One thing that is not considered in govt stats is the number of
actual infections including asymptomatic ones. This site
gives some background to the NY situation. They calculated
death rate at 0.28% and under age 65 rate at 0.09%. Link:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
That will be exciting when it happens. I've been stalking
this for years too. Wondering if it needs some weeks of
consolidation or backtesting. Very tricky sector to trade
imho.
Great newsletter Matt. One thing the rapid sell off
highlights is the extreme levels of leverage in the system, even in
precious metals. Too much leverage is very bad and has
consequences that catch even the best traders and systems.
Definition changes are typical of marxist philosophies. If
you don't like the results of something, just alter the data or
results. The question is, will the markets be fooled for some
time?
Just to add one thing. My belief is the market is taking
the corona virus problem far to lightly. The numbers are much
higher than published by the authorities and not sure how seriously
Canadians, Americans, and Europeans authorities are taking this as
it can spread asymptomatically.
I am holding a basket of silver and gold stocks and a small
basket of energy stocks as a counterweight. Given today's
action, the gold bug in me is nervous. A drop below 27.63 on
GDX will likely cause me to close most of those trades out.
Something is up with the number of stocks included in GDX under
the point and figure system. I've noticed that MUX appears
and disappears randomly and that the total number of stocks on buy
or sell signals varies from 25 to 26. Sometimes a stock is
removed and that affects the total number of stocks and makes the
system appear to go on a buy or sell signal. So be careful
with interpretation of signals as weird things are going on under
the surface with the number of stocks included in bullish
percentage gold miners.
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Potential Inverse cup and handle
Posted by pwb8 on 14th of Sep 2021 at 11:09 am
Potential Inverse cup and handle on 10 year yields
There is a gap on
Miners coming down today. Can someone give guidance on what ...
Posted by pwb8 on 7th of Apr 2021 at 12:03 pm
There is a gap on GDX that extends down to 33.78. I guess that might be a logical target over time.
GDX looks like bear flag
Posted by pwb8 on 10th of Mar 2021 at 11:44 am
GDX looks like bear flag on 2hr timeframe.
Trouble is brewing in the
Posted by pwb8 on 17th of Dec 2020 at 04:37 pm
Trouble is brewing in the GLD ETF
CFO leaves on day before financial year end
Gold and silver and the
Gold gapping over Fib fan line as well.
Posted by pwb8 on 21st of Oct 2020 at 09:28 am
Gold and silver and the stocks. Stocks are even trickier than the metals.
Be wary of a fakeout
Gold gapping over Fib fan line as well.
Posted by pwb8 on 21st of Oct 2020 at 09:23 am
Be wary of a fakeout - I've traded pms for 10 years and they are quite tricky.
Thanks Steve
GDX 60 Updated View
Posted by pwb8 on 20th of Aug 2020 at 01:34 pm
Thanks Steve
Steve would you consider the
GDX 60 Updated View
Posted by pwb8 on 20th of Aug 2020 at 01:14 pm
Steve would you consider the recent move to 42.10 an E wave that completes the coil with the potential to break down? I am considering a short on GDX.
Nice chart Ed
Nice Double Top on SIL:SLV ratio with Divergences
Posted by pwb8 on 9th of Aug 2020 at 07:13 pm
Nice chart Ed
US dollar index maybe bottoming.
Posted by pwb8 on 29th of Jul 2020 at 09:05 am
US dollar index maybe bottoming. Could provide the pin to pop golds parabolic move.
One thing that is not
Ultra long term Elliott Wave count for the S&P500. Looks ...
Posted by pwb8 on 11th of Jun 2020 at 08:37 pm
One thing that is not considered in govt stats is the number of actual infections including asymptomatic ones. This site gives some background to the NY situation. They calculated death rate at 0.28% and under age 65 rate at 0.09%. Link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
That will be exciting when
GDX Breaking out of a 7 year consolidation box. First ...
Posted by pwb8 on 5th of May 2020 at 10:14 pm
That will be exciting when it happens. I've been stalking this for years too. Wondering if it needs some weeks of consolidation or backtesting. Very tricky sector to trade imho.
Great newsletter Matt. One thing
Posted by pwb8 on 1st of Mar 2020 at 09:36 pm
Great newsletter Matt. One thing the rapid sell off highlights is the extreme levels of leverage in the system, even in precious metals. Too much leverage is very bad and has consequences that catch even the best traders and systems.
Definition changes are typical of
Definition changed?South China Morning Post reported that "hundreds of thousands ...
Posted by pwb8 on 11th of Feb 2020 at 09:00 am
Definition changes are typical of marxist philosophies. If you don't like the results of something, just alter the data or results. The question is, will the markets be fooled for some time?
Just to add one thing.
Posted by pwb8 on 7th of Feb 2020 at 12:32 pm
Just to add one thing. My belief is the market is taking the corona virus problem far to lightly. The numbers are much higher than published by the authorities and not sure how seriously Canadians, Americans, and Europeans authorities are taking this as it can spread asymptomatically.
I am holding a basket
And to add to those is anyone holding positions in ...
Posted by pwb8 on 7th of Feb 2020 at 12:29 pm
I am holding a basket of silver and gold stocks and a small basket of energy stocks as a counterweight. Given today's action, the gold bug in me is nervous. A drop below 27.63 on GDX will likely cause me to close most of those trades out.
Nutrien - fertilizer stock on
Posted by pwb8 on 14th of Jan 2020 at 09:43 am
Nutrien - fertilizer stock on TSX near breakout
Possible Inv. H & S
Posted by pwb8 on 9th of Jan 2020 at 12:29 pm
Possible Inv. H & S forming on Osisko Royalties OR.TO
Something is up with the
$BPGDM RENKO GUIDE LOOKING BEARISH? http://schrts.co/XBUcckcb
Posted by pwb8 on 19th of Dec 2019 at 02:41 pm
Something is up with the number of stocks included in GDX under the point and figure system. I've noticed that MUX appears and disappears randomly and that the total number of stocks on buy or sell signals varies from 25 to 26. Sometimes a stock is removed and that affects the total number of stocks and makes the system appear to go on a buy or sell signal. So be careful with interpretation of signals as weird things are going on under the surface with the number of stocks included in bullish percentage gold miners.
Very thorough analysis of Silver.
Silver
Posted by pwb8 on 19th of Dec 2019 at 08:41 am
Very thorough analysis of Silver. Perhaps breakout comes early in January. Nice to have you back Saturn