XLK Views (Follow Up From Thursday Newsletter)

    Posted by steve on 14th of Oct 2023 at 10:51 am

    XLK - Chart Link- here is the updated Daily action on XLK 

    XLK - Chart Link- a few triggers on the XLK 60 minute 

    In Thursday Newsletter I mentioned the doji candle that appeared at the upper Bollinger Band.  Doji candles are hesitation candles and when found near extended moves up/down have us on watch for potential reversal candles (at least Reversion to Mean) then we need a valid trigger to enter (stop would immediately be placed at the prior high in this case after entry and then lowered over time). 

    Once I see on the Daily chart, I like to shift down to the hourly/30 minute chart for additional clues (supporting evidence) and possibly an early valid trigger.  

    On the XLK, I see a symmetry break the transpired on the prior pullback (172.83-169.78) suggesting to be on the lookout for a lower high to be formed (171.71).  The lower high formed with a doji candle of its own on the 60 minute chart which allowed for an earlier higher price trigger short breaking below that low which was then confirmed by both a trendine break on the 60 minute as well as the daily candle break to the downside.  

    For those asking about a potential target?  

    1.) A equal move to the first decline then the following extensions 1.23 1.38 1.618  1.764 2x 2.38 etc

    2.) After 5 waves up (not depicted on this chart) look for a normal 50-.618% retrace as a target even under a bullish view.   

    3.) Determine valid Demand zones underneath where price is likely to attempt to bounce.  

    I hope this serves as a valid educational piece - this can be applied to whatever security you may be trading if you see a similar setup. 

    Copy and Paste these images and text and save into your Education Folder.  

    Thanks for sharing this Steve

    Posted by arun on 15th of Oct 2023 at 07:54 am

    Thanks for sharing this Steve

    thank you Steve.  Yep and

    Posted by matt on 14th of Oct 2023 at 04:13 pm

    thank you Steve.  Yep and when you have those doji type candles to use as a trigger, if it's a daily chart, always zoom down to at least a 1hr and 30 min chart, verify that you have a MACD divergence, if you don't, then chances are it's not ready. That's how I used to filter out the CCI bungie setups, I would find a nice looking example on the daily from the scanner, then in order for me to even consider it a valid setup, I had to see MACD divergence on the 60 min

    Excellent technical review!  Thank you,

    Posted by bharvey96 on 14th of Oct 2023 at 11:59 am

    Excellent technical review!  Thank you, Steve!

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