SPWR also looking good - break out on heavy volume after
declining all year. I like when an entire sector is moving in
concert. Doesn't mean the rising tide lifts all boats, but
the probabilities are higher.
LODE - nice inverse H&S pattern w/ intersting MACD trend.
H&S measures to $5.45 which would be a 25% gain.
Currently oversold on the 30 min with some neg MACD
divergence, so watching for a good entry around the 9 or 50 MA.
Can make some big moves, so I stick with smaller position
sizes.
EPM - posted this one a week ago, keeps on climbing. Took
some profits at 20% this morning as I thought it might pull back a
little near that previous high, but it blew right through it.
Dividend pays out on the 15th, so that may be propelling it
higher for now. Still like the pattern longer-term, so will
look to add on a p/b.
Seeing quite a few coil patterns behaving like this. If
there's a major MA line below the coil, that seems to act like a
magnet, then reverse & rally. I use smaller positions and
wider stops if I think it's going to play out that way, then add
once it's back in/above the coil (preferably w/ volume).
Thanks, Matt. I picked up a little just prior to posting.
MVIS is another to keep an eye on; I posted that one along with
KOSS last week. I have small positions. Not enough to
do harm, just enough to make it interesting.
FSM - silver miner, medium beta stock. Breaking above
downtrend line from February as well as the 200MA. 9 is
crossing up over 50 and MA ribbons pinched.
Agreed. I also wonder if the adherence to TA concepts is
because crypto is more of a pure market, actual price discovery
without the manipulation/Fed interfernece that affects so many
other stocks.
WTI - another energy stock. Just coming off support of the
lower channel TL with lots of support below for a low risk entry.
Lower beta than the HLX I posted yesterday. Energy
sector in general seems to be gaining strength.
I wish I had something definitive to share, but there are so
many variables - positions size, entry point relative to support,
relative market strength (i.e., likelihood of bouncing back), what
the rest of the portfolio is doing. I have two positions - a
large one in my IRA; a smaller one in my trading account.
I don't watch the IRA. I'll check on it if the overall
market starts to show a strong downtrend. For that, following
the 401k systems here is a good catalyst to think about moving
in/out.
For the trading account, it's more dynamic and I think that's
what you're asking about. If something isn't contributing to
profit, it gets fired. So the guidance that Matt & Steve
offer works - identify support and resistance. I ask myself
how much I'm willing to lose if my thesis proves invalid. If
the next support (a major trendline, 50MA., 200 MA) is below that,
I either reduce position size or don't purchase and move on to
something else. 9MA is a bit tight for me for a low-beta,
slow mover. But that's me.
I think one of the biggest challenges that many traders face is
the desire to make gains quickly, not so much to create
wealth but to experience validation. The main reason people
day/swing trade is because they think they can outperform the buy
& hold strategy. Positions are larger than they should be
to prove the point, and it becomes tempting, if not necessary, to
exit prematurely. I've suffered through that, and still
occasionally do. Meme stocks don't help as they create
unrealistic expectations. Who wants to settle for 10% a year
when you can make 48% on Wednesday....? Only one of those is
sustainable....
When I sacrificed my ego to the concept of slow, steady
wealth-building, I started performing much better. I was more
objective and I started to show control over outcomes. And I
began sleeping better. :-)
If I were to give advice to my earlier self, it would be to set
a very reasonable goal relative to my account size. Say,
$500/month. For a year. When I can do that
consistently, I'll have earned the right to aim for $750/mo, then
$1K/mo, then a little more. If the first goal seems a little
underwhelming, you have selected it wisely. ;-)
The holy grail for a trader isn't yolo gains; it's trading
behavior that consistently returns predicted outcomes and
repeatable gains (says me to my earlier self!).
If you're looking for low-beta performers, check out DHR.
It's a GE-like company. I missed the recent break-out,
but picked some up on the retest with a stop just below the 50MA.
The past several months were more volatile than normal as it
consolidated, but historically it's a wealth-building snoozer.
PG - it doesn't look like a great C&H to me. That
handle is pretty messy. Also, volume should be low/declining
on the way to the bottom of the cup and increase as price climbs.
I see a bearish rising wedge with negative divergence on
MACD and RSI. And that is one ugly candle today, with volume.
On the flip side, it does share a slight similarity to the
pattern that played out last Mar - Jun before starting a strong run
up. That said, everything was rocketing higher last spring
and the current environment is much different. If it were me
(relatively conservative), I'd be looking for a stronger setup.
You're welcome. Not a sexy stock, but a good core holding.
Chart-friendly and easy to hold a large position w/o having
to babysit it. Now, if we could just get the dividend
back...
HLX - energy stock with a nice inverse H&S pattern.
Currently at $5.16; pattern target would be $6.50. A
little oversold on the intra-day, so monitoring for a good entry.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
SPWR also looking good -
Posted by rjdst on 10th of Jun 2021 at 04:52 pm
SPWR also looking good - break out on heavy volume after declining all year. I like when an entire sector is moving in concert. Doesn't mean the rising tide lifts all boats, but the probabilities are higher.
ENPH - solar/semiconductor stock. Nice
Posted by rjdst on 10th of Jun 2021 at 04:32 pm
ENPH - solar/semiconductor stock. Nice C&H, up against upper trendline. MAs pinching.
LODE - nice inverse H&S
Posted by rjdst on 9th of Jun 2021 at 12:00 pm
LODE - nice inverse H&S pattern w/ intersting MACD trend. H&S measures to $5.45 which would be a 25% gain. Currently oversold on the 30 min with some neg MACD divergence, so watching for a good entry around the 9 or 50 MA. Can make some big moves, so I stick with smaller position sizes.
EPM - posted this one
Posted by rjdst on 9th of Jun 2021 at 11:52 am
EPM - posted this one a week ago, keeps on climbing. Took some profits at 20% this morning as I thought it might pull back a little near that previous high, but it blew right through it. Dividend pays out on the 15th, so that may be propelling it higher for now. Still like the pattern longer-term, so will look to add on a p/b.
Seeing quite a few coil
CTT daily didnt catch this one, talk about a complete ...
Posted by rjdst on 9th of Jun 2021 at 11:45 am
Seeing quite a few coil patterns behaving like this. If there's a major MA line below the coil, that seems to act like a magnet, then reverse & rally. I use smaller positions and wider stops if I think it's going to play out that way, then add once it's back in/above the coil (preferably w/ volume).
SM - oil & gas
Posted by rjdst on 8th of Jun 2021 at 03:58 pm
SM - oil & gas stock. Nice pop out of the coil, pulled back into what looks like a bull flag. Added some to my energy portfolio.
Thanks, Matt. I picked up
AMC etc
Posted by rjdst on 2nd of Jun 2021 at 04:07 pm
Thanks, Matt. I picked up a little just prior to posting.
MVIS is another to keep an eye on; I posted that one along with KOSS last week. I have small positions. Not enough to do harm, just enough to make it interesting.
EPM - energy stock with
Posted by rjdst on 2nd of Jun 2021 at 03:30 pm
EPM - energy stock with C&H that hasn't popped yet; nice volume the past two days. The others I posted last week - HLX, WTI are already rockin'.
NAKD may be next....
AMC etc
Posted by rjdst on 2nd of Jun 2021 at 03:24 pm
NAKD may be next....
SOS - similar pattern as
NICE on CAN
Posted by rjdst on 1st of Jun 2021 at 02:36 pm
SOS - similar pattern as CAN, but hasn't yet popped (as much). Assuming it clears Thursday's high, it could pop like CAN did.
FSM - silver miner, medium
Posted by rjdst on 1st of Jun 2021 at 09:48 am
FSM - silver miner, medium beta stock. Breaking above downtrend line from February as well as the 200MA. 9 is crossing up over 50 and MA ribbons pinched.
Agreed. I also wonder if
Bitcoin continues to play out
Posted by rjdst on 30th of May 2021 at 03:32 pm
Agreed. I also wonder if the adherence to TA concepts is because crypto is more of a pure market, actual price discovery without the manipulation/Fed interfernece that affects so many other stocks.
UUUU - Biden budget omits
UUUU turned radioactive todayVIX spike near end of day
Posted by rjdst on 29th of May 2021 at 01:51 pm
UUUU - Biden budget omits uranium reserve funding, miners plunge
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3701349-biden-budget-omits-uranium-reserve-funding-miners-plunge
WTI - another energy stock.
Posted by rjdst on 28th of May 2021 at 09:47 am
WTI - another energy stock. Just coming off support of the lower channel TL with lots of support below for a low risk entry. Lower beta than the HLX I posted yesterday. Energy sector in general seems to be gaining strength.
Off-topic, but related to ULTA...
ULTA gapping higher on earnings
Posted by rjdst on 28th of May 2021 at 09:45 am
Off-topic, but related to ULTA... funny and uplifting. Some folks in this video could have used some ULTA.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gxm7Hu-IHJs
I wish I had something
GE - Thank you for the member who mentioned a ...
Posted by rjdst on 27th of May 2021 at 09:31 pm
I wish I had something definitive to share, but there are so many variables - positions size, entry point relative to support, relative market strength (i.e., likelihood of bouncing back), what the rest of the portfolio is doing. I have two positions - a large one in my IRA; a smaller one in my trading account. I don't watch the IRA. I'll check on it if the overall market starts to show a strong downtrend. For that, following the 401k systems here is a good catalyst to think about moving in/out.
For the trading account, it's more dynamic and I think that's what you're asking about. If something isn't contributing to profit, it gets fired. So the guidance that Matt & Steve offer works - identify support and resistance. I ask myself how much I'm willing to lose if my thesis proves invalid. If the next support (a major trendline, 50MA., 200 MA) is below that, I either reduce position size or don't purchase and move on to something else. 9MA is a bit tight for me for a low-beta, slow mover. But that's me.
I think one of the biggest challenges that many traders face is the desire to make gains quickly, not so much to create wealth but to experience validation. The main reason people day/swing trade is because they think they can outperform the buy & hold strategy. Positions are larger than they should be to prove the point, and it becomes tempting, if not necessary, to exit prematurely. I've suffered through that, and still occasionally do. Meme stocks don't help as they create unrealistic expectations. Who wants to settle for 10% a year when you can make 48% on Wednesday....? Only one of those is sustainable....
When I sacrificed my ego to the concept of slow, steady wealth-building, I started performing much better. I was more objective and I started to show control over outcomes. And I began sleeping better. :-)
If I were to give advice to my earlier self, it would be to set a very reasonable goal relative to my account size. Say, $500/month. For a year. When I can do that consistently, I'll have earned the right to aim for $750/mo, then $1K/mo, then a little more. If the first goal seems a little underwhelming, you have selected it wisely. ;-)
The holy grail for a trader isn't yolo gains; it's trading behavior that consistently returns predicted outcomes and repeatable gains (says me to my earlier self!).
If you're looking for low-beta
GE - Thank you for the member who mentioned a ...
Posted by rjdst on 27th of May 2021 at 04:52 pm
If you're looking for low-beta performers, check out DHR. It's a GE-like company. I missed the recent break-out, but picked some up on the retest with a stop just below the 50MA. The past several months were more volatile than normal as it consolidated, but historically it's a wealth-building snoozer.
PG - it doesn't look
PG - how would y'all read this? Is the cup's ...
Posted by rjdst on 27th of May 2021 at 04:22 pm
PG - it doesn't look like a great C&H to me. That handle is pretty messy. Also, volume should be low/declining on the way to the bottom of the cup and increase as price climbs. I see a bearish rising wedge with negative divergence on MACD and RSI. And that is one ugly candle today, with volume.
On the flip side, it does share a slight similarity to the pattern that played out last Mar - Jun before starting a strong run up. That said, everything was rocketing higher last spring and the current environment is much different. If it were me (relatively conservative), I'd be looking for a stronger setup.
You're welcome. Not a sexy
GE - Thank you for the member who mentioned a ...
Posted by rjdst on 27th of May 2021 at 04:04 pm
You're welcome. Not a sexy stock, but a good core holding. Chart-friendly and easy to hold a large position w/o having to babysit it. Now, if we could just get the dividend back...
HLX - energy stock with
Posted by rjdst on 27th of May 2021 at 03:02 pm
HLX - energy stock with a nice inverse H&S pattern. Currently at $5.16; pattern target would be $6.50. A little oversold on the intra-day, so monitoring for a good entry.