Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Feb 2015 at 03:29 pm
With today as confirmation of yesterday's hold of the SPX 50ma
(assuming the next 30 minutes holds), it appears the breakout on
the daily that we've been waiting for is to the up side. Matt or
Steve, do you see it this way?
I'm no Steve (to borrow a famous quote), but a couple
observations: 1. it's already basically achieved the 9ema target,
which is resistance. 2. no positive divergence on the RSI daily
chart. On the positive side, the low of 22.60 on 10/13/14 is so far
holding. But with the 20, 200, and 50ma's all overhead, I'd be long
only for a quick trade.
Just listened to your commodity newsletter, Matt. Seems like oil
is set up for a move a few weeks or months out. Would love to get
some detailed input on how to put an effective bull call spread on
USO (or OIL).
Steve, when you say watch for "a red to green move," you mean
the daily candle (or whatever time frame) starts the day below
previous day's high, then reverses and exceeds that high, is that
right?
Matt and Steve, I wonder if you'd be interested in covering the
railroads. With oil perking up, they are too. The difference: they
have been much stronger than energy stocks (naturally). CSX, UNP,
CNI look good.
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jan 2015 at 12:54 pm
I have some experience (not a lot) w/ options, long and short
options, spreads and a few IC's, calendars and butterflies. Which
trade were you thinking of for a straddle - SPX? I have a strangle
on for the SPX - out of the money long calls and puts for Feb 27.
Straddle as I understand it is harder because you buy ATM, so it's
really got to move to cover the cost.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
50ma hold confirmation
Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Feb 2015 at 03:29 pm
With today as confirmation of yesterday's hold of the SPX 50ma (assuming the next 30 minutes holds), it appears the breakout on the daily that we've been waiting for is to the up side. Matt or Steve, do you see it this way?
And now...looking strong, or at
COMM, BPT Trade idea, looking very weak.
Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Feb 2015 at 12:39 pm
And now...looking strong, or at least holding up well. Closed my short for a small loss.
2/3 position covered at 35.10.
WLL - 3-push pattern, 60 min chart
Posted by frtaylor on 10th of Feb 2015 at 10:08 am
2/3 position covered at 35.10. Holding 1/3 for 50% retrace and gap fill at 33.25, stop at 36.52.
you're welcome! 38.2% retrace lines
WLL - 3-push pattern, 60 min chart
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Feb 2015 at 03:23 pm
you're welcome! 38.2% retrace lines up at around the bottom of the target zone and the Feb 4 lows.
WLL - 3-push pattern, 60 min chart
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Feb 2015 at 02:41 pm
Here's a nice 3-push pattern on WLL, with price making higher highs and RSI making lower highs.
thanks, this is exactly the
longer term trade on oil
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Feb 2015 at 09:58 am
thanks, this is exactly the kind of option analysis I need to learn.
I'm no Steve (to borrow
Steve take a look at PRO Just broke from a daily falling ...
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Feb 2015 at 09:24 am
I'm no Steve (to borrow a famous quote), but a couple observations: 1. it's already basically achieved the 9ema target, which is resistance. 2. no positive divergence on the RSI daily chart. On the positive side, the low of 22.60 on 10/13/14 is so far holding. But with the 20, 200, and 50ma's all overhead, I'd be long only for a quick trade.
Perhaps pay for part of
longer term trade on oil
Posted by frtaylor on 8th of Feb 2015 at 10:22 pm
Perhaps pay for part of a longer term bull call debit spread with a shorter term bull put credit spread.
longer term trade on oil
Posted by frtaylor on 8th of Feb 2015 at 10:01 pm
Just listened to your commodity newsletter, Matt. Seems like oil is set up for a move a few weeks or months out. Would love to get some detailed input on how to put an effective bull call spread on USO (or OIL).
JUNO
Posted by frtaylor on 5th of Feb 2015 at 05:17 pm
Bull wedge forming on JUNO, 60 minute chart. No positive divergence on the RSI yet, though.
red to green (e.g. EMES)
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Feb 2015 at 09:17 am
Steve, when you say watch for "a red to green move," you mean the daily candle (or whatever time frame) starts the day below previous day's high, then reverses and exceeds that high, is that right?
Thanks. I like how CNI
Railroads
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Feb 2015 at 10:01 pm
Thanks. I like how CNI has repeatedly held the 200ma in the last few weeks and now appears to be breaking away from it.
Railroads
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Feb 2015 at 08:38 pm
Matt and Steve, I wonder if you'd be interested in covering the railroads. With oil perking up, they are too. The difference: they have been much stronger than energy stocks (naturally). CSX, UNP, CNI look good.
Hope you feel better soon!
Energy Stock follow through
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Feb 2015 at 01:16 pm
Hope you feel better soon! Never had a migraine; they sound just terrible.
Wonder why Worden shows the
XLF Daily
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Feb 2015 at 11:26 am
Wonder why Worden shows the 200ma as 23.16. If it's correct, XLF is still below 200.
thanks, a_i! I think you
SPY, NFLX short starting to work. GDX long inv h/s ...
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jan 2015 at 04:04 pm
thanks, a_i! I think you meant straddle for one of those two trades, yes?
I have some experience (not
SPY, NFLX short starting to work. GDX long inv h/s ...
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jan 2015 at 12:54 pm
I have some experience (not a lot) w/ options, long and short options, spreads and a few IC's, calendars and butterflies. Which trade were you thinking of for a straddle - SPX? I have a strangle on for the SPX - out of the money long calls and puts for Feb 27. Straddle as I understand it is harder because you buy ATM, so it's really got to move to cover the cost.
closed SPY short, reversed and
SPY, NFLX short starting to work. GDX long inv h/s ...
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jan 2015 at 11:59 am
closed SPY short, reversed and went long. Out of NFLX breakeven; GDXJ was a good trade - +1.8%
SPY, NFLX short starting to
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jan 2015 at 10:29 am
SPY, NFLX short starting to work. GDX long inv h/s on 5 min also working.
Took a small SPY short
From the intraday high of yesterday to this morning's low, ...
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Jan 2015 at 10:08 am
Took a small SPY short w/ stop above this morning's high.