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Thanks Matt, I write all

Market follow up

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 18th of Feb 2021 at 11:21 am

Thanks Matt, I write all the support zones down so I can easily refer to them during the week

Thanks for the charts, Matt.

TSLA

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 17th of Feb 2021 at 03:31 pm

Thanks for the charts, Matt. I covered my short on TSLA right at the 50 day. Bought the dip in ARKK at $148s since she has 8+% of the fund in TSLA 

If it gets cheaper, I'll increase my position, not going anywhere and been growing since 1986. Love it here. Risk/reward. Warrants for me. 

$DGNR positive divergence off the

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 17th of Feb 2021 at 01:44 pm

$DGNR positive divergence off the bottoming pattern. You know I only cover the best risk/rewards that incorporate technicals AND fundamentals

$HEC all aboard the low

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 17th of Feb 2021 at 01:28 pm

$HEC all aboard the low risk buy at the 50 day moving average test. I have warrants. they are the Teledoc $TDOC of behavioral health and the only pure play. 46,000 members and growing. They have the major corporations and insurance companies onboard. The growth strategy is being run by the same executive responsible for Teledoc's massive growth. I'm long warrants. Once the merger is complete, it will trade as the cool ticker symbol $TALK which is worth 15 a share in this 2021 market..kidding but not kidding. They grew 69% even during the pandemic year. Financials are up 136% yoy. I see it at $15-20 before the merger which is due this quarter at latest early Q2

updated chart, love these kind of before and afters..juicy candle today

$UWMC crazy value here, analyst

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 17th of Feb 2021 at 01:09 pm

$UWMC crazy value here, analyst finally came out yesterday with a $12 price target. Dividend yield near 5% at these prices. I have warrants. One of the largest wholesale mortgage companies. As always, I have the fundamentals to back it up: 

UWM Holdings snags Buy rating from Deutsche Bank on loan production, margins

Feb. 16, 2021 1:23 PM ET UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) By: Liz Kiesche, SA News Editor 3 Comments

  • Deutsche Bank analyst Ashish Sabadra initiates coverage of UWM Holdings ( UWMC) with a Buy rating and price target of $12.
  • "Robust loan production, along with industry-leading gain margins, delivers solid profitability, and solid cash generation and shareholder-friendly capital allocation make it an attractive value proposition," Sabadra writes in a note.
  • Says UWMC's proprietary technology and focus on service empower mortgage brokers and are catalysts to accelerate its shift to wholesale mortgage origination.
  • Sees that shift, combined with share gains and increasing services revenue, sustaining an accelerated growth profile.
  • UWM Holdings initiated a dividend earlier in the month and issued guidance for strong loan volume growth in Q1.


Also, check this out from the last earnings report, look at the earnings growth!: 

  • UWM Holdings (NYSE: UWMC) stock jumps 2.6% in after-hours trading after the newly public company declares its first quarterly dividend and issues guidance for closed loan volume growth of 23%-34% Y/Y in Q1 2021.
  • Expects Q1 closed loan volume of $52B-$57B vs. $42.4B in Q1 2020.
  • Sees total gain margin of 200-235 basis points vs. 95 bps in the year-ago quarter.
  • Initiates quarterly dividend of 10 cents per share.
  • Posts record originations of $54.7B in loan volume in Q4, rising 71% Y/Y.
  • Q4 total gain margin of 3.05% increased from 1.10% in the year-ago quarter.
  • Q4 comparable net income of $1.00B jumped from $108.7M in Q4 2019.
  • Conference callon Feb. 4 at 10:00 AM ET.

Working very nicely now. Up big on my warrants and shares so far. Hope someone else grabbed it too

Well that went well. Didn't see any particular news, may just be running on offering mania traders, but who cares. Banked nicely. Matt & Steve thanks for the idea in the newsletter! I posted the dd here as fundamentally it appeared to be worth $4-5. The other idea AGRX was and still is a good one as well to buy on pullbacks imo. Targeting $6-7 there over time. Guess we will see

I agree it is overdone here, though all the wave counts and other indicators over the last months have been worthless. This sentiment and speculation is unbelievable. I've never seen anything like it in 25 years

$BFI Not bad from my

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 12th of Feb 2021 at 10:19 am
  1. $BFI Not bad from my previous alert at the 200 day below 12 when nobody wanted it. Warrants up huge and the stock

$HUYA found this as the reason for the pop yesterday as well: 

HUYA: HUYA Rockets 20% As RenTech And Morgan Stanley Take A Combined 29.35% Stake In The Company

Thank you Steve! 3 dojis on the $SPX here over the last days. The last time it happened we had the drop into the 50 day ma, just below 3,700 before this rally. 

Glad to help, wish there was a way to have an alert here when we are mentioned. I often miss communications as I'm not here a lot, usually just in the mornings when I'm posting my work/ideas or follow ups to community ideas. I don't want to clog the blog feed here. 

glad you caught it with me, I specialize in fundamental analysis and buying technical supports, the best risk/reward. Usually people focus on one or the other. I do both because when they align, it is the most powerful return producing cocktail. Yes, it is a lot more work, but well worth it to me. Simply popping because the value was $30 bucks back when I suggested it at $19 based upon the growth and financials. Saw a lot of noise while the big money did all they could to hold it down and accumulate. 

Yes, figured that was coming. Really nice move today and much more to come. Executive order being explored. This is a $16 billion addressable market going to $38 billion by 2025. Gross margins at 60% with 30% operating margins. Best part is, the more tech advanced the vehicles get, the more profit per car for THBR, soon to be Indie semiconductor.

$DOGZ was from the watchlist,

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 11th of Feb 2021 at 10:41 am

$DOGZ was from the watchlist, nice chart. Here is some dd, trading at a 9 P/E. Price target $4. The pet space is a good place to be. People love their pets: http://ir.dogness.com/static-files/e0d4f3af-f158-4620-a75d-9d7f495c6db7

SPACS-Truly amazing information regarding how many have come to market. Looks like traditional IPOs may be a thing of the past. On pace to far exceed last year  $SPAK  $THBR  $HEC  $PACE :

$THBR I've covered this repeatedly

Posted by fundamentalvalues on 11th of Feb 2021 at 08:11 am

$THBR I've covered this repeatedly and now we are sitting on the 50 day moving average. I've continued to add to my warrants position. Every day marks one day closer to the merger and production of their  $2 .5 billion backlog. Five years of work just sitting and waiting to be done. Demand as far as the eye can see. Best value in the market here. Here is an article on GM's cuts til they get the chips they need, estimated to come back in March right now. Market will look forward here as usual. Ford and others in the same boat as this is global ://www.reuters.com/article/us-gm-semiconductors-exclusive/gm-extends-vehicle-production-cuts-due-to-global-chip-shortage-idUSKBN2A91VY 

from Stocktwits Daily Rip letter last evening "Shortage":

Processing chips are largely unavailable thanks to increased demand caused by booming tech sales, a side effect of former President Trump’s trade war. 

Recently, car companies face the brunt of this issue as GM, Ford, Honda, and FCA all indicate that production may (or has already) slow(ed). 

Guarav Gupta, a semiconductor analyst, commented on the situation:

The problem is even if that 10-cent chip is missing, you can’t sell your  $30 ,000 car.

The semiconductor chip industry is working hard to pull through, but only time will tell when delays will stop.

blastoff, hope you took this with me! 

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