GDP before the open tomorrow

    Posted by DigiNomad on 25th of Oct 2023 at 03:56 pm

    GDP before the open tomorrow - watch out if it comes in above the estimate of 3.8.  The whisper I'm hearing is solidly above 4 which I think would push the market past this support level.  

    We're essentially in an EPIC battle between the drunken sailors in the White House and Congress vs the Fed. Drunken sailors have clearly been winning major battles, but the Fed is likely to win the war....it's just a matter of how far the drunken sailors decide to make them push.  

    just wanted to say that

    Posted by coolhat on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:15 pm

    just wanted to say that FED was also with drunken sailors with their massive QE even when CPI was well above 4%. Also, wanted to make the distinction between spending for investment (i.e. infrastructure/semis manufacturing etc.) versus spending for consumption (Covid era payments). 

    Have you looked at the

    Posted by DigiNomad on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:19 pm

    Have you looked at the details on the "infrastructure" bill?  What they call infrastructure in many cases makes the "inflation reduction act" look like a intellectually honest name for a bill. 

    did not look at it

    Posted by coolhat on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:22 pm

    did not look at it closely - but saw outlays for roads/bridges/airports/seaports/electric transmission etc.

    Suggest look more closely.  Yes,

    Posted by DigiNomad on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:25 pm

    Suggest look more closely.  Yes, all those items are included....in VERY small percentages of the total bill (I think bridges are 2% of the total, but it's a stale memory at this point). They managed to label just about any Democrat social program  wish list item as "infrastructure" and stuffed it in that bill.  For example, I think child care is a problem that needs attention, but calling it infrastructure is a stretch, at best (especially if you're using words to honestly decribe to the American public what they are paying for instead of trying to get what you want through deceptive labeling). 

    It may be full of

    Posted by timebandit on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:29 pm

    It may be full of pork, but it will bring fiber internet service to pretty much every address in our rural county. In my opinion, that is an excellent infrastructure expenditure

    Agreed making it available is

    Posted by rbreese on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:32 pm

    Agreed making it available is wonderful but here in Virginia it will be 200 monthly which is out of the reach of many.

    Could have bought Satellite internet

    Posted by DigiNomad on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:35 pm

    Could have bought Satellite internet access for the RELATIVELY few people that need internet in the boonies and saved a TON of money compared to running fiber to those locations, which would leave money for other things, like child care.  

    If "Amtrak" is part of one of your nicknames, you might be too old to run the largest economy in the world. Just sayin.

    Comcast put in ground lines 

    Posted by rbreese on 25th of Oct 2023 at 05:01 pm

    Comcast put in ground lines   in our community and offered half price for a year. 

    Would have been great 20

    Posted by DigiNomad on 25th of Oct 2023 at 04:31 pm

    Would have been great 20 years ago. Like always with the Gov, by the time it's completed it will be archaic technology and therefore a waste of money on a comparative basis  (ask Elon Musk about this specific example)

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