Posted by fishbait on 19th of Nov 2011 at 09:24 am
I agree. We need new Trade history and Statics report. The ones
on this web site now are of no value. To leave the old
system reports on the web site is false advertising. Because they
have re-programmed the computer we have no idea what to expect.
They gave us 260 trade stats, but the old ones have over 400 for
the multi entry system. We need 16 years of trade stats from trade
station on this reprogrammed system.
Posted by fishbait on 12th of Nov 2011 at 11:27 am
Thanks for the hard work. Could you please post all the new
system trades in a excel sheet so I can back test my own stoploss
rules. Or maybe just tell me which trades have changed and just
those results.
When will this new system start? Do I use the new
entery point on the current trade or just wait until the next trade
to start the new system.
Posted by fishbait on 27th of Sep 2011 at 01:51 pm
Why would anyone want to tinker with a system that traded good
for 15 years? The great thing about a mechanical system that works,
is that there is no emotion or stress. Check the past results and
notice that the system does give up some profits at times. This is
normal of any system. So relax and know that in the end it will be
alright. Thanks to the developers for sticking with the rules and
not changing them. It is the only way to go.
Posted by fishbait on 25th of Aug 2011 at 10:11 am
Are we going to the -6.5% stoploss system on the next
trade? Not sure if the new system has been designed yet. If
it has did the re-entery get fixed so we catch the big profit
trades that were missed?
Posted by fishbait on 11th of Aug 2011 at 11:38 am
What is really needed for this system is a stoploss formula that
takes into account the volatility and price action. The
stoploss therefore would move up as the price moves up.
To keep the stoploss at -6.5% from intital entry really is not what
a system should do. I think this could be done by your
programmer and better serve the systems needs.
If you look at the ATR 20 for the max low point down draws of
the past. You will find that the current trade is worst than
those of the past. A good formula to keep things in perspective
is: low point down draw/ATR 20
Posted by fishbait on 26th of Jun 2011 at 02:18 pm
In 2 words, they suck. If they are held very long you will
lose time value . Also they may be invested wrongly by the
managers of the fund. DXO is a good example of how things can go
wrong. In 2009 it had to be shut down because it did not gain value
when oil rebounded. For the short term a commodity may work
but remember the contract time value loss. Long term only works for
indices for ETF's.
Posted by fishbait on 11th of May 2011 at 06:26 pm
The hardest thing to do is trust something mechanical when we
are flying blind. If the airplane is flying at night in a storm all
the pilot has is his mechanical instruments. If he decides to
ignore then he surely will crash. The same is true of mechanical
trading systems that have been back tested for 15 years or so. This
is why I believe only in a mechanical system. Once it is set up and
running a 5th grader can operate it. So if Matt has done his
backtrading properly and never changes the program, then this is
the holy grail of a trading system. I would rather fly using
instuments than blind.
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Trade history
IMPORTANT - SPY System Newsletter
Posted by fishbait on 19th of Nov 2011 at 09:24 am
I agree. We need new Trade history and Statics report. The ones on this web site now are of no value. To leave the old system reports on the web site is false advertising. Because they have re-programmed the computer we have no idea what to expect. They gave us 260 trade stats, but the old ones have over 400 for the multi entry system. We need 16 years of trade stats from trade station on this reprogrammed system.
new system results
IMPORTANT - SPY System Newsletter
Posted by fishbait on 12th of Nov 2011 at 11:27 am
Thanks for the hard work. Could you please post all the new system trades in a excel sheet so I can back test my own stoploss rules. Or maybe just tell me which trades have changed and just those results.
When will this new system start? Do I use the new entery point on the current trade or just wait until the next trade to start the new system.
tinker tinker tinker
It looks as thought the SPY could close out it's ...
Posted by fishbait on 27th of Sep 2011 at 01:51 pm
Why would anyone want to tinker with a system that traded good for 15 years? The great thing about a mechanical system that works, is that there is no emotion or stress. Check the past results and notice that the system does give up some profits at times. This is normal of any system. So relax and know that in the end it will be alright. Thanks to the developers for sticking with the rules and not changing them. It is the only way to go.
6.5 % stoploss
Posted by fishbait on 25th of Aug 2011 at 10:11 am
Are we going to the -6.5% stoploss system on the next trade? Not sure if the new system has been designed yet. If it has did the re-entery get fixed so we catch the big profit trades that were missed?
hard % stop
New SPY system stop loss rules, etc
Posted by fishbait on 11th of Aug 2011 at 11:38 am
What is really needed for this system is a stoploss formula that takes into account the volatility and price action. The stoploss therefore would move up as the price moves up. To keep the stoploss at -6.5% from intital entry really is not what a system should do. I think this could be done by your programmer and better serve the systems needs.
low point down draw
Historical Draw Downs to the system
Posted by fishbait on 6th of Aug 2011 at 11:53 am
If you look at the ATR 20 for the max low point down draws of the past. You will find that the current trade is worst than those of the past. A good formula to keep things in perspective is: low point down draw/ATR 20
Therefore :2/29/09 = 10%/3.05= 3.27 7/28/11=10%/2.27= 4.40
buy long today???
So, it's a buy, right?
Posted by fishbait on 28th of Jul 2011 at 04:24 pm
I am assuming we went long today. It would be nice to have it posted a few minutes after Matt toke the Trade, just to make sure.
oil & gas ETF
Natural Gas
Posted by fishbait on 26th of Jun 2011 at 02:18 pm
In 2 words, they suck. If they are held very long you will lose time value . Also they may be invested wrongly by the managers of the fund. DXO is a good example of how things can go wrong. In 2009 it had to be shut down because it did not gain value when oil rebounded. For the short term a commodity may work but remember the contract time value loss. Long term only works for indices for ETF's.
trust
System Psychology, etc
Posted by fishbait on 11th of May 2011 at 06:26 pm
The hardest thing to do is trust something mechanical when we are flying blind. If the airplane is flying at night in a storm all the pilot has is his mechanical instruments. If he decides to ignore then he surely will crash. The same is true of mechanical trading systems that have been back tested for 15 years or so. This is why I believe only in a mechanical system. Once it is set up and running a 5th grader can operate it. So if Matt has done his backtrading properly and never changes the program, then this is the holy grail of a trading system. I would rather fly using instuments than blind.