Reason why- Stock closed at 7.21 - Apr 6s closed at 1.30, so
you're only paying .09 premium to the actual tangible
value.
Apr 7s closed at .61 - that's a .40 premium to stock's tangible
value so in reality 6s are cheaper.
Then look at Matt's chart posted tonite. Near term objective is
call it 7.60
As stock moves up more into the money the speculative portion of
the premium will begin to shrink. Since there is so little in the
6s at this point, will probably remain constant whereas the 7's
speculative premium will begin to shrink as it gets more into the
money. As a percentage return you may make a higher return with the
7's, but in absolute terms you may make very little on a move to
7.60. If stock doesn't move very much in next few weeks then you'll
definitely be better off with the 6s.
As far as the 8's go, take the money you'd spend on those and go
to Vegas. Just gambling. Stock would need to move a point just to
break even, but a common mistake that many option traders make,
which is the reason that most of them lose money.
Another option, pun intended, is to buy the 6s and sell the 7's.
This is a spread. You'd need to execute the trade with a
.70differential. So what you would be doing is buying the 6's for
1.30, selling the 7's for 60, net result you're long the 6's for
.70. As long as stock stays above 6.70 you make money but you're
capped at .30 profit as long as stock stays above $7.00. But .30 on
.70 is about 40% in 5-6 weeks. Depending on broker, you may
need to call trading desk if you're uncomfortable trying to execute
yourself. Most will be glad to do. if they aren't change
brokers.
If you want a little more risk but with more upside potential
then you can do same thing using 7's and selling the 8's. This
would lower your effective cost on the 7's to about .40 which still
leaves you more upside potential than the other but definitely
reduces your risk.
These latter 2 ideas are more the base hits as are the in
the money 6 calls versus going for the home run. This how the
professionals trade. Going for the home runs is a sure way to lose
most your money. Forget all the crap you see about making
1000%/week propaganda, unless of course you've got some good inside
info, LOL.
Posted by racerick on 12th of Nov 2009 at 12:31 pm
The reason that no one commented originally was that it's been
discussed a lot, most all of us are serious traders here and
to reiterate the obvious concerns doesn't help me. I welcome the
fact that you want to be part of an active trading community and
this is a great group here, but because Matt and Steve do a good
job of covering most the possible outcomes, I rarely post because
I'm busy trading and unless I've got a setup or something unique to
post I keep pretty quiet.
Posted by racerick on 16th of Oct 2009 at 04:46 pm
It's not a TS rule, it's an exchange rule that every broker
dealer has to abide by. BY having day trading priviledges you get
certain goodies like say 4-1 leverage intraday. However you are
considered a pattern day trader which puts certain restrictions on
you.
You have regular magin buying power and you have day trading
buying power. If you're using your DT limits and decide to hold
overnight, then in essence you're in violation of exchange rules
and when your DT buying power is calculated say every night by most
brokers, then you're not going to be showing any BP. So when you
sell the next day the money is not immediately available to you
until recalculated that night. When you do transactions within same
day, then they're in essence using prior nites calculations plus ar
minus adjustments for current days trades.
Can go Google 'pattern day trading rules' and get better
explanation. But every broker -dealer in the country has same
rules.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
FSLR and AMZN having good day
Posted by racerick on 11th of Mar 2010 at 01:05 pm
GS
Posted by racerick on 11th of Mar 2010 at 12:52 pm
GS trying to roll over some, may help weaken financial stocks. Ag stocks weak today
Reversal Candles
Posted by racerick on 9th of Mar 2010 at 03:34 pm
We're going to have a ton of reversal candles on the daily charts unless we get a heck of a rally last 25min.
GS getting some serious volume on the sell side
Posted by racerick on 9th of Mar 2010 at 03:25 pm
X on 5min 200 here
Posted by racerick on 9th of Mar 2010 at 03:21 pm
If it can break it, may be off to the races
Got 1/2 my wish RP
Posted by racerick on 9th of Mar 2010 at 03:19 pm
Trailing tight stop on GS short
Puts
Puts
Posted by racerick on 9th of Mar 2010 at 01:49 pm
Sorry about that, on the Q's
Puts
Posted by racerick on 9th of Mar 2010 at 01:28 pm
For those of you who think we may actually get a pullback someday, March 48puts trading at 1.18, only .17 premium. Were 1.67 this am.
Airlines
Posted by racerick on 9th of Mar 2010 at 01:14 pm
LOL, Airlines the strongest sector today. We've got to be close to a top.
Industry Group ETFs Getting Overbought
Posted by racerick on 8th of Mar 2010 at 08:33 pm
SRS Calls
Equity Only Put/Call Ratio
Posted by racerick on 4th of Mar 2010 at 01:08 am
Sorry, hit wrong reply button. reply was in response to piclez'z question on SRS calls
SRS calls
Equity Only Put/Call Ratio
Posted by racerick on 4th of Mar 2010 at 01:05 am
Look at the April 6's.
Reason why- Stock closed at 7.21 - Apr 6s closed at 1.30, so you're only paying .09 premium to the actual tangible value.
Apr 7s closed at .61 - that's a .40 premium to stock's tangible value so in reality 6s are cheaper.
Then look at Matt's chart posted tonite. Near term objective is call it 7.60
As stock moves up more into the money the speculative portion of the premium will begin to shrink. Since there is so little in the 6s at this point, will probably remain constant whereas the 7's speculative premium will begin to shrink as it gets more into the money. As a percentage return you may make a higher return with the 7's, but in absolute terms you may make very little on a move to 7.60. If stock doesn't move very much in next few weeks then you'll definitely be better off with the 6s.
As far as the 8's go, take the money you'd spend on those and go to Vegas. Just gambling. Stock would need to move a point just to break even, but a common mistake that many option traders make, which is the reason that most of them lose money.
Another option, pun intended, is to buy the 6s and sell the 7's. This is a spread. You'd need to execute the trade with a .70differential. So what you would be doing is buying the 6's for 1.30, selling the 7's for 60, net result you're long the 6's for .70. As long as stock stays above 6.70 you make money but you're capped at .30 profit as long as stock stays above $7.00. But .30 on .70 is about 40% in 5-6 weeks. Depending on broker, you may need to call trading desk if you're uncomfortable trying to execute yourself. Most will be glad to do. if they aren't change brokers.
If you want a little more risk but with more upside potential then you can do same thing using 7's and selling the 8's. This would lower your effective cost on the 7's to about .40 which still leaves you more upside potential than the other but definitely reduces your risk.
These latter 2 ideas are more the base hits as are the in the money 6 calls versus going for the home run. This how the professionals trade. Going for the home runs is a sure way to lose most your money. Forget all the crap you see about making 1000%/week propaganda, unless of course you've got some good inside info, LOL.
Hope this helps
Emats
EMATS
Posted by racerick on 28th of Jan 2010 at 06:27 pm
Why only 1/3. What triggers the rest? Thx
Are We Having a Buying Panic Here
Posted by racerick on 16th of Nov 2009 at 09:59 am
This may be just what we need to find a top in this market
GOLD
Posted by racerick on 12th of Nov 2009 at 12:47 pm
Gold should have decent short term support here at 107.50ish, both horizontal and 100 ma on hourly
Have to agree w/ Matt
I cautioned on this...
Posted by racerick on 12th of Nov 2009 at 12:31 pm
The reason that no one commented originally was that it's been discussed a lot, most all of us are serious traders here and to reiterate the obvious concerns doesn't help me. I welcome the fact that you want to be part of an active trading community and this is a great group here, but because Matt and Steve do a good job of covering most the possible outcomes, I rarely post because I'm busy trading and unless I've got a setup or something unique to post I keep pretty quiet.
TS
Tradestation BuyingPower Question
Posted by racerick on 16th of Oct 2009 at 04:46 pm
It's not a TS rule, it's an exchange rule that every broker dealer has to abide by. BY having day trading priviledges you get certain goodies like say 4-1 leverage intraday. However you are considered a pattern day trader which puts certain restrictions on you.
You have regular magin buying power and you have day trading buying power. If you're using your DT limits and decide to hold overnight, then in essence you're in violation of exchange rules and when your DT buying power is calculated say every night by most brokers, then you're not going to be showing any BP. So when you sell the next day the money is not immediately available to you until recalculated that night. When you do transactions within same day, then they're in essence using prior nites calculations plus ar minus adjustments for current days trades.
Can go Google 'pattern day trading rules' and get better explanation. But every broker -dealer in the country has same rules.
GDX j
Posted by racerick on 6th of Aug 2009 at 02:14 pm
Just broke few min ago
WFMI
Posted by racerick on 4th of Aug 2009 at 04:10 pm
Hope no one held into earnings short
forex
Forex Broker
Posted by racerick on 3rd of Aug 2009 at 03:19 pm
I've been with Gain (forex.com) for a few years, overall not bad, good tech analysis and decent executions