Time to scale back in ?

    Posted by biketastic on 26th of Mar 2009 at 10:16 am

    This is an excellent board and I have great respect for the technical analysis which saved my pension (401k) last year when I went to cash mid May 2008 on the basis of Elliot Wave Theory.  I am a UK-based amateur who is trying to grow his pension, so please be gentle with me!

    I have been 30% physical gold for a few months and considering going back in to the market with one third of the remaning 70% (23% of the pot).  I expect to go back to cash again when primary wave b completes later in the year, then to short the indexes back down.

    I was going to buy an equal split of S&P500 (SPY), Commodities (DBC), FTSE100 (ISF.L) and FTSEXinhua25 (FXI.L).

    My questions are:

    1.  Has the pullback most likely happened?

    2.  Does this look like a reasonable mix for a 401k?

    Opinions would be valued very much and would not be interpreted as giving advice.

     

    UK Pensions

    Posted by gdstacey on 18th of May 2009 at 01:35 am

    Hi

    I'm currently using Selftrade (with SippDealExtra) to hold my SIPP funds, I can use orders and stops but this is only available on UK quoted instruments - not much use for trading the picklist!

    What do you use as a trading platform for your pension assets?

    TIA

    Graeme, Bath, UK

     

    SPX monthly with 20 SMA.png it's

    Posted by matt on 26th of Mar 2009 at 10:20 am

    it's ok to be in the 401K, however you just have to be ready to sell again later this year when B wave is done, the bear market is not over and anther decline will come in the future

     

    here's the monthly SPX with 20 month MA

    I don't think you should

    Posted by gs on 26th of Mar 2009 at 07:24 pm

    I don't think you should ask Matt and Steve about allocations. It requires license of financial advisor to offer you opinion on this topic and fat fee to boot.

    Matt, Agree ... I see nothing

    Posted by cspirit on 26th of Mar 2009 at 02:32 pm

    Matt,

    Agree ... I see nothing you have on this chart which tells me the BEAR is over.

Newsletter

Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!