Posted by bearcat4 on 22nd of Nov 2017 at 02:30 pm
I don't post very much, but I want to express my my appreciation
to all of you guys that that share your thoughts and charts on this
site. A very Happy Thanksgiving to each and every one of you
and especially Steve and Matt for the incredible amount of effort
they put in day and day out through the years..............
SVLT shares are due to swap for Edison Power at some point when
Edison goes public. The agreed upon swap rate is at .46/share
of SVLT. I believe Steve has been on record telling SVLT
investors that his focus is on the new company Edison.
Don't often pay attention to his stuff, but thought this an
interesting observation FWIW so here goes:
"So for 10-year Treasuries, a multiple of influences obscure a
rational conclusion that yields must inevitably move higher during
Trump's first year in office. When the fundamentals are confusing,
however, technical indicators may come to the rescue and it's there
where a super three decade downward sloping trend line for 10-year
yields could be critical. Shown in the chart below, it's obvious to
most observers that 10-year yields have been moving downward since
their secular peak in the early 1980s, and at a rather linear
rate. 30 basis point declines on average for the past
30 years have lowered the 10-year from 10% in 1987 to the current
2.40%.
Source: Bloomberg.
Now, however this super strong, frequently tested downward trend
line is at risk of being broken. 2.55% to 2.60% is the current
"top" of this trend line, and over the past few weeks it has held
and reversed lower by 15 basis points or so. BUT----------. And
this is my only forecast for the 10-year in 2017. If 2.60% is
broken on the upside – if yields move higher than 2.60% – a secular
bear bond market has begun. Watch the 2.6% level. Much more
important than Dow 20,000. Much more important than $60-a-barrel
oil. Much more important that the Dollar/Euro parity at 1.00. It is
the key to interest rate levels and perhaps stock price levels in
2017."
Posted by bearcat4 on 14th of Dec 2016 at 06:18 pm
Fortunately I was on the phone with you re: something else when
you said to be sure to watch the 30 minute chart because an upside
resolution was not necessarily a done deal. I was all ready to
assume that because the rate hike went as was widely predicted that
gold and the miners had already taken this in to account and would
not react adversely. When you put out the pre open charts this
morning and the golds bounced I was ready to hold through. the
meeting and aftermath. Not only did you have this morning's
bounce, but also the cautionary warning to watch the 30 min for a
decisive break either way rather than guess at an upside resolution
after the Fed meeting which ultimately did not occur. Hopefully I
will break my long standing bad habit of guessing and wait for
the charts to tell me what to do. Anyway I saved quite a few
shekels today thanks to a luckily timed phone
call...........Kudos, Steve.
Posted by bearcat4 on 26th of May 2016 at 03:11 pm
Happy Anniversary, Steve. When you get a chance, get your wife
and play this URL for her. Or better yet E-Mail it to her. It
will definitely express your fondness, appreciation and
regards. A good way to set up the next
25........
https://youtu.be/nf8ZAMRO1DU
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Matt, hope your mom will
Posted by bearcat4 on 5th of May 2019 at 11:48 pm
Matt, hope your mom will fully recover.....I will add my prayers also
HAPPY DOUBLE NICKEL STEVE !!!
Happy birthday Steve,enjoy the ride!
Posted by bearcat4 on 11th of Dec 2017 at 10:00 am
HAPPY DOUBLE NICKEL STEVE !!! All the best to ya
HAPPY THANKSGIVING
Posted by bearcat4 on 22nd of Nov 2017 at 02:30 pm
I don't post very much, but I want to express my my appreciation to all of you guys that that share your thoughts and charts on this site. A very Happy Thanksgiving to each and every one of you and especially Steve and Matt for the incredible amount of effort they put in day and day out through the years..............
Thanks so much. Would have
IWM
Posted by bearcat4 on 17th of Oct 2017 at 03:47 pm
Thanks so much. Would have replied sooner, but my T Station crashed and had to do some rebooting and task manager cleanup.....
IWM
IWM
Posted by bearcat4 on 17th of Oct 2017 at 02:24 pm
Sorry, guys, forget it. Must have gotten caught up in the excitement of seeing some selling for a change..........
IWM
IWM
Posted by bearcat4 on 17th of Oct 2017 at 02:13 pm
Is it always necessary to retest a broken daily trendline before a real move can take place ?
IWM
Posted by bearcat4 on 17th of Oct 2017 at 02:02 pm
Appears to be a definitive break, at last. Opinions, guys, please.
Great Day
Graduation Photo Late Night
Posted by bearcat4 on 26th of May 2017 at 01:07 pm
I would also like to add my congrats......terrific young men .....all the best to you and your wife
You're welcome
SVLT at .57 you still love it?
Posted by bearcat4 on 3rd of Mar 2017 at 03:01 pm
You're welcome
SVLT shares are due to
SVLT at .57 you still love it?
Posted by bearcat4 on 3rd of Mar 2017 at 01:40 pm
SVLT shares are due to swap for Edison Power at some point when Edison goes public. The agreed upon swap rate is at .46/share of SVLT. I believe Steve has been on record telling SVLT investors that his focus is on the new company Edison.
I saw nothing like that
Excerpt from Bill Gross Letter
Posted by bearcat4 on 4th of Feb 2017 at 05:11 pm
I saw nothing like that in his letter. I was completely unaware that such a relationship existed.
Thank you Steve
TNX Monthly
Posted by bearcat4 on 4th of Feb 2017 at 05:03 pm
Thank you Steve
Excerpt from Bill Gross Letter
Posted by bearcat4 on 3rd of Feb 2017 at 07:51 pm
Don't often pay attention to his stuff, but thought this an interesting observation FWIW so here goes:
"So for 10-year Treasuries, a multiple of influences obscure a rational conclusion that yields must inevitably move higher during Trump's first year in office. When the fundamentals are confusing, however, technical indicators may come to the rescue and it's there where a super three decade downward sloping trend line for 10-year yields could be critical. Shown in the chart below, it's obvious to most observers that 10-year yields have been moving downward since their secular peak in the early 1980s, and at a rather linear rate. 30 basis point declines on average for the past 30 years have lowered the 10-year from 10% in 1987 to the current 2.40%.
Source: Bloomberg.
Now, however this super strong, frequently tested downward trend line is at risk of being broken. 2.55% to 2.60% is the current "top" of this trend line, and over the past few weeks it has held and reversed lower by 15 basis points or so. BUT----------. And this is my only forecast for the 10-year in 2017. If 2.60% is broken on the upside – if yields move higher than 2.60% – a secular bear bond market has begun. Watch the 2.6% level. Much more important than Dow 20,000. Much more important than $60-a-barrel oil. Much more important that the Dollar/Euro parity at 1.00. It is the key to interest rate levels and perhaps stock price levels in 2017."
Lucky me correction
GDX 30 Updated
Posted by bearcat4 on 14th of Dec 2016 at 08:44 pm
Typo......should have read " if " the rate hike went as was widely predicted......sorry
Lucky me
GDX 30 Updated
Posted by bearcat4 on 14th of Dec 2016 at 06:18 pm
Fortunately I was on the phone with you re: something else when you said to be sure to watch the 30 minute chart because an upside resolution was not necessarily a done deal. I was all ready to assume that because the rate hike went as was widely predicted that gold and the miners had already taken this in to account and would not react adversely. When you put out the pre open charts this morning and the golds bounced I was ready to hold through. the meeting and aftermath. Not only did you have this morning's bounce, but also the cautionary warning to watch the 30 min for a decisive break either way rather than guess at an upside resolution after the Fed meeting which ultimately did not occur. Hopefully I will break my long standing bad habit of guessing and wait for the charts to tell me what to do. Anyway I saved quite a few shekels today thanks to a luckily timed phone call...........Kudos, Steve.
Same here, bought yesterday
PRTS Comments
Posted by bearcat4 on 3rd of Aug 2016 at 01:04 pm
Same here, bought yesterday
Great lookin' guys look like
Quick photo from Trip
Posted by bearcat4 on 21st of Jul 2016 at 01:09 pm
Great lookin' guys look like future Cub prospects !!!
I'd like to echo that
PRTS
Posted by bearcat4 on 1st of Jun 2016 at 11:06 am
I'd like to echo that !!!
How about imagining celebrating your
Yellen 1:15 EST Friday May 27th
Posted by bearcat4 on 27th of May 2016 at 03:50 pm
How about imagining celebrating your 25th with her.........OMG.....a good case for Kevorkian !!!
Happy Anniversary
Posted by bearcat4 on 26th of May 2016 at 03:11 pm
https://youtu.be/nf8ZAMRO1DU