while the CCI's are very high we have a brand new
PSAR signal on both currencies. so the pullback
may be minimal.... Im layers some now for the looooong
term.
yes. we've got record CCI spikes
on both daily and 60 min charts - very rare indeed.Ive been sitting
here backtesting this situation for the past few hours.High
probability of a significant pull back upon trend line break or
PSAR reversal or whatever signal you like to use to indicate a
price direction change.
For the general newsletters the old format is better as we old
traders can skip the educational components we've seen before and
get to the trades et al.
For special topics, the new format is wonderful as it
provides specificity.
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BioFuels Major Breakout
Posted by rreich on 20th of Jul 2011 at 10:42 am
kind of interesting developement
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s238330006]&disp=P
cheers
Euro Short - euo
Posted by rreich on 14th of Jul 2011 at 11:56 am
could be a text book breakdown and backtest.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218921777]&disp=P
agree and,,,,,,
major currency moves. the game is ON
Posted by rreich on 11th of Jul 2011 at 10:43 am
while the CCI's are very high we have a brand new PSAR signal on both currencies. so the pullback may be minimal.... Im layers some now for the looooong term.
global instability seems to be on the rise.
major currency moves. the game is ON
Posted by rreich on 11th of Jul 2011 at 10:09 am
folks,,, this is a whole new ball game this morning.
major dollar breakout
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s224230059]&disp=P
major euro breakdown
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218921777]&disp=P
europe equities ugly
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218732192]&disp=P
Currency Trades - Euro
Posted by rreich on 8th of Jul 2011 at 05:50 pm
A perfect triangle , even cleaner than the dollar
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218921777]&disp=P
the 2X long and short ETFs function nicely depending on the direction of the break.
Commodities - Class Comparison
Posted by rreich on 8th of Jul 2011 at 09:59 am
Did'nt expect this. Across the various classes of commodity ETFs energy/oil (relatively speaking) are the weakest over the past few years. Go figure?
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s163683610]&disp=P
longer term international idea - europe
Posted by rreich on 7th of Jul 2011 at 10:05 pm
one of the weakest international groups with 2x+- ETFs (much weaker than SPX)
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s235660699]&disp=P
weekly still on sell after major trend break
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218732180]&disp=P
watch for a change on the daily PSAR for a buy of EPV
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218732192]&disp=P
if your looking for buy signals,,,,,
CCI on $SPX
Posted by rreich on 7th of Jul 2011 at 01:45 pm
take a look at the PSARs for the weekly charts. fresh new buy
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s236022169]&disp=P
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s236094855]&disp=P
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s237828953]&disp=P
I have to admit thou,, a bit suspect of these signals as the bank luqidity pump has been temporarily plugged. ;-)
backtest of CCI
CCI on $SPX
Posted by rreich on 7th of Jul 2011 at 01:32 pm
yes. we've got record CCI spikes on both daily and 60 min charts - very rare indeed.Ive been sitting here backtesting this situation for the past few hours.High probability of a significant pull back upon trend line break or PSAR reversal or whatever signal you like to use to indicate a price direction change.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s162488959]&disp=P
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s162497802]&disp=P
Total Margin Debt Caution Signal for Equities
Posted by rreich on 30th of Jun 2011 at 01:24 pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/irrational-exuberance-back-third-time
Namo, price correlation, looks like we are headed down soon.
Namo
Posted by rreich on 30th of Jun 2011 at 11:33 am
The NAMO does indeed have a bearish look. Note the backtesting (red lines).
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s162488959]&disp=P
Almost perfect backtested results.
other indicators (like the tick) have a bearish reload.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s208587727]&disp=P
Precious Metal Investing Relative to other Investment Classes
Posted by rreich on 29th of Jun 2011 at 02:24 pm
Long Term. Interesting.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s238082247]&disp=P
long term gold psar sell
Posted by rreich on 24th of Jun 2011 at 12:14 pm
you dont see this very often
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s172502148]&disp=P
most ETF classes now on sell (commodities, equities, currencies, international, etc). looks like global luquidity is getting tight,,, doh!
Record Daily Tick Reading
Posted by rreich on 16th of Jun 2011 at 01:07 pm
Given history,, looks like some kind of bounce in the cards for the major US markets,,,,,,
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s208587727]&disp=P
euro short
Posted by rreich on 15th of Jun 2011 at 12:44 pm
in addition to the ugly news in the EU finance world
The euro just threw a PSAR short with an EMA cross that is also short. Hmmmm. note the trendline wayyyyyy below
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218921777]&disp=P
Europe equities ETFs look like a new short.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218732180]&disp=P
PnF
TSX Breakdown...TSX looks very bearish here...
Posted by rreich on 11th of Jun 2011 at 02:21 pm
Many PnF charts on major bourses rolling over.
A damn fine mechanical trading system
see chart on the bulk of financial ETFs
faz
Posted by rreich on 11th of Jun 2011 at 02:18 pm
weekly
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s223117545]&disp=P
daily
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s223118346]&disp=P
intraday
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s223118800]&disp=P
Advice on entering the current SPY trade
Posted by rreich on 8th of Jun 2011 at 12:19 pm
Matt/Tom/et. al.
I havent entered the current trade thus far due to family matters combined with other indicators pointing to more down side the last few days.
Well, Am now considering entering the trade (at this now lower price). Given the system and it's logic, would you take a position at this time?
thanks in advance
Weekly SPX PSAR Sell Just Triggered
Posted by rreich on 7th of Jun 2011 at 01:46 pm
Weekly SPX PSAR new Sell
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s206018187]&disp=P
almost always predicts more down side in upcomming weeks.
Commodities still in sell
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s232689475]&disp=P
Dollar still on a sell
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218820698]&disp=P
several international on sell (but not having a significant sell off)
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID3225058&cmd=show[s218732904]&disp=P
looks like luquidity is in short supply???
Agree,, old format
New Video
Posted by rreich on 7th of Jun 2011 at 10:15 am
For the general newsletters the old format is better as we old traders can skip the educational components we've seen before and get to the trades et al.
For special topics, the new format is wonderful as it provides specificity.