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It's important to zen out

off topic

Posted by te22 on 15th of Oct 2023 at 08:50 am

It's important to zen out w a sport, imho: I spend most of my summer weekends chasing lower lap times at my local track w a great group of friends. Weekdays after the close: dirt time on the KTM.

NVDA - Steve and Matt,

Posted by te22 on 12th of Oct 2023 at 12:10 pm

NVDA - Steve and Matt, Thank you for your previous commentary. Swing and day traded NVDA for a total of 40 of the last 53 points, since recent lows. Your thoughts on what possible moves may transpire next would be greatly appreciated. Thank you,

Hi Steve/Matt, would you please have another look at NVDA? I've been long since $418. Looks like it could get to the 20DMA, which is also around 32% retrace of that last big wave down from 8/30. Likely capped today considering the large $440 call open interest.  Your thoughts would be appreciated. Thanks much 

Steve/Matt, It would be greatly

Posted by te22 on 26th of Sep 2023 at 02:26 pm

Steve/Matt, It would be greatly appreciated if you would please provide your technical analysis on NVDA - is it potentially entering a wave 4 bounce on the daily?  Thanks much

As you all know the

Posted by te22 on 30th of Aug 2023 at 08:11 am

As you all know the trading day following a big up day is usually down. Some statistics for your reference: Over the last 25 years, 87% probability of today being a down close versus yesterday’s close on SPX. This is also true of many markets and stocks: TSLA 70% probability of a down day, today.

$3.5B MOC to sell side

Posted by te22 on 24th of Aug 2023 at 03:47 pm

$3.5B MOC to sell side - ouch

Matt, Hope you had a

Posted by te22 on 14th of Aug 2023 at 08:46 am

Matt, Hope you had a good weekend. Would  you please add VTI and BSV to the KISS STS tables?

NVDA just hit the daily 9EMA for the first time since reporting earnings

Chinese arent ready militarily to invade - will take a few more years of preparation, at least. Best to keep an eye on TSM as an indicator.

Ronald Reagan: Government's view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it Stops Moving, Subsidize it.

MOC $180M to sell side

Posted by te22 on 23rd of May 2023 at 03:47 pm

MOC $180M to sell side is tiny - no sellers to speak of

Matt, Paying attention to what

Posted by te22 on 18th of May 2023 at 10:27 am

Matt, Paying attention to what you said about the fish and the fisherman, think QQQ has trouble getting through 334.43? reaction in other direction, or stick w the trend day? - Thanks, Fish Food

Real Simple: in advanced options for Windows Update, just turn off "restart" and/or "pause" updates for up to 35 days, and just set a reminder on your calendar to re-pause every ~30 days. 

I sold mine, too, then when I realized my mistake, just bought it back slightly higher.  who knows, might make a run to that weekly gap around $115. 

as to the volatility today,

Posted by te22 on 10th of May 2023 at 02:07 pm

as to the volatility today, wasnt it charlie sheen who exclaimed: "It's F-ing beautiful!" in Platoon?  great day trading today :)

I caught the pullback, too +$8k on long QQQ trade :) 

Squeeze big time - think of all those massive short positions waiting for the economy to soften harder and EPS estimates to ratchet down faster. They may prove right, but they are too early.

I believe it was the fastest rate hike by FED in history, certainly fastest in modern era. Your suggestion that they raise even faster in a bigger way would have been too much of a shock to the system, in FED's view,  although Gundlach and  others wanted faster than they did - that is all supposition at this point, anyway - now it's history.

Fed Funds now higher than inflation - the Fed's goal has now been achieved - big milestone.  If inflation stays level, or declines, that means the end of rate hikes, and pause is set in stone.

 

as a follow up to

XLY options question

Posted by te22 on 9th of May 2023 at 01:36 pm

as a follow up to purchasing the call spread, if you think the measured move is all that there will be, you could also consider buying a butterfly, where the short call strikes are at the measured move.  this would be cheaper than buying a call spread, but also provides less upside. 

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