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Interesting. The first thing that comes to my mind is that I would differentiate, depending on whether you were in a bull market or a bear.

Implies even more pressure on

Posted by brophy on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 08:48 am

Implies even more pressure on equities. (From David Rosenburg)

Big news yesterday as 10-year

Posted by brophy on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 06:57 am

Big news yesterday as 10-year hit 4%. Medium-term Point and Figure target triggered. (David Linton)

Yep. Or Etrade. I'd stay away from Treas. Direct. No one answers the phone. And Schwab is pretty dysfunctional these days.

You buy the Treas. themselves.

DigiNomad: Dan Niles is recommending

Posted by brophy on 28th of Feb 2023 at 03:44 pm
  • DigiNomad: Dan Niles is recommending 3-month T-bills at 4.8%

Excellent!

Or just buy them through another brokerage. Etrade, TD Ameritrade, and Fidelity all are user-friendly. Open a small amount first and compare. Have a good wknd!

OK last one, since I know the boys here are trading and don't want to keep cluttering the board. Here's the E-trade Treas. order screen. The farther out in maturity you go, the better your Yield to Maturity. You decide. Just don't sell before expiry. Easy. You hit buy, enter the # amount you want to purchase and done. Maybe you need a new broker!

Well, all I'm saying is that what Treas. to buy is the easiest decision you can make. If I were you I'd put that anal attention toward learning something with complexity that requires it. There are plenty of things in the investment/trading world that does require that kind of work. But good luck! 

If you want to take a step up in your bond education look into corporate bonds. With great companies, they are as safe as Treasuries. Right now they pay only slightly better than Treasuries. But someday when yields start dropping corporates will remain elevated since they do not depend on interest rates. Message me if you want some educa. links. Happy to help.

Look, there is no need to make this more complicated than it is. And people love to do this. If we are talking about Treasuries why do you need to worry about auctions or favorite auctions etc? Decide 1. How far out do you want to go in expiry? 2. Look at what that expiry is paying you to hold till expiry. 3. If satisfied with that rate buy it. If not go out further. It really is no more complicated than that. Keep it simple. Rates are the best we've had in a lifetime. Take advantage of it.

So try a different expiration. What's a month or 2 difference? With Treasuries over 4% approaching 5...you shouldn't have a problem getting good rates, especially if you go out further a few months. I'm into May Treasuries at 4.6% with E-trade and Corp Bonds at 5%+ with IB. and you can probably get better rates than that. If you are really having a problem, get a different broker. It really should not be a prob.  As I say, I roll over every 3 months to higher rates. (So far) PS IB can be a pain in the ass sometimes. But they do have the most extensive inventory. Which it is wise to have several brokers. Fidelity, TD Ameritrade, Etrade all are easy to use esp. for Treas.

Huh? Straight Treas. purchase? You should be able to get filled on any expiry you want from your broker. Maybe I don't understand your question, but I just roll out every 3 months to a higher yield, no problem whenever I like.

This is why CNBS is a waste of time if you haven't figured that out yet.

6.18

Posted by brophy on 24th of Feb 2023 at 11:13 am

6.18

It's not a buy/sell signal.

New target on Point and

Posted by brophy on 24th of Feb 2023 at 09:04 am

New target on Point and Figure chart in all likelihood triggered today.

Also looks like 50% retrace was reached.

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