Systems update

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:08 pm

    Regarding the systems: Again the bear long will be taking 2nd entries on both SPY and ES.  For SPY the Stoch Rev short will remain over (that's done very well)

    That said, at the lows I saw a new sub system triggering on SPY, the QE 3.2, with the bounce the last 10 min that signal is gone, however should price come back down it will trigger. I've included the stats, it's a washout type of system, 36 trades since 1996, 100% winners. Looking back at the trades, you can have 2 entries and sometimes 3.  It typically goes long near lows like Mar 2008, late Dec 2018, Mar 2020 etc

    Keeping it conservative and trading

    Posted by jared95 on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 04:00 pm

    Keeping it conservative and trading SPY instead of ES this time...gl all

    Is there an option strike

    Posted by bulf6285 on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:24 pm

    Is there an option strike we should be looking at? 


    I like to go at

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:27 pm

    I like to go at least 2 months out, however there's nothing at 2 months and would have to jump to Dec 16th, which the options are expensive going out that far. The other expiration is Nov 18th, which isn't quite 2 months but also not much less - you can decide which one

    here's some images of those

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:42 pm

    here's some images of those past QE 3.2 trades (which again the signal is gone at the moment with the move off the lows. again in the past it triggers around those major low points. 

    on the image I tried to organize those trades left to right from most recent to the past. far left is Mar 2020 lows, it bought the bottom. 2nd from left is 2018, bought once in middle of that downtrend and at the Dec bottom. The right image shows trades during 2008. The bottom left shows Mar 2009 bottom where it had 3 entries and held for almost 3 months, 

    just showing as an example of what market looked like in past when that QE 3.2 triggered

    I like using this type

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:48 pm

    I like using this type of signal for long term accounts. Great conditions, stats. If it does trigger at some point, that is how I'll use it. 

    yeah the QE 3.2 is

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:49 pm

    yeah the QE 3.2 is probably the best bottom picker of the bear market systems. I like the bear long as it does more trades but it doesn't nail the bottoms as good as QE 3.2

    Thanks for That it felt

    Posted by srusso1 on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:15 pm

    Thanks for That it felt like a good time to good long SPY Call 11/18 365   $16.55 

    Roger that Commander !  Jumping

    Posted by fredsaid on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 03:11 pm

    Roger that Commander !  Jumping in with a Nov Call.

Newsletter

Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!