$UST10Y:$UST2Y - Chart Link - we know the
difference between long term and short term rates has been getting
tighter, however it's still not close to inverting, yet also not
far away either. Some RSI divergence in place. If the ratio
dips below 1, a recession almost always follows within 6 months to
a year
Yes, but the CCI has lingered at the bottom of it's range for
some time in the past before the market topped, so while it is
'primed', we will probably have to see a break to the upside before
thinking we have a top. That said, the pattern of this cycle
is unusual for the recent past. It has continued up possibly
due to the Trump effect, tax bill and the uncertainty it resolved,
or whatever.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
Yield Curve
Posted by matt on 17th of May 2018 at 06:09 pm
$UST10Y:$UST2Y - Chart Link - we know the difference between long term and short term rates has been getting tighter, however it's still not close to inverting, yet also not far away either. Some RSI divergence in place. If the ratio dips below 1, a recession almost always follows within 6 months to a year
Study of yield curve with
Posted by jroger on 17th of May 2018 at 11:28 pm
Study of yield curve with possible triggers. It is in position to create a trigger in the not too distant future.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24UST10Y-%24UST2Y&p=M&st=1987-10-25&id=p37536276603&listNum=1&a=595097890
JROGER, Look at the CCI
Posted by jdaswani on 18th of May 2018 at 08:44 am
JROGER, Look at the CCI on this chart, most oversold compared to other similar period with positive divergence setting up.
Yes, but the CCI has
Posted by jroger on 18th of May 2018 at 10:46 am
Yes, but the CCI has lingered at the bottom of it's range for some time in the past before the market topped, so while it is 'primed', we will probably have to see a break to the upside before thinking we have a top. That said, the pattern of this cycle is unusual for the recent past. It has continued up possibly due to the Trump effect, tax bill and the uncertainty it resolved, or whatever.