This is a good sign. One of the hallmarks of a robust
system is that it work well with a variety of different
instruments. The SPY system certainly seems to meet that
requirement.
The failing of traders who aren't disciplined is cherry-picking.
The problem with news is that you can cherry-pick that too.
The result is often reacting too late or improperly.
I think that the only way to make money in the market it to
learn a few things well and stick to them. Even having too
many charts or indicators can lead to trouble (cherry-picking
again).
Most traders (and I don't mean the good ones, such as Matt,
Kobie, etc.) would be far better off today if they had invested in
Matt's long-term SPY system (the free one) and done nothing else.
If they are now also using the subscription SPY system and
the GDX system, they would be far, far ahead of the game.
Again, I speak for the majority of subscribers who need
discipline. I've learned the hard way to stop reacting to
news or a thousand charts and indicators and stick to a few tried
and true things.
I find this market to be quite logical. I follow a few
trending indicators (among them the SPY system) and they're working
fine. What hasn't worked is when I've tried to outthink the
market and have decided in advance what it should do (or, what
amounts to the same thing, when I've cherry picked indicators that
confirm my bias). When I've imposed my own expectations on
the market I've gotten creamed, but the joke wasn't the market, it
was on me.
The new system's profit target of 13.5% has been hit, so there
should be a sell signal. I think that Matt just hasn't
updated the current status of the sytem at the top of the page.
I see your point about how you use Elliot Wave. But you
might want to address the problem I have with the theory:
namely that it seems to have consistent predictive value only
retroactively.
In your view, can one use Elliot Wave to make consistent
predictions about the future behavior of a stock? In other
words, do you think that it's possible to successfully trade a
stock in realtime using Elliot Wave? Even if it's "one piece
of the puzzle," for it to be a useful piece of the puzzle it should
be able to make consistent and verifiable predictions.
It might be interesting to paper trade a stock or etf using just
Elliot Wave information and see what kind of results ensue.
Matt, could you tell us, in a general way, what the SPY system
looks at to determine if it's in an up or a down trend? Is it
a being above or below a certain moving average, etc.?
I'm not trying to be provocative; I'm just trying to understand
why, with results like that, anyone would want to put up with the
hassle of running a hedge fund. It seems to me that you could
become ridiculously wealthy just trading ES contracts.
And just to be clear, I wasn't talking about tweaks.
Tweaks are systemic. I was talking about the tendency
to override the rules but not taking trades, closing out trades
early, etc. based on one's sense of where the market is going.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
This is a good sign.
For fun
Posted by algyros on 28th of Jul 2011 at 02:26 pm
This is a good sign. One of the hallmarks of a robust system is that it work well with a variety of different instruments. The SPY system certainly seems to meet that requirement.
Tom, could you talk about
GDX Swing System Alert
Posted by algyros on 28th of Jul 2011 at 11:27 am
Tom, could you talk about how rule #3 applies to this signal?
If he's mad, then the
Man it's dead today on the blog, I guess people ...
Posted by algyros on 26th of Jul 2011 at 04:47 pm
If he's mad, then the Republican leaders of Congress are raving lunatics: approval rating for them has fallen to 25%, disapproval 66%.
The failing of traders who
I mean seriously....could this mkt be a bigger joke?.....mad cow is back and uncle ben is riding her for all she's worth....
Posted by algyros on 25th of Jul 2011 at 11:29 am
The failing of traders who aren't disciplined is cherry-picking. The problem with news is that you can cherry-pick that too. The result is often reacting too late or improperly.
I think that the only way to make money in the market it to learn a few things well and stick to them. Even having too many charts or indicators can lead to trouble (cherry-picking again).
Most traders (and I don't mean the good ones, such as Matt, Kobie, etc.) would be far better off today if they had invested in Matt's long-term SPY system (the free one) and done nothing else. If they are now also using the subscription SPY system and the GDX system, they would be far, far ahead of the game.
Again, I speak for the majority of subscribers who need discipline. I've learned the hard way to stop reacting to news or a thousand charts and indicators and stick to a few tried and true things.
I find this market to
I mean seriously....could this mkt be a bigger joke?.....mad cow is back and uncle ben is riding her for all she's worth....
Posted by algyros on 25th of Jul 2011 at 10:49 am
I find this market to be quite logical. I follow a few trending indicators (among them the SPY system) and they're working fine. What hasn't worked is when I've tried to outthink the market and have decided in advance what it should do (or, what amounts to the same thing, when I've cherry picked indicators that confirm my bias). When I've imposed my own expectations on the market I've gotten creamed, but the joke wasn't the market, it was on me.
The new system's profit target
GDX Swing System-Sell Signal?
Posted by algyros on 25th of Jul 2011 at 08:59 am
The new system's profit target of 13.5% has been hit, so there should be a sell signal. I think that Matt just hasn't updated the current status of the sytem at the top of the page.
If you don't mind Steve,
MCP
Posted by algyros on 21st of Jul 2011 at 05:39 pm
If you don't mind Steve, could you also recommend a stop for MCP?
Thanks for the tutorial, Matt.
A Useful Elliot Wave Tutorial using AAPL as example
Posted by algyros on 21st of Jul 2011 at 09:28 am
Thanks for the tutorial, Matt.
I see your point about how you use Elliot Wave. But you might want to address the problem I have with the theory: namely that it seems to have consistent predictive value only retroactively.
In your view, can one use Elliot Wave to make consistent predictions about the future behavior of a stock? In other words, do you think that it's possible to successfully trade a stock in realtime using Elliot Wave? Even if it's "one piece of the puzzle," for it to be a useful piece of the puzzle it should be able to make consistent and verifiable predictions.
It might be interesting to paper trade a stock or etf using just Elliot Wave information and see what kind of results ensue.
"Truth is it is either
market
Posted by algyros on 18th of Jul 2011 at 02:26 pm
"Truth is it is either going to go up or down."
Wait a second. Do you have any charts to back that claim up? Or at least a wave count?
Not about the SPY system.
SPY system trend
Posted by algyros on 18th of Jul 2011 at 11:44 am
Not about the SPY system.
I think that this is a good idea and would help subscribers feel more on top of what the SPY system is up to.
SPY system trend
Posted by algyros on 18th of Jul 2011 at 08:30 am
Matt, could you tell us, in a general way, what the SPY system looks at to determine if it's in an up or a down trend? Is it a being above or below a certain moving average, etc.?
Thanks, Tumbler. Your work is
Spreadsheet updated
Posted by algyros on 15th of Jul 2011 at 11:24 am
Thanks, Tumbler. Your work is much appreciated.
When I go to the
THE CLEAR METHOD
Posted by algyros on 14th of Jul 2011 at 06:00 pm
When I go to the website, the code for this indicator is already there. Just copy and paste it onto your TS powerlanguage editor.
SPY sell
Posted by algyros on 12th of Jul 2011 at 05:54 pm
Is there any reason why it wouldn't be a good idea to set a stop loss at market open instead of selling outright after a sell signal has been issued?
This would only be for a a day (in other words, instead of selling tomorrow, a tight stop is placed as well as a Sell MOC).
I don't see a downside to this strategy, but it is not hard to imagine that I'm missing something.
Definition of Bilderberg/Goldman: the reason
Turn around in futures??
Posted by algyros on 12th of Jul 2011 at 08:52 am
Definition of Bilderberg/Goldman: the reason the stock market isn't going the way I predicted.
Good question. I'd like to
system parameters
Posted by algyros on 11th of Jul 2011 at 07:59 am
Good question. I'd like to know too.
I'm not trying to be
SPY swing system trading ES exotic
Posted by algyros on 9th of Jul 2011 at 11:17 pm
I'm not trying to be provocative; I'm just trying to understand why, with results like that, anyone would want to put up with the hassle of running a hedge fund. It seems to me that you could become ridiculously wealthy just trading ES contracts.
I.e., it's like investing over
SPY system and trading ES and automation
Posted by algyros on 6th of Jul 2011 at 06:54 pm
I.e., it's like investing over $600,000. People should be aware of what that means and of the drawdowns it entails.
And just to be clear,
Following the system
Posted by algyros on 6th of Jul 2011 at 12:04 pm
And just to be clear, I wasn't talking about tweaks. Tweaks are systemic. I was talking about the tendency to override the rules but not taking trades, closing out trades early, etc. based on one's sense of where the market is going.
I'm afraid you read backwards.
Following the system
Posted by algyros on 6th of Jul 2011 at 11:56 am
I'm afraid you read backwards. Try again.