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new 13/34 EMA sell signal + 50R sell + slow sto in solid  decline on the daily chart

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s162488959]&disp=P

Weekly chart could throw a PSAR sell next week - then we got a new ballgame

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s206018187]&disp=P

AGREE

NAT Gas

Posted by rreich on 2nd of Jun 2011 at 12:29 pm

HERES THE UPDATED CHARTS.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s213645069]&disp=P

But they have been on an impressive run.   nice $

NYSE Volume

Posted by rreich on 31st of May 2011 at 11:06 am

Have you guys been watching the moving average volume on the NYSE.  Note the bottom of the chart and the red vertical lines coorelating to price moves.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s208587727]&disp=P

This is nuts!

In the past year or so very low volume spikes (excluding holidays) seem coorelated to tops BUT the statistical significance of this statement is way low.   Turning to pure emotion,  why does it feel like something significant is about to happen?   I mean, the average volume is almost at the level of an Xmas holiday.

short the decay

Nat Gas (UNG)

Posted by rreich on 31st of May 2011 at 12:44 am

actually , If you can get a broker to borrow the shares shorting the decay is phat.

be careful,

Nat Gas (UNG)

Posted by rreich on 30th of May 2011 at 01:48 pm

the nat gas etf/etns have lots of natural decay.  what if they never turn positive in the long term..??? 

note the relationship of NATGAS to UNG and H2 of '09.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s213644424]&disp=P

Might want to look into FCGL or FCGS as a related play

Sectors Rolling Over

Posted by rreich on 24th of May 2011 at 09:46 pm
Title: click to expand

For Longer Term Swing Traders - International

Posted by rreich on 23rd of May 2011 at 06:36 pm

As of today's action now have a set of internation ETF with long term (weekly) PSAR sell signals and major trend line breaks.   I will start scaling in 2x short on bounces.   Especially as this phase of QE is winding down.  I like to play the international markets as they have a greater price variance than the US markets on swings.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218729076]&disp=P

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s234745447]&disp=P

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218730483]&disp=P

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218732904]&disp=P

More broadly looks like luqidity is leaving risk..

 

ETF/ETN Reference + Monditoring Tool

Posted by rreich on 22nd of May 2011 at 10:53 pm

Folks

Two years ago I became frustrated with the inefficiency of referencing AND tracking ETFs/ETNs. I use ETFs/ETNs to diversify various portfolios across investment areas and temporal horizons. Of course now there are a lot of valuable ETFs.

So. Using StockCharts have constructed a more efficient reference tool AND monitoring tool for the array of ETFs/ETNs in the market in one platform. A hierarchically reference.

Location =

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058

Have a couple hundred hours more to put in to complete phase 1 but,,,,,

Feedback desired (privately)

Cheers

fabulous

US$ COT

Posted by rreich on 21st of May 2011 at 02:27 pm

looks like were in the ball park for upside.

any easy trade.

thanks VERY much

international trade - Latin America

Posted by rreich on 16th of May 2011 at 03:48 pm

Latin america just threw a long term short via the weekly PSAR and via a major trend line  break

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218732904]&disp=P

might wait for a bit of a bounce first.... for confirmation

daily chart looking short as well.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218639633]&disp=P

related ETFs are at the bottom of the graph

Sell Signals

Posted by rreich on 12th of May 2011 at 04:19 pm

It's a simple indicator,,,, but,,,  the SPX daily PSAR just threw a confirmed sell.   As such, better than even probability of lower low immediately ahead.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s162488959]&disp=P

also, bullish percent indicators for most markets still in negative territory

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s167561916]&disp=P

with the SPX weekly PSAR still on a buy a solid probability that any sell off will be weak.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s206018187]&disp=P

THanks

weekly COT Commercials for US$

Posted by rreich on 1st of May 2011 at 09:59 pm

thanks for being diligent about posting this every week.

You are a STAR!

more evidence

fwiw....

Posted by rreich on 28th of Apr 2011 at 09:29 am

also,,  hardy thanks for your work and postings.

spent 6+ hours scanning charts spanning the full spectrum of ETFs last night.   European ETFs and several US sectors are overbought and near record levels on weekly and daily charts.    These must correct soon and indicate some kind of weakness (possibly mixed) ahead.   will take some shorts here when a pullback starts in hopes of a scalp.

sector opportunities

Posted by rreich on 26th of Apr 2011 at 08:20 pm
Title: Full Notes

more....

Longer Term Sector Trades

Posted by rreich on 26th of Apr 2011 at 12:45 pm

SZK is thinly traded but the market maker takes the trades in a timely fashion at respectable bid/ask.    only alternative seems to be to sell short the IYK

until QE2 is done am cautious with shorts.  this will probably end up being a signal for a broader market correction as most (larger) sectors stay fairly closely coorelated with the SPX.

Longer Term Sector Trades

Posted by rreich on 26th of Apr 2011 at 11:30 am

Bullish Percent for Consumer Goods indicating a top.   Reliable system. Watch for the MA11 cross.  PSAR confirmation valueable.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s223114339]&disp=P

Also,  Biotech wipe out....  Dont know why

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s225639776]&disp=P

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