Posted by DigiNomad on 21st of Dec 2023 at 04:07 pm
Wasn't core PCE hotter than expected last time and the market
jumped up like a scalded dog? There have been lots of hotter prints
(maybe it wasn't core PCE, but wage data, etc) and the media
literally runs stories about the prints being proof that inflation
is going down no matter what (I posted proof of this phenomenon
last week). Would be funny if we actually got a consensus or below
consensus print tomorrow and the market sold off. Whatever hurts
the most people on a given day is the direction the market will
take. However, for now, net delta suggests that it is still the
bears that have to be scared away. *I'm pretty sure it was
core that was above consensus last time though...
I'm not saying it's political, but if CNBC and Bloomberg
editors had a political bone in their bodies and it happened to be
bent even slightly to the left (doubtful, I'm sure they are all
very non partisan) there would be a HUGE political benefit to
spinning every data print towards the narrative that inflation has
been conquered.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
Wasn't core PCE hotter than
PCE tomorrow - personally expect a tame reading
Posted by DigiNomad on 21st of Dec 2023 at 04:07 pm
Wasn't core PCE hotter than expected last time and the market jumped up like a scalded dog? There have been lots of hotter prints (maybe it wasn't core PCE, but wage data, etc) and the media literally runs stories about the prints being proof that inflation is going down no matter what (I posted proof of this phenomenon last week). Would be funny if we actually got a consensus or below consensus print tomorrow and the market sold off. Whatever hurts the most people on a given day is the direction the market will take. However, for now, net delta suggests that it is still the bears that have to be scared away. *I'm pretty sure it was core that was above consensus last time though...
I'm not saying it's political, but if CNBC and Bloomberg editors had a political bone in their bodies and it happened to be bent even slightly to the left (doubtful, I'm sure they are all very non partisan) there would be a HUGE political benefit to spinning every data print towards the narrative that inflation has been conquered.