GROW looks like it's coming to the end of the triangle and going
to break up or down sometime next week. Thanks for all your
charts pointing out the breakpoints, rank10. Steve
and Matt do a great job, but this community is the best at helping
with additional great analysis and charts during the weekend and
week, like mhordila's extensive big picture charts every
weekend, marketguy's full range of extensive charts with
bearish wishful thinking, rp, ditch, and everyone
else are terrific.
the 60 stochastics has tested and failed getting back over 20
once already today, MACD still hasn't turned up, but there is pos.
divergence on the histogram and RSI. would like to see MACD
turn up as 14 and 60 stos push above 20, could be a good long
entry.
did a search on copper here and on the net, and according to the
seasonality of copper on average over the last 40 years, it
regularly consolidates and pulls back from August to October.
IBM is a 162 billion dollar tech company, one of the biggest in
the world. NVDA is a 5 billion dollar graphics card company.
Closer to Toyota buying Tesla, or Apple buying AMD.
60 period sto is close to getting over 20, but it also was on
SPX earlier today before it acted as resistance, and be careful of
a selloff into close with 14 sto getting overbought and coming back
down again. Still one to watch for a break in the next day or
early next week, pos. div. on the MACD and RSI too.
or instead of going long the TYO-Direxion 10-Year Treasury Bear
3X Shares, or TMV-Direxion Daily 30-Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares,
go short the TYD-10 year Bullish 3X shares, or TMF-30 year bullish
3X shares. This way you will gain by the short and by the
erosion also helping the short if you hold it several weeks or
months. Just have to wait until the signals say it's time to
enter the trade.
I shouldn't have stated a time, or thought of the index ETF like
a stock. Was just measuring the 2.50+ or so difference below
the possible neckline of 107.50, and thinking of it like a stock
dropping below the breakpoint, but very doubtful that the index
could make that kind of additional move today, maybe not even
tomorrow, even if it broke the neckline.
definitely looks like there is support at the double bottom in
the 107.50 area from Monday. But if this is just a right
shoulder of a double head and shoulder pattern, or the M pattern I
mentioned earlier, and it churns out a right shoulder before
breaking under the 107.50 neckline, could drop quickly later today
or tomorrow to 105.
SH is inverse single leveraged fund for SPX, and if you worry
about erosion of double and triple leveraged funds, do what Matt
and Steve say, short the opposite one. Go short FAS or TNA
during a pullback, then you will get the benefit of a gain in your
account during the pullback, and if you hold them for an extended
period of time the erosion is in your favor too.
I wasn't suggesting going long anything today, since 85-90% of
all stocks follow the general markets, but during the up times in
the market, invest in sectors that are outperforming, instead of
nat gas stocks, which usually seem to underperform, as I've lost
money on them too averaging in or going long stocks or options in
that sector with no luck over the years.
On this chart of the SPX for the last few months, could've gone
long or short on pos./neg. div in MACD, cross up or down
overbought/oversold on the 60 period sto lining up with the 14 and
crossovers of the MAs. You won't catch tops and bottoms, but
the middle 70% or so. Short early May, long early June, short
mid June, and long from early July until over a week ago, then
short again.
Did a search for UNG, trying to find a link to a chart for it,
and many times in the search saw posts from Steve, Matt, and
several others saying they don't trade UNG because it's such a
terrible ETF to trade, and I've found that too over the years.
Also some of the nat gas stocks, from Chesapeake to many
others, react badly on the supply news Wed. and Thursday, and are
hard to trade. Matt, Steve, rp, rank10 and many others have
so many good stocks or trades during the week, sometimes just for a
quick trade, and can trade the index ETFs for several day or couple
week moves. Why trade the nat. gas stocks that regularly
underperform, when you can trade gold or agriculture stocks that
have been outperforming recently?
not sure if it was here, and on other longer charts like 60 min,
daily or weekly, but have seen price action in a W pattern to be
bullish, it takes off after that to the upside. Isn't this
the inverse of that on the current 15 min chart, a good looking M
pattern, which would be bearish if it plays out?
not sure it has to be today. on the 5 min chart I posted
the address for earlier and the 15 min chart above, the histogram
and MACD are going lower, and the 89 and 144 stochastics may need
to get below 20. Could take until tomorrow or later today,
for a lower push on the SPX to set up pos. divergence on the MACD
and histogram too, before a reversal.
I always keep tabs on the SPX 5 min chart during the trading
day, and the 60 period stochastics crossing above 20 or below 80.
It looked like it was going to go above 20 and signal a move
up, but failed at that level a few minutes ago, at least delaying
any upward move for now.
WOW! worst in a year, that really sent the futures and
market spiraling down. Bet Steve was figuring the futures
support and resistance, when that number blew them up, had to
create a whole new set.
thanks for pointing that out Steve, back to trading help and
charts. What do you or Matt see with the gap fade or fill
indicators, and what are the futures support and resistance points?
Thanks.
The RUT 2000 futures seem like they have the most bang for the
buck, $100 per point, compared to next best futures return of SPX
(ES)...$50 per point. Seems to say that the market hours are
from 8 PM to 6 PM the next day, although it opens at 6 PM Sun.
evening, all hours EST. What does it mean overnight fee, is
that if you hold across the closing period from 6 to 8 PM? So
it's OK to trade all throughout the night with as many trades as
you can like with currencies, even in a small account? Have
checked into starting a futures account with a company for the
$2000 minimum, so still guessing it's similar to a currencies
account in that you can trade as many trades as you want, don't
need $25,000 in there like with a day trading account, just would
have to be out by 6 PM. Another good thing about RUT futures
is there is no charge for the associated ICE/NYBOT exchange market
they're on, unlike the CME for SPX futures, which is $50-60 a
month. If anyone has any helpful tips or advice on trading
futures, it's my first time....please PM me. Found these
contract specs at ICE:
Trading Hours
On
Sunday evenings, trading begins at 6:00 PM NY local time.
Units of Trading
Mini-size contract = $100 X Index
Symbol
Mini-size contract = TF; Block Trade Symbol = TS
Tick Size
Tick
Size .10 = $10
Calendar Spreads = .05
Contract Listings
Four
months in the March/June/September/December quarterly expiration
cycle
Price Limits
Please
see ICE Futures U.S. Rule 19.06 for daily price limits and trading
halts.
Block Trades
Minimum quantity of 20 contracts
Daily Settlement
The
volume-weighted average price of all electronic trades transacted
in the closing session (16:14 to 16:15 ET)
Last Trading Day
Last
trading day is the third Friday of the expiration month. Trading
ceases at 09:30 ET.
Final Settlement
Cash
settlement to a special calculation of the Russell 2000 Index based
on the opening prices of the component stocks on the third Friday
of the contract month. Please see
ICE Futures U.S.Rules 19.04 and 19.11 for additional
details.
was in a bear flag from 12 to 2, then sailed to new highs at
3.58 and only a little below that now, closed yesterday at 1.13,
opened today at 1.60 right after I posted it was way up in
pre-market on an FDA approval. Had some vol. increase today,
usually 100,000 daily, about a 22,000% increase in volume today.
Not seeing any neg. divergence on the RSI or
MACD...heehee.
posted this small stock at 9:30 taking off on FDA approval in
pre-market, opened at 1.60, made it up over 3 a little while
ago, and is still hanging around 3 now, on almost 12 mil shares
today, usually has around 100,000 daily.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
posted AKAM chart for long on 8/9, turned out well
AKAM
Posted by sue2 on 21st of Aug 2010 at 09:49 am
has been a steady riser over the last 2 weeks, may be over now though.
thanks for the charts
GROW
Posted by sue2 on 20th of Aug 2010 at 10:33 pm
GROW looks like it's coming to the end of the triangle and going to break up or down sometime next week. Thanks for all your charts pointing out the breakpoints, rank10. Steve and Matt do a great job, but this community is the best at helping with additional great analysis and charts during the weekend and week, like mhordila's extensive big picture charts every weekend, marketguy's full range of extensive charts with bearish wishful thinking, rp, ditch, and everyone else are terrific.
5 min chart
Posted by sue2 on 20th of Aug 2010 at 10:34 am
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=5&b=3&g=0&i=p22785185334&a=191691108&r=1012
the 60 stochastics has tested and failed getting back over 20 once already today, MACD still hasn't turned up, but there is pos. divergence on the histogram and RSI. would like to see MACD turn up as 14 and 60 stos push above 20, could be a good long entry.
seasonality
Copper
Posted by sue2 on 20th of Aug 2010 at 10:30 am
did a search on copper here and on the net, and according to the seasonality of copper on average over the last 40 years, it regularly consolidates and pulls back from August to October.
must be kidding? kia buying ferrari?
NVDA followed through
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 04:38 pm
IBM is a 162 billion dollar tech company, one of the biggest in the world. NVDA is a 5 billion dollar graphics card company. Closer to Toyota buying Tesla, or Apple buying AMD.
USO getting close
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 02:37 pm
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=USO&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&i=p90625392576&a=172824343&r=8721
60 period sto is close to getting over 20, but it also was on SPX earlier today before it acted as resistance, and be careful of a selloff into close with 14 sto getting overbought and coming back down again. Still one to watch for a break in the next day or early next week, pos. div. on the MACD and RSI too.
3X Funds
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 02:21 pm
or instead of going long the TYO-Direxion 10-Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares, or TMV-Direxion Daily 30-Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares, go short the TYD-10 year Bullish 3X shares, or TMF-30 year bullish 3X shares. This way you will gain by the short and by the erosion also helping the short if you hold it several weeks or months. Just have to wait until the signals say it's time to enter the trade.
time is an unknown....
5 min. Renko Buy signal. spy
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 02:05 pm
I shouldn't have stated a time, or thought of the index ETF like a stock. Was just measuring the 2.50+ or so difference below the possible neckline of 107.50, and thinking of it like a stock dropping below the breakpoint, but very doubtful that the index could make that kind of additional move today, maybe not even tomorrow, even if it broke the neckline.
Double head and shoulders?
5 min. Renko Buy signal. spy
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 01:36 pm
definitely looks like there is support at the double bottom in the 107.50 area from Monday. But if this is just a right shoulder of a double head and shoulder pattern, or the M pattern I mentioned earlier, and it churns out a right shoulder before breaking under the 107.50 neckline, could drop quickly later today or tomorrow to 105.
freestockcharts.com is great for free platform, thought it was real-time
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 12:41 pm
looked at your pic with the post and states rates too for real time quotes. I always thought it was real time there for free. what is RT scanning, rp?
can use single leveraged funds
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 12:21 pm
SH is inverse single leveraged fund for SPX, and if you worry about erosion of double and triple leveraged funds, do what Matt and Steve say, short the opposite one. Go short FAS or TNA during a pullback, then you will get the benefit of a gain in your account during the pullback, and if you hold them for an extended period of time the erosion is in your favor too.
I wasn't suggesting going long anything today, since 85-90% of all stocks follow the general markets, but during the up times in the market, invest in sectors that are outperforming, instead of nat gas stocks, which usually seem to underperform, as I've lost money on them too averaging in or going long stocks or options in that sector with no luck over the years.
On this chart of the SPX for the last few months, could've gone long or short on pos./neg. div in MACD, cross up or down overbought/oversold on the 60 period sto lining up with the 14 and crossovers of the MAs. You won't catch tops and bottoms, but the middle 70% or so. Short early May, long early June, short mid June, and long from early July until over a week ago, then short again.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p74757740576
Stop trading nat gas
I'm getting skewered by my nat gas plays as usual. This ...
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 11:41 am
Did a search for UNG, trying to find a link to a chart for it, and many times in the search saw posts from Steve, Matt, and several others saying they don't trade UNG because it's such a terrible ETF to trade, and I've found that too over the years. Also some of the nat gas stocks, from Chesapeake to many others, react badly on the supply news Wed. and Thursday, and are hard to trade. Matt, Steve, rp, rank10 and many others have so many good stocks or trades during the week, sometimes just for a quick trade, and can trade the index ETFs for several day or couple week moves. Why trade the nat. gas stocks that regularly underperform, when you can trade gold or agriculture stocks that have been outperforming recently?
M pattern on 15 min?
wave C rally starting NOW
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 11:17 am
not sure if it was here, and on other longer charts like 60 min, daily or weekly, but have seen price action in a W pattern to be bullish, it takes off after that to the upside. Isn't this the inverse of that on the current 15 min chart, a good looking M pattern, which would be bearish if it plays out?
have to be today?
wave C rally starting NOW
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 11:01 am
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=14&i=p52919016911&a=191967918&r=4921
not sure it has to be today. on the 5 min chart I posted the address for earlier and the 15 min chart above, the histogram and MACD are going lower, and the 89 and 144 stochastics may need to get below 20. Could take until tomorrow or later today, for a lower push on the SPX to set up pos. divergence on the MACD and histogram too, before a reversal.
spx 5 min chart 60 stochastics
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 10:27 am
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=5&b=3&g=0&i=p22785185334&a=191691108&r=1012
I always keep tabs on the SPX 5 min chart during the trading day, and the 60 period stochastics crossing above 20 or below 80. It looked like it was going to go above 20 and signal a move up, but failed at that level a few minutes ago, at least delaying any upward move for now.
philly fed # tanked futures
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 10:04 am
WOW! worst in a year, that really sent the futures and market spiraling down. Bet Steve was figuring the futures support and resistance, when that number blew them up, had to create a whole new set.
thanks steve, futures supp/res.?
Comment
Posted by sue2 on 19th of Aug 2010 at 09:57 am
thanks for pointing that out Steve, back to trading help and charts. What do you or Matt see with the gap fade or fill indicators, and what are the futures support and resistance points? Thanks.
Title: Russell 2000 futures specs
Posted by sue2 on 18th of Aug 2010 at 03:51 pm
The RUT 2000 futures seem like they have the most bang for the buck, $100 per point, compared to next best futures return of SPX (ES)...$50 per point. Seems to say that the market hours are from 8 PM to 6 PM the next day, although it opens at 6 PM Sun. evening, all hours EST. What does it mean overnight fee, is that if you hold across the closing period from 6 to 8 PM? So it's OK to trade all throughout the night with as many trades as you can like with currencies, even in a small account? Have checked into starting a futures account with a company for the $2000 minimum, so still guessing it's similar to a currencies account in that you can trade as many trades as you want, don't need $25,000 in there like with a day trading account, just would have to be out by 6 PM. Another good thing about RUT futures is there is no charge for the associated ICE/NYBOT exchange market they're on, unlike the CME for SPX futures, which is $50-60 a month. If anyone has any helpful tips or advice on trading futures, it's my first time....please PM me. Found these contract specs at ICE:
Trading Hours
On Sunday evenings, trading begins at 6:00 PM NY local time.
Units of Trading
Mini-size contract = $100 X Index
Symbol
Mini-size contract = TF; Block Trade Symbol = TS
Tick Size
Tick Size .10 = $10
Calendar Spreads = .05
Contract Listings
Four months in the March/June/September/December quarterly expiration cycle
Price Limits
Please see ICE Futures U.S. Rule 19.06 for daily price limits and trading halts.
Block Trades
Minimum quantity of 20 contracts
Daily Settlement
The volume-weighted average price of all electronic trades transacted in the closing session (16:14 to 16:15 ET)
Last Trading Day
Last trading day is the third Friday of the expiration month. Trading ceases at 09:30 ET.
Final Settlement
Cash settlement to a special calculation of the Russell 2000 Index based on the opening prices of the component stocks on the third Friday of the contract month. Please see ICE Futures U.S.Rules 19.04 and 19.11 for additional details.
Position Limits
Position Limit and Position Accountability information for all IFUS products can be found at https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us_reports/all/Futures_US_Position_Limits.pdf.
BSDM update
Posted by sue2 on 18th of Aug 2010 at 03:13 pm
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BSDM&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p77763776635
was in a bear flag from 12 to 2, then sailed to new highs at 3.58 and only a little below that now, closed yesterday at 1.13, opened today at 1.60 right after I posted it was way up in pre-market on an FDA approval. Had some vol. increase today, usually 100,000 daily, about a 22,000% increase in volume today. Not seeing any neg. divergence on the RSI or MACD...heehee.
BSDM Around $3 now
Small stock BSDM up 50% pre-market
Posted by sue2 on 18th of Aug 2010 at 12:25 pm
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BSDM&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p63268054709
posted this small stock at 9:30 taking off on FDA approval in pre-market, opened at 1.60, made it up over 3 a little while ago, and is still hanging around 3 now, on almost 12 mil shares today, usually has around 100,000 daily.