Probably over the next couple of weeks/months we will read about
firms that had MBS and over leveraged, The fed buying bonds
and backstopping has created significant losses to mortgage firms
that sell puts as insurance against the originated mortgages (I
might not be 100% accurate on this but there is something going on
in that space that has created significant margin calls from what I
have read).
We can all speculate (myself included) but as we have seen
- oversold can become more oversold. Just like the Ramp up
from October 2019. Market remained overbought for months
before it cracked in Feb 2020. The bias is to the bear side
until proven otherwise.
Goldnice. I think we have one more push lower on Silver to
retest the recent lows. Perhaps in a couple of weeks.
But I do believe at some point Silver will outperform Gold on
a % basis.
The positive is that this will get flushed out pretty fast.
the algo's and huge leverage will drain the swamp soon
enough. Even in 2008 when the sky was falling, the markets
started to recover months before any positive
headlines.
Waiting for LQD to set up for a short opp. My only concern
is that the Fed said it is going to buy bond ETF's. Now in
their verbiage they said they would buy short duration (1-3 years).
LQD goes out 10-13 I think. Have to see price action
over the next couple of days. and SPMB looking for the next
short on that.
SMED. In the business of recycling medical products.
With supply chain disruptions and hospitals at max capacity.
Chart is telling the story. There is a bull
market somewhere, just have to dig and dig to mine the
Gold.
$SPX Daily ( Buying at the 5 Day SMA). Closed above 5 Day,
CCI pos, RSI pos and the last piece ( ATR is falling) = positive
signs for a more sustained bounce ($Vix is till high).
Nest chart it the 120 min, take notice of the pivot this am off
of the low (bear trap this am).
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Probably over the next couple
DAX made it down to major support, cannot rule it ...
Posted by ssaffer on 2nd of Apr 2020 at 01:22 pm
Probably over the next couple of weeks/months we will read about firms that had MBS and over leveraged, The fed buying bonds and backstopping has created significant losses to mortgage firms that sell puts as insurance against the originated mortgages (I might not be 100% accurate on this but there is something going on in that space that has created significant margin calls from what I have read).
We can all speculate (myself
Mutual funds have seen $356b in outflows in March (thru ...
Posted by ssaffer on 2nd of Apr 2020 at 01:12 pm
We can all speculate (myself included) but as we have seen - oversold can become more oversold. Just like the Ramp up from October 2019. Market remained overbought for months before it cracked in Feb 2020. The bias is to the bear side until proven otherwise.
Same chance as having a
Got to love it - Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov refuted ...
Posted by ssaffer on 2nd of Apr 2020 at 11:44 am
Same chance as having a vaccine today for Covid-19.
GLD 120 min TGT.
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Apr 2020 at 10:16 pm
GLD 120 min TGT.
Goldnice. I think we have
$SLV - $SPY Ratio Chart {Monthly Close} This chart is ...
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Apr 2020 at 05:33 pm
Goldnice. I think we have one more push lower on Silver to retest the recent lows. Perhaps in a couple of weeks. But I do believe at some point Silver will outperform Gold on a % basis.
Steve - There is always
APT and AHPI. Grade "A".
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Apr 2020 at 05:16 pm
Steve - There is always a bull market, just have to work hard enough to find it and keep pursuing.
The positive is that this
FANG stocks
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Apr 2020 at 05:15 pm
The positive is that this will get flushed out pretty fast. the algo's and huge leverage will drain the swamp soon enough. Even in 2008 when the sky was falling, the markets started to recover months before any positive headlines.
I am sure we are
FANG stocks
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Apr 2020 at 05:06 pm
I am sure we are going to re-test the lows, the question is when? we have 5-8% moves a day. hard to stay positioned without blowing up your account.
APT and AHPI. Grade "A".
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Apr 2020 at 03:55 pm
APT and AHPI. Grade "A".
The VIX has not moved
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Apr 2020 at 02:32 pm
The VIX has not moved one heck of a lot with todays sell off. Just a note.
Waiting for LQD to set
Posted by ssaffer on 31st of Mar 2020 at 12:24 pm
Waiting for LQD to set up for a short opp. My only concern is that the Fed said it is going to buy bond ETF's. Now in their verbiage they said they would buy short duration (1-3 years). LQD goes out 10-13 I think. Have to see price action over the next couple of days. and SPMB looking for the next short on that.
SPXU and DSLV - day
Posted by ssaffer on 31st of Mar 2020 at 12:21 pm
SPXU and DSLV - day trades for today.
SMED. In the business
Posted by ssaffer on 31st of Mar 2020 at 01:00 am
SMED. In the business of recycling medical products. With supply chain disruptions and hospitals at max capacity. Chart is telling the story. There is a bull market somewhere, just have to dig and dig to mine the Gold.
Agreed. That is the set
SPX 15, 30 min coil triangles forming
Posted by ssaffer on 31st of Mar 2020 at 12:34 am
Agreed. That is the set up you want so can recycle and build energy to go up.
$SPX Daily ( Buying at
Posted by ssaffer on 30th of Mar 2020 at 07:17 pm
$SPX Daily ( Buying at the 5 Day SMA). Closed above 5 Day, CCI pos, RSI pos and the last piece ( ATR is falling) = positive signs for a more sustained bounce ($Vix is till high).
Nest chart it the 120 min, take notice of the pivot this am off of the low (bear trap this am).
LQD May put options ATM.
Posted by ssaffer on 30th of Mar 2020 at 03:08 pm
LQD May put options ATM.
TEVA@$8.00 and VIVO@7.70 I
Posted by ssaffer on 30th of Mar 2020 at 03:08 pm
TEVA@$8.00 and VIVO@7.70 I like TEVA in generic phama space. and VIVO makes a reagent that is crucial for POC Covid-19 testing.
https://techstartups.com/2020/03/28/dr-vladimir-zelenko-now-treated-699-coronavirus-patients-100-success-using-hydroxychloroquine-sulfate-zinc-z-pak-update/
Posted by ssaffer on 30th of Mar 2020 at 11:53 am
https://techstartups.com/2020/03/28/dr-vladimir-zelenko-now-treated-699-coronavirus-patients-100-success-using-hydroxychloroquine-sulfate-zinc-z-pak-update/
GDX 60 min. pivot at
Posted by ssaffer on 30th of Mar 2020 at 11:38 am
GDX 60 min. pivot at 24.55. TGT $26.-$26.51 area. Short term. My two cents.
SPY 60 min.
Posted by ssaffer on 30th of Mar 2020 at 11:21 am
SPY 60 min.