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For subscription to work, a site or newsletter almost needs to offer several items like BPT. When market trend is easy to identify, you go with market analysis. When it's so cloudy like now, you go with watch list, mechanical systems, free indicators, etc. If you only bank on one or the other, there will be time that one doesn't work. With multiple offers, at least you cover your xss and keep that subscriptions/revenue going.

That's why I have cancelled just about every subscriptions. It's not worth it.

Ok.....according to this guy's count,

Elliott Wave??

Posted by doctormike on 1st of Dec 2009 at 06:40 pm

Ok.....according to this guy's count, we still have wave C up to come and reach new high...  Is that correct?

Elliott Wave??

Posted by doctormike on 1st of Dec 2009 at 04:07 pm

Hey guys....I cancelled my subscriptions with EWI.  I am trying to figure out the counts for the last week and a half.  I can't come up with one.  If you subscribe it, would you mind sharing with me their counts or your own counts.  EW is not perfect and it doesn't work all the time, but I like to see some counts.  Please advise.  Thank you. 

I guess this giant bull

Bear evidence

Posted by doctormike on 1st of Dec 2009 at 03:42 pm

I guess this giant bull flag on ES for the last several weeks makes me feel bullish. I got hurt plenty during this bear market rally.  Trying to short ever since May...  I just don't know.  Dubai couldn't break this market down for more than a day.  What can it?  I am with your point, but I just don't know.

This is the first time

Bear evidence

Posted by doctormike on 1st of Dec 2009 at 03:29 pm

This is the first time that we might close near the high. I don't see this as bearish at all. What reason to sell? Bears who want to take profits or sell short of this market have already done so. Only a few bears still hold shorts. I see this as red hot bullish.

Fifth time testing this area

Posted by doctormike on 1st of Dec 2009 at 02:25 pm

This is ES.  11/16 - 1112.25, 11/23 - 1111.50, 11/25 - 1111.25, 11/26 - 1111.25....today 1111.75.  Resistance gets weaker each time.  Like Matt said, if we break it today, watch out for crazy short squeeze.

So much for 200% shorts. 

Market Comments

Posted by doctormike on 1st of Dec 2009 at 01:34 pm

So much for 200% shorts.  Maybe we should do 300% short after today.

ES future made a double top...

Posted by doctormike on 25th of Nov 2009 at 09:00 am

200% short prediction will be based on today.

Low volume and market orders.

Intra-day gaps

Posted by doctormike on 24th of Nov 2009 at 11:03 am

Low volume and market orders.

I thought ABC is a corrective pattern. What's the implusive wave that precedes this ABC correction? It seems that the implusive wave is up, not down.

I personally think that following newsletters is a fool's game. I cancel most of my subscriptions and plan on cancelling them all when the time runs out. The best way to trade in this market is only to trade intra day or long term. Intermediate term is extremely uncertain. Let's take EW for example. With this implusive up, we might be in a wave 1 of wave 3 while the last few days were only wave 2. It means that we still have a couple of weeks to go with this rally. The bottom line is predictions are meant to be wrong, and market forecast newsletters should refund customers money after getting so many times wrong.

Or wave 5 of wave 5 is already finished. Today's afternoon sell off is the wave 1 of wave 1 and the late day bounce is wave 2 of wave 1. If that's the case, we will need to sell off hard tomorrow.  We will see.

Today's late day sell off

Posted by doctormike on 16th of Nov 2009 at 05:59 pm

Today's late day sell off looks like a wave 4 of wave 5.  We should pop in the morning tomorrow to complete wave 5 of wave 5.  Hopefully that will be the top.  Besides, 50% retracement in S&P is at 1121, and we are very close there.

we should have one more

Posted by doctormike on 16th of Nov 2009 at 01:49 pm

we should have one more push to make wave 5 of wave 5.

You won't need to subscribe

Read this blog this weekend.

Posted by doctormike on 15th of Nov 2009 at 09:27 am

You won't need to subscribe to websites if good bloggers keep this kind of analysis up. Most information is free as long as you know where to find it. Thank you very much for sharing.

Market volume

Posted by doctormike on 14th of Nov 2009 at 10:03 am

Just observing the volume for this leg of rally.  The volume is even lighter than the summer time's and gets lighter each day in the month of Nov, which is usually a heavy participation month.  In other legs of this entire rally since March, the volume has never behaved like this.  Even if the bull pushes this thing to make new high, watch out for the crash since there aren't lots of foundation bases in this last leg to absorb the sell orders.

What day is the time cycle high, Steve?

Very weak and light volume

Comment

Posted by doctormike on 13th of Nov 2009 at 12:36 pm

Very weak and light volume implusive up wave.  We might not make new high due to the weakness.  It's a wave 5, in my view.

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