Example of the New Service Trades formate

    Posted by matt on 7th of Jun 2014 at 09:55 pm
    Title: click to show comments

    any statistics on this or trial period for this?

    Posted by tsurplus on 1st of Jul 2014 at 03:37 pm

    Any Stats?

    Posted by cuqui69 on 1st of Jul 2014 at 07:35 am

    Any Stats?

    cuquil69 - you wanted an

    Posted by matt on 1st of Jul 2014 at 11:07 am

    cuquil69 - you wanted an example, here's an example of what would have been sent out on Sunday to subscribers

    New Trades

    Ticker Last Close Buy Stop Stop Loss Profit Target
    CRM 57.38 58.24 46.48 65.81
    TCK 22.40 22.93 18.59 26.37
    WDC 92.90 93.10 77.11 98.92


    Existing Trades

    Ticker Entry Price Last Close Old Stop Loss New Stop Loss Profit Target
    CAT 105.54 108.78 105.55 N/A 116.09
    DIS 82.84 85.30 80.4 N/A 86.57
    NFLX 427.81 442.08 427.15 N/A 468.14
    SBUX 73.79 77.94 75.13 75.39 86.33
    WAB 79 82.70 81.52 N/A 89.27


    Outstanding Trades

    The Boeing Company:

    Cancel your buy stop market order on The Boeing Company (BA).

    Western Digital Corporation (WDC)

    Keep your good till canceled buy stop market order on Western Digital Corporation (WDC)at 93.10.

    Then, if and only if this order is filled, place a good till canceled stop loss order at 77.11 and a profit target at 98.92

    New Trades

    New Trade #1:

    Place a good till canceled buy stop market order on Salesforce.com, Inc (CRM)at 58.24.

    Then, if and only if this order is filled, place a good till canceled stop loss order at 46.48 and a profit target at 65.81

    New Trade #2:

    Place a good till canceled buy stop market order on Teck Resources Limited (TCK)at 22.93.

    Then, if and only if this order is filled, place a good till canceled stop loss order at 18.59 and a profit target at 26.37

    Existing Trades

    Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

    No change indicated

    The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

    No change indicated

    Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)

    No change indicated

    Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)

    Cancel and replace your good till canceled stop loss of 75.13

    New stop loss price: 75.39

    Consider using diagonal 2 x 2 bull call spreads

    Posted by cmunny on 8th of Jun 2014 at 02:36 am

    1) It's nice to have something a little more concrete in terms of trade setups.  I assume this might be a precursor to something you'd put through dittotrade at some point.

     

    2) That being said,  These types of trades look like textbook bull call spreads, buying a 90 delta in the money 2-3 months out, and selling a 10-15 delta out of the money in the short month to offset the time decay of your ITM call, then repeating the sale of an OTM call.  It gives an element of the covered call.

     

    This is much preferable for risk management instead of the huge stop losses you're looking at in these trades.  The SBUX trade, for instance, looks like a bit of a head scratcher, entry at 73 plus, exit at 60 or 86, which is an initial 1:1 r/r ...  UndecidedTies up 90% less capital, too, if all one is going to do is swing trade these for a few weeks.  Even if one wants to book profits in the stock for the long-term, that can be done, albeit at the exit price, not the entry price.

    For instance,  a 2x2 diagonal for SBUX, using the long AUG 67.5 ($8.30) and short Jul 80 (25c credit) would only cost you about $8.05 (vs 13 pt max loss in your example).   The great advantage is the built-in stop loss of only the value of the long call, but one tends to do even better than that recapturing time value if the underlying slide to the ATM strike well before the expiry date.

    Most trades fail because of lack of execution and placement of sell orders.  Options intrinsically take care of much of that.   I suppose Dittotrade would, too, but the options route would be more risk averse and is the direction a lot of people are heading.

     

    Or you could use a risk reversal approach

    Posted by a_l_ on 8th of Jun 2014 at 08:52 pm

    Yes the system gives wide

    Posted by matt on 8th of Jun 2014 at 01:44 pm

    Yes the system gives wide stops at first, however these quickly move up and we also adjust these and many times move them up ourselves against the system.  Sometimes we are wrong and move the stop too tight, but we think it's best to monitor the systems trades look at a charts and see if they make sense.  Are the profit targets reasonable or not, we may move them down if we don't feel they can be hit.  Are the stops logical.  Also many times we won't take a system trade, for example if a stock was up too many days in a row and the system wants to buy, we won't take it.  

    Yes you can trade options of course - we'll leave that up to you for those who are proficient in options.

    Yes this could be done through Ditto Trade, however we don't have any plans for that at first, however if the interest is high enough we will add it.

    Matt, I think this service

    Posted by rikkwan on 8th of Jun 2014 at 06:12 pm

    Matt, I think this service would be perfect for Ditto Trade considering the number of securities involved and the # of moving parts, more so than the SPY system in my opinion.

    Yes - we've thought of

    Posted by matt on 9th of Jun 2014 at 12:39 am

    Yes - we've thought of that and may bring that down the road sometime after the launch

    What's a profit/loss ratio for

    Posted by junkie on 8th of Jun 2014 at 02:06 pm

    What's a profit/loss ratio for the system based upon which trades are to be run? Are trades going to be based on the BTP MA Deluxe or another indicator?

    I'd like to know this

    Posted by jsliedre on 1st of Jul 2014 at 03:44 pm

    I'd like to know this as well

    SBUX corrected options chains

    Posted by cmunny on 8th of Jun 2014 at 02:53 am

    Last post had a hiccup

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