In Thursday Newsletter I mentioned the doji candle that appeared
at the upper Bollinger Band. Doji candles are hesitation
candles and when found near extended moves up/down have us on watch
for potential reversal candles (at least Reversion to Mean) then we
need a valid trigger to enter (stop would immediately be placed at
the prior high in this case after entry and then lowered over
time).
Once I see on the Daily chart, I like to shift down to the
hourly/30 minute chart for additional clues (supporting evidence)
and possibly an early valid trigger.
On the XLK, I see a symmetry break the transpired on the prior
pullback (172.83-169.78) suggesting to be on the lookout for a
lower high to be formed (171.71). The lower high formed with
a doji candle of its own on the 60 minute chart which allowed for
an earlier higher price trigger short breaking below that low which
was then confirmed by both a trendine break on the 60 minute as
well as the daily candle break to the downside.
For those asking about a potential target?
1.) A equal move to the first decline then the following
extensions 1.23 1.38 1.618 1.764 2x 2.38 etc
2.) After 5 waves up (not depicted on this chart) look for a
normal 50-.618% retrace as a target even under a bullish view.
3.) Determine valid Demand zones underneath where price is
likely to attempt to bounce.
I hope this serves as a valid educational piece - this can be
applied to whatever security you may be trading if you see a
similar setup.
Copy and Paste these images and text and save into your
Education Folder.
thank you Steve. Yep and when you have those doji type
candles to use as a trigger, if it's a daily chart, always zoom
down to at least a 1hr and 30 min chart, verify that you have a
MACD divergence, if you don't, then chances are it's not ready.
That's how I used to filter out the CCI bungie setups, I would find
a nice looking example on the daily from the scanner, then in order
for me to even consider it a valid setup, I had to see MACD
divergence on the 60 min
XLK Views (Follow Up From Thursday Newsletter)
Posted by steve on 14th of Oct 2023 at 10:51 am
XLK - Chart Link- here is the updated Daily action on XLK
XLK - Chart Link- a few triggers on the XLK 60 minute
In Thursday Newsletter I mentioned the doji candle that appeared at the upper Bollinger Band. Doji candles are hesitation candles and when found near extended moves up/down have us on watch for potential reversal candles (at least Reversion to Mean) then we need a valid trigger to enter (stop would immediately be placed at the prior high in this case after entry and then lowered over time).
Once I see on the Daily chart, I like to shift down to the hourly/30 minute chart for additional clues (supporting evidence) and possibly an early valid trigger.
On the XLK, I see a symmetry break the transpired on the prior pullback (172.83-169.78) suggesting to be on the lookout for a lower high to be formed (171.71). The lower high formed with a doji candle of its own on the 60 minute chart which allowed for an earlier higher price trigger short breaking below that low which was then confirmed by both a trendine break on the 60 minute as well as the daily candle break to the downside.
For those asking about a potential target?
1.) A equal move to the first decline then the following extensions 1.23 1.38 1.618 1.764 2x 2.38 etc
2.) After 5 waves up (not depicted on this chart) look for a normal 50-.618% retrace as a target even under a bullish view.
3.) Determine valid Demand zones underneath where price is likely to attempt to bounce.
I hope this serves as a valid educational piece - this can be applied to whatever security you may be trading if you see a similar setup.
Copy and Paste these images and text and save into your Education Folder.
Thanks for sharing this Steve
Posted by arun on 15th of Oct 2023 at 07:54 am
Thanks for sharing this Steve
thank you Steve. Yep and
Posted by matt on 14th of Oct 2023 at 04:13 pm
thank you Steve. Yep and when you have those doji type candles to use as a trigger, if it's a daily chart, always zoom down to at least a 1hr and 30 min chart, verify that you have a MACD divergence, if you don't, then chances are it's not ready. That's how I used to filter out the CCI bungie setups, I would find a nice looking example on the daily from the scanner, then in order for me to even consider it a valid setup, I had to see MACD divergence on the 60 min
Excellent technical review! Thank you,
Posted by bharvey96 on 14th of Oct 2023 at 11:59 am
Excellent technical review! Thank you, Steve!