Thanks, I thought it might be FE (was hard to read). I
don't have that indicator (under Kaufman or Fractal) in
freestockcharts.com or my Fidelity software.
Can someone please ID the indicator that this trader is using?
It's the only one he's got on the chart. He never
mentions what the indicator is. When it's high, the market is
ready for a big move (up or down), when it's low the market will
consolidate.
An alternate view: the daily candles of yesterday and today
(assuming it closes green but not a lot higher than current highs)
could be construed as a falling three methods, which means we
haven't hit bottom yet.
Matt or Steve, do you have any intraday commentary on today's
S&P price action? Because right now on the 10 min chart
it looks like a bull flag. And the run-up from the morning
low to the afternoon high was on good (but not incredible) volume
on the SPY. If today ends without any serious pullback, I
think I'm going to stick my neck out and go long, perhaps w/ SSO,
for a fairly substantial position, like 20% of my (small!) account.
Stop: the low of last week. I'm mostly in cash at the
moment.
One thing I'm looking at: we have a confluence of three supports
right here at 1405-04:
the 9 ema
the 23% fib retracement from the Nov 16 low
the 50% fib retracement from the Nov 28 low
In strong trends, as Steve has often commented, the 9 ema will
hold as support. On the squishier side of things, there are
lots of talking heads calling for the market to go higher by year
end (1550 - 1600), and there's only four weeks left. So, I'm
watching for signs of an early resumption of the up trend (as early
as today or tomorrow), although I am hoping for more downside for
better prices.
Idk about the odds of a gap fill, but Marco's Long Short
Timing system shifted from a short to a long late last week, which
supports the idea of any pullback being a buying opportunity. (Long
Short Timing is a swing system, and often takes a trade signal when
the market is already overbought/oversold in the direction of the
trade, so it sometimes has to endure a pullback.)
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Nov 2012 at 05:24 pm
Thanks! I am hoping for a pullback within the lines, maybe if
the market has a day or two down a la the inv h/s BPT has shown as
a possibility. Only a small position, though - it could
easily lose that trend line with the way it has traded, especially
if the market reverts to its down trend.
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Nov 2012 at 12:11 pm
Steve or Matt, if you can, any comments on FSLR's chart
appreciated. W/ Obama in office, I'm thinking there might be
a move on this one at some point. The 200, 50, and 20 are
bullishly configured, w/ the 200 fairly recently moving below the
rest (3 weeks ago). The weekly chart looks like a Weinstein
base.
On the first chart, I'm thinking if it pulls back and holds the
uptrend line I may buy a 1/2 position w/ a stop below the line.
Posted by frtaylor on 18th of Nov 2012 at 02:14 pm
thx for posting, rbreese. Perhaps this is a 4th wave choppy and
we'll have a short and shallow move up. Haver is posting the
1375 area as the potential height of any rally before we head down
again. I've found his counts are a good complement to
Steve's, giving me more confidence in laying out the road map.
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Thanks, I thought it might
What indicator is this?
Posted by frtaylor on 7th of Dec 2012 at 10:33 am
Thanks, I thought it might be FE (was hard to read). I don't have that indicator (under Kaufman or Fractal) in freestockcharts.com or my Fidelity software.
What indicator is this?
Posted by frtaylor on 6th of Dec 2012 at 06:23 pm
Can someone please ID the indicator that this trader is using? It's the only one he's got on the chart. He never mentions what the indicator is. When it's high, the market is ready for a big move (up or down), when it's low the market will consolidate.
http://tradingconceptsinc.com/8428/fomc-grind/
just went long on the
Steve, is it time to go long SPX?
Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Dec 2012 at 02:19 pm
just went long on the break of the flag, stop below the flag. Day trade only, though.
An alternate view: the daily
Steve, is it time to go long SPX?
Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Dec 2012 at 02:00 pm
An alternate view: the daily candles of yesterday and today (assuming it closes green but not a lot higher than current highs) could be construed as a falling three methods, which means we haven't hit bottom yet.
Steve, is it time to go long SPX?
Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Dec 2012 at 01:58 pm
Matt or Steve, do you have any intraday commentary on today's S&P price action? Because right now on the 10 min chart it looks like a bull flag. And the run-up from the morning low to the afternoon high was on good (but not incredible) volume on the SPY. If today ends without any serious pullback, I think I'm going to stick my neck out and go long, perhaps w/ SSO, for a fairly substantial position, like 20% of my (small!) account. Stop: the low of last week. I'm mostly in cash at the moment.
Yeah, that's the "squishy" that
The SPX would need to get back above (and hold ...
Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Dec 2012 at 08:49 am
Yeah, that's the "squishy" that I referred to. And yet the futures are up right now. I closed 1/2 my SPY short yesterday.
One thing I'm looking at:
The SPX would need to get back above (and hold ...
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Dec 2012 at 01:37 pm
One thing I'm looking at: we have a confluence of three supports right here at 1405-04:
Idk about the odds of
got a gap on the compq around 2993...prolly may fill ...
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Dec 2012 at 09:21 pm
Idk about the odds of a gap fill, but Marco's Long Short Timing system shifted from a short to a long late last week, which supports the idea of any pullback being a buying opportunity. (Long Short Timing is a swing system, and often takes a trade signal when the market is already overbought/oversold in the direction of the trade, so it sometimes has to endure a pullback.)
Thanks, Steve.
HD Quick Comments
Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Dec 2012 at 06:47 pm
Thanks, Steve.
High volume buying on SPY
SPX 5 with Fibs
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Nov 2012 at 12:21 pm
High volume buying on SPY on today's intraday chart. Wow, is this all there is for a pullback, and now we head higher??
and . . . we're
Moon cycle/Lunar too on 11/28. A TOP for Tech possible ?
Posted by frtaylor on 26th of Nov 2012 at 03:07 pm
and . . . we're into the gap!
There's an open gap on
Moon cycle/Lunar too on 11/28. A TOP for Tech possible ?
Posted by frtaylor on 26th of Nov 2012 at 02:43 pm
There's an open gap on the Q's just pennies above at 65.10 to 65.46. Might want to fill it first.
PEP working well (okay, what isn't!)
Posted by frtaylor on 23rd of Nov 2012 at 10:27 am
Good trade, thanks. I had a sell order in part of my position at the 50ma, so some is already off the table.
No worries from me! Trading
ERX/XLE swing system
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Nov 2012 at 05:27 pm
No worries from me! Trading very conservatively these days (not that I ever did swing for the fences).
Thanks! I am hoping for
FSLR
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Nov 2012 at 05:24 pm
Thanks! I am hoping for a pullback within the lines, maybe if the market has a day or two down a la the inv h/s BPT has shown as a possibility. Only a small position, though - it could easily lose that trend line with the way it has traded, especially if the market reverts to its down trend.
The volume has been quite
FSLR
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Nov 2012 at 01:13 pm
The volume has been quite high this last year, too, suggesting accumulation at these low prices.
FSLR
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Nov 2012 at 12:11 pm
Steve or Matt, if you can, any comments on FSLR's chart appreciated. W/ Obama in office, I'm thinking there might be a move on this one at some point. The 200, 50, and 20 are bullishly configured, w/ the 200 fairly recently moving below the rest (3 weeks ago). The weekly chart looks like a Weinstein base.
On the first chart, I'm thinking if it pulls back and holds the uptrend line I may buy a 1/2 position w/ a stop below the line.
thanks!
AAPL 5 Minute
Posted by frtaylor on 20th of Nov 2012 at 07:30 am
thanks!
Steve, would you please post
AAPL 5 Minute
Posted by frtaylor on 19th of Nov 2012 at 09:47 pm
Steve, would you please post as an attachment? I don't use stockcharts, so I only get the daily chart w/ the link. Thanks.
thx for posting, rbreese. Perhaps
Naz and SPX commercials figures this past week do NOT suggest that they are overly bullish yet. Still net short and slowly closing out shorts on any weakness.
Posted by frtaylor on 18th of Nov 2012 at 02:14 pm
thx for posting, rbreese. Perhaps this is a 4th wave choppy and we'll have a short and shallow move up. Haver is posting the 1375 area as the potential height of any rally before we head down again. I've found his counts are a good complement to Steve's, giving me more confidence in laying out the road map.