Any idea on the average percentage gain of indexes during a bear
market rally? ..sell the rallies target estimate in terms of a
swing trade? I'm still looking at areas to sell current hedges,
trade a long rally, and then put on shorts again at higher
prices.
also that 52 week highs - lows difference indicator for the
Nasdaq that I show - on a good rally that allows that to approach
zero -that will show you when the bear market rallies are
near over
Any idea on the average
Bob Farrel sees 30% downside for S&P: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-wall-street-legend-has-lived-through-every-bear-market-since-the-1950s-he-says-the-one-coming-could-hit-the-s-p-500-with-a-30-loss-11652111307?fbclid=IwAR36V-75cxWvpP8T_oosT0tJhx0yToE4tNReDEHjJLNKgjM2jcBS-TEn_Cs
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 9th of May 2022 at 02:14 pm
Any idea on the average percentage gain of indexes during a bear market rally? ..sell the rallies target estimate in terms of a swing trade? I'm still looking at areas to sell current hedges, trade a long rally, and then put on shorts again at higher prices.
bear market's don't occur all
Posted by matt on 9th of May 2022 at 02:41 pm
bear market's don't occur all that often - just use Stockcharts % change tool and manually go look at them and compile the data
in 2008 - you had a 9%, 14%, and a 20% moves off the lows while in the downtrend
2000 - late 2002, 9.5%, 15%, 20%, 24% - moves off the lows while in the overall downtrend
Thanks Matt, seems comparable to
Posted by fundamentalvalues on 9th of May 2022 at 02:47 pm
Thanks Matt, seems comparable to one analyst saying 8-15% is possible and would allow for a great chance to sell: https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20220507240/this-market-strategist-says-stocks-could-gain-8-to-15-from-here-giving-anxious-investors-a-perfect-opportunity-to-sell
also that 52 week highs
Posted by matt on 9th of May 2022 at 02:50 pm
also that 52 week highs - lows difference indicator for the Nasdaq that I show - on a good rally that allows that to approach zero -that will show you when the bear market rallies are near over
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$COMPQ&p=D&st=2021-02-25&id=p46904746960&a=1138588728&listNum=27
I love that indicator. One
Posted by timebandit on 9th of May 2022 at 02:58 pm
I love that indicator. One of many good ones you share.