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Golden Cross

Posted by Robert50 on 11th of Aug 2011 at 02:28 pm

Crosses down tomorrow, no matter how big of a rally we get.

IMO, worse thing we could do is sell at the bottom.  I have started to hedge in the past hour.  To sell, I will wait for the signal because it looks like things are starting to head sideways.  If we get a signal on a bounce, I will then make my own decision on whether to sell, stay, sell 1/2, etc. Historically, the system has comeback pretty well.

As Chas points out, we have a higher low on the Renko Charts and I see the inverse ETF's are starting to break down slightly.

Renko Charts

Posted by Robert50 on 11th of Aug 2011 at 02:11 pm

This Daily says we are on a buy signal.  Or is it just whipsaw?

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p76098493830&a=199272123&listNum=12

Starting to Bottom? SPXU 60

Posted by Robert50 on 11th of Aug 2011 at 01:53 pm

My inverse SPY hedge, SPXU, is rolling over.  We broke the uptrend today and started a small downward channel.  If it can stay in that channel, the worst is over.  EOD tomorrow should give us a better pattern.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXU&p=60&b=5&g=0&id=p99314728458&a=241454996

SmileHere is my prediction on the SPY system: Those who stay in the trade, regardles of sell signals, will end up with a 10% gain by Thanksgiving.  LOL!  Gotta stay light!

SPXU 60

Posted by Robert50 on 11th of Aug 2011 at 10:22 am

UAM

Posted by Robert50 on 11th of Aug 2011 at 10:11 am

I saw this on the list.  Very good candidate for a short.  My son was a VP with their profitable Medicare Part D business and they sold it to CVS.  So their revenue stream (and profits) will be lower over the medium term, despite the hefty sale price.  I have no special knoweledge but the short makes fundamental sense.

Watched the video, but if the system is below the 200 day, you would think it would go short, not add another long....

BAC - XLF

Posted by Robert50 on 10th of Aug 2011 at 09:55 am

spx60

Posted by Robert50 on 10th of Aug 2011 at 09:47 am

Should we not short this bounce?

I hate this

Posted by Robert50 on 9th of Aug 2011 at 01:06 pm

Looking at the 60 minute chart, we are still in a very steep downtrend channel....too steep to be sustained, but down and in the channel nonetheless.

Ouch

Predictions anyone?

Posted by Robert50 on 8th of Aug 2011 at 03:00 pm

Predictions anyone?

DOW -575

SPX -70

QE3

Posted by Robert50 on 7th of Aug 2011 at 02:16 pm

Big down day Monday, QE3 on Tuesday! 

Whose not calm?

CALM DOWN!!

Posted by Robert50 on 7th of Aug 2011 at 02:11 pm

Whose not calm? Laughing

Predictions anyone?

Posted by Robert50 on 7th of Aug 2011 at 01:46 pm

DOW -575

SPX  -70

 

Base on Middle East action Saturday and then Sunday.  Asia will tell.

Middle East Markets

Posted by Robert50 on 7th of Aug 2011 at 01:36 pm

From CNN: Israel's stock market fell more than 6%, and the Tel Aviv 25 Index ended the trading day down 6.99%.

The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) General Index fell 3.7% on Sunday. And the General Index on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange lost 2.5%.

In Saudi Arabia, the Tadawul All-Share Index gained less than 0.1% after dropping nearly 5.5% Saturday.

Long term vix

Posted by Robert50 on 5th of Aug 2011 at 03:32 pm

It can always get worse....

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