Example stats of KISS and reversion to mean systems combo

    Posted by matt on 9th of Mar 2022 at 12:10 am

    this is preliminary data but I put this together to get an idea of how it looks. The concept is the go long 50% SSO to capture the SPX annual returns or better. Then trade both the SPY and ES reversion to mean systems - I limited the trades to 6 entries for the reversion to mean (3 for SPY and 3 for ES) that can overlap. I went to 20% for each entry, which means at the 6 entry max would have 120% invested, so some margin. SPY, SSO, UPRO. 

    The table shows the annual returns of the KISS using 50% to SSO, along with the reversion to mean systems annual gain using the model above, then the total  % Gain for that year (KISS plus reversion to mean, and also the SPX annual return that year. The returns are just stupid with the KISS/reversion to mean combo vs the SPX returns.

    2021 the combo returned 50.8% vs 27% for SPX, so about 2:1
    2020 the combo returned 137% vs 16.3% for the SPX or 8.4: 1
    2019 the combo returned 75% vs 28.9% for the SPX or 2.6:1
    2018 the combo returned 46.2% vs -6.2% for the SPX

    crazy stuff

    Outstanding!  Is this something you

    Posted by jonesy85 on 9th of Mar 2022 at 05:14 am

    Outstanding!  Is this something you can update us through the WhatsApp, private twitter or a text message to communicate the signals. 

    Matt I really like the idea

    Posted by arun on 9th of Mar 2022 at 06:37 am

    Matt

    I really like the idea of using whatsapp to communicate signals. More reliable messaging than email (because email servers do have issues) even WhatsApp does but rarely. or any other platform like telegram/signal etc

    I have been a member for many years and I was very eager to use the systems but many times, I had a hard time understanding the various systems. Quite honestly, for my portfolio I always felt these systems can do some incredible wonders plus less time spent on the markets. I asked this before as well (but i dont want to bug you because I know you work hard and try to do a lot of things) . I would really appreciate  if you can dumb this down as much as you can. ( For example - you have different names like strap entry or whatever that is - only sophisticated traders and programmers might understand - Similarly you can probably assign a rank for each system like A A+ etc based on historical numbers ) 

    you put lot of time and effort into this and I am sure there will be more people willing to use this if you can adjust it a bit. Quite honestly, I pay for a website all that does is give sell or buy signals every few weeks ( and they charge more than you do).

    You can even make the systems site a different one. Thanks for your time

    the problem with whatsapp is

    Posted by matt on 9th of Mar 2022 at 08:12 am

    the problem with whatsapp is that I'm not sure we can integrate it into the website server since it's tied to a phone. I would probably use something else like Slack 

    in order to send messages to large groups of people I need to be able to do it through the computer and also add people through the computer. Using my phone like Barry does to record and send and also manually add people is not ideal. There's a desktop version of Whatsapp and I use it to check messages and I can also type messages to, however I don't know if I can have our server communicate with it and add new people through it - I think adding new people has to be done directly from the phone. 

    There is a WhatsApp desktop

    Posted by arun on 9th of Mar 2022 at 09:46 am

    There is a WhatsApp desktop and you can have a broadcast list FWIW

    yes well aware of it,

    Posted by matt on 9th of Mar 2022 at 10:04 am

    yes well aware of it, I use the desktop version as I stated below. However it still has to connect to your phone - you have to use your phone to scan it in order to connect the two.

    As I stated - WhatsApp needs to work through the website itself - I don't know how we could have it on the web server. 

    again market trading now, this is for after hrs discussion

    Matt, I know a programmer

    Posted by mrjasongill on 9th of Mar 2022 at 12:00 pm

    Matt, I know a programmer that has already developed a mass WhatsApp sender tool.  I'll get the info for you. 

    thanks

    Posted by matt on 9th of Mar 2022 at 12:03 pm

    thanks

    Ive tried a service on

    Posted by jonesy85 on 9th of Mar 2022 at 09:05 am

    Ive tried a service on discord and it is quite helpful with organizing content, and another that is web based like BPT and uses the whatapp to call out trades.  The whatapp is pretty cool and you can post charts etc.  I would pay extra for that feature if you shooting out KISS and reversion to mean.

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