Posted by doctormike on 12th of Nov 2009 at 05:33 pm
I really doubt wave 1 has started. Today's volume is even
weaker than yesterday bank holiday's is. It's both too weak
and not implusive enough to be a wave 1. In terms of a part
of wave 3, well, because of the reasons that I mentioned just now,
I can't see that at all. I am fairly certain that this is a
wave 4. Regardless, we should get a bounce tomorrow. If
it's a wave 4, we will rally into a wave 5. If it's wave 1 of
wave 3, we should get a bounce of wave 2 of wave 3.
Posted by doctormike on 12th of Nov 2009 at 04:38 pm
I totally agree. Today's action feels like a wave 4.
It's not an implusive wave. I suspect that we will make wave
5 tomorrow. Early next week we should start selling off.
Posted by doctormike on 11th of Nov 2009 at 05:39 pm
Great analysis. Anything is possible with this market. News
really don't matter now unless it's "end of the world" kind of news
or several bad news in a row. There is no sell off today even
with Dow retraced 50%. No doubt this market is meant to kill
bears.
Posted by doctormike on 9th of Nov 2009 at 11:31 pm
That's why I cancelled my subscription. Don't get me
wrong. Their newsletters are very interesting to read.
Many times they did present great logical cases for their
forecast. However, we all know that this market is far from
logical. For the market to rally like this after accelerating
10.2% unemployment rate, it's as illogical as it can be. But
hey...their newsletters are definitely good entertainment.
Please keep sharing those newsletters for those of us who
discontinued the subscriptions.
Posted by doctormike on 9th of Nov 2009 at 07:53 pm
I cancelled my subscription after many of their predictions went
wrong. I enjoyed reading it though but it definitely is not
worth the price. Anyone care to share just the main
points? They still think this is only a wave 2 up?
Posted by doctormike on 4th of Nov 2009 at 04:20 pm
Yea...I don't understand why the linear regression slope
indicator keeps showing up on the analysis. Is that something
BPT plans on selling or providing to its members. Or just
something for you to show how good of indicator it is, so the BPT
members wish to have it but can't.
Posted by doctormike on 3rd of Nov 2009 at 07:40 am
The stock closes at 76 yesterday, and Buffett is willing to pay
100 per share for the entire company. Crazy...more than 30%
premium. I thought Buffett is a value investor. BNI
NEVER broke 100 in its stock history. With BNI being a big
railroad transport company and his huge premium price paid,
obviously Buffett is betting on a semi V shape recovery and
definitely not a depression like EW people think.
Posted by doctormike on 2nd of Nov 2009 at 03:15 pm
Steve,
It looks that the fifth wave is not finished or this is not the
proper count. Wave 4 of that wave 5 is inside of wave 1 of
wave 5 down... What do you think?
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
I really doubt wave 1
Trying to bounce
Posted by doctormike on 12th of Nov 2009 at 05:33 pm
I really doubt wave 1 has started. Today's volume is even weaker than yesterday bank holiday's is. It's both too weak and not implusive enough to be a wave 1. In terms of a part of wave 3, well, because of the reasons that I mentioned just now, I can't see that at all. I am fairly certain that this is a wave 4. Regardless, we should get a bounce tomorrow. If it's a wave 4, we will rally into a wave 5. If it's wave 1 of wave 3, we should get a bounce of wave 2 of wave 3.
I totally agree. Today's action
Trying to bounce
Posted by doctormike on 12th of Nov 2009 at 04:38 pm
I totally agree. Today's action feels like a wave 4. It's not an implusive wave. I suspect that we will make wave 5 tomorrow. Early next week we should start selling off.
Great analysis. Anything is possible
Some charts and thoughts
Posted by doctormike on 11th of Nov 2009 at 05:39 pm
Great analysis. Anything is possible with this market. News really don't matter now unless it's "end of the world" kind of news or several bad news in a row. There is no sell off today even with Dow retraced 50%. No doubt this market is meant to kill bears.
I wonder what pattern has
SPX 60 Min GET
Posted by doctormike on 11th of Nov 2009 at 01:25 pm
I wonder what pattern has 5 waves up and 5 waves down and 5 waves up. Let's see what EWI spins this tonight.
Thank you. Their letter always
A few notes from another web site... Nov 10
Posted by doctormike on 10th of Nov 2009 at 06:34 pm
Thank you. Their letter always is so well written and interesting to read, but the prediction....can need some work.
That's why I cancelled my subscription.
A few notes from another web site
Posted by doctormike on 9th of Nov 2009 at 11:31 pm
That's why I cancelled my subscription. Don't get me wrong. Their newsletters are very interesting to read. Many times they did present great logical cases for their forecast. However, we all know that this market is far from logical. For the market to rally like this after accelerating 10.2% unemployment rate, it's as illogical as it can be. But hey...their newsletters are definitely good entertainment. Please keep sharing those newsletters for those of us who discontinued the subscriptions.
What did EWI say today?
Posted by doctormike on 9th of Nov 2009 at 07:53 pm
I cancelled my subscription after many of their predictions went wrong. I enjoyed reading it though but it definitely is not worth the price. Anyone care to share just the main points? They still think this is only a wave 2 up?
Is dollar's wave 5 extending?
Relationship Holding : Dollar Down and Futures Up
Posted by doctormike on 9th of Nov 2009 at 09:11 am
Is dollar's wave 5 extending? Wave 2 can't retrace more than wave 1. We made new low on dollar this morning.
OK... Sorry I haven't read
SRS swing system #2 with linearRegression Slope indicator
Posted by doctormike on 4th of Nov 2009 at 05:03 pm
OK... Sorry I haven't read every post yet. Thank you for the heads up.
Compounding and leverage works both
SRS swing system #2 with linearRegression Slope indicator
Posted by doctormike on 4th of Nov 2009 at 04:53 pm
Compounding and leverage works both ways.
Yea...I don't understand why the
SRS swing system #2 with linearRegression Slope indicator
Posted by doctormike on 4th of Nov 2009 at 04:20 pm
Yea...I don't understand why the linear regression slope indicator keeps showing up on the analysis. Is that something BPT plans on selling or providing to its members. Or just something for you to show how good of indicator it is, so the BPT members wish to have it but can't.
Buffett is buying Burlington Northern and it's moving the futures positively.
Posted by doctormike on 3rd of Nov 2009 at 07:40 am
The stock closes at 76 yesterday, and Buffett is willing to pay 100 per share for the entire company. Crazy...more than 30% premium. I thought Buffett is a value investor. BNI NEVER broke 100 in its stock history. With BNI being a big railroad transport company and his huge premium price paid, obviously Buffett is betting on a semi V shape recovery and definitely not a depression like EW people think.
Dollar SPIKED up to 81 while we were sleeping.
Posted by doctormike on 3rd of Nov 2009 at 06:33 am
And the future is down BIG.
This ultra bearish count that was negated looks more and more like the correct one.
http://www.screencast.com/users/Jumbo123/folders/Jing/media/5547841a-15af-4bb4-9431-168ff285f6a6
Some important European earnings missed
Posted by doctormike on 3rd of Nov 2009 at 03:50 am
UBS missed estimate. Financials might keep selling today and bring the whole market down. The ultra bearish count might still be in play. We will see.
Thank you Steve...
SPX 15
Posted by doctormike on 2nd of Nov 2009 at 04:38 pm
I see it now. I didn't consider the wave 4 as a flat. Thank you.
Steve, This is my bearish count,
SPX 15
Posted by doctormike on 2nd of Nov 2009 at 03:34 pm
Steve,
This is my bearish count, which is developed based on your Dow bearish count from last night.
http://www.screencast.com/users/Jumbo123/folders/Jing/media/0206e03d-1fbb-4796-bca7-a0f9f577e7e6
Steve, It looks that the fifth
SPX 15
Posted by doctormike on 2nd of Nov 2009 at 03:15 pm
Steve,
It looks that the fifth wave is not finished or this is not the proper count. Wave 4 of that wave 5 is inside of wave 1 of wave 5 down... What do you think?
Based on Steve's analysis
Posted by doctormike on 2nd of Nov 2009 at 12:36 pm
http://www.screencast.com/users/Jumbo123/folders/Jing/media/acb921cc-0c9b-441b-a127-77b9277fbcd9
Breadth is negative 11 to
one thing I said on Wed's update, to not short oversold, ...
Posted by doctormike on 30th of Oct 2009 at 12:34 pm
Breadth is negative 11 to 1. Too negative to be a "corrective" wave.
Wave 5....it's too implusive to
one thing I said on Wed's update, to not short oversold, ...
Posted by doctormike on 30th of Oct 2009 at 12:28 pm
Wave 5....it's too implusive to be other possibilities.