Got a serious cold wave sweeping down across the country.
Suppose to get to 10 degrees here in Carolina tomorrow nite. If
this doesn't help firm it up I'm going to give up on it.
USD an animal. It may never pull back, lol. Broke the low
of yesterday's candle, but was just a bear trap. Dropped .07 and
then has proceeded to bounce back up .40 to within .20 of
yesterday's high so far. I'm short with a real tight stop at
yesterdays VAH at 91.815
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 09:26 am
Obviously down a lot and somewhere in high 40's where TL is
would/could be a possible short term bounce point. But typically
most commodities don't make V shaped bottoms and oil supply
situation typically gets worse in Spring (less demand), Though we
may have some bounces, I personally think we'll have a fairly long
consolidation pattern before we see a major trend change. Also,
typically most times when you have a major sell off like oil has
had, even if it bounces pretty hard, typically you'll get a back
test that will often undercut prior lows.
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 07:50 am
Went ahead and took small position at 79.50 based on fact I like
the pattern and it's sitting right on my cp and 15min 50,. Little
worried we may get some weird spike at 8:30 since we have job
numbers.
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 07:22 am
Brent making new lows here this am trading around 56. WTI
trading around 53. Something has to give. Normal spread about $5
and has been holding $4.50 pretty consistently past week. Spread
now right at $3. If you have access can go long Brent and short WTI
for a return to normal spread. Last time I posted this was worth an
easy win within a couple of days.
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 05:34 am
UCO is based on 2X the actual futures price of oil, performance
has nothing to do with tax selling. You probably don't want to be
anywhere near UCO, unless you're short, until you think oil has
bottomed. It's done exactly what it was designed to do.
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Natgas
Posted by racerick on 6th of Jan 2015 at 08:51 am
Got a serious cold wave sweeping down across the country. Suppose to get to 10 degrees here in Carolina tomorrow nite. If this doesn't help firm it up I'm going to give up on it.
USD
Posted by racerick on 6th of Jan 2015 at 05:52 am
USD an animal. It may never pull back, lol. Broke the low of yesterday's candle, but was just a bear trap. Dropped .07 and then has proceeded to bounce back up .40 to within .20 of yesterday's high so far. I'm short with a real tight stop at yesterdays VAH at 91.815
Oil hit 48.47 I'm long
Oil hitting new lows
Posted by racerick on 6th of Jan 2015 at 05:28 am
Oil hit 48.47 I'm long from 48.57, we'll see what happens
Oil hitting new lows
Posted by racerick on 6th of Jan 2015 at 02:13 am
49.45 at the moment
Getting bounce off 49.32
OIl making new lows so far tonite
Posted by racerick on 4th of Jan 2015 at 09:50 pm
Down to 51.76 - USD had huge gap up on open but has pulled back some now which is helping gold some.
Natgas looks like may be perking up some. Huge cold wave sweeping across country, so may give some support.
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General Market Weekend Newsletter
Posted by racerick on 4th of Jan 2015 at 06:55 pm
Steve, May want to check. Newsletter link that just came by email is last weeks.
Steve
SPX 10
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 09:51 am
Traveling today, so don't have access to all my charts, could you post if you see any short term patterns, Thanks,Rick
ES
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 09:47 am
Going nowhere but down so far. Naz looks like strong index today
Agree with Steve
Oil
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 09:26 am
Obviously down a lot and somewhere in high 40's where TL is would/could be a possible short term bounce point. But typically most commodities don't make V shaped bottoms and oil supply situation typically gets worse in Spring (less demand), Though we may have some bounces, I personally think we'll have a fairly long consolidation pattern before we see a major trend change. Also, typically most times when you have a major sell off like oil has had, even if it bounces pretty hard, typically you'll get a back test that will often undercut prior lows.
Oil back under 53
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 08:12 am
Don't forget we have oil inventory numbers at 10:30 today and Natgas numbers at 12
For sure - u2
ES H&S
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 08:07 am
ES
ES H&S
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 07:50 am
Went ahead and took small position at 79.50 based on fact I like the pattern and it's sitting right on my cp and 15min 50,. Little worried we may get some weird spike at 8:30 since we have job numbers.
Oil
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 07:22 am
Brent making new lows here this am trading around 56. WTI trading around 53. Something has to give. Normal spread about $5 and has been holding $4.50 pretty consistently past week. Spread now right at $3. If you have access can go long Brent and short WTI for a return to normal spread. Last time I posted this was worth an easy win within a couple of days.
ES
ES H&S
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 07:16 am
You thinking of buying here at CP or waiting for breakout?
Possible H&S setting up on USD 15min
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 07:13 am
You mean Inverse H&S?
ES H&S
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 06:41 am
Been watching myself past hour or so. Dow futures too
UCO
UCO
Posted by racerick on 31st of Dec 2014 at 05:34 am
UCO is based on 2X the actual futures price of oil, performance has nothing to do with tax selling. You probably don't want to be anywhere near UCO, unless you're short, until you think oil has bottomed. It's done exactly what it was designed to do.
XLE is a stock based ETF, XOM, CVX, SLB, etc.
USD a rocketship today
Posted by racerick on 29th of Dec 2014 at 01:04 pm
yes, Nice call on UGAZ Matt
UNG, UGAZ follow up
Posted by racerick on 29th of Dec 2014 at 12:43 pm
LOL. BOFA must be long oil
Posted by racerick on 29th of Dec 2014 at 12:40 pm
Brent down $2 since they posted this this morning
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102298962