as well as your sentiments. Much like Matt or Steve's big
picture analysis of the S&P, DOW and NASDAQ, they provide a
macro perspective that either supports or conflicts with our
individual trades. That can only be helpful.
claim 'the market' is ready for and accepting of an upcoming
interest rate hike, and when the Fed announces (June or July) the
market will lift off once again. Very few seem to
disagree. Can they ALL be right? Feels like a crowded
trade to me.
Seems like nearly every stock I'm watching these days has a
minor breakout, then reverses course, dips well below the breakout,
reverses course yet again, etc. etc. Few seem to hold their
gains.....even intraday, which makes for difficult
trading.
Have sat on the sidelines for most of these moves, which is
certainly okay, but wondering if I'm just looking at the wrong
stocks. YELP, ENDP and NANO are three I'm watching today -
all exhibit this characteristic to varying degrees.
Is it a case of too many traders watching the same handful of
stocks, causing them to push price higher at the open only to see
those gains evaporate within minutes?
Using intra-day charts as you described is the only way a trader
could have capitalized on this wild ride without being stopped out
yesterday for a loss.
to wait out the 1st 15 minutes of trading before putting on my
conditional trades.
Seems like many setups do a head fake higher (crossing the
breakout point) at the open, then quickly turn lower. Have
made and saved a ton of $$$ sitting tight for a few minutes rather
than place my conditional instructions prior to the open.
Thoughts on this waiting strategy (especially in a non-trending
market)?
Learned that playing the racetrack for 50 years and from growing
up on the streets of Brooklyn, NY. If it looks too good to be
true, it usually is.
PaddyPower, much like other Irish and British bookmakers, is
nobody's fool. They've been setting odds on all kinds of
events for nearly 30 years, and are in the business of turning a
profit. It 's tough gaining an edge, especially on a
political event as 'exposed' as the US presidential
election.
Betting Trump might be a winning wager...and it might not, but
it's certainly not a gimme. Thinking it is will only get you
into trouble. Loved reading your analysis, but from my
vantage point, there are far too many potential twists and turns to
bet with conviction. Have a go at 5-2, just don't bet your
house on it.
They were adamant today's Jobs report would show 240,000 new
jobs. Actual figure was 160,000. A 1st grader would
have come up with a better number. Why is GS so revered?
Thought AAPL would have a bad report and a negative reaction;
reportedly 6% lower in after market trading. Knowing AAPL
weighs heavily on the NASDAQ index, I'm expecting a lower open in
the morning. Planning to cash out if the NASDAQ dips
significantly at the open. Risky, but my gut said go for
it. Part one is in place; hoping for follow through, but I
know things can change quickly overnight.
Closed 2 days ago at $9.04. Bought it yesterday at $9.30
when it broke out at the open. Went higher yesterday morning
(up to $9.56), put in a stop at $9.35, quickly descended midday and
took me out slightly above break even, closed at $9.03end of
day. Today it ran at the open, strong all day and closed at
$9.92.
Looks like I was a day early, played it conservatively and
missed the big move. What makes a stock move (up and down)
like this?
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I for one appreciate the charts you posted...
Industrial production
Posted by RichieD on 16th of Jun 2016 at 06:10 am
as well as your sentiments. Much like Matt or Steve's big picture analysis of the S&P, DOW and NASDAQ, they provide a macro perspective that either supports or conflicts with our individual trades. That can only be helpful.
In answer to your (somewhat) rhetorical question...
Vix
Posted by RichieD on 15th of Jun 2016 at 01:47 pm
one metric (US Industrial production) can't be manipulated while the other two can.
GDEN
Posted by RichieD on 13th of Jun 2016 at 01:17 pm
Steve, Any thoughts why GDEN is down hard (more than 4%) today?
Weak jobs report explanation #1 (more excuses to follow for sure)
Posted by RichieD on 3rd of Jun 2016 at 11:47 am
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/03/a-behind-the-scenes-force-may-explain-the-awful-jobs-report-says-ex-obama-aide.html
Stockcharts.com showing both GDX and GDXJ with a hanging man doji candle today
Posted by RichieD on 3rd of Jun 2016 at 11:28 am
Can that be correct? The info I have says low of the day for GDXJ is $36.08 (not $33.62) and for GDX it's $24.08 (v $22.82).
Understatement of the day
Weak Number
Posted by RichieD on 3rd of Jun 2016 at 09:20 am
A 2nd grader could have come up with a better estimate than the "experts"
Nearly all the talking heads/financial analysts in the mainstream media.......
Posted by RichieD on 30th of May 2016 at 07:13 pm
claim 'the market' is ready for and accepting of an upcoming interest rate hike, and when the Fed announces (June or July) the market will lift off once again. Very few seem to disagree. Can they ALL be right? Feels like a crowded trade to me.
The ultimate oxymoron: Home page right now on CNBC.com...
Posted by RichieD on 24th of May 2016 at 09:09 pm
Headline on the left: Bullard: "Don't count on a June Fed hike"
Headline on the right: "Gold hits 5-week low as U.S. rate hike outlook weighs"
Is it me or is it the market?
Posted by RichieD on 23rd of May 2016 at 02:08 pm
Seems like nearly every stock I'm watching these days has a minor breakout, then reverses course, dips well below the breakout, reverses course yet again, etc. etc. Few seem to hold their gains.....even intraday, which makes for difficult trading.
Have sat on the sidelines for most of these moves, which is certainly okay, but wondering if I'm just looking at the wrong stocks. YELP, ENDP and NANO are three I'm watching today - all exhibit this characteristic to varying degrees.
Is it a case of too many traders watching the same handful of stocks, causing them to push price higher at the open only to see those gains evaporate within minutes?
All of which begs the question...........
The Tesla shell game
Posted by RichieD on 20th of May 2016 at 02:40 pm
What does the chart look like??
Seriously, though, thanks for the quick briefing on Tesla. I see it in a similar light.
Felt like a much uglier day than the closing numbers would indicate
Posted by RichieD on 12th of May 2016 at 04:24 pm
Thanks Steve, for the educational piece on this stock in last night's newsletter
EYES Update
Posted by RichieD on 11th of May 2016 at 10:37 am
Using intra-day charts as you described is the only way a trader could have capitalized on this wild ride without being stopped out yesterday for a loss.
I've noticed in recent weeks it has been prudent....
Posted by RichieD on 11th of May 2016 at 10:27 am
to wait out the 1st 15 minutes of trading before putting on my conditional trades.
Seems like many setups do a head fake higher (crossing the breakout point) at the open, then quickly turn lower. Have made and saved a ton of $$$ sitting tight for a few minutes rather than place my conditional instructions prior to the open.
Thoughts on this waiting strategy (especially in a non-trending market)?
There is no such thing as 'free money'
Best Arbitrage Trade in the World Today
Posted by RichieD on 10th of May 2016 at 01:33 pm
Learned that playing the racetrack for 50 years and from growing up on the streets of Brooklyn, NY. If it looks too good to be true, it usually is.
PaddyPower, much like other Irish and British bookmakers, is nobody's fool. They've been setting odds on all kinds of events for nearly 30 years, and are in the business of turning a profit. It 's tough gaining an edge, especially on a political event as 'exposed' as the US presidential election.
Betting Trump might be a winning wager...and it might not, but it's certainly not a gimme. Thinking it is will only get you into trouble. Loved reading your analysis, but from my vantage point, there are far too many potential twists and turns to bet with conviction. Have a go at 5-2, just don't bet your house on it.
Why would anyone look to Goldman Sach for advice about the future??
Posted by RichieD on 6th of May 2016 at 08:56 am
They were adamant today's Jobs report would show 240,000 new jobs. Actual figure was 160,000. A 1st grader would have come up with a better number. Why is GS so revered?
A large number of gold and silver mining stocks.........
Posted by RichieD on 4th of May 2016 at 02:32 pm
have reached the midpoint between their Bollinger bands. Is this a likely place they'll find support?
Matt, wasn't the 2012 bear market rally for GDX that you refer to 15.61 points?
GDX weekly symmetry comments
Posted by RichieD on 1st of May 2016 at 06:48 pm
53.36 - 37.35 = 15.61 not 14.61, meaning there may be more room to run than implied in your comment.
Answer: Correct but focus on what's in front of you..symmetry is best used as a guide.
53.36 - 37.35 = 15.61 and 53.36 - 39.02 = 14.34 Steve
Took this one on the dip to $9.25 this morning. Thanks, Matt.
ATW - testing trendline
Posted by RichieD on 28th of Apr 2016 at 12:44 pm
Bought QID just prior to the close..........
ut oh AAPL miss
Posted by RichieD on 26th of Apr 2016 at 05:21 pm
Thought AAPL would have a bad report and a negative reaction; reportedly 6% lower in after market trading. Knowing AAPL weighs heavily on the NASDAQ index, I'm expecting a lower open in the morning. Planning to cash out if the NASDAQ dips significantly at the open. Risky, but my gut said go for it. Part one is in place; hoping for follow through, but I know things can change quickly overnight.
Frustrated with KPTI
Posted by RichieD on 21st of Apr 2016 at 04:25 pm
Closed 2 days ago at $9.04. Bought it yesterday at $9.30 when it broke out at the open. Went higher yesterday morning (up to $9.56), put in a stop at $9.35, quickly descended midday and took me out slightly above break even, closed at $9.03end of day. Today it ran at the open, strong all day and closed at $9.92.
Looks like I was a day early, played it conservatively and missed the big move. What makes a stock move (up and down) like this?