If you look at your chart you will see that the big
selloff/recessions. historically only start once the curve
uninverts, ie goes above zero. BTW this is now on for becoming the
longest inversion in history. as you can see below it inverted on
July 7th 2022 to now, thats 647 days and will likely breech
700?
it's something I keep an eye on, I'm interested when it starts
to get closer to the zero level where it looks like it's going to
go back positive, I think that will lead to a recession
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Matt/Steve, what is going on
Posted by EdZ on 14th of Apr 2024 at 01:01 pm
Matt/Steve, what is going on with this chart in relation to the markets? It's still below zero as markets surged this year in relation to prior years.
If you look at your
Posted by don3247 on 14th of Apr 2024 at 06:31 pm
If you look at your chart you will see that the big selloff/recessions. historically only start once the curve uninverts, ie goes above zero. BTW this is now on for becoming the longest inversion in history. as you can see below it inverted on July 7th 2022 to now, thats 647 days and will likely breech 700?
Massive deficit spending serves as
Posted by steve on 14th of Apr 2024 at 06:34 pm
Massive deficit spending serves as an offset
Yes, the fiscal recklessness of
Posted by don3247 on 14th of Apr 2024 at 06:48 pm
Yes, the fiscal recklessness of the US government is truly staggering, particularly in what is a peacetime scenario and not even in a recession... yet
it's something I keep an
Posted by matt on 14th of Apr 2024 at 01:23 pm
it's something I keep an eye on, I'm interested when it starts to get closer to the zero level where it looks like it's going to go back positive, I think that will lead to a recession