but hopefully it will not take either you or Steve away from the
BPT Trading Community where the majority of subscribers benefit
from your input each and every day.
It feels like we're right back to some form of manipulation of
the mining stocks. So many gold stocks have drifted downward
for the past month or so in sympathy to the downward
move in gold. Yet, when gold rallies like today (gold is
up $12.00+), many miners continue to sell off (despite a rise in
the precious metal and the general market).
Feels like what its been like the past year and a half, except
for that brief 2 month period late July-late September: price of
gold rises, mining stocks don't. Price of gold drops, miners
drop harder. Market rises; miners do not follow.
What gives if not manipulation?? Are all the miners losing
money or dropping in earnings despite the relatively high price of
gold?
From:
All Emergency Management Directors (~550 members)
[mailto:EMD0ALL@DPS.STATE.VT.US]
On Behalf OfBosma, Mark
Sent:Thursday, October 25, 2012 11:55 AM
To:EMD0ALL@DPS.STATE.VT.US
Subject:[EMD0ALL] FW: NWS Burlington - Thu 10/25
Update to Sandy/Nor'easter
Folks:
The
National Hurricane
Center continues to issue advisories and forecasts on
Hurricane Sandy (see attached).
If
you've been following...this track is definitely a shift
WEST and stronger, maintaining Hurricane status offshore of North
Carolina before turning "Post Tropical" (aka - Powerful Nor'easter)
before making landfall between Cape Cod and Jersey shore on
Tuesday.
The exact path will determine the type and magnitude of the impacts
for the North Country (Vermont and Northern NY).
A track closer to NJ/NYC would mean a greater wind threat for the
North Country.
A track across CT/RI/Cape Cod would mean a Rain and Wind
threat.
Wind Threat:
At this moment, this may be the bigger threat.
Confidence is Moderate.
Strong east to northeast winds could exceed 50 mph
or MORE, especially exposed hills/ridges and in
downslope locations such as the western slopes of Vermont's Green
Mountains and portions of Northern NY.. Scattered to widespread
power outages may be likely, especially if these winds occur with
saturated soils, thus fallen trees.
Rainfall:
At this moment...heaviest rainfall threat MAY be NY vs.
Vermont.
Again...so much can change that
both states need to be prepared for potential
heavy rainfall of 2 to 5 inches and possibly localized more. Downed
leaves will plug storm drains, thus urban, road flooding will be
very likely. Minor to potentially Major flooding of
streams...particularly mountain streams and rivers are
possible.
Any flood threat will likely be different than Irene in that this
will be a longer duration event 24-30+ hours vs. 12 hours. Max
rainfall rates may be .25 inch or more per hour with this system
vs. 0.50 to 1 inch per hour with Irene. The end result will mean it
will take longer to flood and it may be more focused on stream and
river flooding with only localized FLASH FLOODING.
Confidence of a flood threat is Low to Moderate at this point, but
could change significantly depending on the track.
Timing:
Rain threat as early as Sunday in NY...possibly holding off til
late Monday in VT.
Winds increasing during Monday into Tuesday.
AGAIN...there remains much uncertainty being 5 days out. However,
be prepared to plan for the worse and hope for the best, including
closely monitoring future weather forecasts and other
information.
on the link you provided, and it makes little sense to me.
Claims to be a bullish reversal pattern with moderate
reliability. ..the three stick bottoms defining or forming
strong(?) support. But the way I interpret the action (in lay
terms, not candlestick analysis) is very different. I view
yesterday's white candle as nothing more than a one-day short
covering rally that was rejected in spades yet again today (on
higher volume). Obviously, the proof will be in the pudding, so I
guess we'll have to see if AAPL rallies up from here tomorrow or
crashes through "support".
Beware: Fidelity now automatically inserts an order expiration
date of 180 days whenever an account holder puts a
stop loss order in place. Just noticed this when placing
stops on a "good until cancelled" basis for two recent
trades. Don't recall ever seeing this before.
Another ridiculous policy to discourage trading...not that I'm
ever going to hold a stock for that period of time, but that's
besides the point. Oh yeah, they allow you to request
notification up to 5 days in advance of the order cancelling.
Big deal.
Looks like JVA is tracing out a giant flag pattern on the daily
chart at stockcharts.com. Volume has fallen off a cliff since the
run up (on huge volume) in early September. Today's candle bounced
right off the 50 ma and looks like a hammer (reversal pattern?).
Thoughts on buying if it opens above today's close and continues
to move higher...with a stop at the 50 ma?
Textbook example of why we need to place stops immediately after
purchase. Opened at $10.81, rocketed to $11.75; now $10.83
and fading. How pathetic! Guess the day traders refuse to
hold this stock into the weekend.
that have made huge gains the past month or two and are now
trading outside their upper Bollinger Band and seem oversold on the
RSI indicator and others. Unlike the non-precious metal
stocks which I trade short term, I tend to hold the gold/silver
miners for the long-term ride up. Nevertheless, these have
risen so far so fast that I'm wondering if it makes sense selling
some now with an objective of re-purchasing after a significant
pullback......or whether I'm playing with fire with such an
approach.
In fact, if you think about it, other than being heavily
regulated and certainly more liquid, there's not much difference
between buying or selling stock and buying or selling baseball
cards. There's certainly no "intrinsic" worth in either (only
what the next person in line is willing to pay)....and both trade
more on emotional/technical factors than anything rational.
Is one share of APPL truly "worth" $600+, or is that just the
going (current) price? Its all a game with made up rules that
everyone abides by.
with your perspective, caddpro123. I too, have held my
gold and silver stocks through this brutal selloff. They are
the only stocks I trade without hard stops in place, since I
believe in the long-term story that supports their rise. Its
only a matter of when, not if. The Fed cannot manipulate forever.
One the day the world will wake up to the fact that the European
crisis pales in comparison to the crisis right here at home.
That's the day the $US dollar is toast and gold/silver really
shine. Might be next week, next month or a year or two down the
road, but rest assured the world will realize "The Emperor (the US)
truly has no clothes".
This
would have saved you the drive as long as your wife had
her cellphone on her (ie., didn't lock it in the car with her
keys). I assume that was the case since she called
you.
Subject:
Have you locked your keys in the car?
Does your
car have remote keyless entry? This may comein handy
someday. Good reason to own a cell phone: Ifyou lock
your keys in the car and the spare keys are athome,
call someone at home on their cell phone from yourcell
phone. Hold your cell phone about a foot from yourcar door
and have the person at your home press the unlockbutton on
their key, holding it near the mobile phone on their
end. Your car
will unlock. Saves someone from having to driveyour keys
to you. Distance
is no object. You could be hundreds of miles away,and if
you can reach someone who has the other "remote"for your
car, you can unlock the doors (or the trunk).
Honestly,
Matt. This works. I've tried it. Hope your wife
and child are safe at home this morning.
the due date for paying off the principal
amount on these securities gets shorter and shorter and
shorter...that's the ultimate killer. We don't have the money
to pay back the principal...never did. One day the game ends
when no one is willing to lend the US Government
money at 0.001%, hoping at best to get their money back from an
entity that needs to either borrow yet again or print money to
honor the obligation. The music is CERTAIN to stop at some
point, lower interest rates not withstanding.
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I for one have learned this lesson...
Time Tested Trading Rules
Posted by RichieD on 13th of Nov 2012 at 03:15 pm
the hard way. Thanks for the reminder, Matt. Putting a stop in place moments after buying a stock is now just a part of the process for me.
Great idea Matt, for those so inclined......
Futures Trading
Posted by RichieD on 13th of Nov 2012 at 06:47 am
but hopefully it will not take either you or Steve away from the BPT Trading Community where the majority of subscribers benefit from your input each and every day.
True Matt but....
Whoa, what the heck happened to HL and PAAS?
Posted by RichieD on 6th of Nov 2012 at 12:01 pm
It feels like we're right back to some form of manipulation of the mining stocks. So many gold stocks have drifted downward for the past month or so in sympathy to the downward move in gold. Yet, when gold rallies like today (gold is up $12.00+), many miners continue to sell off (despite a rise in the precious metal and the general market).
Feels like what its been like the past year and a half, except for that brief 2 month period late July-late September: price of gold rises, mining stocks don't. Price of gold drops, miners drop harder. Market rises; miners do not follow.
What gives if not manipulation?? Are all the miners losing money or dropping in earnings despite the relatively high price of gold?
Here's what we're hearing in Vermont; its not good!
Guys any updates on Hurricane heading for East Coast? Hearing ...
Posted by RichieD on 25th of Oct 2012 at 04:51 pm
From: All Emergency Management Directors (~550 members) [mailto:EMD0ALL@DPS.STATE.VT.US] On Behalf OfBosma, Mark
Sent:Thursday, October 25, 2012 11:55 AM
To:EMD0ALL@DPS.STATE.VT.US
Subject:[EMD0ALL] FW: NWS Burlington - Thu 10/25 Update to Sandy/Nor'easter
Folks:
The National Hurricane Center continues to issue advisories and forecasts on Hurricane Sandy (see attached).
If you've been following...this track is definitely a shift WEST and stronger, maintaining Hurricane status offshore of North Carolina before turning "Post Tropical" (aka - Powerful Nor'easter) before making landfall between Cape Cod and Jersey shore on Tuesday.
The exact path will determine the type and magnitude of the impacts for the North Country (Vermont and Northern NY).
A track closer to NJ/NYC would mean a greater wind threat for the North Country.
A track across CT/RI/Cape Cod would mean a Rain and Wind threat.
Wind Threat:
At this moment, this may be the bigger threat. Confidence is Moderate.
Strong east to northeast winds could exceed 50 mph or MORE, especially exposed hills/ridges and in downslope locations such as the western slopes of Vermont's Green Mountains and portions of Northern NY.. Scattered to widespread power outages may be likely, especially if these winds occur with saturated soils, thus fallen trees.
Rainfall:
At this moment...heaviest rainfall threat MAY be NY vs. Vermont.
Again...so much can change that both states need to be prepared for potential heavy rainfall of 2 to 5 inches and possibly localized more. Downed leaves will plug storm drains, thus urban, road flooding will be very likely. Minor to potentially Major flooding of streams...particularly mountain streams and rivers are possible.
Any flood threat will likely be different than Irene in that this will be a longer duration event 24-30+ hours vs. 12 hours. Max rainfall rates may be .25 inch or more per hour with this system vs. 0.50 to 1 inch per hour with Irene. The end result will mean it will take longer to flood and it may be more focused on stream and river flooding with only localized FLASH FLOODING.
Confidence of a flood threat is Low to Moderate at this point, but could change significantly depending on the track.
Timing:
Rain threat as early as Sunday in NY...possibly holding off til late Monday in VT.
Winds increasing during Monday into Tuesday.
AGAIN...there remains much uncertainty being 5 days out. However, be prepared to plan for the worse and hope for the best, including closely monitoring future weather forecasts and other information.
Steve: Just read the explanation of a "stick sandwich" pattern....
AAPL Daily
Posted by RichieD on 23rd of Oct 2012 at 04:48 pm
on the link you provided, and it makes little sense to me. Claims to be a bullish reversal pattern with moderate reliability. ..the three stick bottoms defining or forming strong(?) support. But the way I interpret the action (in lay terms, not candlestick analysis) is very different. I view yesterday's white candle as nothing more than a one-day short covering rally that was rejected in spades yet again today (on higher volume). Obviously, the proof will be in the pudding, so I guess we'll have to see if AAPL rallies up from here tomorrow or crashes through "support".
AAPL in Freefall???
Posted by RichieD on 19th of Oct 2012 at 03:38 pm
Wow; AAPL has fallen faster than predicted and went right through major support (around $619-$620) faster than a knife through butter.
Question: Which stock hits its 200 day ma first: AAPL or GOOG?
Suggested stop on ARNA?
Posted by RichieD on 17th of Oct 2012 at 12:44 pm
Matt? Steve?? Anyone?? I have a solid gain I'd like to protect while allowing the stock some room to move. Thanks.
Interesting........
Posted by RichieD on 12th of Oct 2012 at 10:35 am
Beware: Fidelity now automatically inserts an order expiration date of 180 days whenever an account holder puts a stop loss order in place. Just noticed this when placing stops on a "good until cancelled" basis for two recent trades. Don't recall ever seeing this before.
Another ridiculous policy to discourage trading...not that I'm ever going to hold a stock for that period of time, but that's besides the point. Oh yeah, they allow you to request notification up to 5 days in advance of the order cancelling. Big deal.
Thoughts on JVA
Posted by RichieD on 10th of Oct 2012 at 07:52 pm
Looks like JVA is tracing out a giant flag pattern on the daily chart at stockcharts.com. Volume has fallen off a cliff since the run up (on huge volume) in early September. Today's candle bounced right off the 50 ma and looks like a hammer (reversal pattern?).
Thoughts on buying if it opens above today's close and continues to move higher...with a stop at the 50 ma?
Sorry - I don't know how to post the chart.
Totally agree, Steve
NTE
Posted by RichieD on 5th of Oct 2012 at 03:20 pm
I never got in on this one (NTE).
"When the AAPL is ripe it will fall"
Posted by RichieD on 5th of Oct 2012 at 03:17 pm
Today a break of the 50 ma, next week a brief stop at $620....and eventually it finds support at the 200 ma ($569.75). Its fun being a contrarian.
NTE
Posted by RichieD on 5th of Oct 2012 at 02:52 pm
Textbook example of why we need to place stops immediately after purchase. Opened at $10.81, rocketed to $11.75; now $10.83 and fading. How pathetic! Guess the day traders refuse to hold this stock into the weekend.
I have a bevy of gold and silver mining stocks....
Posted by RichieD on 14th of Sep 2012 at 01:56 pm
that have made huge gains the past month or two and are now trading outside their upper Bollinger Band and seem oversold on the RSI indicator and others. Unlike the non-precious metal stocks which I trade short term, I tend to hold the gold/silver miners for the long-term ride up. Nevertheless, these have risen so far so fast that I'm wondering if it makes sense selling some now with an objective of re-purchasing after a significant pullback......or whether I'm playing with fire with such an approach.
Thoughts???
You can add to that list all "equities"...
Gold and Silver Commercial positions look eerily similar today to the way they were exactly 1 year ago.
Posted by RichieD on 8th of Sep 2012 at 05:56 pm
In fact, if you think about it, other than being heavily regulated and certainly more liquid, there's not much difference between buying or selling stock and buying or selling baseball cards. There's certainly no "intrinsic" worth in either (only what the next person in line is willing to pay)....and both trade more on emotional/technical factors than anything rational. Is one share of APPL truly "worth" $600+, or is that just the going (current) price? Its all a game with made up rules that everyone abides by.
Very much agree......
Hmm
Posted by RichieD on 31st of Jul 2012 at 06:51 am
with your perspective, caddpro123. I too, have held my gold and silver stocks through this brutal selloff. They are the only stocks I trade without hard stops in place, since I believe in the long-term story that supports their rise. Its only a matter of when, not if. The Fed cannot manipulate forever.
One the day the world will wake up to the fact that the European crisis pales in comparison to the crisis right here at home. That's the day the $US dollar is toast and gold/silver really shine. Might be next week, next month or a year or two down the road, but rest assured the world will realize "The Emperor (the US) truly has no clothes".
Until then we feel the pain.....
Here's a tip that'll save you the hour drive next time (it really works)....
Tonight's Newsletter
Posted by RichieD on 26th of Jul 2012 at 09:17 am
Purchasing Physical Gold
Posted by RichieD on 23rd of Jul 2012 at 01:28 pm
Considering buying through a local, trustworthy dealer but also wonder if anyone has information as to the reputability of the following online firms:
APMEX, Goldline Int'l or GoldenEagle coins. Markup is about 4-5% over spot when buying with cash or check...higher by credit card
Any other thoughts on buying would be welcomed. Do you prefer buying through a dealer for issues of privacy, etc.?
Thoughts on GENE?
Posted by RichieD on 25th of Jun 2012 at 03:26 pm
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui
The Continuing Mystery of the US Treasuries Market
Posted by RichieD on 21st of Jun 2012 at 02:12 pm
http://etfdailynews.com/2012/06/21/the-continuing-mystery-of-the-u-s-treasuries-market-uup-udn-tbt-tlt-indexsp-inx/
True sethbru but...........
The Essence of Operation Twist
Posted by RichieD on 20th of Jun 2012 at 04:59 pm
the due date for paying off the principal amount on these securities gets shorter and shorter and shorter...that's the ultimate killer. We don't have the money to pay back the principal...never did. One day the game ends when no one is willing to lend the US Government money at 0.001%, hoping at best to get their money back from an entity that needs to either borrow yet again or print money to honor the obligation. The music is CERTAIN to stop at some point, lower interest rates not withstanding.