy Independence Day to Britain! And a big shot across the bow of central planning. Think in terms of dominoes: Japan's recent efforts have failed; the ECB's have failed; now Britain out; Janet's very confused and will be left holding Bernanke's bag. Consensus long equities getting smoked today and Treasuries, Gold & USD up big. A loss of confidence in Central Banks is going to play out for a long time. Next step: Spanish elections. Trade the macro themes off the technicals.
/VX +60%
ES futures - speed of light
Posted by a_l_ on 24th of Jun 2016 at 12:29 am
/VX +60%
Yep. Made a lot of
Thursday short trade signal
Posted by a_l_ on 23rd of Jun 2016 at 11:40 pm
Yep. Made a lot of good moves today, but kicking myself for not taking a shot on vix options as the /VX hits +40% here.
Kicking complacency square in the
Wish I had checked ES about 30 min ago
Posted by a_l_ on 23rd of Jun 2016 at 10:53 pm
Kicking complacency square in the bum. For every one local authority outpacing expectations to vote remain, there are 2-3 outpacing to leave.